Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -92%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.7%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
  Key risks
TREX key risks include [1] margin pressure from volatile raw material costs for recycled plastics and wood fibers.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Consumption, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Eco-friendly Products, Show more.
  
0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Consumption, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Eco-friendly Products, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -92%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.7%
5 Key risks
TREX key risks include [1] margin pressure from volatile raw material costs for recycled plastics and wood fibers.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Trex (TREX) stock has lost about 15% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Trex reported disappointing third-quarter 2025 financial results and issued a concerning outlook for future periods.The company's Q3 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $0.51 missed analyst estimates of $0.57, and revenue of $285 million fell short of the anticipated $301.55 million. Furthermore, Trex provided negative commentary on margins for 2026 and revised its full-year 2025 sales guidance to be approximately flat with 2024, a significant reduction from its earlier forecast of 5% to 7% growth.

2. Multiple analyst firms downgraded Trex's stock and significantly reduced their price targets.Following the poor Q3 earnings report and guidance, several prominent financial institutions took a more bearish stance on Trex. BofA Securities downgraded the stock from Buy to Underperform, slashing its price target from $67.00 to $36.00. Similarly, Deutsche Bank downgraded Trex from Buy to Hold, lowering its price target from $92.00 to $40.00, and William Blair moved its rating from Outperform to Market Perform. Stifel also downgraded Trex on November 10, 2025, reducing its price target from $61 to $35.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -13.3% change in TREX stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -18.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120252182026Change
Stock Price ($)48.3241.89-13.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,1291,1814.6%
Net Income Margin (%)16.5%16.8%1.4%
P/E Multiple27.822.7-18.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1071070.0%
Cumulative Contribution-13.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 2/18/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TREX-13.3% 
Market (SPY)0.6%18.4%
Sector (XLI)12.9%26.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The -34.8% change in TREX stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -34.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120252182026Change
Stock Price ($)64.2441.89-34.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,1181,1815.6%
Net Income Margin (%)17.7%16.8%-5.3%
P/E Multiple34.822.7-34.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)107107-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution-34.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 2/18/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TREX-34.8% 
Market (SPY)8.9%23.4%
Sector (XLI)15.6%34.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -42.5% change in TREX stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -31.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120252182026Change
Stock Price ($)72.8341.89-42.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,1801,1810.1%
Net Income Margin (%)20.2%16.8%-17.1%
P/E Multiple33.022.7-31.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1081070.9%
Cumulative Contribution-42.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 2/18/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TREX-42.5% 
Market (SPY)15.0%46.9%
Sector (XLI)27.8%51.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The -20.5% change in TREX stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -22.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120232182026Change
Stock Price ($)52.7241.89-20.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,2181,181-3.0%
Net Income Margin (%)16.4%16.8%2.3%
P/E Multiple29.122.7-22.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1101072.7%
Cumulative Contribution-20.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 2/18/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TREX-20.5% 
Market (SPY)75.1%49.0%
Sector (XLI)79.3%54.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
TREX Return61%-69%96%-17%-49%21%-49%
Peers Return47%-25%48%-9%-22%14%31%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-0%82%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TREX Win Rate58%33%58%50%25%100% 
Peers Win Rate54%38%46%46%42%75% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TREX Max Drawdown-2%-70%0%-29%-56%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-3%-39%-3%-15%-28%0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FBIN, UFPI. See TREX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/18/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTREXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-71.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven251.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven73.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven49 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-39.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven66.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven259 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-80.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven398.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,179 days1,480 days

Compare to FBIN, UFPI

In The Past

Trex's stock fell -71.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/10/2021. A -71.6% loss requires a 251.9% gain to breakeven.

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About Trex (TREX)

Trex Company, Inc. manufactures and distributes decking, railing, and outdoor living products and accessories for residential and commercial markets in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Trex Residential and Trex Commercial. It offers decking products under the names Trex Transcend, Trex Select, and Trex Enhance for protection against fading, staining, mold, and scratching; Trex Hideaway, a hidden fastening system; and Trex DeckLighting, a LED dimmable deck lighting for use on posts, floors, and steps. The company also provides Trex Transcend Railing products that are used in Trex decking products and other decking materials; Trex Select Railing products for a simple clean finished look; Trex Enhance Railing system; and Trex Signature aluminum railing for a contemporary look. In addition, it offers Trex Seclusions, a fencing product that includes structural posts, bottom and top rails, pickets, and decorative post caps. In addition, it designs, engineers, and markets architectural and aluminum railing systems, and staging equipment and accessories for the commercial market, as well as sports stadiums and performing arts venues. Further, the company acts as a licensor in various licensing agreements with third parties to manufacture and sell products under the Trex name, including Trex Outdoor Furniture; Trex RainEscape, an above joist deck drainage system; Trex Pergola, a cellular PVC product; Trex Latticeworks outdoor lattice boards; Trex Cornhole boards; Diablo Trex Blade, a saw blade for wood-alternative composite decking; Trex SpiralStairs and structural steel posts; and Trex Outdoor Kitchens, Cabinetry, and Storage products. It sells its products through wholesale distributors, retail lumber dealers, and Home Depot and Lowe's stores, as well as through its direct sales staff, independent sales representatives, and bidding on projects. Trex Company, Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Winchester, Virginia.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Trex (TREX):

  • Trex is like the Dyson for outdoor living materials, offering innovative, high-performance, and premium alternatives to traditional products.
  • Trex is like the Beyond Meat for lumber products, providing sustainable, engineered alternatives to natural wood.
  • Trex is like the Tesla for decking, disrupting a traditional market with a superior, innovative, and premium material solution.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Composite Decking: Durable, low-maintenance decking boards made from recycled plastic film and reclaimed wood fibers, offering an eco-friendly alternative to wood.
  • Composite Railing: Railing systems designed to complement their decking, made from high-performance composite materials for lasting beauty and minimal upkeep.
  • Deck Lighting: Integrated LED lighting solutions for decks, stairs, and posts, enhancing safety and ambiance for outdoor living spaces.
  • Deck Fasteners: Hidden fastening systems and clips that provide a seamless surface for Trex decking, eliminating visible screws.

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Trex Company (TREX) Major Customers

Trex Company (TREX) primarily sells its wood-alternative decking and railing products to other businesses (B2B) through a multi-channel distribution network. Its products are ultimately purchased by homeowners and professional contractors for residential and commercial applications.

Based on its financial filings, the following are identified as major direct customers due to their significant contribution to Trex's consolidated gross sales:

  • The Home Depot (NYSE: HD) - represented approximately 12% of Trex's consolidated gross sales for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023.
  • Lowe's Companies, Inc. (NYSE: LOW) - represented approximately 12% of Trex's consolidated gross sales for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023.

Beyond these national retailers, Trex also sells its products through a global network of wholesale distributors. These distributors, in turn, supply independent lumberyards and dealers who then sell to homeowners and professional contractors. While no single wholesale distributor is individually named in Trex's public filings as accounting for a significant percentage of sales comparable to The Home Depot or Lowe's, these distributors and dealers collectively represent a crucial component of Trex's B2B customer base and distribution strategy.

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Bryan H. Fairbanks President and Chief Executive Officer

Joined Trex in 2004, and has served as President and CEO since April 2020. Prior to his CEO role, he was the Chief Financial Officer of Trex from August 2015. Before joining Trex, Mr. Fairbanks spent 10 years in various senior finance roles at Ford Motor Company.

Prithvi S. Gandhi Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Appointed as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer effective October 6, 2025. He brings over 25 years of financial leadership experience across building products, manufacturing, basic materials, and information technology sectors. Before joining Trex, Mr. Gandhi served as Executive Vice President and CFO of Beacon Roofing Supply. His previous experience also includes serving as Vice President and CFO of TAMKO Building Products, LLC, and multiple senior finance roles at Owens Corning, including Interim CFO from 2019-2020.

James E. Cline Chairman

Currently serves as Chairman. Mr. Cline was President and Chief Executive Officer of Trex from August 2015 to April 2020. Prior to that, he served as the Chief Financial Officer of Trex from March 2008 to August 2015. Before joining Trex, he was President of Harsco GasServ, a subsidiary of Harsco Corporation, and also held various capacities with Huffy Corporation, including Director of Finance of its True Temper Hardware subsidiary. In connection with the purchase of Harsco GasServ by Taylor-Wharton International LLC (owned by Windpoint Partners Company, a private equity firm), Mr. Cline served as a consultant to the buyers, providing transition management and financial services.

