Tearsheet

Paychex (PAYX)


Market Price (7/2/2026): $106.32 | Market Cap: $38.1 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Industrials | Industry: Human Resource & Employment Services

Paychex (PAYX)


Market Price (7/2/2026): $106.32
Market Cap: $38.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Human Resource & Employment Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.7%, Dividend Yield is 4.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.2%, FCF Yield is 5.7%

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%

Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 37%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, CFO LTM is 2.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.1 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, Fintech & Digital Payments, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -43%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70%

Key risks
PAYX key risks include [1] its substantial reliance on the U.S. Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.7%, Dividend Yield is 4.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.2%, FCF Yield is 5.7%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 37%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, CFO LTM is 2.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.1 Bil
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, Fintech & Digital Payments, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -43%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70%
7 Key risks
PAYX key risks include [1] its substantial reliance on the U.S. Show more.

PAYX in ETFs

Weight = PAYX's share of each fund

SPY0.05%
VOO0.05%
IVV0.05%
VTI0.04%
ITOT0.04%
QQQ0.16%
QQQM0.16%
IWB0.05%
+35 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/1/2026

Paychex (PAYX) stock has gained about 15% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q3 2026 Earnings Outperformance: Paychex reported fiscal Q3 2026 results (for the quarter ended February 29, 2026) that significantly exceeded analyst expectations, announced on March 25, 2026. The company's adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) increased 15% year-over-year to $1.71, surpassing the estimated $1.67. Total revenue also rose 20% to $1.81 billion, beating analyst projections of $1.78 billion. This strong performance, driven by a 23% increase in Management Solutions revenue and a 33% increase in interest on funds held for clients, provided substantial positive momentum at the onset of the specified period.

2. Robust Fiscal Q4 2026 Results and Full-Year Growth: Building on its Q3 success, Paychex delivered solid fiscal Q4 2026 results (for the quarter ended May 31, 2026), released on June 24, 2026. The company's adjusted diluted EPS of $1.32 narrowly beat the consensus estimate of $1.31, and quarterly revenue grew 12.5% year-over-year to $1.61 billion, exceeding expectations of $1.60 billion. For the full fiscal year 2026, Paychex achieved 17% revenue growth, reaching $6.5 billion, and an 11% increase in adjusted diluted EPS to $5.51 per share, reflecting sustained operational strength.

Show more
Updated on 7/1/2026

Paychex (PAYX) stock has gained about 15% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q3 2026 Earnings Outperformance: Paychex reported fiscal Q3 2026 results (for the quarter ended February 29, 2026) that significantly exceeded analyst expectations, announced on March 25, 2026. The company's adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) increased 15% year-over-year to $1.71, surpassing the estimated $1.67. Total revenue also rose 20% to $1.81 billion, beating analyst projections of $1.78 billion. This strong performance, driven by a 23% increase in Management Solutions revenue and a 33% increase in interest on funds held for clients, provided substantial positive momentum at the onset of the specified period.

2. Robust Fiscal Q4 2026 Results and Full-Year Growth: Building on its Q3 success, Paychex delivered solid fiscal Q4 2026 results (for the quarter ended May 31, 2026), released on June 24, 2026. The company's adjusted diluted EPS of $1.32 narrowly beat the consensus estimate of $1.31, and quarterly revenue grew 12.5% year-over-year to $1.61 billion, exceeding expectations of $1.60 billion. For the full fiscal year 2026, Paychex achieved 17% revenue growth, reaching $6.5 billion, and an 11% increase in adjusted diluted EPS to $5.51 per share, reflecting sustained operational strength.

3. Successful Paycor Integration and AI-Powered Innovation: Management highlighted the effective integration of the Paycor acquisition, which has advanced the company's upmarket expansion and generated expanding cross-sell opportunities, contributing to overall revenue growth. Additionally, Paychex's continued leadership in AI innovation, including the launch of its WISE Workforce Intelligence Engine, further differentiated its Human Capital Management (HCM) and advisory solutions, enhancing client services and operational efficiency.

4. Favorable Small and Medium-Sized Business (SMB) Sentiment: Macroeconomic data indicated an improved sentiment among small and medium-sized businesses during this period. Approximately 68% of SMB respondents reported their businesses to be in good to excellent health, suggesting growing confidence. This positive sentiment, coupled with stable trends in business formation, created a supportive demand environment for Paychex's core payroll and HR services.

5. Significant Shareholder Returns: Paychex demonstrated a strong commitment to shareholder value by returning a substantial $2.2 billion to shareholders in fiscal 2026. This included paying cumulative dividends of $4.43 per share, totaling $1.6 billion, and repurchasing 5.6 million shares of common stock for $611.0 million, reinforcing investor confidence in the company's financial health and capital allocation strategy.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 12.9% change in PAYX stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/1/2026 was primarily driven by a 12.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120267012026Change
Stock Price ($)90.95102.7112.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,3346,3340.0%
Net Income Margin (%)25.8%25.8%0.0%
P/E Multiple19.922.512.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3593590.0%
Cumulative Contribution12.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PAYX12.9% 
Market (SPY)14.7%-20.5%
Sector (XLI)13.4%-43.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -6.3% change in PAYX stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/1/2026 was primarily driven by a -8.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120257012026Change
Stock Price ($)109.62102.71-6.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,0346,3345.0%
Net Income Margin (%)26.4%25.8%-2.3%
P/E Multiple24.722.5-8.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3593590.2%
Cumulative Contribution-6.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PAYX-6.3% 
Market (SPY)9.7%1.5%
Sector (XLI)18.5%-22.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The -26.5% change in PAYX stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/1/2026 was primarily driven by a -22.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020257012026Change
Stock Price ($)139.71102.71-26.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,4406,33416.4%
Net Income Margin (%)32.0%25.8%-19.2%
P/E Multiple28.922.5-22.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3603590.4%
Cumulative Contribution-26.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PAYX-26.5% 
Market (SPY)21.7%8.1%
Sector (XLI)25.6%-6.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 1.4% change in PAYX stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/1/2026 was primarily driven by a 28.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)63020237012026Change
Stock Price ($)101.33102.711.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,9226,33428.7%
Net Income Margin (%)30.5%25.8%-15.4%
P/E Multiple24.322.5-7.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3603590.5%
Cumulative Contribution1.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PAYX1.4% 
Market (SPY)74.2%33.4%
Sector (XLI)78.0%31.9%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
PAYX Return50%-13%6%21%-17%-10%24%
Peers Return28%-22%18%5%-17%-28%-26%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%10%100%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PAYX Win Rate67%42%42%75%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate58%38%53%50%45%37% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PAYX Max Drawdown-10%-23%-14%-9%-31%-24% 
Peers Max Drawdown-20%-36%-29%-24%-33%-41% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ADP, INTU, PAYC, PCTY, TNET. See PAYX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/1/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventPAYXS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-12.3%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven14.0%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven30 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-18.2%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven427 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-44.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven78.8%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven228 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-15.1%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.7%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven42 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-11.3%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.7%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven41 days62 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-14.5%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.0%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven66 days123 days

Compare to ADP, INTU, PAYC, PCTY, TNET

In The Past

Paychex's stock fell -8.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 9.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventPAYXS&P 500
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-44.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven78.8%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven228 days140 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-42.4%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven73.6%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven686 days1085 days

Compare to ADP, INTU, PAYC, PCTY, TNET

In The Past

Paychex's stock fell -8.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 9.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Paychex (PAYX)

Paychex, Inc. is a leading provider of integrated human capital management (HCM) solutions, serving as a comprehensive partner for small to medium-sized businesses. The company specializes in streamlining and automating critical administrative functions related to human resources, payroll, benefits, and insurance, enabling its clients to efficiently manage their workforce and comply with various regulations.

The core of Paychex's offerings includes payroll processing and tax administration services, ensuring accurate and timely employee payments and regulatory compliance. Beyond payroll, the company provides extensive HR solutions, encompassing employer compliance, benefits administration, risk management outsourcing, and cloud-based HR software for functions like time and attendance, recruiting, and onboarding. Additionally, Paychex offers retirement plan administration services and a wide range of insurance products, including property and casualty coverage (such as workers' compensation and business-owner policies) and health and benefits coverage (like health, dental, and vision).

Paychex primarily markets and sells its services to small to medium-sized businesses (SMBs) throughout the United States and Europe. By offering a centralized platform for essential business functions, Paychex helps these companies navigate complex HR challenges, mitigate operational risks, and free up valuable time and resources, allowing them to focus on growth and core business activities.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Paychex:

  • Paychex is like **ADP for small to medium-sized businesses.**

  • Paychex is like the **Salesforce for human resources, payroll, and benefits management.**

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Payroll Processing Services: Manages payroll calculations, tax administration, employee payments, and regulatory compliance for businesses.
  • Human Resources (HR) Solutions: Provides comprehensive HR management, including employer compliance, benefits administration, and risk management outsourcing.
  • Retirement Services Administration: Administers retirement plans, covering implementation, ongoing compliance, reporting, and participant access.
  • Cloud-based HR Administration Software: Offers software products for managing employee benefits, time and attendance, recruiting, and onboarding.
  • Insurance Services: Provides various insurance coverages, including property & casualty (e.g., workers' compensation) and health & benefits (e.g., health, dental, vision).
  • Business Services: Offers additional services such as payment processing, financial fitness programs, and a small-business loan resource center.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Major Customers of Paychex (PAYX)

Paychex, Inc. primarily sells its integrated human capital management solutions to other companies.

Its major customers are small to medium-sized businesses (SMBs) across a wide range of industries in the United States and Europe. These businesses utilize Paychex for payroll, HR, benefits administration, insurance, and other related services.

Due to the highly fragmented nature of its customer base, which comprises hundreds of thousands of SMBs, Paychex does not have a small number of individually identifiable "major customer companies" whose names and public symbols could be listed.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

John Gibson, President and Chief Executive Officer

John Gibson assumed the role of President and Chief Executive Officer of Paychex in October 2022. He joined Paychex in May 2013 as Senior Vice President of Service and was promoted to President and Chief Operating Officer in December 2021. Prior to joining Paychex, he served in senior executive positions at HR outsourcing and technology companies, including Ameritech (now AT&T) and Convergys (now Concentrix), where he was president of the HR management division providing global HR solutions. He also previously served as CEO of Tinker, Inc. Under his leadership, Paychex completed its largest acquisition, Paycor, in April 2025.

Robert Schrader, Chief Financial Officer

Robert Schrader was appointed Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Paychex in October 2023. He joined Paychex in December 2014 as Director, Internal Audit, and subsequently held leadership roles including Senior Director, Financial Planning and Analysis, Vice President and Controller, and Vice President of Finance and Investor Relations. Before his tenure at Paychex, Schrader served as Chief Financial Officer for Unither Manufacturing, LLC. He also spent 10 years at Bausch & Lomb, Inc., where his positions included Vice President of Finance and Controller of Global Quality and Operations, and he was a former Audit Manager at PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP.

Mason Argiropoulos, Chief Human Resources Officer

Mason Argiropoulos serves as the Chief Human Resources Officer at Paychex.

Prabha Sipi Bhandari, Chief Legal Officer, Chief Ethics Officer, and Secretary

Prabha Sipi Bhandari holds the titles of Chief Legal Officer, Chief Ethics Officer, and Secretary at Paychex.

Ryan Bergstrom, Chief Product Officer

Ryan Bergstrom is the Chief Product Officer at Paychex.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Paychex's business include intense competition, significant regulatory and compliance changes, and macroeconomic pressures affecting its small to medium-sized business clients.

