Tearsheet

Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $149.87 | Market Cap: $20.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Air Freight & Logistics

Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $149.87
Market Cap: $20.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Air Freight & Logistics

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.8%, FCF Yield is 5.2%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.1%, Dist 3Y High is -2.1%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -13%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -31%
Key risks
EXPD key risks include [1] identified material weaknesses in its internal control over financial reporting.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Future of Freight, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Supply Chain Digitization, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.8%, FCF Yield is 5.2%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Future of Freight, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Supply Chain Digitization, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.1%, Dist 3Y High is -2.1%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -31%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -13%
7 Key risks
EXPD key risks include [1] identified material weaknesses in its internal control over financial reporting.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

EXPD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD) experienced a significant upward movement in its stock price, with an increase of approximately 26.91% over the last year leading up to December 2025, and 28.69% over the past 12 months as of December 15, 2025. This strong performance, aligning with the 24.9% movement you highlighted, can be attributed to several key factors:

1. Strong Financial Performance in Q4 2024: The company reported substantial growth in its fourth-quarter 2024 financial results, including a 54% increase in diluted earnings per share to $1.68, a 49% rise in net earnings attributable to shareholders to $236 million, and a 51% increase in operating income to $301 million. Revenues also saw a 30% jump to $3.0 billion, exceeding analyst estimates.

2. Significant Growth in Freight Volumes: Expeditors demonstrated robust operational growth in Q4 2024, with airfreight tonnage increasing by 11% and ocean container volume rising by 14% year-over-year. This was driven by strong demand from Asia, a surge in e-commerce business, and increased demand for technology products.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
EXPD Return23%43%-22%24%-12%37%106%
Peers Return40%17%-24%47%14%12%133%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
EXPD Win Rate58%67%33%58%50%83% 
Peers Win Rate57%53%48%65%48%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
EXPD Max Drawdown-30%-6%-35%0%-12%-7% 
Peers Max Drawdown-36%-9%-33%-9%-16%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: UPS, FDX, CHRW, XPO, RLGT. See EXPD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventEXPDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-36.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,135 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-32.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven48.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven131 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-19.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven23.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven99 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-55.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven122.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven632 days1,480 days

Compare to FDX, CHRW, JBHT, FWRD, ELOG


In The Past

Expeditors International of Washington's stock fell -36.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/16/2021. A -36.0% loss requires a 56.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD)

Better Bets than Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to EXPD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
EXPD_9302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302022EXPDExpeditors International of WashingtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
25.4%31.4%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
EXPD_9302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302022EXPDExpeditors International of WashingtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
25.4%31.4%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Expeditors International of Washington

Peers to compare with:

Financials

EXPDUPSFDXCHRWXPORLGTMedian
NameExpedito.United P.FedEx C.H. Rob.XPO Radiant . 
Mkt Price149.75100.96282.21160.10145.106.69147.43
Mkt Cap20.485.666.619.217.10.319.8
Rev LTM11,27389,48388,59116,5058,06792613,889
Op Inc LTM1,1168,2186,08479770617957
FCF LTM8104,3963,65480723211809
FCF 3Y Avg1,1044,7713,187794-20627949
CFO LTM8628,4637,56587794916913
CFO 3Y Avg1,1529,6138,102875808351,013

Growth & Margins

EXPDUPSFDXCHRWXPORLGTMedian
NameExpedito.United P.FedEx C.H. Rob.XPO Radiant . 
Rev Chg LTM23.7%-1.3%1.1%-7.1%-0.3%16.4%0.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-12.5%-3.9%-2.2%-13.4%38.4%-12.2%-8.0%
Rev Chg Q8.7%-3.7%3.1%-10.9%2.8%11.3%3.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.9%-0.9%0.8%-3.0%0.7%2.6%0.7%
Op Mgn LTM9.9%9.2%6.9%4.8%8.8%1.8%7.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.1%9.5%6.7%3.8%8.0%1.7%7.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.0%-0.1%0.1%0.4%0.1%-0.2%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM7.6%9.5%8.5%5.3%11.8%1.7%8.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.1%10.5%9.2%4.9%10.1%3.7%9.7%
FCF/Rev LTM7.2%4.9%4.1%4.9%2.9%1.2%4.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.7%5.2%3.6%4.5%-2.6%2.9%4.1%

Valuation

EXPDUPSFDXCHRWXPORLGTMedian
NameExpedito.United P.FedEx C.H. Rob.XPO Radiant . 
Mkt Cap20.485.666.619.217.10.319.8
P/S1.40.80.61.01.90.30.9
P/EBIT13.99.08.519.922.9-13.9
P/E18.312.913.026.545.918.318.3
P/CFO18.18.47.118.116.117.917.0
Total Yield6.8%15.4%10.2%5.7%2.2%5.5%6.2%
Dividend Yield1.3%7.6%2.5%1.9%0.0%0.0%1.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.4%4.7%5.2%6.7%-1.8%-5.2%
D/E0.00.40.70.10.3-0.3
Net D/E-0.00.30.60.10.2-0.2

Returns

EXPDUPSFDXCHRWXPORLGTMedian
NameExpedito.United P.FedEx C.H. Rob.XPO Radiant . 
1M Rtn5.8%7.2%7.1%5.3%13.4%12.2%7.2%
3M Rtn20.5%22.0%25.6%19.0%11.8%12.1%19.7%
6M Rtn33.1%5.5%28.7%72.9%20.3%13.6%24.5%
12M Rtn30.8%-15.3%4.1%50.3%-8.1%-4.3%-0.1%
3Y Rtn43.0%-34.0%75.3%83.5%300.6%33.5%59.2%
1M Excs Rtn5.1%6.5%6.4%4.6%12.7%11.5%6.4%
3M Excs Rtn20.0%19.4%23.9%15.9%8.9%12.0%17.7%
6M Excs Rtn20.7%-6.9%16.3%60.5%7.9%1.2%12.1%
12M Excs Rtn16.8%-27.3%-9.1%35.8%-18.2%-16.6%-12.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-31.4%-104.0%1.3%8.4%222.3%-41.0%-15.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Customs brokerage and other services3,6904,6404,2062,9683,028
Airfreight services3,2475,8876,7714,2742,930
Ocean freight and ocean services2,3636,5455,5462,3422,218
Total9,30017,07116,5249,5848,175


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,834,678
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-8.2%
Average Daily Volume1,485,881
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.25
Basic Shares Quantity136,266,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/202510.8%14.7%23.5%
8/5/2025-0.5%0.1%3.0%
5/6/2025-5.0%3.9%0.5%
2/18/20253.9%2.6%3.1%
11/5/20241.4%-0.7%1.3%
8/6/2024-4.3%-1.8%3.2%
5/7/2024-0.6%1.7%9.9%
2/20/2024-6.9%-3.9%-5.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91116
# Negative15138
Median Positive2.1%3.9%5.0%
Median Negative-3.2%-3.0%-4.8%
Max Positive10.8%16.8%23.5%
Max Negative-6.9%-8.6%-8.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021315202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211104202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Emmert Mark A 11102025Sell135.255,400730,350874,797Form
1Dickerman Jeffrey FSenior VP/Gen Counsel/Corp Sec11062025Sell134.171,500201,255825,235Form