Tearsheet

Johnson Controls International (JCI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $114.2 | Market Cap: $74.8 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Building Products

Johnson Controls International (JCI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $114.2
Market Cap: $74.8 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Building Products

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable & Green Buildings, Electrification of Everything, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable & Green Buildings, Electrification of Everything, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

JCI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the stock movement of Johnson Controls International (JCI) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Strong Fiscal Q4 and Full-Year 2025 Earnings Beat with Robust FY26 Guidance. Johnson Controls reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.26 and revenue of $6.44 billion for Q4 fiscal year 2025, both surpassing analyst expectations. The company also initiated an aggressive adjusted EPS guidance of approximately $4.55 for fiscal year 2026, projecting over 20% year-over-year growth, which significantly boosted investor confidence and led to an 8.84% single-day stock increase on November 5, 2025.

2. Record Backlog Driven by Demand in AI-Driven Data Centers and Decarbonization. The company achieved a record backlog of $14.9 billion, marking a 13% organic increase. This substantial backlog reflects strong future revenue visibility and is largely attributed to sustained demand from high-growth sectors such as AI-driven data centers and decarbonization projects, underscoring JCI's strategic market positioning.

3.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
JCI Return18%77%-19%-8%40%48%222%
Peers Return24%15%-3%28%36%8%162%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
JCI Win Rate75%92%42%42%58%70% 
Peers Win Rate58%68%42%50%62%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
JCI Max Drawdown-42%-1%-42%-23%-9%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-5%-27%-11%-6%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HON, TT, EMR, CMI, LII. See JCI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventJCIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-43.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven75.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven846 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-44.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven80.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven175 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-35.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven55.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven262 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-70.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven241.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1212 days1480 days

Compare to HON, TT, EMR, CMI, LII


In The Past

Johnson Controls International's stock fell -43.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -43.1% loss requires a 75.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Johnson Controls International (JCI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to JCI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Johnson Controls International

Peers to compare with:

Financials

JCIHONTTEMRCMILIIMedian
NameJohnson .Honeywel.Trane Te.Emerson .Cummins Lennox I. 
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Growth & Margins

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Returns

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Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity19,381,947
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-4.2%
Average Daily Volume5,877,879
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.30
Basic Shares Quantity655,400,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024205202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241119202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023130202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231214202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022201202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221115202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021202202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211115202110-K 9/30/2021