Tearsheet

Howmet Aerospace (HWM)


Market Price (11/16/2025): $202.93 | Market Cap: $82.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Howmet Aerospace (HWM)


Market Price (11/16/2025): $202.93
Market Cap: $82.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.1%, Dist 3Y High is -3.1%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 11x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 45x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 58x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 59x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Advanced Air Mobility, Show more.
  
0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Advanced Air Mobility, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.1%, Dist 3Y High is -3.1%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 11x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 45x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 58x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 59x
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

HWM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Howmet Aerospace (HWM) stock saw a 13.2% increase between July 31, 2025, and today, driven by several key factors: 1. Strong Financial Performance in Q2 and Q3 2025.

Howmet Aerospace reported record-breaking financial results for both the second and third quarters of 2025, consistently exceeding Wall Street's expectations for revenue and earnings per share. On July 31, 2025, the company announced record Q2 performance, surpassing analyst forecasts and raising its full-year 2025 outlook. This positive trend continued with the Q3 2025 earnings report on October 30, 2025, where Howmet Aerospace posted record revenue of $2.09 billion, a 14% year-over-year increase, and net income of $385 million, or $0.95 per share, once again topping consensus estimates and leading to an updated, higher full-year 2025 guidance.

2. Robust Growth Across Key Markets.

The company experienced substantial growth across its primary end markets, significantly contributing to its financial success. Q3 2025 revenue growth was propelled by a 15% increase in the commercial aerospace market, with commercial aerospace part sales rising by 38%, and strong demand for engine spares. The defense aerospace market also showed robust growth, up 24% year-over-year, and the industrial and other markets grew by 18%. This sustained demand across key segments, including the industrial gas turbine market fueled by data center expansion, underpinned investor confidence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HWM Return21%12%24%38%103%86%774%
Peers Return1%19%12%23%16%15%122%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HWM Win Rate58%33%58%67%67%70% 
Peers Win Rate55%55%52%52%52%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HWM Max Drawdown-61%-17%-4%-2%-3%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-45%-8%-24%-10%-19%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BA, LMT, AXON, TXT, HII. See HWM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHWMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-23.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven30.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven77 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-64.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven184.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven262 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven130 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-89.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven807.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven5724 days1480 days

Compare to BA, LMT, AXON, TXT, HII


In The Past

Howmet Aerospace's stock fell -23.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2021. A -23.3% loss requires a 30.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Howmet Aerospace (HWM)

Better Bets than Howmet Aerospace (HWM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HWM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.3%-10.3%-14.1%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-10.2%-10.2%-17.5%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-3.4%-3.4%-4.8%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.1%-7.1%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-4.2%
HWM_5312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312020HWMHowmet AerospaceDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
88.1%171.3%-0.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.3%-10.3%-14.1%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-10.2%-10.2%-17.5%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-3.4%-3.4%-4.8%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.1%-7.1%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-4.2%
HWM_5312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312020HWMHowmet AerospaceDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
88.1%171.3%-0.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Howmet Aerospace

Financials

HWMBALMTAXONTXTHIIMedian
NameHowmet A.Boeing Lockheed.Axon Ent.Textron Huntingt. 
Mkt Price203.29194.52465.77554.3780.72313.97258.63
Mkt Cap82.1147.9108.043.514.312.462.8
Rev LTM7,72180,75773,3492,55814,23711,56912,903
Op Inc LTM1,854-8,4245,997-28897469683
FCF LTM1,018-6,3504,593145695667681
FCF 3Y Avg857-3,0295,634166760456608
CFO LTM1,423-3,7166,3612441,0581,0321,045
CFO 3Y Avg1,139-9767,3862411,140791965

Growth & Margins

HWMBALMTAXONTXTHIIMedian
NameHowmet A.Boeing Lockheed.Axon Ent.Textron Huntingt. 
Rev Chg LTM8.9%10.2%2.9%32.0%1.8%-1.7%5.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg13.5%10.1%4.3%33.7%4.3%4.2%7.2%
Rev Chg Q9.2%30.4%8.8%30.6%5.1%3.5%9.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.3%7.2%2.1%7.0%1.2%0.9%2.2%
Op Mgn LTM24.0%-10.4%8.2%-1.1%6.3%4.1%5.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg20.5%-7.2%11.0%4.8%6.9%5.1%6.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.8%2.0%0.0%-1.0%0.4%-0.2%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM18.4%-4.6%8.7%9.5%7.4%8.9%8.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg16.0%-1.3%10.5%12.4%8.2%6.9%9.3%
FCF/Rev LTM13.2%-7.9%6.3%5.7%4.9%5.8%5.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg12.1%-3.9%8.0%8.7%5.5%4.0%6.7%

