Tearsheet

Joby Aviation (JOBY)


Market Price (11/17/2025): $14.08 | Market Cap: $11.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Airport Services

Joby Aviation (JOBY)


Market Price (11/17/2025): $14.08
Market Cap: $11.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Airport Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1935%
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -663 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2927%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -99%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 537x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility.
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 151%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2108%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2353%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1935%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -99%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility.
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -663 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2927%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 537x
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 151%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2108%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2353%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

JOBY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Between July 31, 2025, and November 15, 2025, Joby Aviation (JOBY) experienced a -13.5% movement in its stock, influenced by several key factors:

1. Joby Aviation’s Q2 2025 results reported a wider-than-expected loss, contributing to a significant stock pullback in August. The company's valuation was also pressured by broader macroeconomic concerns and trends in the AI sector, with sell-offs continuing into September.

2. The company reported a larger net loss in its Third Quarter 2025 financial results. Joby Aviation posted a net loss of $401 million and an earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.48, which missed analyst forecasts by 140%, despite exceeding revenue expectations.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
JOBY Return--37%-54%99%22%77%25%
Peers Return-0%-3%-18%19%-13%12%-7%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
JOBY Win Rate100%33%42%50%42%70% 
Peers Win Rate58%37%35%40%32%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
JOBY Max Drawdown--45%-56%-1%-32%-34% 
Peers Max Drawdown-16%-29%-35%-25%-32%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SRTA, JOBY, CAAP, UP, ASLE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventJOBYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-79.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven393.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven932 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-4.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven13 days148 days

Compare to SRTA, JOBY, CAAP, UP, ASLE


In The Past

Joby Aviation's stock fell -79.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2021. A -79.7% loss requires a 393.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Joby Aviation (JOBY)

Better Bets than Joby Aviation (JOBY)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to JOBY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.3%-10.3%-14.1%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-10.2%-10.2%-17.5%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-3.4%-3.4%-4.8%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.1%-7.1%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-4.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.3%-10.3%-14.1%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-10.2%-10.2%-17.5%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-3.4%-3.4%-4.8%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.1%-7.1%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-4.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Joby Aviation

Financials

JOBYSRTACAAPUPASLEMedian
NameJoby Avi.Strata C.Corporac.Wheels U.AerSale  
Mkt Price14.414.7923.161.085.975.97
Mkt Cap12.2-3.80.80.32.3
Rev LTM232541,860757339339
Op Inc LTM-663-24422-27214-24
FCF LTM-533-20327-287-18-20
FCF 3Y Avg-434-32372-363-81-81
CFO LTM-4771342-11031
CFO 3Y Avg-387-18384-278-65-65

Growth & Margins

JOBYSRTACAAPUPASLEMedian
NameJoby Avi.Strata C.Corporac.Wheels U.AerSale  
Rev Chg LTM1,934.5%6.7%28.7%-9.1%-1.6%6.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-36.5%25.4%-19.0%-7.0%9.2%
Rev Chg Q80,521.4%4.2%14.6%-4.3%-13.9%4.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM23,006.1%1.1%3.4%-1.1%-3.3%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM-2,926.6%-9.6%22.7%-35.9%4.0%-9.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--22.0%25.3%-31.7%1.6%-10.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM647,806.1%3.0%0.6%-3.5%0.4%0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-2,107.5%0.5%18.4%-14.5%0.9%0.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--8.9%24.1%-23.8%-19.3%-14.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-2,352.7%-7.7%17.6%-37.9%-5.2%-7.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--14.6%23.4%-34.1%-24.1%-19.3%

Valuation

JOBYSRTACAAPUPASLEMedian
NameJoby Avi.Strata C.Corporac.Wheels U.AerSale  
Mkt Cap12.2-3.80.80.32.3
P/S537.4-2.01.00.81.5
P/EBIT-18.4-9.7-2.918.23.4
P/E-11.5-26.7-2.247.912.3
P/CFO-25.5-11.1-6.987.92.1
Total Yield-8.7%-3.7%-46.4%2.1%-3.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%-0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.0%-14.9%-263.1%-15.5%-11.8%
D/E0.0-0.30.60.60.4
Net D/E-0.1-0.10.50.50.3

Returns

JOBYSRTACAAPUPASLEMedian
NameJoby Avi.Strata C.Corporac.Wheels U.AerSale  
1M Rtn-8.0%-4.0%28.2%-29.9%-17.5%-8.0%
3M Rtn-13.3%-8.4%-40.0%-29.8%-21.6%
6M Rtn95.0%-7.9%-33.3%-4.8%1.6%
12M Rtn151.5%-23.1%-46.0%-1.5%10.8%
3Y Rtn243.9%-177.7%-92.6%-62.6%57.6%
1M Excs Rtn-11.9%-7.3%28.5%-31.5%-20.1%-11.9%
3M Excs Rtn-14.7%-3.4%-44.8%-36.8%-25.8%
6M Excs Rtn82.0%--5.1%-46.4%-17.8%-11.5%
12M Excs Rtn115.5%-8.5%-59.3%-6.7%0.9%
3Y Excs Rtn189.8%-122.3%-172.4%-144.8%-11.3%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity56,568,158
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-6.1%
Average Daily Volume47,082,777
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.20
Basic Shares Quantity844,551,006
Short % of Basic Shares6.7%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-4.5%8.7% 
8/6/2025-8.9%-6.0%-28.9%
5/7/20253.6%11.7%26.5%
2/26/20250.7%1.3%-4.0%
11/6/20240.6%16.4%74.4%
8/7/20245.9%1.0%-2.9%
5/7/2024-8.9%0.4%-4.1%
2/21/2024-10.0%-9.2%-13.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive10104
# Negative6612
Median Positive4.9%6.3%32.6%
Median Negative-6.7%-6.4%-8.8%
Max Positive13.1%24.2%74.4%
Max Negative-10.0%-13.9%-30.0%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021328202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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