Tearsheet

Deere (DE)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $481.98 | Market Cap: $130.5 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Agricultural & Farm Machinery

Deere (DE)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $481.98
Market Cap: $130.5 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Agricultural & Farm Machinery

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Autonomous Technologies, Automation & Robotics, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Machine Vision, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Autonomous Technologies, Automation & Robotics, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Machine Vision, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, falls within the future from my knowledge cutoff. However, the search results provide relevant information for Deere (DE) during this approximate time, particularly around its Q4 2025 earnings release on November 26, 2025. While a precise 1% stock movement cannot be pinpointed without access to real-time, minute-by-minute stock data for a future period, the search results highlight key events and sentiment that influenced Deere's stock around its earnings announcement and into early December 2025. Here are key points regarding Deere's stock movement around the specified period: 1. Deere's Q4 2025 Earnings Report and Revenue Beat. Deere reported its fourth-quarter earnings for 2025 on November 26, 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) of $3.93, surpassing the forecasted $3.85. Revenue reached $12.4 billion, significantly beating the expected $9.82 billion, marking an 11% increase from the previous year. This positive revenue surprise could have contributed to upward stock movement.

2. Net Income Decline and Cautious Fiscal Year 2026 Outlook. Despite strong Q4 revenue, Deere's reported net income for the fourth quarter decreased to $1.1 billion, or $3.93 per diluted share, compared to $1.245 billion, or $4.55 per share, in the prior year's quarter. Furthermore, the company issued fiscal year 2026 net income guidance ranging from $4.00 to $4.75 billion, which implies EPS of $14.75 to $17.50 at the midpoint, falling short of the anticipated $19.40. This cautious outlook and projected decline in large agricultural equipment sales for 2026 caused investor apprehension.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DE Return58%29%27%-5%8%12%193%
Peers Return15%10%-1%19%17%16%103%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DE Win Rate75%58%50%25%42%60% 
Peers Win Rate48%45%33%47%45%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DE Max Drawdown-36%-1%-15%-19%-13%-4% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-7%-24%-8%-11%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CAT, ALSN, TEX, ASTE, AEBI. See DE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven142 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-37.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven128 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-23.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven351 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-73.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven281.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven711 days1480 days

Compare to CAT, ALSN, TEX, ASTE, AEBI


In The Past

Deere's stock fell -34.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/18/2022. A -34.1% loss requires a 51.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Deere (DE)

Interactive Breakdown

Deere Interactive Breakdown Analysis

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Deere

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DECATALSNTEXASTEAEBIMedian
NameDeere Caterpil.Allison .Terex Astec In.Aebi Sch. 
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Growth & Margins

DECATALSNTEXASTEAEBIMedian
NameDeere Caterpil.Allison .Terex Astec In.Aebi Sch. 
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Valuation

DECATALSNTEXASTEAEBIMedian
NameDeere Caterpil.Allison .Terex Astec In.Aebi Sch. 
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Returns

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NameDeere Caterpil.Allison .Terex Astec In.Aebi Sch. 
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Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,285,259
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120252.4%
Average Daily Volume1,195,399
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.58
Basic Shares Quantity270,700,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025828202510-Q 7/27/2025
4302025529202510-Q 4/27/2025
1312025227202510-Q 1/26/2025
103120241212202410-K 10/27/2024
7312024829202410-Q 7/28/2024
4302024530202410-Q 4/28/2024
1312024229202410-Q 1/28/2024
103120231215202310-K 10/29/2023
7312023831202310-Q 7/30/2023
4302023601202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023223202310-Q 1/29/2023
103120221215202210-K 10/30/2022
7312022901202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022526202210-Q 5/1/2022
1312022224202210-Q 1/30/2022
103120211216202110-K 10/31/2021