FTI Consulting (FCN)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $176.325 | Market Cap: $5.6 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Research & Consulting Services
FTI Consulting (FCN)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $176.325Market Cap: $5.6 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Research & Consulting Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 26% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -60% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 52x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Corporate Resilience & Governance. Themes include Business Transformation & Restructuring, Litigation & Forensic Investigations, and Risk & Compliance Management. | Key risksFCN key risks include [1] uncertain recovery in key segments such as Economic Consulting and [2] losing its competitive position to rivals adopting disruptive technologies like artificial intelligence. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 26% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Corporate Resilience & Governance. Themes include Business Transformation & Restructuring, Litigation & Forensic Investigations, and Risk & Compliance Management. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -60% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 52x |
| Key risksFCN key risks include [1] uncertain recovery in key segments such as Economic Consulting and [2] losing its competitive position to rivals adopting disruptive technologies like artificial intelligence. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
FCN Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The stock of FTI Consulting (FCN) experienced a 4.7% movement during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 20, 2025, primarily influenced by its strong third-quarter earnings report and strategic initiatives.
1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat. FTI Consulting reported robust third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 23, 2025, significantly surpassing analyst expectations for profitability. The company announced earnings per share (EPS) of $2.60, a 41% increase year-over-year, beating the consensus estimate of $1.93 by $0.67. Quarterly revenue also rose by 3.3% year-over-year to $956.17 million, exceeding analysts' expectations of $941.19 million.
2. Record EPS Growth and Strategic Investments. The record EPS growth was attributed to strong segment performance and strategic investments in talent and technology. Net income increased by 25% year-over-year to $82.8 million, and adjusted EBITDA reached $130.6 million, or 13.7% of revenue, compared to $102.9 million or 11.1% in the prior year quarter.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FCN Return | 1% | 37% | 4% | 25% | -4% | -9% | 58% |
| Peers Return | 2% | 29% | 16% | 4% | 39% | -12% | 94% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FCN Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 58% | 67% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 45% | 52% | 43% | 42% | 50% | 45% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FCN Max Drawdown | -12% | -6% | -11% | -2% | -6% | -21% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -43% | -5% | -12% | -16% | -4% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PSN, AM, G, CRAI, ACCL. See FCN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FCN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -24.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 137 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -31.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 154 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -29.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 188 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -50.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 103.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3,436 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to PSN, AM, G, CRAI, ACCL
In The Past
FTI Consulting's stock fell -24.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/11/2022. A -24.1% loss requires a 31.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FCN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.0% | 18.0% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.6% | 2.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 3.6% | 3.6% | -0.4% |
| 09262025 | FCN | FTI Consulting | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.3% | 9.3% | -6.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.0% | 18.0% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.6% | 2.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 3.6% | 3.6% | -0.4% |
| 09262025 | FCN | FTI Consulting | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.3% | 9.3% | -6.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for FTI Consulting
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 54.64 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.6 |
| Rev LTM | 3,693 |
| Op Inc LTM | 411 |
| FCF LTM | 383 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 398 |
| CFO LTM | 438 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 444 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 6.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 6.6 |
| P/S | 1.7 |
| P/EBIT | 15.4 |
| P/E | 20.9 |
| P/CFO | 15.0 |
| Total Yield | 5.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 4.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 0.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 24.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -9.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -17.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -51.0% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/24/2025 | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| 7/25/2025 | -2.0% | -5.0% | -4.2% |
| 2/21/2025 | 0.8% | 0.6% | -2.3% |
| 10/25/2024 | -0.4% | -0.2% | 2.5% |
| 7/26/2024 | 0.4% | -1.7% | -1.3% |
| 2/23/2024 | 1.8% | -5.4% | -3.2% |
| 10/27/2023 | -0.6% | -0.4% | 0.8% |
| 7/28/2023 | -0.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 9 | 10 |
| # Negative | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 1.1% | 2.8% | 6.2% |
| Median Negative | -1.3% | -1.6% | -3.2% |
| Max Positive | 5.5% | 5.9% | 22.6% |
| Max Negative | -3.7% | -5.4% | -9.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10232025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7242025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4242025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10242024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7252024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4252024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Gunby Steven Henry | CEO, Chairman and President | 10272025 | Buy | 151.12 | 7,500 | 1,133,400 | 44,430,338 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |