Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS)


Market Price (11/3/2026): $137.23 | Market Cap: $10.3 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Building Products

Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS)


Market Price (11/3/2026): $137.23
Market Cap: $10.3 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Building Products

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.2%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, Circular Economy & Recycling, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Wastewater Management, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -36%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -47%

Key risks
WMS key risks include [1] challenges integrating significant recent acquisitions and [2] margin pressure from volatile resin input costs.

0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.2%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, Circular Economy & Recycling, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Wastewater Management, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -36%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -47%
6 Key risks
WMS key risks include [1] challenges integrating significant recent acquisitions and [2] margin pressure from volatile resin input costs.

WMS in ETFs

Weight = WMS's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWB0.01%
IJH0.28%
VIG0.04%
VB0.12%
IJK0.31%
MDYG0.31%
+21 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 11/1/2026

Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) stock has remained largely at the same level since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2027 Financial Performance Exceeded Expectations.

Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) reported its fiscal Q1 2027 earnings on August 6, 2026 (for the quarter ended June 30, 2026), significantly surpassing analyst estimates. The company achieved diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.49, beating the consensus estimate of $2.10 by $0.39. Quarterly revenue rose 20.6% year-over-year to $1.00 billion, exceeding analyst expectations of $991.39 million and marking the first time WMS recorded over $1 billion in revenue in a single quarter. This robust performance, driven by a 21% increase in net sales and a 28.8% rise in Adjusted EBITDA to $358.3 million, contributed to the stock's underlying stability. Additionally, the company repurchased $228.5 million of common stock during the quarter, indicating strong capital management.

2. Strategic Acquisitions and New Product Innovation Strengthened Market Position.

During the period, WMS undertook key strategic initiatives. On October 5, 2026, the company announced the acquisition of StormTrap Investments LLC for approximately $530 million, expanding its portfolio of engineered stormwater storage solutions. This acquisition is expected to bolster WMS's presence in the stormwater management market. Furthermore, on October 28, 2026, Advanced Drainage Systems launched AquaLux, a high-performance stormwater filtration system designed to improve water quality and enhance its complete water management offerings. These company-specific growth drivers demonstrated forward-looking strategy and product diversification, supporting the stock's steadiness amidst broader market conditions.

Show more
Updated on 11/1/2026

Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) stock has remained largely at the same level since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2027 Financial Performance Exceeded Expectations.

Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) reported its fiscal Q1 2027 earnings on August 6, 2026 (for the quarter ended June 30, 2026), significantly surpassing analyst estimates. The company achieved diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.49, beating the consensus estimate of $2.10 by $0.39. Quarterly revenue rose 20.6% year-over-year to $1.00 billion, exceeding analyst expectations of $991.39 million and marking the first time WMS recorded over $1 billion in revenue in a single quarter. This robust performance, driven by a 21% increase in net sales and a 28.8% rise in Adjusted EBITDA to $358.3 million, contributed to the stock's underlying stability. Additionally, the company repurchased $228.5 million of common stock during the quarter, indicating strong capital management.

2. Strategic Acquisitions and New Product Innovation Strengthened Market Position.

During the period, WMS undertook key strategic initiatives. On October 5, 2026, the company announced the acquisition of StormTrap Investments LLC for approximately $530 million, expanding its portfolio of engineered stormwater storage solutions. This acquisition is expected to bolster WMS's presence in the stormwater management market. Furthermore, on October 28, 2026, Advanced Drainage Systems launched AquaLux, a high-performance stormwater filtration system designed to improve water quality and enhance its complete water management offerings. These company-specific growth drivers demonstrated forward-looking strategy and product diversification, supporting the stock's steadiness amidst broader market conditions.

3. Mixed Macroeconomic and Construction Sector Trends Created Headwinds and Tailwinds.

The broader construction market presented a mixed environment. While the U.S. construction sector was projected for restrained growth of 2.3% to 2.7% in 2026, specific segments like AI data centers, semiconductor facilities, and infrastructure projects showed strong activity. However, residential and commercial office construction faced a slight decline. Material costs remained volatile, with the producer price index for nonresidential construction inputs increasing 8.4% year-over-year through May 2026, and elements like fuel, freight, steel, aluminum, and copper experiencing pressure. Elevated interest rates and economic uncertainty were also noted as cautionary factors for fiscal year 2027. The decline in U.S. retail construction activity in Q3 2026, with new starts at a decade-low due to high land, construction, and borrowing costs, further illustrates these challenges. These contrasting macroeconomic forces likely balanced out, contributing to the stock's largely stable trend.

4. Sustained Positive Analyst Sentiment Provided a Price Floor.

Despite some stock volatility, including a 52-week low of $124.39 on October 7, 2026, analyst sentiment remained largely positive, providing a supportive backdrop for WMS shares. As of October 30, 2026, eight equities research analysts rated the stock a "Buy" and two a "Hold," resulting in a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating and an average price target of $187.40. Although some price targets saw slight adjustments (e.g., Oppenheimer lowered to $185 from $190 in October 2026, RBC Capital to $170 from $178), the overall bullish outlook from analysts helped to establish a floor for the stock's price, preventing a more significant downturn and contributing to its largely level movement.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 0.5% change in WMS stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/2/2026 was primarily driven by a 5.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)731202611022026Change
Stock Price ($)138.28138.990.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,0503,2225.6%
Net Income Margin (%)14.0%14.0%0.1%
P/E Multiple25.223.6-6.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)78771.7%
Cumulative Contribution0.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2026 to 11/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
WMS0.5% 
Market (SPY)0.7%41.4%
Sector (XLI)-5.6%61.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -6.6% change in WMS stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -11.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)430202611022026Change
Stock Price ($)148.82138.99-6.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,9893,2227.8%
Net Income Margin (%)15.7%14.0%-11.1%
P/E Multiple24.623.6-4.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)78771.7%
Cumulative Contribution-6.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 11/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
WMS-6.6% 
Market (SPY)4.9%44.7%
Sector (XLI)-2.6%65.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -0.2% change in WMS stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -5.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)1031202511022026Change
Stock Price ($)139.33138.99-0.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,9193,22210.4%
Net Income Margin (%)14.8%14.0%-5.6%
P/E Multiple25.023.6-5.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)78771.5%
Cumulative Contribution-0.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 11/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
WMS-0.2% 
Market (SPY)11.2%46.1%
Sector (XLI)10.4%65.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 32.0% change in WMS stock from 10/31/2023 to 11/2/2026 was primarily driven by a 40.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)1031202311022026Change
Stock Price ($)105.29138.9932.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,9353,2229.8%
Net Income Margin (%)16.8%14.0%-16.7%
P/E Multiple16.823.640.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)79773.1%
Cumulative Contribution32.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2023 to 11/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
WMS32.0% 
Market (SPY)86.0%49.5%
Sector (XLI)79.4%61.2%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
WMS Return63%-40%72%-17%26%-4%71%
Peers Return41%-37%70%-9%-11%6%29%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%10%101%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WMS Win Rate67%42%67%42%50%55% 
Peers Win Rate65%37%60%42%48%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%36% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WMS Max Drawdown-15%-47%-27%-36%-24%-28% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-52%-23%-37%-39%-34% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: WLK, CNM, FERG, SITE, TREX. See WMS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/2/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventWMSS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-19.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven24.9%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven34 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-14.7%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.2%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven34 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-18.0%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven21.9%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven59 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-39.0%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven64.0%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven48 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-53.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven115.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven133 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-24.8%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.0%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven161 days105 days

Compare to WLK, CNM, FERG, SITE, TREX

In The Past

Advanced Drainage Systems's stock fell -19.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 24.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventWMSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-39.0%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven64.0%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven48 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-53.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven115.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven133 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-24.8%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.0%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven161 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-24.4%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.4%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven83 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-37.4%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven59.8%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven839 days62 days

Compare to WLK, CNM, FERG, SITE, TREX

In The Past

Advanced Drainage Systems's stock fell -19.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 24.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS)

Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) is a leading manufacturer and marketer of water management products and drainage solutions for the underground construction and infrastructure marketplace. The company specializes in designing and producing thermoplastic corrugated pipes, which are fundamental for managing water flow and drainage in a wide array of applications. WMS operates across the United States, Canada, Mexico, and other international markets.

The company's core product line includes single, double, and triple wall corrugated polypropylene and polyethylene pipes. Beyond pipes, WMS offers a comprehensive suite of water management solutions through its various segments, including plastic leachfield chambers, septic tanks and systems, and mechanical aeration wastewater solutions. Its portfolio further extends to allied products such as storm retention/detention chambers, PVC drainage structures, fittings, and water quality filters and separators. WMS also distributes construction fabrics (geosynthetic products for soil stabilization and erosion control) and drainage grates.

WMS serves a diverse customer base across four primary market segments: non-residential construction, residential housing, agriculture, and infrastructure projects. Its products are crucial for managing stormwater, wastewater, and subsurface drainage, providing essential components for the development and maintenance of public works like roads and utilities, as well as private residential and commercial properties. The company distributes its solutions through a network of approximately 38 distribution centers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS):

  • Trex for underground water management systems. (Like Trex provides advanced materials for outdoor decking, WMS offers innovative thermoplastic solutions for unseen drainage and water management infrastructure.)
  • Owens Corning for critical underground water infrastructure materials. (Similar to how Owens Corning supplies essential, often hidden, building materials like insulation, WMS provides crucial, unseen components for water infrastructure.)

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Thermoplastic Corrugated Pipes: Designs and manufactures single, double, and triple wall corrugated pipes made from polypropylene and polyethylene.
  • Wastewater Treatment Systems: Offers products such as plastic leachfield chambers, EZflow synthetic aggregate bundles, mechanical aeration solutions, and septic tanks.
  • Storm Retention/Detention and Septic Chambers: Provides specialized chambers for managing storm water runoff and septic waste.
  • Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) Drainage Structures: Manufactures structures made from PVC for various drainage applications.
  • Fittings: Supplies components used to connect and adapt its piping systems.
  • Water Quality Filters and Separators: Provides products designed to improve water quality and remove impurities.
  • Geosynthetic Products: Distributes construction fabrics and other geosynthetic materials for soil stabilization, filtration, and erosion control.
  • Drainage Grates: Supplies grates used in drainage systems to prevent debris entry.

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D. Scott Barbour, President and Chief Executive Officer

Mr. Barbour has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Advanced Drainage Systems since 2017. Prior to joining the company, he held various roles within several business units for Emerson Electric Co. from 1989 to 2016, including President and CEO of its Network Power business. During his tenure at Emerson, he also helped manage the spin-off and subsequent sale of the Network Power business (now Vertiv). He began his career as a product engineer at Colt Industries. Mr. Barbour has served on the board of Allison Transmissions Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: ALSN) since 2022.

Scott Cottrill, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Secretary

Mr. Cottrill joined Advanced Drainage Systems in November 2015. He oversees the company's finance, business development, and information technology functions. From 2012 to November 2014, Mr. Cottrill served as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Jeld-Wen, Inc., a leading global manufacturer of windows, doors, and treated composite trim and panels. From 1998 to 2012, he held various finance and accounting positions with Goodrich Corporation.

Kevin Talley, Executive Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer

Mr. Talley joined Advanced Drainage Systems in October 2011 and has served as Executive Vice President & Chief Administrative Officer since August 2016. He provides overall leadership to the company's human resources, legal, office services, and aviation functions. Before joining ADS, Mr. Talley spent seventeen years at The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company in increasingly responsible human resources leadership positions, most recently as Vice President, Human Resources.

Brian King, Executive Vice President, Product Management and Marketing

Mr. King worked at Owens Corning, a company that develops and produces insulation, roofing, and fiberglass composites, serving as Vice President, Strategic Marketing from 2016 to 2020 and Director of Strategic Marketing from 2015 to 2016. Prior to his roles at Owens Corning, he held leadership positions at The Stanley Works, Elmer's Products Inc., and Avery Dennison Corporation.

Thomas Waun, Executive Vice President, International, Product Development and Material Sciences

Mr. Waun joined Advanced Drainage Systems in June 2020 and brings over 30 years of management experience. From 2017 to 2020, he served as Vice President and General Manager, Consulting, at Emerson Electric Corporation. From 2015 to 2017, Mr. Waun served as President, Power Management at Emerson.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS):

Key Risks to Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS)

  1. Reliance on Cyclical Construction and Infrastructure Spending: Advanced Drainage Systems' business performance is closely tied to the cyclical nature of construction activity and public-works spending. The company is vulnerable to economic downturns, high interest rates, and overall tepid market demand in its end markets. A prolonged softening in residential, non-residential, agriculture, and infrastructure spending could lead to reduced demand for its water management products and negatively impact revenue and profitability. Management has flagged a challenging macroeconomic backdrop for fiscal year 2026, which can weigh on industrials closely tied to construction and infrastructure demand.
  2. Raw Material Price Volatility: As a manufacturing company, Advanced Drainage Systems is dependent on the availability and pricing of its raw material inputs, particularly resin. Resin prices are noted to be volatile, often influenced by changes in oil and gas prices. Significant increases in raw material costs could squeeze profit margins and potentially affect demand for the company's products if these costs are passed on to customers.
  3. Customer Concentration Risk: A significant portion of Advanced Drainage Systems' net sales comes from a limited number of large customers. In fiscal year 2023, 42% of the company's net sales were generated from its ten largest customers. The loss of one or more of these major customers, or a significant reduction in their purchasing volume, could adversely affect the company's business, financial condition, and results of operations.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The increasing adoption of decentralized, nature-based stormwater management solutions (green infrastructure) which prioritize on-site retention, infiltration, and evapotranspiration over traditional collection and rapid conveyance via extensive underground piping networks. This paradigm shift in stormwater management could significantly reduce the overall demand for traditional underground stormwater conveyance piping systems, a core product offering for Advanced Drainage Systems.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) operates in several key addressable markets related to water management and drainage solutions. The market sizes for their main products and services are as follows:

  • Stormwater Management Solutions: The U.S. stormwater management market was valued at approximately USD 7.1 billion in 2023 and is projected to grow to USD 13.95 billion by 2032.
  • Onsite Septic Systems: The U.S. onsite septic market is estimated to be worth USD 2.0 billion annually. Separately, the U.S. septic tanks market size was valued at USD 1.02 billion in 2023 and is projected to grow to USD 1.39 billion by 2032. The North America septic tanks market size was valued at USD 1.14 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 1.54 billion by 2032.
  • Thermoplastic Corrugated Pipes: The North America Corrugated Pipe market was valued at over USD 4.69 billion in 2024. The U.S. thermoplastic pipe market is projected to reach USD 1.03 billion by 2026. Globally, the thermoplastic pipe market size was valued at USD 4.31 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 6.66 billion by 2034.
  • Geosynthetic Products: The U.S. geosynthetics market size was estimated at USD 3.08 billion in 2023 and is expected to grow to USD 4.58 billion by 2030. The North America Geosynthetics Market is projected to reach a valuation of USD 3,304.7 million by 2033.
  • Drainage Systems (Broader Market): The global Drainage System Market size was valued at USD 1.76 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach nearly USD 2.25 billion by 2030. North America holds the largest share of this market, at approximately 45%.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth for Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) over the next 2-3 years:
  1. Strategic Acquisitions and Integration: Advanced Drainage Systems is expected to benefit from strategic acquisitions, most notably the acquisition of National Diversified Sales (NDS), which closed in early fiscal year 2026. This acquisition is anticipated to contribute approximately $40 million in revenue in fiscal year 2026 and generate an estimated $25 million in annual cost synergies, while also being accretive to EPS in its first year. The integration of past acquisitions, such as Orenco into the Infiltrator business, has also exceeded expectations, contributing to synergy capture and expanded product reach through cross-selling.
  2. Growth in Higher-Margin Product Segments and New Product Launches: The company is strategically shifting its portfolio mix toward higher-margin products, specifically within its Allied Products and Infiltrator segments. Growth in Allied Products has been driven by key offerings like StormTech storage chambers, Nyloplast capture structures, and water quality products, many of which have benefited from new introductions over the past year. Similarly, the Infiltrator business, including advanced treatment systems and tanks, has seen growth from new product launches, product line expansion, and increased distribution, particularly gaining share in the residential market.
  3. Increased Infrastructure Spending: Significant opportunities for revenue growth are tied to increased infrastructure spending. The Texas infrastructure bill, a $20 billion initiative focused on water management and infrastructure, is expected to begin implementation in 2027 and provide material benefits to Advanced Drainage Systems and its Infiltrator business. More broadly, the long-term demand drivers related to water management, climate resilience, and general infrastructure upgrades remain highly favorable for the company.
  4. Residential Market Recovery and Penetration: Despite some variability, the company expresses confidence in its strategies to increase participation in the residential market as it recovers. The overall shortage of available housing in the United States and the lack of existing homes for sale continue to provide long-term market growth potential and opportunities for further market penetration for ADS. Improved outlook for single-family housing starts is expected to drive land acquisition and development activity, benefiting ADS products sold early in the development cycle.

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Share Repurchases

  • Advanced Drainage Systems announced a new $1 billion stock repurchase authorization on February 5, 2026, increasing its total authorization to $1.148 billion.
  • As of September 30, 2025, approximately $147.7 million of common stock remained authorized for repurchase under the existing program.
  • The company did not repurchase any shares of its common stock in the nine months ended December 31, 2025.

Share Issuance

  • As of March 13, 2026, Advanced Drainage Systems had 82,711,585 shares in issue.
  • As of May 9, 2024, the company had 77,426,265 shares of common stock outstanding.

Outbound Investments

  • Advanced Drainage Systems completed the acquisition of National Diversified Sales (NDS) on February 2, 2026, in an all-cash transaction valued at approximately $1.0 billion, or approximately $875 million when adjusted for expected tax benefits. This acquisition expands ADS' water management offerings, strengthens its Allied Products portfolio, and enhances distribution and customer reach.
  • The NDS acquisition is anticipated to contribute approximately $40 million in revenue and a 20% EBITDA margin in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026.
  • Inorganic growth from the acquisitions of Orenco and River Valley Pipe contributed 3.6% to the company's second-quarter revenue increase in fiscal 2026.

Capital Expenditures

  • For fiscal year 2026, capital expenditures are expected to be approximately $250 million.
  • Year-to-date capital spending for fiscal year 2025 increased by 22% to $166 million, with full-year expectations projected at approximately $225 million.
  • Approximately 70% of total capital deployed from fiscal 2020 to 2026 was dedicated to growing the business through capital expenditures and strategic acquisitions.

Better Bets vs. Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS)

Peer Outperformance in Building Products

WMS has outperformed 52% of its 31 Building Products peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it are GFF, JCI and SSD. Building Products ranks 9th of 23 industries in Industrials by median 5Y return.
Share of Building Products constituents that WMS has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
54%
of 35 industry peers · -0.2% return
3Y
58%
of 33 industry peers · 25.2% return
5Y
52%
of 31 industry peers · 25.1% return
Building Products peers with revenue growth within 4pp of WMS's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
WMS Advanced Drainage Systems 3.3% 23.6x -0.2%25.2%25.1% —
GFF Griffon 1.6% 25.6x 42.1%152.4%367.6% +343pp
JCI Johnson Controls International 5.4% 24.9x 29.6%199.5%117.9% +93pp
SSD Simpson Manufacturing 3.9% 21.7x 14.4%42.6%83.5% +58pp
ALLE Allegion 6.7% 23.5x 17.4%96.6%57.4% +32pp
OC Owens-Corning 2.6% -15.0x 1.3%8.8%48.3% +23pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Industrials sector, ranked by 5Y. Building Products is WMS's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Construction & Engineering 29 -8.2%92.7%152.3% STRL 1265% · FIX 1201% · AGX 751%
Marine Transportation 5 47.3%44.2%146.6% MATX 183% · KEX 151%
Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment 13 16.0%61.2%102.0% ALSN 260% · WAB 224% · CAT 221%
Aerospace & Defense 52 -12.4%62.8%70.6% ATI 975% · FTAI 967% · HWM 604%
Trading Companies & Distributors 19 20.9%40.4%58.3% DXPE 413% · AIT 222% · URI 216%
Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components 72 6.2%55.1%36.5% CRS 888% · MLI 337% · SYM 271%
Rail Transportation 7 33.9%56.1%34.2% CSX 55% · UNP 43% · NSC 34%
Diversified Support Services 32 21.0%43.3%33.6% CXW 240% · OPLN 169% · CACI 137%
Building Products ← 32 -6.2%13.0%24.0% GFF 368% · TT 141% · JCI 118%
Cargo Ground Transportation 16 33.6%10.8%9.9% R 273% · XPO 263% · ARCB 27%
Electrical Components & Equipment 37 -6.2%74.9%5.4% POWL 1808% · VRT 796% · BE 511%
Industrial Conglomerates 17 14.6%-0.6%-5.4% CSW 104% · CSL 81% · DD 67%
Office Services & Supplies 9 25.6%20.4%-11.2% PBI 174% · TILE 165% · HNI 55%
Data Processing & Outsourced Services 6 -16.4%0.3%-14.2% EXLS 64% · BR 13% · G -13%
Research & Consulting Services 13 4.9%-10.7%-19.3% HURN 270% · FCN 31% · BAH 11%
Agricultural & Farm Machinery 16 12.4%-5.6%-21.0% DE 101% · TTC 22% · AGCO 6%
Security & Alarm Services 9 -54.3%16.3%-27.6% BCO 67%
Environmental & Facilities Services 29 -33.0%23.7%-29.1% GEO 228% · CLH 153% · RSG 95%
Passenger Airlines 11 1.0%52.5%-29.7% LTM 2790% · UAL 128% · DAL 115%
Air Freight & Logistics 12 -24.7%-8.8%-39.0% FDX 86% · EXPD 74% · CHRW 53%
Human Resource & Employment Services 22 21.2%-9.1%-42.3% ADP 48% · FA 28% · PAYX 9%
Passenger Ground Transportation 3 -18.8%39.7%-63.3% UBER 56% · LYFT -63% · CAR -67%
Airport Services 4 -53.4%-61.7%-86.5% JOBY -51%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WMSWLKCNMFERGSITETREXMedian
NameAdvanced.Westlake Core & M.Ferguson.SiteOne .Trex  
Mkt Price137.2370.9445.17242.12114.6250.0092.78
Mkt Cap10.59.18.446.95.05.18.8
Rev LTM3,22211,2947,69832,8894,8081,2086,253
Op Inc LTM683217423,212262244473
FCF LTM550-2656281,265240198395
FCF 3Y Avg4911096481,58022589358
CFO LTM8046316831,687322358657
CFO 3Y Avg7121,0916941,949283293703

