FTI Consulting (FCN)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $165.09 | Market Cap: $5.2 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Research & Consulting Services
FTI Consulting (FCN)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $165.09Market Cap: $5.2 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Research & Consulting Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -78% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 47x |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Corporate Resilience & Governance. Themes include Business Transformation & Restructuring, Litigation & Forensic Investigations, and Risk & Compliance Management. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Corporate Resilience & Governance. Themes include Business Transformation & Restructuring, Litigation & Forensic Investigations, and Risk & Compliance Management. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -78% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 47x |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
FCN Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
**1. Technical Sell Signal:** A technical sell signal was issued from a pivot top on Tuesday, October 28, 2025, leading to a subsequent fall of 3.32% in the stock price.
**2. Analyst Outlook and Price Target Adjustments:** While the consensus analyst rating for FTI Consulting remained "Hold" by October 24, 2025, with an average price target of $169, earlier in 2025, specifically on April 2, 2025, Truist Securities downgraded FCN from "Strong Buy" to "Hold," and price targets were adjusted downwards multiple times during the year. This shift in analyst sentiment may have contributed to limited upward momentum for the stock.
**3. Challenges in Specific Business Segments:** Although FTI Consulting reported strong Q3 2025 results, the company's Q2 2025 earnings call on July 24, 2025, highlighted ongoing challenges in its Technology segment due to decreased demand for M&A-related requests and in its Economic Consulting segment, which faced reduced demand for M&A and antitrust services. These segment-specific headwinds could have tempered overall investor optimism despite a robust Q3.
**4. Overall Industry Outlook:** The Consulting Services industry, which includes FTI Consulting, was positioned in the bottom 30% of Zacks industries as of October 2025. A challenging broader industry outlook can exert downward pressure on individual stock performance.
**5. Absence of Overwhelming Positive Catalysts:** Despite positive Q3 earnings and a significant stock buyback announcement in October 2025, the lack of additional strong positive catalysts or substantial analyst upgrades beyond these events may have allowed other market factors and prevailing sentiment to contribute to the -2.1% movement over the specified period.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FCN Return | 1% | 37% | 4% | 25% | -4% | -14% | 49% |
| Peers Return | 2% | 29% | 16% | 4% | 39% | -11% | 97% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FCN Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 58% | 67% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 45% | 52% | 43% | 42% | 50% | 44% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FCN Max Drawdown | -12% | -6% | -11% | -2% | -6% | -21% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -43% | -5% | -12% | -16% | -4% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PSN, AM, G, CRAI, ACCL. See FCN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FCN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -24.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 137 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -31.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 154 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -29.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 188 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -50.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 103.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3436 days | 1480 days |
Compare to PSN, AM, G, CRAI, ACCL
In The Past
FTI Consulting's stock fell -24.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/11/2022. A -24.1% loss requires a 31.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FCN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| 09262025 | FCN | FTI Consulting | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.8% | 1.8% | -6.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| 09262025 | FCN | FTI Consulting | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.8% | 1.8% | -6.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for FTI Consulting
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 64.05 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.8 |
| Rev LTM | 3,693 |
| Op Inc LTM | 411 |
| FCF LTM | 383 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 398 |
| CFO LTM | 438 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 444 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 6.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 7.8 |
| P/S | 1.5 |
| P/EBIT | 14.1 |
| P/E | 19.7 |
| P/CFO | 20.2 |
| Total Yield | 5.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 0.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -7.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 30.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -14.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -21.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -40.3% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10232025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7242025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4242025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10242024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7252024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4252024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Gunby Steven Henry | CEO, Chairman and President | 10272025 | Buy | 151.12 | 7,500 | 1,133,400 | 44,430,338 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |