Tearsheet

Howmet Aerospace (HWM)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $191.22 | Market Cap: $77.3 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Howmet Aerospace (HWM)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $191.22
Market Cap: $77.3 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 10x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 44x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 56x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 57x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
Key risks
HWM key risks include [1] a heavy dependence on major aerospace clients like Boeing and Airbus, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Advanced Air Mobility, Show more.
 
0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Advanced Air Mobility, Show more.
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 10x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 44x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 56x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 57x
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3%
6 Key risks
HWM key risks include [1] a heavy dependence on major aerospace clients like Boeing and Airbus, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HWM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the stock movement for Howmet Aerospace (HWM) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: **1. Strong Third-Quarter 2025 Financial Performance.** Howmet Aerospace reported robust third-quarter 2025 results, with adjusted earnings per share of $0.95 and revenue of $2.09 billion, both surpassing analyst expectations. This performance was largely driven by significant growth in its commercial aerospace and defense aerospace segments. **2. Upbeat Future Guidance.** The company raised its full-year 2025 guidance for earnings per share (EPS) and revenue, projecting it above consensus estimates. Additionally, Howmet Aerospace provided an initial positive revenue guidance for 2026, anticipating approximately 10% growth. **3. Resilient Commercial Aerospace Market Demand.** Continued strong demand within the commercial aerospace market was a significant factor, supported by increasing OEM production rates and sustained healthy demand for engine spare parts. This trend contributed to accelerated revenue growth for the company. **4. Strategic Share Repurchases and Dividend Increase.** Howmet Aerospace demonstrated confidence in its financial position by repurchasing $200 million of its common stock in the third quarter of 2025. The company also increased its quarterly common stock dividend by 20% to $0.12 per share. **5. Debt Reduction Initiatives.** The company further strengthened its balance sheet by paying down the remaining $63 million of its USD Term Loan in the third quarter of 2025, leading to annualized interest expense savings.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HWM Return21%12%24%38%103%79%739%
Peers Return-6%8%27%62%59%57%419%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HWM Win Rate58%33%58%67%67%58% 
Peers Win Rate52%50%52%63%65%70% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HWM Max Drawdown-61%-17%-4%-2%-3%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-60%-11%-13%-2%-8%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TDG, PH, ATI, CW, CRS. See HWM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHWMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-23.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven30.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven77 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-64.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven184.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven262 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven130 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-89.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven807.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven5,724 days1,480 days

Compare to BA, LMT, AXON, TXT, HII


In The Past

Howmet Aerospace's stock fell -23.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2021. A -23.3% loss requires a 30.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Howmet Aerospace (HWM)

Better Bets than Howmet Aerospace (HWM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HWM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
HWM_5312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312020HWMHowmet AerospaceDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
88.1%171.3%-0.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
HWM_5312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312020HWMHowmet AerospaceDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
88.1%171.3%-0.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Howmet Aerospace

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HWMTDGPHATICWCRSMedian
NameHowmet A.TransDigmParker H.ATI Curtiss-.Carpente. 
Mkt Price191.191,261.64863.19107.89533.58316.45425.01
Mkt Cap77.276.7109.214.820.015.948.3
Rev LTM7,7218,83020,0304,5833,3762,8936,152
Op Inc LTM1,8544,1884,1376316185611,242
FCF LTM1,0181,8163,385444517269767
FCF 3Y Avg8571,6443,081153469162663
CFO LTM1,4232,0383,8146795924391,051
CFO 3Y Avg1,1391,8193,488372525282832

Growth & Margins

HWMTDGPHATICWCRSMedian
NameHowmet A.TransDigmParker H.ATI Curtiss-.Carpente. 
Rev Chg LTM8.9%11.2%0.2%7.7%9.5%2.4%8.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg13.5%17.7%7.4%8.6%11.1%14.6%12.3%
Rev Chg Q9.2%11.5%3.7%7.1%8.8%2.2%7.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.3%2.9%0.9%1.6%2.1%0.6%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM24.0%47.4%20.7%13.8%18.3%19.4%20.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg20.5%45.6%19.1%12.4%17.6%13.6%18.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.8%1.1%0.2%0.2%0.2%1.1%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM18.4%23.1%19.0%14.8%17.5%15.2%18.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg16.0%23.2%17.5%8.4%16.9%9.9%16.5%
FCF/Rev LTM13.2%20.6%16.9%9.7%15.3%9.3%14.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg12.1%21.0%15.5%3.3%15.2%5.7%13.6%

Valuation

HWMTDGPHATICWCRSMedian
NameHowmet A.TransDigmParker H.ATI Curtiss-.Carpente. 
Mkt Cap77.276.7109.214.820.015.948.3
P/S10.38.74.82.46.04.35.4
P/EBIT43.5-20.516.131.821.521.5
P/E56.737.026.325.143.729.733.4
P/CFO55.737.625.116.434.328.031.2
Total Yield1.8%15.3%4.7%4.0%2.4%3.7%3.8%
Dividend Yield0.1%12.6%0.9%0.0%0.1%0.3%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.2%-4.3%0.9%4.0%1.7%2.2%
D/E0.0-0.10.20.10.10.1
Net D/E0.0-0.10.10.00.00.0

Returns

HWMTDGPHATICWCRSMedian
NameHowmet A.TransDigmParker H.ATI Curtiss-.Carpente. 
1M Rtn-4.5%-5.5%5.1%9.3%-1.8%-4.7%-3.2%
3M Rtn3.2%-1.1%17.1%37.5%7.3%29.9%12.2%
6M Rtn12.5%-4.7%32.9%31.3%15.4%26.3%20.8%
12M Rtn71.3%5.8%30.9%95.3%46.7%84.1%59.0%
3Y Rtn406.2%143.7%213.2%267.7%225.6%768.5%246.7%
1M Excs Rtn-5.3%-6.3%4.4%8.5%-2.6%-5.5%-3.9%
3M Excs Rtn-1.6%-3.3%13.1%32.7%2.8%27.0%8.0%
6M Excs Rtn0.1%-17.1%20.6%18.9%3.0%13.9%8.5%
12M Excs Rtn57.9%-4.0%18.7%79.9%34.6%71.4%46.3%
3Y Excs Rtn328.0%70.4%134.1%191.4%148.8%640.6%170.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Engine Products3,2792,7022,2862,4113,331
Fastening Systems1,3491,1171,0441,2451,561
Forged Wheels1,1471,058921679969
Engineered Structures8817967319341,268
Inter-segment sales-16-10-10-12-24
Corporate   2-7
Total6,6405,6634,9725,2597,098


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Engine Products757604440417621
Forged Wheels270238255153253
Fastening Systems232189190247396
Engineered Structures66635473120
Restructuring and other charges-23-56-90-182-582
Corporate expense-99-119-101-82-229
Total1,203919748626579


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Engine Products4,9264,7844,6634,7565,445
Fastening Systems2,7492,6612,6352,7072,810
Engineered Structures1,4151,2731,2801,4441,151
Forged Wheels724701684628629
Cash and cash equivalents6107917201,6101,577
Other125144168122320
Corporate fixed assets, net8391133140135
Deferred income taxes4654184272209
Fair value of derivative contracts06256
Accounts receivable securitization-250-250-250-241-61
Discontinued operations    5,341
Total10,42810,25510,21911,44317,562


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,474,557
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520256.6%
Average Daily Volume2,205,661
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.75
Basic Shares Quantity404,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/2025-0.8%1.4%-2.3%
7/31/2025-6.4%-5.2%-8.3%
5/1/20256.8%13.4%22.7%
2/13/2025-0.0%8.1%-1.2%
11/6/202412.4%11.3%17.6%
7/30/202413.2%4.7%17.1%
5/2/202415.5%21.9%26.8%
2/13/20245.4%7.3%11.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151614
# Negative9810
Median Positive5.4%6.8%12.4%
Median Negative-1.7%-1.5%-3.8%
Max Positive19.0%21.9%35.0%
Max Negative-7.0%-13.2%-12.7%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023213202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022214202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221031202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021214202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0LIN LOLA FELICEEVP, CL&CO and Secretary8062025Sell180.5113,1022,365,07311,399,358Form
1Marchuk Neil EdwardEVP, HR5132025Sell158.5330,0004,756,01720,904,122Form
2PLANT JOHN CExecutive Chairman & CEO5122025Sell156.96650,000102,026,01586,515,863Form