Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -21%
 
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Cybersecurity. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Building Management Systems, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Cybersecurity. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Building Management Systems, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -21%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ALLE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Allegion (ALLE) experienced a stock decline of more than 5% between August 31, 2025, and December 5, 2025, with a notable drop from its all-time high in late October to early December. Several factors, despite generally strong Q3 2025 earnings, contributed to this downward pressure.

1. Slight Decrease in Adjusted Operating Margin Allegion's adjusted operating margin for the third quarter of 2025 was 24.1%, a marginal decrease from 24.2% in the third quarter of 2024. This reduction was primarily due to a headwind from a prior year comparable in corporate expenses, even though both business segments experienced margin expansion.

2. Soft Residential Market Demand Demand within the residential market remained soft, adversely affecting overall growth in that segment. Allegion's management did not anticipate mid-single-digit growth in the residential market for the fourth quarter of 2025.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ALLE Return-5%15%-19%22%5%24%40%
Peers Return20%33%-25%28%18%8%97%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALLE Win Rate50%50%33%42%58%80% 
Peers Win Rate60%55%35%55%52%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALLE Max Drawdown-37%-8%-32%-7%-9%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-51%-3%-42%-13%-8%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SWK, REZI, NSSC, EML, TT. See ALLE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventALLES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-39.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven66.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven748 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven409 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-19.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven23.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven51 days120 days

Compare to SWK, REZI, NSSC, EML, TT


In The Past

Allegion's stock fell -39.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/3/2021. A -39.9% loss requires a 66.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Allegion (ALLE)

Better Bets than Allegion (ALLE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ALLE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
ALLE_6302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy06302022ALLEAllegionDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%24.6%-8.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
ALLE_6302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy06302022ALLEAllegionDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%24.6%-8.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Allegion

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ALLESWKREZINSSCEMLTTMedian
NameAllegion Stanley .Resideo .NAPCO Se.Eastern Trane Te. 
Mkt Price160.8572.2134.2740.9319.56405.2756.57
Mkt Cap13.810.95.11.50.190.28.0
Rev LTM3,98015,1667,43518725521,0515,707
Op Inc LTM8341,12462548113,956730
FCF LTM680370-1,33452132,533211
FCF 3Y Avg585644-24344152,431314
CFO LTM763695-1,23353172,936374
CFO 3Y Avg671988-13846212,777358

Growth & Margins

ALLESWKREZINSSCEMLTTMedian
NameAllegion Stanley .Resideo .NAPCO Se.Eastern Trane Te. 
Rev Chg LTM6.9%-1.4%15.5%-2.3%-6.2%8.6%2.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.6%-3.6%6.1%7.3%-1.8%10.8%6.7%
Rev Chg Q10.7%0.1%2.0%11.7%-22.4%5.5%3.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.7%0.0%0.5%2.8%-5.9%1.5%1.0%
Op Mgn LTM21.0%7.4%8.4%25.7%4.3%18.8%13.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg20.4%5.8%8.8%25.4%5.5%17.4%13.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%0.4%-0.0%0.3%-1.6%0.4%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM19.2%4.6%-16.6%28.4%6.6%13.9%10.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg17.7%6.4%-1.2%24.9%7.9%14.4%11.2%
FCF/Rev LTM17.1%2.4%-17.9%27.6%5.1%12.0%8.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg15.4%4.1%-2.8%23.7%5.6%12.6%9.1%

Valuation

ALLESWKREZINSSCEMLTTMedian
NameAllegion Stanley .Resideo .NAPCO Se.Eastern Trane Te. 
Mkt Cap13.810.95.11.50.190.28.0
P/S3.80.70.98.20.64.52.3
P/EBIT18.013.8-14.131.913.724.015.9
P/E23.825.6-10.134.519.932.124.7
P/CFO20.016.2-5.228.88.632.118.1
Total Yield5.3%8.3%-9.9%4.1%7.0%4.0%4.7%
Dividend Yield1.1%4.4%0.0%1.2%1.9%0.9%1.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.8%4.7%0.5%3.5%11.6%3.4%4.1%
D/E0.10.60.50.00.40.00.3
Net D/E0.10.60.4-0.10.30.00.2

Returns

ALLESWKREZINSSCEMLTTMedian
NameAllegion Stanley .Resideo .NAPCO Se.Eastern Trane Te. 
1M Rtn-2.8%9.6%-17.3%-1.0%-6.7%-6.4%-4.6%
3M Rtn-5.5%-2.3%-2.5%4.6%-18.4%-1.7%-2.4%
6M Rtn17.1%12.9%63.9%43.9%-11.0%-5.5%15.0%
12M Rtn15.7%-12.1%24.3%2.0%-31.8%-2.0%-0.0%
3Y Rtn51.6%3.4%117.7%62.1%-8.7%138.0%56.8%
1M Excs Rtn-4.1%8.4%-18.5%-2.3%-8.0%-7.7%-5.9%
3M Excs Rtn-11.9%-12.6%-9.9%-2.2%-23.8%-7.9%-10.9%
6M Excs Rtn1.7%-2.6%48.4%28.4%-26.7%-21.0%-0.4%
12M Excs Rtn2.8%-28.5%11.2%-9.2%-46.6%-14.8%-12.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-21.4%-71.3%43.0%-9.9%-81.8%66.8%-15.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Mechanical Products2,4362,3022,0452,1462,247
Electronic products965858788  
Services and software25011234  
All other   574607
Total3,6513,2722,8672,7202,854


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,576,918
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-0.5%
Average Daily Volume664,984
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.88
Basic Shares Quantity85,900,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251023202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241024202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024724202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023726202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022426202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021215202210-K 12/31/2021