  1. Intense Competition and Challenges to Organic Revenue Growth: Paychex faces significant challenges in achieving organic revenue growth due to intense competition within the small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) market. Analysts perceive strategic acquisitions, such as that of Paycor, primarily as defensive moves with limited potential for long-term organic growth, highlighting the persistent competitive pressures in the sector.
  2. Regulatory and Compliance Risks: As a provider of human capital management solutions, Paychex's business model is heavily reliant on navigating complex and evolving regulatory landscapes. Significant legislative changes, such as the potential sunset of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) provisions, could alter income tax withholding rules and introduce substantial implementation risks. Additionally, the increasing adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) and the subsequent ramp-up of state-level AI regulations concerning hiring bias, data privacy, and copyright protections pose ongoing compliance challenges that Paychex and its clients must address.
  3. Macroeconomic Pressures: Paychex's business is directly impacted by the macroeconomic environment, particularly factors like inflation and interest rate changes, which affect the financial health of its small and medium-sized business clients. If these client businesses struggle, Paychex faces the risk of reduced demand for its services or even clients failing to reimburse payments made on their behalf, a financial risk inherent in its model. Historically, Paychex's stock has also experienced significant declines during major economic crises, underscoring its vulnerability to broader market shifts.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The clear emerging threat to Paychex stems from the rise of highly integrated, cloud-native human capital management (HCM) platforms and specialized fintech/insurtech solutions. These new entrants leverage advanced technologies such as artificial intelligence and modern cloud infrastructure to offer small to medium-sized businesses a more seamless, automated, and often more cost-effective experience across payroll, HR, benefits, and insurance services. They aim to provide a unified user interface, deeper integrations, and greater automation, potentially disintermediating traditional service models and accelerating the shift away from fragmented or more manually intensive solutions. This trend represents a fundamental shift in service delivery and customer expectation, challenging established providers like Paychex on efficiency, user experience, and pricing.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Paychex, Inc. provides integrated human capital management solutions to small and medium-sized businesses, encompassing a range of services from payroll and HR to benefits and insurance. The addressable markets for its main products and services in the United States and globally are substantial:

Payroll Processing and Tax Administration

  • The United States payroll services market is estimated at approximately USD 8.44 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 11.06 billion by 2030, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.54% during the forecast period.
  • The broader Payroll & Bookkeeping Services market in the U.S. was valued at USD 75.1 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 76.5 billion in 2025.
  • The U.S. HR & Payroll Software market was valued at USD 20.9 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to grow to USD 29.2 billion by 2032, at a CAGR of 4.4%.

Human Resources (HR) Solutions and Human Capital Management (HCM) Software

  • The Human Capital Management (HCM) in the SMB market is estimated to have been around USD 10 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 18.51 billion by 2031, exhibiting an 8% CAGR from 2024 to 2031.
  • The global Human Capital Management market was valued at USD 29 billion in 2023 and is estimated to grow at a CAGR of over 4% between 2024 and 2032. North America dominated this market with a share of over 39% in 2023.
  • Another estimate places the global HCM market size at USD 34.12 billion in 2025, projected to grow to USD 76.22 billion by 2034 at a CAGR of 9.40%. North America held a 45.50% share of this global market in 2025.
  • The U.S. Human Capital Management market size was USD 10.14 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach approximately USD 24.73 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 9.32% from 2025 to 2034.
  • The global HR Outsourcing market was valued at approximately USD 31.2 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach around USD 56.4 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 6.1%. North America held a dominant share of more than 37% in 2024, contributing USD 11.54 billion in revenue. The U.S. market alone generated USD 10.8 billion in 2024.
  • The HR Outsourcing market in the U.S. is estimated at US$14.2 billion in 2024.
  • The global HR Software market size is projected at approximately USD 30 billion (USD 29956.66 million) in 2025 and is anticipated to reach approximately USD 68.5 billion (USD 68563.83 million) by 2034, registering a CAGR of 10.9%. North America remains the global leader with a 38% share. Small and medium businesses represent 61% of U.S. HR tech adoption.

Retirement Services Administration

  • Pooled Employer Plans (PEPs), a growing option for small businesses, are expected to see their assets reach $25 billion by the end of 2025, an increase from $9 billion at the end of 2023.
  • In 2024, 54% of employees at businesses with fewer than 50 workers in the U.S. had access to a defined contribution plan, up from 47% in 2020. For companies with 51 to 100 employees, 67% had access in 2024, compared with 66% in 2020.

Insurance Services

  • The U.S. Small and Medium Business (SMB) commercial insurance market is approximately $110 billion.
  • The global SME Insurance market was valued at USD 417.2 billion in 2023 and is estimated to grow at a CAGR of over 7% between 2024 and 2032.
  • The United States SME insurance market had a market share of approximately USD 7.42 billion (USD 7420.45 million) in 2024 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 4.5%. North America holds 38% of the global SME insurance share.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Paychex (PAYX) over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Paycor Acquisition and Integration: The recent acquisition of Paycor is a significant driver of revenue growth, contributing substantially to Paychex's fiscal year 2026 total revenue growth guidance of 16.5% to 18.5%. The integration is expected to generate both client additions from Paycor's base and revenue synergies through cross-selling an expanded suite of HR and payroll solutions across different market segments.
  2. Expansion of Management Solutions through Client Acquisition and Product Penetration: Paychex anticipates continued revenue growth from its Management Solutions segment by increasing its client base and enhancing product penetration. This involves attracting new clients to its comprehensive human capital management (HCM) solutions and selling additional services, including newly launched products like Paychex Flex Engage and Recruiting Copilot, to existing clients.
  3. Growth in Professional Employer Organization (PEO) and Insurance Solutions: The PEO and Insurance Solutions segment is expected to continue growing, driven primarily by an increase in the number of average worksite employees and higher PEO and insurance revenues. Paychex projects this segment to grow in the range of 6% to 8% for fiscal year 2026.
  4. Price Realization: Paychex has demonstrated and expects to continue realizing higher revenue per client through strategic price adjustments across its services. This "price realization" is consistently cited as a factor in the growth of its Management Solutions revenue.
  5. Interest on Funds Held for Clients: Revenue from interest on funds held for clients is a notable contributor to Paychex's overall revenue. While sensitive to interest rate fluctuations, the company has provided guidance for this segment to be in the range of $190 million to $200 million for fiscal year 2026, indicating its ongoing importance as a revenue driver.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Paychex's Board of Directors authorized a new $1 billion share repurchase program in January 2026, replacing a previous $400 million authorization from 2024.
  • In fiscal year 2025, Paychex returned over $1.5 billion to shareholders through a combination of cash dividends and share repurchases.
  • Over the six months leading up to February 2026, Paychex allocated $287 million for share repurchases.

Outbound Investments

  • In April 2025, Paychex completed the acquisition of Paycor for approximately $4.1 billion. This acquisition was aimed at enhancing the company's capabilities for serving clients with 100 employees and above.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures in the last 12 months, leading up to a December 2025 update, were approximately $227.20 million.
  • Annual capital expenditures were -$168.9 million in fiscal year 2025, -$148.8 million in fiscal year 2024, -$133.8 million in fiscal year 2023, -$124.7 million in fiscal year 2022, and -$96.8 million in fiscal year 2021.
  • The company's capital allocation strategy prioritizes investment in the business, which includes capital expenditures, followed by dividends and share buybacks.

