Symbotic (SYM)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $57.12 | Market Cap: $6.4 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Symbotic (SYM)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $57.12Market Cap: $6.4 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -32% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -92 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.1% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 119% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 155% | |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 13% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.4% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Industrial Robotics, Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more. | Key risksSYM key risks include [1] financial restatements and an ongoing SEC investigation into its accounting, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 13% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Industrial Robotics, Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -32% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -92 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.1% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 119% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 155% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.4% |
| Key risksSYM key risks include [1] financial restatements and an ongoing SEC investigation into its accounting, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SYM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points highlighting why Symbotic (SYM) stock moved by approximately 18% between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025:
1. Despite exceeding expectations in its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings reported on November 24, 2025, Symbotic's shares experienced a significant decline of 18.9% following the release. While the company reported an earnings per share of $0.53, easily surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.07, and revenues of $618.5 million, which beat estimates by 3.1%, investor sentiment led to a stock price drop.
2. The company reported a net loss for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025, which may have tempered investor enthusiasm despite strong revenue growth. Symbotic posted a net loss of $19 million for Q4 fiscal 2025, compared to a net income of $16 million in Q4 fiscal 2024. For the full fiscal year 2025, the net loss was $91 million.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SYM Return | � | � | 19% | 330% | -54% | 164% | � |
| Peers Return | 44% | 33% | -31% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 100% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SYM Win Rate | � | 44% | 58% | 75% | 33% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 56% | 67% | 38% | 48% | 52% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SYM Max Drawdown | � | � | -12% | 0% | -65% | -26% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -38% | -7% | -45% | -11% | -13% | -33% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HON, ROK, ZBRA, TER.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SYM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -56.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 127.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 123 days | 464 days |
Compare to GGG, GHM, ADVEN, BENN, HRDG
In The Past
Symbotic's stock fell -56.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -56.1% loss requires a 127.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SYM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.6% | 5.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.6% | 5.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Symbotic
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 199.89 |
| Mkt Cap | 29.4 |
| Rev LTM | 5,255 |
| Op Inc LTM | 806 |
| FCF LTM | 792 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 537 |
| CFO LTM | 867 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 612 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 18.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 16.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 29.4 |
| P/S | 3.3 |
| P/EBIT | 17.0 |
| P/E | 29.5 |
| P/CFO | 17.9 |
| Total Yield | 3.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 13.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 22.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 34.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 62.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 7.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 9.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 22.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -13.3% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/24/2025 | 39.4% | 32.0% | |
| 8/6/2025 | -13.8% | -14.7% | -23.3% |
| 5/7/2025 | 6.6% | 24.7% | 32.7% |
| 2/5/2025 | -15.9% | -5.9% | -24.7% |
| 11/20/2023 | 40.2% | 44.8% | 37.5% |
| 7/31/2023 | 50.6% | 27.1% | -5.7% |
| 5/1/2023 | -12.6% | 5.0% | 23.2% |
| 1/30/2023 | 15.7% | 15.2% | 18.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| # Negative | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 27.5% | 24.7% | 23.2% |
| Median Negative | -13.2% | -13.8% | -24.0% |
| Max Positive | 50.6% | 44.8% | 37.5% |
| Max Negative | -15.9% | -14.7% | -34.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11242025 | 10-K 9/27/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2052025 | 10-Q 12/28/2024 |
| 9302024 | 12042024 | 10-K 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 10-Q 12/30/2023 |
| 9302023 | 12112023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/24/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/25/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2032023 | 10-Q 12/24/2022 |
| 9302022 | 12092022 | 10-K 9/24/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 424B3 6/25/2022 |
| 3312022 | 6012022 | 424B3 3/26/2022 |
| 9302021 | 5092022 | 424B3 9/25/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |