Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.9%, FCF Yield is 8.8%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -11%
 
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.01, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%
 
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Future of Work & Office Transformation. Themes include Green Building Materials, and Flexible Workspace Solutions.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.9%, FCF Yield is 8.8%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Future of Work & Office Transformation. Themes include Green Building Materials, and Flexible Workspace Solutions.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -11%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.01, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HNI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Mixed Q3 2025 Earnings Report and Negative Market Reaction: HNI reported a non-GAAP diluted EPS of $1.10 for Q3 2025, surpassing analyst estimates, but its net sales of $683.8 million fell short of consensus expectations. Following the October 28, 2025, announcement, the market reacted negatively, with the stock initially trading down approximately 4.25% in pre-market activity.



2. Stock Reaching 52-Week Lows: During the period, HNI's stock experienced a significant downturn, hitting a 52-week low of $39.71 on November 3, 2025, and another 52-week low of $38.97 on November 13, 2025. This indicated a decline in investor sentiment.



Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HNI Return-4%26%-30%53%24%-14%37%
Peers Return1%-5%-33%57%11%1%13%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HNI Win Rate42%67%33%67%42%40% 
Peers Win Rate57%50%40%57%43%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HNI Max Drawdown-51%-6%-35%-12%-4%-22% 
Peers Max Drawdown-48%-15%-43%-11%-12%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FTDR, SCS, LZB, MLKN, MSA. See HNI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHNIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-46.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven87.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven376 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-55.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven124.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven355 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-46.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven86.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1903 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-84.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven561.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2125 days1480 days

Compare to FTDR, SCS, LZB, MLKN, MSA


In The Past

HNI's stock fell -46.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/1/2021. A -46.6% loss requires a 87.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About HNI (HNI)

Better Bets than HNI (HNI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HNI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for HNI

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HNIFTDRSCSLZBMLKNMSAMedian
NameHNI FrontdoorSteelcaseLa-Z-Boy MillerKn.MSA Safe. 
Mkt Price41.9152.5816.3539.9515.94163.1240.93
Mkt Cap1.93.81.91.61.16.41.9
Rev LTM2,5932,0423,2592,1063,7641,8642,350
Op Inc LTM224399146146234391229
FCF LTM190345-379482283142
FCF 3Y Avg179249127120172173173
CFO LTM25037317171198349224
CFO 3Y Avg247283180185266228237

Growth & Margins

HNIFTDRSCSLZBMLKNMSAMedian
NameHNI FrontdoorSteelcaseLa-Z-Boy MillerKn.MSA Safe. 
Rev Chg LTM1.2%11.8%3.9%2.2%5.4%3.3%3.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.8%7.1%1.8%-4.6%-3.6%7.8%2.3%
Rev Chg Q1.7%14.0%4.8%-0.7%10.9%8.3%6.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.4%3.9%1.3%-0.2%2.6%2.0%1.6%
Op Mgn LTM8.6%19.5%4.5%6.9%6.2%21.0%7.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.2%17.8%4.7%7.6%5.4%21.3%7.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%0.1%-1.0%-0.5%0.9%-0.3%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM9.6%18.3%0.5%8.1%5.2%18.7%8.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.9%14.9%5.6%8.7%7.1%12.4%9.3%
FCF/Rev LTM7.3%16.9%-1.1%4.5%2.2%15.2%5.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.1%13.1%4.0%5.6%4.5%9.4%6.4%

Valuation

HNIFTDRSCSLZBMLKNMSAMedian
NameHNI FrontdoorSteelcaseLa-Z-Boy MillerKn.MSA Safe. 
Mkt Cap1.93.81.91.61.16.41.9
P/S0.82.40.40.70.43.60.8
P/EBIT10.111.99.511.215.916.811.6
P/E15.218.613.016.6-85.824.115.9
P/CFO8.613.171.78.96.719.311.0
Total Yield8.1%5.4%7.7%8.3%2.7%4.5%6.5%
Dividend Yield1.5%0.0%0.0%2.3%3.8%0.3%0.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg8.4%6.8%11.7%8.5%13.1%2.5%8.5%
D/E0.20.20.50.31.40.10.3
Net D/E0.20.10.30.11.20.10.2

Returns

HNIFTDRSCSLZBMLKNMSAMedian
NameHNI FrontdoorSteelcaseLa-Z-Boy MillerKn.MSA Safe. 
1M Rtn5.1%-19.7%3.2%27.0%5.8%4.9%5.0%
3M Rtn-7.1%-15.4%-2.3%12.3%-21.7%-3.2%-5.2%
6M Rtn-9.2%-8.0%60.0%-2.1%-4.5%-0.5%-3.3%
12M Rtn-23.9%-10.0%24.9%-9.8%-34.8%-5.2%-9.9%
3Y Rtn58.8%125.4%142.8%72.7%-12.5%19.5%65.7%
1M Excs Rtn5.1%-19.7%3.3%27.1%5.8%5.0%5.1%
3M Excs Rtn-13.9%-22.3%-8.9%5.1%-29.2%-10.4%-12.1%
6M Excs Rtn-24.0%-22.7%45.3%-16.8%-19.2%-15.2%-18.0%
12M Excs Rtn-37.2%-23.8%11.8%-23.4%-47.5%-18.5%-23.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-11.3%53.8%49.9%-9.6%-91.7%-50.2%-10.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Workplace furnishings1,311762809763875
Residential building products467493479382365
General corporate150160209274213
Total1,9291,4141,4981,4181,453


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,507,373
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120256.1%
Average Daily Volume650,275
Days-to-Cover Short Interest10.01
Basic Shares Quantity45,800,000
Short % of Basic Shares14.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023509202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022802202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022503202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021301202210-K 1/1/2022