Growth & Margins

WMSWLKCNMFERGSITETREXMedian
NameAdvanced.Westlake Core & M.Ferguson.SiteOne .Trex  
Rev Chg LTM10.4%-4.0%-0.5%8.9%2.9%7.0%4.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.3%-6.5%5.2%3.3%4.4%8.5%3.9%
Rev Chg Q20.6%10.8%2.5%14.8%2.6%7.8%9.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.6%2.9%0.7%3.6%0.7%2.6%2.7%
Op Inc Chg LTM5.4%-93.2%1.5%25.0%20.3%-9.8%3.5%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-0.8%-69.5%-0.9%5.3%2.3%10.9%0.8%
Op Mgn LTM21.2%0.2%9.6%9.8%5.5%20.2%9.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg22.7%3.5%9.7%9.1%5.0%24.0%9.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%3.3%0.1%0.3%0.2%-1.9%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM25.0%5.6%8.9%5.1%6.7%29.6%7.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg23.5%9.2%9.4%6.4%6.1%24.4%9.3%
FCF/Rev LTM17.1%-2.3%8.2%3.8%5.0%16.4%6.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg16.2%0.8%8.7%5.2%4.8%7.1%6.1%

Valuation

WMSWLKCNMFERGSITETREXMedian
NameAdvanced.Westlake Core & M.Ferguson.SiteOne .Trex  
Mkt Cap10.59.18.446.95.05.18.8
P/S3.30.81.11.41.04.21.3
P/Op Inc15.4432.511.414.619.121.017.2
P/EBIT15.1-8.411.314.719.121.014.9
P/E23.3-7.418.420.029.928.821.6
P/CFO13.114.412.327.815.614.314.3
Total Yield4.8%-10.6%5.4%6.5%3.4%3.4%4.1%
Dividend Yield0.5%3.0%0.0%1.4%0.0%0.0%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.5%0.0%7.5%3.7%4.3%1.5%4.0%
D/E0.20.60.30.10.20.10.2
Net D/E0.20.40.30.10.20.10.2

Returns

WMSWLKCNMFERGSITETREXMedian
NameAdvanced.Westlake Core & M.Ferguson.SiteOne .Trex  
1M Rtn7.8%11.7%9.2%8.4%28.0%14.8%10.5%
3M Rtn-5.3%2.2%-1.3%-2.8%15.5%11.5%0.5%
6M Rtn-2.2%-37.4%-6.8%-6.5%-8.6%36.5%-6.6%
12M Rtn-1.5%5.9%-13.4%-1.1%-11.7%3.5%-1.3%
3Y Rtn23.6%-38.9%41.6%16.1%-10.3%-20.3%2.9%
1M Excs Rtn10.1%14.1%11.6%10.8%30.3%17.1%12.8%
3M Excs Rtn-5.7%-8.9%0.0%-2.4%15.7%8.8%-1.2%
6M Excs Rtn-6.9%-42.2%-11.5%-11.2%-13.3%31.8%-11.4%
12M Excs Rtn-11.2%-3.8%-24.2%-10.5%-22.2%-5.8%-10.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-47.6%-116.9%-29.0%-66.2%-95.6%-90.4%-78.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Stormwater2,4342,3622,392  
Wastewater715630567  
Intersegment Eliminations-98-88-84-151-132
Allied Products & Other   700569
Infiltrator   524552
International   239225
Pipe   1,7591,555
Total3,0502,9042,8743,0712,769


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20162014
Domestic950836
International148115
Eliminations-60-13
Total1,038938