Better Bets vs. Paychex (PAYX)

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PAYXADPINTUPAYCPCTYTNETMedian
NamePaychex Automati.Intuit Paycom S.PaylocityTrinet  
Mkt Price102.71235.73267.08133.96111.3353.19122.65
Mkt Cap36.894.773.76.86.02.521.8
Rev LTM6,33421,60020,9252,0931,7274,9445,639
Op Inc LTM2,3375,7275,7495923682801,464
FCF LTM2,0904,8417,7154414212781,266
FCF 3Y Avg1,8754,1906,2933683523721,123
CFO LTM2,3205,4527,8887105083571,515
CFO 3Y Avg2,0644,7656,4805884344491,326

Growth & Margins

PAYXADPINTUPAYCPCTYTNETMedian
NamePaychex Automati.Intuit Paycom S.PaylocityTrinet  
Rev Chg LTM16.4%6.9%15.1%9.4%11.3%-2.4%10.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.9%6.9%14.2%12.5%16.5%0.1%10.7%
Rev Chg Q19.9%7.0%10.4%7.8%10.5%-5.1%9.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.0%1.8%4.0%2.0%2.8%-1.3%2.4%
Op Inc Chg LTM3.5%7.9%23.1%11.0%22.3%1.1%9.4%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg5.8%10.0%23.7%14.4%47.4%-13.2%12.2%
Op Mgn LTM36.9%26.5%27.5%28.3%21.3%5.7%27.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg39.9%26.2%25.7%29.8%19.6%7.1%25.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%0.2%0.4%0.6%1.2%0.2%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM36.6%25.2%37.7%33.9%29.4%7.2%31.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg36.5%23.5%35.2%30.5%28.0%9.0%29.3%
FCF/Rev LTM33.0%22.4%36.9%21.1%24.4%5.6%23.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg33.2%20.6%34.1%19.1%22.7%7.4%21.6%

Valuation

PAYXADPINTUPAYCPCTYTNETMedian
NamePaychex Automati.Intuit Paycom S.PaylocityTrinet  
Mkt Cap36.894.773.76.86.02.521.8
P/S5.84.43.53.33.50.53.5
P/Op Inc15.816.512.811.616.38.914.3
P/EBIT15.315.512.110.516.38.913.7
P/E22.521.816.114.623.215.718.9
P/CFO15.917.49.39.611.87.010.7
Total Yield8.7%7.3%8.0%8.1%4.3%8.5%8.0%
Dividend Yield4.2%2.7%1.8%1.2%0.0%2.1%2.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.5%4.2%4.3%4.2%4.5%10.3%4.4%
D/E0.10.00.10.10.00.40.1
Net D/E0.10.0-0.00.1-0.00.20.0

Returns

PAYXADPINTUPAYCPCTYTNETMedian
NamePaychex Automati.Intuit Paycom S.PaylocityTrinet  
1M Rtn0.3%1.6%-24.5%-9.8%-9.1%9.4%-4.4%
3M Rtn14.4%18.0%-37.1%11.2%5.8%48.8%12.8%
6M Rtn-6.3%-6.9%-59.5%-15.5%-27.0%-8.4%-11.9%
12M Rtn-27.5%-21.9%-65.5%-42.2%-38.9%-27.6%-33.3%
3Y Rtn1.4%15.1%-40.5%-57.3%-39.7%-41.7%-40.1%
1M Excs Rtn1.8%3.2%-23.0%-8.3%-7.6%10.9%-2.9%
3M Excs Rtn-1.7%2.3%-52.7%-4.1%-11.6%33.4%-2.9%
6M Excs Rtn-16.2%-16.1%-68.5%-24.6%-36.0%-17.1%-20.8%
12M Excs Rtn-47.1%-42.0%-86.4%-62.2%-59.2%-45.9%-53.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-70.4%-55.5%-112.7%-128.7%-110.6%-114.2%-111.7%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment5,5725,2785,0074,6124,057
Total5,5725,2785,0074,6124,057


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil2001200019991998
Payroll366303236180
HRS-PEO3823137
Corporate  -61-52
Total404327188135


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024
Single Segment1,6571,690
Total1,6571,690


Assets by Segment
$ Mil2001200019991998
Payroll2,1671,8901,4641,244
HRS-PEO66583231
Corporate  377272
Total2,2331,9471,8731,547


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$102.71 
Market Cap ($ Bil)36.8 
First Trading Date03/26/1990 
Distance from 52W High-28.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$95.52$103.35
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA7.5%-0.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility30.9%25.9%
Downside Capture-85.8047.23
Upside Capture4.52-1.66
Correlation (SPY)-18.9%8.3%
PAYX Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.20-0.42-0.430.050.180.51
Up Beta-0.81-0.92-0.75-0.46-0.120.56
Down Beta-0.89-0.41-0.380.240.280.50
Up Capture30%2%-3%2%-0%15%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days11203059118385
Down Capture13%-61%-62%40%60%77%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days10213365133364

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PAYX
PAYX-26.6%25.8%-1.22-
Sector ETF (XLI)25.7%16.5%1.21-6.6%
Equity (SPY)21.8%12.5%1.308.1%
Gold (GLD)21.7%27.7%0.69-14.6%
Commodities (DBC)21.4%18.6%0.90-3.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.0%13.7%0.6525.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-45.0%42.6%-1.288.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PAYX
PAYX2.9%23.9%0.09-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.3%17.6%0.6450.8%
Equity (SPY)13.5%17.1%0.6154.2%
Gold (GLD)17.4%18.3%0.770.9%
Commodities (DBC)6.8%19.5%0.2511.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.8%18.8%0.0554.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)11.9%53.7%0.4121.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PAYX
PAYX9.7%25.3%0.38-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.5%20.1%0.6464.6%
Equity (SPY)15.4%18.0%0.7367.4%
Gold (GLD)11.9%16.1%0.602.2%
Commodities (DBC)5.6%18.0%0.2419.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.4%20.7%0.2261.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)56.6%66.3%0.9715.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity20.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 53120263.0%
Average Daily Volume2.9 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7
Basic Shares Quantity358.7 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares5.7%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 7/2/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
6/24/2026-1.7%0.3% 
3/25/20263.0%1.7%0.4%
12/19/2025-1.7%-0.0%-6.2%
9/30/2025-1.4%-3.2%-3.5%
6/25/2025-9.4%-3.2%-2.1%
3/26/20254.2%7.3%0.1%
12/19/20241.4%5.0%6.6%
10/1/20244.9%2.4%5.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121612
# Negative13912
Median Positive3.5%2.2%6.1%
Median Negative-2.5%-4.5%-2.9%
Max Positive6.5%9.4%14.4%
Max Negative-9.4%-7.9%-10.0%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
6/24/2026-1.7%0.3% 
3/25/20263.0%1.7%0.4%
12/19/2025-1.7%-0.0%-6.2%
9/30/2025-1.4%-3.2%-3.5%
6/25/2025-9.4%-3.2%-2.1%
3/26/20254.2%7.3%0.1%
12/19/20241.4%5.0%6.6%
10/1/20244.9%2.4%5.7%
6/26/2024-6.1%-5.3%-0.8%
4/2/20240.4%1.8%-2.3%
12/21/2023-7.0%-6.5%-3.9%
9/27/20233.4%1.3%-0.5%
6/29/2023-1.2%2.7%14.3%
3/29/20236.5%0.8%-1.0%
12/22/2022-2.3%1.5%3.4%
9/28/20223.6%1.8%1.8%
6/29/2022-4.2%-2.4%7.0%
3/30/20223.3%5.1%-0.1%
12/22/20215.5%8.7%-6.1%
9/30/20214.3%9.4%14.4%
6/25/20211.3%4.0%8.1%
4/6/2021-4.9%-4.5%0.4%
12/23/2020-2.3%-4.6%-10.0%
10/6/2020-2.5%1.9%7.1%
7/7/2020-4.9%-7.9%-5.8%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121612
# Negative13912
Median Positive3.5%2.2%6.1%
Median Negative-2.5%-4.5%-2.9%
Max Positive6.5%9.4%14.4%
Max Negative-9.4%-7.9%-10.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
02/28/202603/26/202610-Q
11/30/202512/22/202510-Q
08/31/202509/30/202510-Q
05/31/202507/11/202510-K
02/28/202503/26/202510-Q
11/30/202412/19/202410-Q
08/31/202410/01/202410-Q
05/31/202407/11/202410-K
02/29/202404/02/202410-Q
11/30/202312/21/202310-Q
08/31/202309/28/202310-Q
05/31/202307/14/202310-K
02/28/202303/30/202310-Q
11/30/202212/22/202210-Q
08/31/202209/29/202210-Q
05/31/202207/15/202210-K
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
02/28/202603/26/202610-Q
11/30/202512/22/202510-Q
08/31/202509/30/202510-Q
05/31/202507/11/202510-K
02/28/202503/26/202510-Q
11/30/202412/19/202410-Q
08/31/202410/01/202410-Q
05/31/202407/11/202410-K
02/29/202404/02/202410-Q
11/30/202312/21/202310-Q
08/31/202309/28/202310-Q
05/31/202307/14/202310-K
02/28/202303/30/202310-Q
11/30/202212/22/202210-Q
08/31/202209/29/202210-Q
05/31/202207/15/202210-K
02/28/202203/31/202210-Q
11/30/202112/22/202110-Q
08/31/202110/01/202110-Q
05/31/202107/16/202110-K
02/28/202104/07/202110-Q
11/30/202012/23/202010-Q
08/31/202010/09/202010-Q
05/31/202007/17/202010-K
02/29/202003/27/202010-Q
11/30/201912/20/201910-Q
08/31/201910/04/201910-Q
05/31/201907/24/201910-K

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 6/25/2026

Latest: Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 6/24/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2027 Total Revenue Growth5.0%5.5%6.0%  Higher New
2027 Management Solutions Revenue Growth5.0%5.5%6.0%  Higher New
2027 PEO and Insurance Solutions Revenue Growth6.0%6.5%7.0%  Higher New
2027 Interest on funds held for clients195.00 Mil200.00 Mil205.00 Mil-2.4% LoweredGuidance: 205.00 Mil for 2026
2027 Adjusted operating margin 44.0%   Higher New
2027 Effective income tax rate 24.0%   Higher New
2027 Adjusted diluted earnings per share growth7.0%8.0%9.0%  Higher New

Prior: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 3/25/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Interest on funds held for clients200.00 Mil205.00 Mil210.00 Mil   

Insider Activity

Updated 7/2/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Tucci, Joseph M DirectSell630202698.253,907383,8636,618,513Form
2Roaldsen, ElizabethSr. Vice PresidentDirectSell515202690.0045941,310840,150Form
3Doody, Joseph Margaret Weiss Doody Revocable Living TrustBuy205202698.761,00098,76098,760Form
4Bonadio, Tom DirectBuy205202698.501,00098,4982,118,101Form
5Simmons, Christopher CVP, Controller & TreasurerDirectSell7172025140.981,843259,826806,829Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Tucci, Joseph M DirectSell630202698.253,907383,8636,618,513Form
2Roaldsen, ElizabethSr. Vice PresidentDirectSell515202690.0045941,310840,150Form
3Doody, Joseph Margaret Weiss Doody Revocable Living TrustBuy205202698.761,00098,76098,760Form
4Bonadio, Tom DirectBuy205202698.501,00098,4982,118,101Form
5Simmons, Christopher CVP, Controller & TreasurerDirectSell7172025140.981,843259,826806,829Form
6Schrader, Robert LSr. VP, CFODirectSell7172025140.633,160444,3912,711,487Form
7Gibson, John BPresident and CEODirectSell7172025141.9212,3701,755,55011,602,670Form
8Mucci, Martin DirectSell7112025145.1797,52614,157,84964,878,989Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/1/2026