HNI (HNI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $41.83 | Market Cap: $1.9 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Office Services & Supplies
HNI (HNI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $41.83Market Cap: $1.9 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Office Services & Supplies
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.9%, FCF Yield is 8.8% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -11% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.01, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Future of Work & Office Transformation. Themes include Green Building Materials, and Flexible Workspace Solutions. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.9%, FCF Yield is 8.8% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Future of Work & Office Transformation. Themes include Green Building Materials, and Flexible Workspace Solutions. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -11% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.01, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
HNI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Mixed Q3 2025 Earnings Report and Negative Market Reaction: HNI reported a non-GAAP diluted EPS of $1.10 for Q3 2025, surpassing analyst estimates, but its net sales of $683.8 million fell short of consensus expectations. Following the October 28, 2025, announcement, the market reacted negatively, with the stock initially trading down approximately 4.25% in pre-market activity.
2. Stock Reaching 52-Week Lows: During the period, HNI's stock experienced a significant downturn, hitting a 52-week low of $39.71 on November 3, 2025, and another 52-week low of $38.97 on November 13, 2025. This indicated a decline in investor sentiment.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| HNI Return | -4% | 26% | -30% | 53% | 24% | -14% | 37% |
| Peers Return | 1% | -5% | -33% | 57% | 11% | 1% | 13% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| HNI Win Rate | 42% | 67% | 33% | 67% | 42% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 50% | 40% | 57% | 43% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| HNI Max Drawdown | -51% | -6% | -35% | -12% | -4% | -22% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -48% | -15% | -43% | -11% | -12% | -28% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FTDR, SCS, LZB, MLKN, MSA. See HNI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | HNI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -46.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 87.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 376 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -55.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 124.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 355 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -46.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 86.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1903 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -84.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 561.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2125 days | 1480 days |
Compare to FTDR, SCS, LZB, MLKN, MSA
In The Past
HNI's stock fell -46.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/1/2021. A -46.6% loss requires a 87.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| HNI Earnings Notes | |||
| null | |||
| HNI vs UnitedHealth: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| HNI vs United Airlines: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| HNI vs Interface: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| How Does HNI Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Better Bet Than HNI Stock: Pay Less Than HNI To Get More From UAL, IBKR | |||
| Better Bet Than HNI Stock: Pay Less Than HNI To Get More From UAL | |||
| Day 10 of Loss Streak for HNI Stock with -18% Return (vs. -13% YTD) [8/11/2025] | Notification | ||
| Day 9 of Loss Streak for HNI Stock with -17% Return (vs. -13% YTD) [8/8/2025] | Notification | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | November 8th, 2025 | ||
| HNI Stock Down -18% after 10-Day Loss Streak | August 12th, 2025 | ||
| HNI Stock Down -17% after 9-Day Loss Streak | August 9th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to HNI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for HNI
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 40.93 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.9 |
| Rev LTM | 2,350 |
| Op Inc LTM | 229 |
| FCF LTM | 142 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 173 |
| CFO LTM | 224 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 237 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.9 |
| P/S | 0.8 |
| P/EBIT | 11.6 |
| P/E | 15.9 |
| P/CFO | 11.0 |
| Total Yield | 6.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 8.5% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -5.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -3.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -9.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 65.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -12.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -18.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -23.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -10.4% |
Comparison Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/27/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7292025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2252025 | 10-K 12/28/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10292024 | 10-Q 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7302024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4302024 | 10-Q 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/30/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10312023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 4/1/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 10/1/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 7/2/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 4/2/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 1/1/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |