Tearsheet

Ferguson Enterprises (FERG)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $225.055 | Market Cap: $44.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors

Ferguson Enterprises (FERG)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $225.055
Market Cap: $44.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
Key risks
FERG key risks include [1] high susceptibility to cyclical construction and housing markets, Show more.
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more.
 
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more.
2 Key risks
FERG key risks include [1] high susceptibility to cyclical construction and housing markets, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FERG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points explaining potential downward pressure on Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) stock for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Barclays lowered its price target for FERG.

On December 10, 2025, Barclays adjusted its price target for Ferguson Enterprises from $273 to $267, representing a 2.20% reduction, although it maintained an "Overweight" rating. 2. Restructuring charges impacted reported GAAP earnings.

Ferguson incurred $68 million in non-recurring restructuring charges in its fiscal third quarter of 2025, which weighed on reported GAAP earnings per share, even though adjusted earnings significantly beat estimates.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FERG Return31%
Peers Return-9%63%24%2%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FERG Win Rate25%67% 
Peers Win Rate64%37%70%65%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FERG Max Drawdown-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-24%-2%-6%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WSO, CNM, GWW, AIT, FAST.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

FERG has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-22.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven273 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven232 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven312 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-63.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven172.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,463 days1,480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ferguson Enterprises (FERG)

Better Bets than Ferguson Enterprises (FERG)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FERG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ferguson Enterprises

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FERGWSOCNMGWWAITFASTMedian
NameFerguson.Watsco Core & M.W.W. Gra.Applied .Fastenal  
Mkt Price225.00346.2353.071,020.05256.7341.87240.87
Mkt Cap44.113.110.248.89.748.128.6
Rev LTM31,1597,4147,76417,7504,6647,9987,881
Op Inc LTM2,7897347282,4945141,6161,175
FCF LTM1,6475175751,232455965770
FCF 3Y Avg1,7655407561,5104071,069913
CFO LTM1,9935496172,0484841,210914
CFO 3Y Avg2,1455737932,0414341,2791,036

Growth & Margins

FERGWSOCNMGWWAITFASTMedian
NameFerguson.Watsco Core & M.W.W. Gra.Applied .Fastenal  
Rev Chg LTM4.9%-0.7%8.1%4.8%4.0%6.9%4.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.6%1.0%6.0%6.3%5.5%5.5%5.5%
Rev Chg Q5.1%-4.3%1.2%6.1%9.2%11.7%5.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.3%-1.2%0.3%1.5%2.2%2.9%1.4%
Op Mgn LTM9.0%9.9%9.4%14.1%11.0%20.2%10.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.9%10.2%10.2%14.9%11.0%20.4%10.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%-0.1%-0.1%-1.2%0.1%0.1%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM6.4%7.4%7.9%11.5%10.4%15.1%9.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.1%7.7%11.2%12.0%9.6%16.9%10.4%
FCF/Rev LTM5.3%7.0%7.4%6.9%9.8%12.1%7.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.9%7.3%10.7%8.9%9.0%14.2%8.9%

Valuation

FERGWSOCNMGWWAITFASTMedian
NameFerguson.Watsco Core & M.W.W. Gra.Applied .Fastenal  
Mkt Cap44.113.110.248.89.748.128.6
P/S1.42.11.32.62.17.02.1
P/EBIT-20.9-18.118.434.719.6
P/E22.529.323.526.324.545.925.4
P/CFO22.127.916.622.220.446.522.2
Total Yield4.4%6.4%4.2%4.3%4.4%3.9%4.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.0%0.0%0.5%0.4%1.7%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.4%-3.5%5.1%2.7%3.4%
D/E-0.0-0.10.10.00.0
Net D/E--0.0-0.00.00.00.0

Returns

FERGWSOCNMGWWAITFASTMedian
NameFerguson.Watsco Core & M.W.W. Gra.Applied .Fastenal  
1M Rtn-4.5%2.5%18.1%10.5%6.7%5.5%6.1%
3M Rtn0.6%-9.9%8.1%2.5%-0.9%-10.7%-0.1%
6M Rtn5.8%-17.0%-5.5%-1.7%13.9%1.9%0.1%
12M Rtn23.7%-30.1%2.1%-8.1%1.7%10.1%1.9%
3Y Rtn-46.8%167.0%87.6%112.7%88.6%88.6%
1M Excs Rtn-5.3%1.7%17.3%9.7%6.0%4.7%5.3%
3M Excs Rtn-2.8%-10.5%4.0%0.4%-3.5%-12.2%-3.1%
6M Excs Rtn-6.6%-29.4%-17.9%-14.1%1.5%-10.5%-12.3%
12M Excs Rtn11.0%-41.4%-9.4%-21.0%-12.4%-2.1%-10.9%
3Y Excs Rtn--27.7%89.3%8.2%35.9%6.3%8.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment29,63529,73428,56622,792 
Distribution of plumbing and heating products    19,940
Total29,63529,73428,56622,79219,940


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,619,373
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-34.6%
Average Daily Volume1,430,867
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.83
Basic Shares Quantity196,200,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/9/2025-8.0%-8.3% 
6/3/202517.2%18.6%23.3%
3/11/2025-5.2%-1.8%-10.1%
12/10/2024-10.5%-14.7%-21.7%
9/17/20245.0%1.5%1.9%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive222
# Negative333
Median Positive11.1%10.0%12.6%
Median Negative-8.0%-8.3%-15.9%
Max Positive17.2%18.6%23.3%
Max Negative-10.5%-14.7%-21.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251209202510-Q 10/31/2025
7312025926202510-K 7/31/2025
4302025603202510-Q 4/30/2025
13120253112025Quarterly 1/31/2025
103120241210202410-Q 10/31/2024
73120249252024Annual 7/31/2024
4302024605202410-Q 4/30/2024
13120243062024Quarterly 1/31/2024
103120231206202310-Q 10/31/2023
7312023926202310-K 7/31/2023
4302023607202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023308202310-Q 1/31/2023
103120221208202210-Q 10/31/2022