Ronald W. Kaplan Vice Chairman

Currently serves as Vice Chairman, a position he assumed effective April 29, 2020. He was Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer of Trex from May 2010 to August 2015, and President and CEO from January 2008 to May 2010. Mr. Kaplan is recognized as a turnaround expert, having led a strategic turnaround at Trex after joining in 2008. Prior to Trex, he served as CEO of Continental Global Group, Inc. For 26 years, he held various financial and operating capacities at Harsco Corporation, including Senior Vice President-Operations and President of its Gas Technologies Group.

Adam D. Zambanini Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

Currently serves as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer at Trex, a position he has held since 2023. He joined Trex in September 2005 and has held several key positions including President of Residential Products (since July 2018) and Vice President of Marketing (from January 2011 to July 2018). Before joining Trex, Mr. Zambanini was employed by Rubbermaid Commercial Products from January 2000 to September 2005, where he held roles such as Product Manager and Market Development Leader. His career began as a Project Engineer at Flambeau Inc.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Trex's business:
  1. Sensitivity to General Economic Conditions and Housing Market: Trex's business is highly dependent on the overall health of the economy, consumer confidence, and activity in the home improvement and new home construction markets. A weak housing market, characterized by elevated mortgage rates, high home prices, and lower inventory, directly impacts demand for Trex's decking and railing products, leading to potential declines in sales and squeezed margins. Recent periods have shown that macroeconomic pressures and a softer housing market can significantly challenge the company, affecting its revenue and sales outlook.
  2. Raw Material Cost Fluctuations and Margin Pressure: As a manufacturer of composite decking, Trex is exposed to the volatility in prices of its primary raw materials, specifically recycled plastics and wood fibers. Significant increases in these input costs can lead to higher production expenses and exert pressure on the company's profit margins, impacting overall profitability.
  3. Intensifying Competition: The composite decking industry is competitive, with a landscape that includes established players and new entrants. This competitive environment necessitates continuous innovation, strong differentiation strategies, and potentially increased marketing and branding expenses to maintain and expand market share, which could further impact margins. Trex must actively compete for wholesale distributors and dealers to ensure its products reach the market effectively.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Trex Company (symbol: TREX) operates in the outdoor living products market, primarily manufacturing wood-alternative composite decking, residential railing, and other outdoor items. Trex has identified a total addressable market of approximately $13.7 billion, which encompasses decking, railing, and adjacent product categories. This market size is primarily for the U.S. and Canadian regions.

The breakdown of this addressable market is as follows:

  • Decking: $8.0 billion
  • Railing: $3.3 billion
  • Adjacencies: $2.4 billion (includes products such as fascia, cladding, fencing, fasteners, outdoor lighting, outdoor furniture, deck drainage systems, and pergolas)

For context, the U.S. composite decking market alone was valued at $4.596.95 million in 2021 and is projected to reach $12,220.72 million by 2030, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.00% during the forecast period. North America is a dominant region in the composite decks and railing market, holding approximately 60% of the global market share.

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Trex Company (TREX) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key initiatives and market trends:

  1. New Product Innovation and Launches: Trex consistently highlights new product introductions as a significant growth driver, with recently launched products contributing substantially to sales. The company plans further new product launches, including decking colors and features designed to expand market penetration, such as the popular SunComfort heat-mitigating technology.
  2. Conversion from Wood to Composite Decking: A core strategy for Trex is to capitalize on the ongoing conversion from traditional wood decking to composite alternatives. Trex positions its products as economically and environmentally advantageous over wood, with the broader composite decking market projected for sustained growth.
  3. Expansion in the Railing Segment: Trex's railing segment has demonstrated robust growth, with year-to-date sales tracking double-digit increases. The company is strategically focused on increasing its share of the residential railing market, aiming to double its current approximate 6% market share to 12% over the next five years.
  4. Increased Manufacturing Capacity and Operational Efficiency: The expansion of Trex's Arkansas manufacturing facility is a critical component of its future growth strategy. Once fully operational, expected by the first half of 2027, this facility will approximately double Trex's total manufacturing capacity, enabling it to meet projected demand and support higher sales volumes.
  5. Market Share Expansion through Branding and Marketing: Despite a challenging market, Trex plans to maintain elevated selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses with an emphasis on branding and marketing. This sustained investment is intended to drive future demand, enhance brand awareness, and maintain market leadership by increasing consumer purchase intent and lead generation.

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Share Repurchases

  • On May 4, 2023, Trex's Board of Directors adopted a stock repurchase program allowing for the repurchase of up to 10.8 million shares of outstanding common stock, with no set expiration date.
  • In 2024, the company repurchased 1,580,640 shares of common stock, returning $100 million to shareholders through these repurchases.
  • In the third quarter of 2024, Trex repurchased 822,400 shares for $50 million, with 9.7 million shares remaining under the existing repurchase authority as of August 19, 2024.

Share Issuance

  • As of September 30, 2025, Trex had 141,198,437 shares of common stock issued, with 107,254,491 shares outstanding.

Outbound Investments

  • On December 30, 2022, Trex sold substantially all of the assets of its wholly-owned subsidiary, Trex Commercial Products, Inc., as part of a restructuring of its reportable segments.

Capital Expenditures

  • In October 2021, Trex announced plans to develop a third U.S. manufacturing facility in Little Rock, Arkansas, for its residential products, with construction starting in Q2 2022 and an anticipated total spending of approximately $400 million on the facility.
  • In 2024, the company spent $232.3 million on capital expenditures, primarily allocated to the construction of the Arkansas facility ($174.8 million) and capacity expansion at its Virginia facilities ($14.7 million).
  • Trex expects capital expenditures to be approximately $200 million for 2025, mainly for the development of the new Arkansas campus, including a warehouse facility.

Better Bets vs. Trex (TREX)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to TREX.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
FBIN_1302026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01302026FBINFortune Brands InnovationsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.1%-5.1%-5.1%
PAYC_1302026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01302026PAYCPaycom SoftwareDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.0%-7.0%-11.9%
HTZ_1302026_Short_Squeeze01302026HTZHertz GlobalSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
2.9%2.9%0.0%
PAYX_1232026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy01232026PAYXPaychexDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-11.5%-11.5%-13.3%
CPRT_1022026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy01022026CPRTCopartDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.7%-0.7%-2.8%
TREX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025TREXTrexDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
29.8%29.8%-8.6%
TREX_6302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302022TREXTrexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-21.5%20.5%-26.5%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TREXFBINUFPIMedian
NameTrex Fortune .UFP Indu. 
Mkt Price41.8953.85111.3853.85
Mkt Cap4.56.56.36.3
Rev LTM1,1814,4906,4534,490
Op Inc LTM270663396396
FCF LTM10395272272
FCF 3Y Avg46554541541
CFO LTM284543544543
CFO 3Y Avg266757767757

Growth & Margins

TREXFBINUFPIMedian
NameTrex Fortune .UFP Indu. 
Rev Chg LTM0.1%-3.8%-3.9%-3.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.7%22.7%-12.5%-0.7%
Rev Chg Q22.1%-0.5%-5.4%-0.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.6%-0.1%-1.4%-0.1%
Op Mgn LTM22.9%14.8%6.1%14.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg25.1%15.4%7.8%15.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%-0.6%-0.3%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM24.1%12.1%8.4%12.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg23.1%16.5%10.9%16.5%
FCF/Rev LTM0.9%8.8%4.2%4.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.1%12.1%7.6%7.6%

Valuation

TREXFBINUFPIMedian
NameTrex Fortune .UFP Indu. 
Mkt Cap4.56.56.36.3
P/S3.81.41.01.4
P/EBIT16.611.514.414.4
P/E22.719.719.419.7
P/CFO15.811.911.511.9
Total Yield4.4%6.9%6.5%6.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.9%1.3%1.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.6%6.8%8.1%6.8%
D/E0.00.40.10.1
Net D/E0.00.4-0.10.0

Returns

TREXFBINUFPIMedian
NameTrex Fortune .UFP Indu. 
1M Rtn-4.2%-12.5%3.2%-4.2%
3M Rtn36.1%21.5%26.1%26.1%
6M Rtn-32.2%-5.8%12.4%-5.8%
12M Rtn-37.3%-19.7%-1.3%-19.7%
3Y Rtn-22.1%-12.4%33.0%-12.4%
1M Excs Rtn-3.4%-11.7%4.1%-3.4%
3M Excs Rtn29.7%10.6%21.4%21.4%
6M Excs Rtn-40.1%-14.3%4.7%-14.3%
12M Excs Rtn-50.3%-33.0%-15.5%-33.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-93.2%-79.4%-45.7%-79.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Trex Residential1,0951,0601,139828694
Trex Commercial 47585351
Total1,0951,1061,197881745


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Trex Residential205201247171143
Trex Commercial -16-3842
Total205185209176145


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Trex Residential933934881677504
Trex Commercial 0399488
Total933934920770592


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$41.89 
Market Cap ($ Bil)4.5 
First Trading Date04/08/1999 
Distance from 52W High-38.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$39.42$50.53
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA6.3%-17.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility34.4%52.9%
Downside Capture1.35145.01
Upside Capture174.3278.56
Correlation (SPY)48.9%46.7%
TREX Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.711.501.151.261.291.45
Up Beta4.184.553.002.691.501.55
Down Beta1.921.521.601.301.031.13
Up Capture262%171%-24%-3%73%242%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days12213056115382
Down Capture-104%1%71%141%132%111%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days8203169135366

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TREX
TREX-36.2%52.9%-0.64-
Sector ETF (XLI)28.7%19.2%1.1951.1%
Equity (SPY)13.6%19.4%0.5346.6%
Gold (GLD)73.5%25.5%2.13-0.7%
Commodities (DBC)7.9%17.0%0.2812.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)7.1%16.7%0.2448.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-31.1%44.9%-0.6920.3%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TREX
TREX-15.8%47.0%-0.20-
Sector ETF (XLI)16.0%17.2%0.7556.4%
Equity (SPY)13.5%17.0%0.6356.6%
Gold (GLD)21.7%17.1%1.046.9%
Commodities (DBC)10.8%19.0%0.456.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.9%18.8%0.1750.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)8.4%57.2%0.3726.7%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TREX
TREX26.1%56.4%0.61-
Sector ETF (XLI)15.4%19.8%0.6842.5%
Equity (SPY)15.9%17.9%0.7644.9%
Gold (GLD)15.0%15.6%0.805.5%
Commodities (DBC)8.6%17.6%0.4010.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.9%20.7%0.3037.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)68.0%66.7%1.0712.8%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8.1 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 11520264.4%
Average Daily Volume1.7 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity107.2 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares7.6%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/2025-31.1%-30.3%-26.7%
8/4/20252.3%-8.8%-7.1%
5/8/2025-0.9%3.0%-2.1%
2/24/20251.2%-3.4%0.6%
10/28/20246.2%6.1%13.0%
8/6/2024-21.5%-19.8%-20.5%
5/9/2024-6.5%-5.1%-12.8%
2/26/2024-1.8%1.2%3.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111112
# Negative131312
Median Positive5.3%6.6%13.2%
Median Negative-6.5%-6.3%-12.7%
Max Positive14.7%17.5%115.5%
Max Negative-31.1%-30.3%-26.7%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/04/202510-Q
06/30/202508/04/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/24/202510-K
09/30/202410/28/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202302/26/202410-K
09/30/202310/30/202310-Q
06/30/202307/31/202310-Q
03/31/202305/08/202310-Q
12/31/202202/27/202310-K
09/30/202210/31/202210-Q
06/30/202208/08/202210-Q
03/31/202205/09/202210-Q
12/31/202102/28/202210-K

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Gandhi, PrithviSVP, Chief Financial OfficerDirectBuy1117202531.9215,000478,840978,878Form
2Rudolph, Jacob TSVP, CHRODirectBuy1014202543.92592,5911,214,476Form
3Fernandez, Amy MSVP, CLO and SecretaryDirectSell807202564.181,53898,7111,473,163Form
4Rudolph, Jacob TSVP, CHRODirectBuy707202546.22663,0511,275,348Form
5Rudolph, Jacob TSVP, CHRODirectSell516202560.271,50090,4101,659,143Form