Valuation

HWMBALMTAXONTXTHIIMedian
NameHowmet A.Boeing Lockheed.Axon Ent.Textron Huntingt. 
Mkt Cap82.1147.9108.043.514.312.462.8
P/S10.61.81.517.01.01.11.7
P/EBIT45.1-21.418.0183.413.017.117.5
P/E58.8-15.025.7169.117.323.624.6
P/CFO57.7-39.817.0178.013.612.015.3
Total Yield1.8%-6.7%6.0%0.6%5.9%5.5%3.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%2.2%0.0%0.1%1.3%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.2%-2.6%4.8%0.6%4.9%4.5%3.4%
D/E0.00.40.20.00.30.20.2
Net D/E0.00.20.2-0.00.20.20.2

Returns

HWMBALMTAXONTXTHIIMedian
NameHowmet A.Boeing Lockheed.Axon Ent.Textron Huntingt. 
1M Rtn6.1%-8.2%-5.6%-15.0%-1.1%11.1%-3.4%
3M Rtn18.8%-17.3%7.2%-26.5%2.3%18.5%4.8%
6M Rtn25.0%-5.5%0.9%-24.4%5.3%38.0%3.1%
12M Rtn82.0%38.8%-10.5%-7.5%-4.8%66.4%17.0%
3Y Rtn457.1%12.6%8.3%190.2%16.3%50.1%33.2%
1M Excs Rtn4.5%-9.8%-7.2%-16.6%-2.7%9.5%-4.9%
3M Excs Rtn13.1%-20.7%2.1%-34.4%-2.3%13.5%-0.1%
6M Excs Rtn12.0%-18.5%-12.1%-37.4%-7.7%25.0%-9.9%
12M Excs Rtn66.9%21.5%-27.9%-19.4%-19.6%44.9%1.0%
3Y Excs Rtn385.1%-64.4%-75.6%143.0%-61.1%-38.9%-50.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Engine Products3,2792,7022,2862,4113,331
Fastening Systems1,3491,1171,0441,2451,561
Forged Wheels1,1471,058921679969
Engineered Structures8817967319341,268
Inter-segment sales-16-10-10-12-24
Corporate   2-7
Total6,6405,6634,9725,2597,098


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Engine Products757604440417621
Forged Wheels270238255153253
Fastening Systems232189190247396
Engineered Structures66635473120
Restructuring and other charges-23-56-90-182-582
Corporate expense-99-119-101-82-229
Total1,203919748626579


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Engine Products4,9264,7844,6634,7565,445
Fastening Systems2,7492,6612,6352,7072,810
Engineered Structures1,4151,2731,2801,4441,151
Forged Wheels724701684628629
Cash and cash equivalents6107917201,6101,577
Other125144168122320
Corporate fixed assets, net8391133140135
Deferred income taxes4654184272209
Fair value of derivative contracts06256
Accounts receivable securitization-250-250-250-241-61
Discontinued operations    5,341
Total10,42810,25510,21911,44317,562


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,790,135
Short Interest: % Change Since 101520251.4%
Average Daily Volume2,225,454
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.40
Basic Shares Quantity404,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/2025-0.8%1.4% 
7/31/2025-6.4%-5.2%-8.3%
5/1/20256.8%13.4%22.7%
2/13/2025-0.0%8.1%-1.2%
11/6/202412.4%11.3%17.6%
7/30/202413.2%4.7%17.1%
5/2/202415.5%21.9%26.8%
2/13/20245.4%7.3%11.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151614
# Negative9810
Median Positive5.4%6.8%12.4%
Median Negative-1.7%-1.5%-4.1%
Max Positive19.0%21.9%35.0%
Max Negative-7.0%-13.2%-12.7%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023213202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022214202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221031202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021214202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0LIN LOLA FELICEEVP, CL&CO and Secretary8062025Sell180.5113,1022,365,07311,399,358Form
1Marchuk Neil EdwardEVP, HR5132025Sell158.5330,0004,756,01720,904,122Form
2PLANT JOHN CExecutive Chairman & CEO5122025Sell156.96650,000102,026,01586,515,863Form