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$138.99 
Market Cap ($ Bil)10.6 
First Trading Date07/25/2014 
Distance from 52W High-20.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$130.67$143.14
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA6.4%-2.9%
 3M1YR
Volatility30.0%36.5%
Downside Capture128.78142.95
Upside Capture101.69126.51
Correlation (S&P 500)31.9%46.4%
WMS Betas & Captures as of 10/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.390.851.281.371.331.24
Up Beta-0.75-0.421.411.261.611.38
Down Beta0.560.790.861.230.981.02
Up Capture103%112%130%135%140%154%
Bmk +ve Days12182862130427
Stock +ve Days12213058116367
Down Capture-9%99%142%150%127%107%
Bmk -ve Days10253664121325
Stock -ve Days10223468135385

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with WMS
WMS0.4%36.5%0.07-
Sector ETF (XLI)10.7%17.3%0.4265.6%
Equity (SPY)11.6%12.8%0.5746.1%
Gold (GLD)-2.3%28.6%-0.0920.8%
Commodities (DBC)43.1%20.9%1.60-40.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)11.0%13.7%0.5037.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-28.8%43.6%-0.666.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with WMS
WMS5.2%42.3%0.24-
Sector ETF (XLI)11.7%17.6%0.5059.5%
Equity (SPY)12.0%17.1%0.5254.3%
Gold (GLD)16.5%19.0%0.699.8%
Commodities (DBC)8.4%19.6%0.314.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.1%18.9%-0.0545.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.1%51.6%0.2624.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with WMS
WMS22.4%41.7%0.62-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.4%20.1%0.5858.2%
Equity (SPY)15.2%17.9%0.7255.6%
Gold (GLD)11.6%16.5%0.577.1%
Commodities (DBC)7.8%18.1%0.3414.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.4%20.7%0.2247.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)61.7%66.3%1.0118.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3.4 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 930202612.6%
Average Daily Volume0.7 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.6 days
Basic Shares Quantity76.5 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares4.4%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 9/9/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/6/2026-0.8%-6.1%-9.7%
5/21/2026-1.2%2.4%3.5%
2/5/20266.1%8.1%-8.7%
11/6/20258.8%12.0%10.3%
8/7/202517.2%25.2%30.4%
5/15/2025-3.4%-8.7%-7.0%
2/6/20251.4%7.5%-0.8%
11/8/2024-14.4%-18.1%-17.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131612
# Negative11812
Median Positive7.7%8.0%11.8%
Median Negative-2.5%-7.1%-7.9%
Max Positive20.9%25.2%30.4%
Max Negative-25.0%-27.9%-17.8%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/6/2026-0.8%-6.1%-9.7%
5/21/2026-1.2%2.4%3.5%
2/5/20266.1%8.1%-8.7%
11/6/20258.8%12.0%10.3%
8/7/202517.2%25.2%30.4%
5/15/2025-3.4%-8.7%-7.0%
2/6/20251.4%7.5%-0.8%
11/8/2024-14.4%-18.1%-17.8%
8/8/2024-1.9%-2.5%-5.9%
5/16/2024-2.1%0.5%-2.9%
2/8/202414.4%17.7%17.2%
11/2/2023-0.9%2.3%16.1%
8/3/20230.7%3.8%2.7%
5/18/202311.0%8.0%24.8%
2/2/2023-17.0%-8.1%-13.7%
11/3/2022-25.0%-27.9%-15.9%
8/4/202213.6%18.8%10.5%
5/19/20224.6%8.5%-17.5%
2/3/20224.1%3.7%5.3%
11/4/20217.7%15.9%12.0%
8/5/2021-5.4%-2.8%-5.2%
5/20/20211.4%7.7%-3.2%
2/4/202120.9%13.4%19.5%
11/5/2020-2.5%-5.4%11.7%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131612
# Negative11812
Median Positive7.7%8.0%11.8%
Median Negative-2.5%-7.1%-7.9%
Max Positive20.9%25.2%30.4%
Max Negative-25.0%-27.9%-17.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/06/202610-Q
03/31/202605/21/202610-K
12/31/202502/05/202610-Q
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/15/202510-K
12/31/202402/06/202510-Q
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/16/202410-K
12/31/202302/08/202410-Q
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/18/202310-K
12/31/202202/02/202310-Q
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/06/202610-Q
03/31/202605/21/202610-K
12/31/202502/05/202610-Q
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/15/202510-K
12/31/202402/06/202510-Q
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/16/202410-K
12/31/202302/08/202410-Q
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/18/202310-K
12/31/202202/02/202310-Q
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
03/31/202205/19/202210-K
12/31/202102/03/202210-Q
09/30/202111/04/202110-Q
06/30/202108/05/202110-Q
03/31/202105/27/202110-K
12/31/202002/04/202110-Q
09/30/202011/05/202010-Q
06/30/202008/06/202010-Q
03/31/202006/01/202010-K
12/31/201902/06/202010-Q
09/30/201911/12/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 11/2/2026

Latest: Q1 2027 Earnings Reported 8/6/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2027 RevenueReported3.35 Bil3.45 Bil3.55 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 3.45 Bil for 2027
2027 Adjusted EBITDAReported1.00 Bil1.02 Bil1.05 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.02 Bil for 2027
2027 Capital ExpendituresReported 200.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 200.00 Mil for 2027


Prior: Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 5/21/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2027 Net SalesReported3.35 Bil3.45 Bil3.55 Bil14.4% Higher NewActual: 3.02 Bil for 2026
2027 Adjusted EBITDAReported1.00 Bil1.02 Bil1.05 Bil8.5% Higher NewActual: 945.00 Mil for 2026
2027 Capital ExpendituresReported 200.00 Mil -20.0% Lower NewActual: 250.00 Mil for 2026

Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 2/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 RevenueReported2.99 Bil3.02 Bil3.04 Bil2.4% RaisedGuidance: 2.94 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported930.00 Mil945.00 Mil960.00 Mil2.7% RaisedGuidance: 920.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital ExpendituresReported 250.00 Mil 17.6% RaisedGuidance: 212.50 Mil for 2026

Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 RevenueReported2.90 Bil2.94 Bil2.99 Bil1.6% RaisedGuidance: 2.90 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported900.00 Mil920.00 Mil940.00 Mil4.5% RaisedGuidance: 880.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital ExpendituresReported200.00 Mil212.50 Mil225.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 212.50 Mil for 2026

Insider Activity

Updated 9/3/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Eversole, Robert M Reporting Person's Revocable TrustSell12052025152.8210,5691,615,1557,652,614Form
2Waun, Thomas J SREVP, InternationalDirectSell12012025155.001,500232,5002,087,850Form
3Waun, Thomas J SREVP, InternationalDirectSell11132025150.001,000150,0002,245,500Form
4Barbour, D. ScottSee RemarksDirectSell11132025148.9580,03011,920,3636,384,983Form
5Makowski, Tim ASee RemarksDirectSell11132025149.214,901731,276368,100Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Eversole, Robert M Reporting Person's Revocable TrustSell12052025152.8210,5691,615,1557,652,614Form
2Waun, Thomas J SREVP, InternationalDirectSell12012025155.001,500232,5002,087,850Form
3Waun, Thomas J SREVP, InternationalDirectSell11132025150.001,000150,0002,245,500Form
4Barbour, D. ScottSee RemarksDirectSell11132025148.9580,03011,920,3636,384,983Form
5Makowski, Tim ASee RemarksDirectSell11132025149.214,901731,276368,100Form
6Waun, Thomas J SREVP, InternationalKSOPSell11132025148.301,272188,690118,188Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Nov 3, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Owls Nest Partners IA, LLC$36.2 Mil12.7%13ADD +47.3%13F
Impactive Capital LP$117.5 Mil8.5%10TRIM -41.2%13F
ACK Asset Management LLC$53.5 Mil6.7%20Hold13F
Triodos Investment Management BV$73.6 Mil5.6%49Hold13F
Hill City Capital, LP$50.7 Mil1.8%23ADD +131.3%13F
Mirova US LLC$86.2 Mil1.0%42Hold13F
Archon Partners LLC$8.1 Mil1.0%39ADD +47.5%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Hill City Capital, LP$50.7 Mil1.8%23ADD +131.3%13F
Archon Partners LLC$8.1 Mil1.0%39ADD +47.5%13F
Owls Nest Partners IA, LLC$36.2 Mil12.7%13ADD +47.3%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
MIG Capital, LLC$17.3 Mil2.9%43ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Impactive Capital LP$117.5 Mil8.5%10TRIM -41.2%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Impactive Capital LP$117.5 Mil8.5%10TRIM -41.2%13F
Mirova US LLC$86.2 Mil1.0%42Hold13F
Triodos Investment Management BV$73.6 Mil5.6%49Hold13F
ACK Asset Management LLC$53.5 Mil6.7%20Hold13F
Hill City Capital, LP$50.7 Mil1.8%23ADD +131.3%13F
Owls Nest Partners IA, LLC$36.2 Mil12.7%13ADD +47.3%13F
Archon Partners LLC$8.1 Mil1.0%39ADD +47.5%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 11/2/2026