Allegion (ALLE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $164.04 | Market Cap: $14.1 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Building Products
Allegion (ALLE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $164.04Market Cap: $14.1 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Building Products
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -21% | |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Cybersecurity. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Building Management Systems, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Cybersecurity. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Building Management Systems, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -21% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ALLE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Allegion (ALLE) experienced a stock decline of more than 5% between August 31, 2025, and December 5, 2025, with a notable drop from its all-time high in late October to early December. Several factors, despite generally strong Q3 2025 earnings, contributed to this downward pressure.
1. Slight Decrease in Adjusted Operating Margin
Allegion's adjusted operating margin for the third quarter of 2025 was 24.1%, a marginal decrease from 24.2% in the third quarter of 2024. This reduction was primarily due to a headwind from a prior year comparable in corporate expenses, even though both business segments experienced margin expansion.
2. Soft Residential Market Demand
Demand within the residential market remained soft, adversely affecting overall growth in that segment. Allegion's management did not anticipate mid-single-digit growth in the residential market for the fourth quarter of 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ALLE Return | -5% | 15% | -19% | 22% | 5% | 24% | 40% |
| Peers Return | 20% | 33% | -25% | 28% | 18% | 8% | 97% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ALLE Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 33% | 42% | 58% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 55% | 35% | 55% | 52% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ALLE Max Drawdown | -37% | -8% | -32% | -7% | -9% | -9% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -51% | -3% | -42% | -13% | -8% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SWK, REZI, NSSC, EML, TT. See ALLE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ALLE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -39.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 66.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 748 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 409 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -19.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 51 days | 120 days |
Compare to SWK, REZI, NSSC, EML, TT
In The Past
Allegion's stock fell -39.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/3/2021. A -39.9% loss requires a 66.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ALLE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.5% | 9.5% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 06302022 | ALLE | Allegion | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.9% | 24.6% | -8.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.5% | 9.5% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 06302022 | ALLE | Allegion | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.9% | 24.6% | -8.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Allegion
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 56.57 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.0 |
| Rev LTM | 5,707 |
| Op Inc LTM | 730 |
| FCF LTM | 211 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 314 |
| CFO LTM | 374 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 358 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.0 |
| P/S | 2.3 |
| P/EBIT | 15.9 |
| P/E | 24.7 |
| P/CFO | 18.1 |
| Total Yield | 4.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -4.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 15.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -0.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 56.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -5.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -10.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -0.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -12.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -15.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10232025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7242025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4242025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2182025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10242024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7242024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4252024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2202024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10312023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7262023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4262023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4262022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2152022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |