Symbotic (SYM)
Market Price (4/14/2026): $55.16 | Market Cap: $6.4 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Textiles
Symbotic (SYM)
Market Price (4/14/2026): $55.16Market Cap: $6.4 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Textiles
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -29% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33% Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 12% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Industrial Robotics, Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -12% Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.1, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -58 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.4% Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 165% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.3% Key risksSYM key risks include [1] financial restatements and an ongoing SEC investigation into its accounting, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -29% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 12% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Industrial Robotics, Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -12% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.1, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -58 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.4% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 165% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.3% |
| Key risksSYM key risks include [1] financial restatements and an ongoing SEC investigation into its accounting, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Symbotic's GAAP earnings per share (EPS) for Q1 fiscal year 2026 missed analyst expectations. While the company reported adjusted EPS of $0.39, dramatically surpassing the analyst consensus of $0.126, its GAAP EPS came in at $0.02, missing consensus estimates of $0.08 by $0.06. This GAAP earnings miss, despite a strong adjusted performance and 29% year-over-year revenue growth to $630 million, likely contributed to investor disappointment.
2. The stock experienced a "sell the news" reaction following its Q1 fiscal year 2026 earnings report, indicating high expectations were already priced in. Despite strong operational results, including net income of $13 million (swinging from a $17 million loss in the prior year) and adjusted EBITDA of $67 million, the stock showed limited immediate positive momentum after the February 4, 2026 earnings release. This reaction suggests that the market had already anticipated positive news, leading to a muted or negative response even to favorable results.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -8.2% change in SYM stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -10.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 59.50 | 54.61 | -8.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,247 | 2,390 | 6.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.0 | 2.6 | -10.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 112 | 115 | -3.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -8.2% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SYM | -8.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 55.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | -4.6% | 49.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 1.3% change in SYM stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 53.90 | 54.61 | 1.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,193 | 2,390 | 9.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.7 | 2.6 | -1.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 109 | 115 | -5.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 1.3% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SYM | 1.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 41.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | -4.7% | 43.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 170.2% change in SYM stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 135.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 20.21 | 54.61 | 170.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,915 | 2,390 | 24.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.1 | 2.6 | 135.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 106 | 115 | -8.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 170.2% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SYM | 170.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 46.1% |
| Sector (XLY) | 16.1% | 45.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 139.1% change in SYM stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 230.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 22.84 | 54.61 | 139.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 723 | 2,390 | 230.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.8 | 2.6 | 43.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 58 | 115 | -49.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 139.1% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SYM | 139.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 37.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | 55.8% | 34.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SYM Return | -2% | 19% | 330% | -54% | 151% | -10% | 425% |
| Peers Return | 33% | -31% | 14% | 15% | 12% | 26% | 72% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 81% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SYM Win Rate | 40% | 58% | 75% | 33% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 38% | 48% | 52% | 48% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SYM Max Drawdown | -5% | -12% | 0% | -65% | -26% | -20% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -7% | -45% | -11% | -13% | -33% | -7% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HON, ROK, ZBRA, TER.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/13/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SYM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -56.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 127.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 123 days | 464 days |
Compare to HON, ROK, ZBRA, TER
In The Past
Symbotic's stock fell -56.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -56.1% loss requires a 127.8% gain to breakeven.
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About Symbotic (SYM)
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Symbotic:
- Like **Amazon's warehouse automation technology, but for other retailers and wholesalers.**
- Think of it as **Salesforce, but for automating the physical operations of a warehouse with robotics.**
- It's like **Tesla's approach to factory automation, applied specifically to retail and wholesale warehouses.**
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- The Symbotic System: A full-service warehouse automation system utilizing robotics and technology to improve efficiency, reduce costs, and maximize inventory for retailers and wholesalers.
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Symbotic (SYM) primarily sells its automation technology and robotics systems to other companies, specifically retailers and wholesalers. Its major customers include:
- Walmart Inc. (NYSE: WMT): Walmart is Symbotic's largest customer, accounting for a significant majority of its revenue. Symbotic is deploying its automation system across many of Walmart's regional distribution centers.
- C&S Wholesale Grocers: This is a major private wholesale grocery supply company in the United States that has partnered with Symbotic to implement its warehouse automation system.
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Richard B. Cohen, Chairman of the Board & Chief Executive Officer
Richard B. Cohen is the founder of Symbotic, which was originally known as CasePick Systems and was established in 2007. He also serves as the Executive Chairman of C&S Holdings and C&S Wholesale Grocers, Inc. Cohen previously led C&S Wholesale Grocers, a family business, as its Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, driving its growth into an industry leader in supply chain solutions and wholesale grocery supply. Symbotic's initial funding was significantly supported by Cohen's existing enterprise, C&S Wholesale Grocers. Under his leadership, Symbotic went public in June 2022 through a merger with SVF Investment Corp. 3, a SPAC sponsored by an affiliate of SoftBank Investment Advisers.
Izzy Martins, Chief Financial Officer
Izzy Martins assumed the role of Chief Financial Officer at Symbotic in August 2025, having initially joined as CFO-designate on July 1, 2025. She leads all financial operations and acts as a strategic advisor to the leadership team. Before joining Symbotic, Martins gained over 20 years of financial and business leadership experience at Avis Budget Group, where she held various senior roles. Her tenure at Avis concluded as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, and she also served as Executive Vice President, Americas, where she was responsible for a market segment with over $9 billion in revenue and played a key role in driving Avis's post-pandemic transformation.
James Kuffner, Chief Technology Officer
James Kuffner has served as Symbotic's Chief Technology Officer since January 2025, overseeing the development and advancement of the company's technologies and solutions. He brings more than 30 years of experience in robotics from both academic and industry research. Prior to Symbotic, Kuffner held several leadership roles at Toyota Motor Corporation, including Senior Fellow in charge of the Software Development Center, Chief Digital Officer, and Member of the Board.
Bill Boyd, Chief Strategy Officer
Bill Boyd has been the Chief Strategy Officer of Symbotic since February 2020, where he is responsible for planning and directing operational, financial, administrative, and strategic activities. With over 12 years of experience in the distribution and logistics industry, Boyd also serves as the Chief Legal Officer of C&S Wholesale Grocers since February 2020. He was involved in the initial investment by Rick Cohen in CasePick Systems, which later became Symbotic. His previous roles include chief legal officer at Imperial Dade and general counsel and chief legal officer positions at C&S Wholesale Grocers.
Corey Dufresne, Chief Legal Officer
As Chief Legal Officer, Corey Dufresne leads Symbotic's legal group, bringing over 20 years of experience in business and securities law, mergers and acquisitions, venture capital, and corporate finance. He is responsible for technology licensing, regulatory compliance, intellectual property rights, and business agreements. Dufresne joined Symbotic in 2011 after serving as Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary for Netezza Corporation, where he facilitated its acquisition by IBM.
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Key Risks to Symbotic Inc. (SYM)
- Customer Concentration Risk: Symbotic Inc. faces significant risk due to its high dependence on a limited number of customers. Walmart, for instance, accounted for approximately 87% of the company's total revenue in fiscal year 2024. Any reduction in orders, termination of contracts, or changes in automation plans by key customers could have a material adverse effect on Symbotic's revenue and financial stability. This reliance makes the company vulnerable to fluctuations in demand from these major entities.
- Technological Risks and Intense Competition: Operating in the rapidly evolving warehouse automation industry, Symbotic must continually innovate and adapt its complex technology to remain competitive and meet changing industry standards. Failure to do so could result in a loss of market share and pressure on pricing and margins. The company faces intense competition from both established players and new entrants, some of whom may offer similar or more advanced solutions. Large enterprises, such as Amazon, also engage in internal automation development, further intensifying the competitive landscape.
- Operational and Execution Risks: Symbotic has a limited operating history and has experienced historical losses, which can make it challenging to predict future profitability. The deployment of complex automation systems involves inherent execution risks, and delays in projects can push out revenue recognition, leading to quarter-to-quarter variability in sales and margins. Additionally, disruptions in the supply chain, including shortages of critical components like semiconductors, could adversely affect the company's manufacturing efficiencies and its ability to deliver systems on schedule.
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Symbotic Inc. operates in several significant addressable markets related to warehouse automation and micro-fulfillment solutions.The total addressable market (TAM) for warehouse automation solutions is estimated to exceed $500 billion globally. This market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18.7% through 2030.
Specifically for Symbotic, its primary addressable market in North America is approximately $144 billion. With potential expansion into Europe and additional verticals, Symbotic estimates its total addressable market can increase to $432 billion to $433 billion.
Furthermore, an additional addressable market for micro-fulfillment solutions in the United States is estimated to be over $300 billion, or an additional $305 billion opportunity.
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Symbotic Inc. (SYM) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several strategic initiatives and market dynamics:
- Expansion of System Deployments and Conversion of Order Backlog: A primary driver of Symbotic's revenue growth is the continued deployment of its automated warehouse systems to retailers and wholesalers. The company has a substantial backlog of committed contracted orders, reported at approximately $22.3 billion as of December 27, 2025, and $22.8 billion as of Q3 2024. This significant backlog provides strong visibility into future revenue streams and underscores the ongoing demand for its automation solutions. Symbotic has consistently reported strong systems revenue growth, driven by new system starts and the transition of systems to operational status.
- Growth in Recurring Revenue from Software and Operations Services: As more Symbotic Systems become operational, the company expects a substantial increase in recurring revenue generated from its software and operations services. In Q1 2026, software revenue surged by 97% year-over-year, and operation services revenue increased by 68% year-over-year. The company anticipates that as it scales, combined recurring gross margins can trend to over 60%, highlighting the increasing profitability and importance of these recurring revenue streams.
- Market Expansion and Customer Diversification: Symbotic is actively pursuing opportunities to expand its market reach and diversify its customer base, both geographically and vertically. This includes exploring new markets such as in-store fulfillment, perishable supply chains, and high-velocity distribution centers. The company is also looking at international expansion, exemplified by its partnership with Walmart Mexico (Walmex), which is projected to contribute significantly to its backlog. Furthermore, strategic partnerships like the GreenBox joint venture and entry into new sectors such as healthcare through the Medline partnership indicate a broader market strategy beyond its core retail clients. The acquisition of Fox Robotics also broadens the potential customer base by adding autonomous forklift solutions.
- Introduction and Adoption of New Technologies and Products: Continuous innovation and the launch of new products and technologies are expected to drive future revenue. Symbotic is developing and deploying innovations such as the "BreakPack" each-handling technology and new minibots. The debut of a next-generation storage structure is also anticipated to be a significant product advancement, increasing storage density and reducing assembly time, which should unlock faster scaling in the long term. The acquisition of complementary technologies, like Fox Robotics, further enhances Symbotic's offerings.
- Enhanced Operational Efficiency and Faster Deployment Cycles: Improvements in deployment efficiency, project execution, and standardization are crucial for accelerating revenue growth. Symbotic has been focusing on streamlining its installation processes and reducing the time from installation to operational acceptance. This enhanced efficiency allows Symbotic to undertake more projects in a given timeframe, accelerate revenue recognition, and improve overall financial performance by controlling costs and delivering high-quality deployments.
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Share Issuance
- Symbotic completed its business combination with SVF Investment Corp. 3 to become a publicly traded company on June 8, 2022, which involved share issuances.
- In December 2025, Symbotic announced an underwritten public offering of 10 million shares of its Class A common stock at $55.00 per share, raising approximately $440.0 million in primary gross proceeds for the company for general corporate purposes.
- In December 2021, as part of the merger agreement preceding its public listing, certain PIPE Investors subscribed for 20,500,000 shares of Symbotic Class A Common Stock at $10.00 per share, totaling $205 million.
Inbound Investments
- Upon becoming a publicly traded company in June 2022, Symbotic received additional growth capital, which supplemented its existing $363 million of combined cash on the balance sheet as of March 26, 2022, and proceeds from a May 20, 2022, warrant exercise.
- Prior to the merger that took Symbotic public, a Private Investment in Public Equity (PIPE) of $205 million was made by various parties who subscribed for 20,500,000 shares of Class A Common Stock at $10.00 per share in December 2021.
- Walmart Inc. was issued a warrant in June 2022, enabling it to acquire 15,870,411 OpCo Units at an exercise price of $10.00 per unit, subject to certain vesting conditions.
Outbound Investments
- In the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 (ending December 27, 2025), Symbotic acquired Fox Robotics, a company specializing in autonomous forklifts, to expand its product offerings and market reach.
- In 2025, Symbotic acquired Walmart's advanced systems and robotics business.
Capital Expenditures
- For the fiscal year ending September 27, 2025, Symbotic Inc.'s Capital Expenditures totaled -$79 million USD.
- The average annual Capital Expenditures growth rate for Symbotic Inc. was -64% over the past three years and -73% over the past five years.
- Symbotic plans to invest in capital expenditures to support future growth and innovation.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
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Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 233.64 |
| Mkt Cap | 45.8 |
| Rev LTM | 5,396 |
| Op Inc LTM | 800 |
| FCF LTM | 831 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 565 |
| CFO LTM | 917 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 644 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 45.8 |
| P/S | 4.0 |
| P/EBIT | 21.8 |
| P/E | 31.4 |
| P/CFO | 23.2 |
| Total Yield | 3.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.7% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 11.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -1.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 21.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 80.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 54.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 7.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 17.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 44.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -11.2% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $54.61 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 6.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/09/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -37.4% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $53.63 | $57.41 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | 1.8% | -4.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 62.6% | 90.0% |
| Downside Capture | 1.29 | 1.53 |
| Upside Capture | 169.17 | 341.12 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 48.3% | 39.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.11 | 2.77 | 2.61 | 3.26 | 2.27 | 2.42 |
| Up Beta | 4.04 | 5.20 | 3.44 | 5.17 | 2.00 | 1.84 |
| Down Beta | 3.40 | 2.01 | 1.99 | 2.54 | 1.91 | 2.32 |
| Up Capture | 385% | 327% | 319% | 457% | 1111% | 10759% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 21 | 31 | 63 | 132 | 373 |
| Down Capture | 210% | 206% | 227% | 213% | 158% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 32 | 63 | 119 | 375 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SYM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SYM | 128.7% | 89.2% | 1.32 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 17.3% | 19.7% | 0.69 | 39.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 18.7% | 13.7% | 1.06 | 41.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 53.7% | 27.6% | 1.55 | 3.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 25.2% | 16.2% | 1.37 | 2.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.8% | 14.0% | 0.76 | 12.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -11.7% | 43.0% | -0.17 | 22.5% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SYM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SYM | 17.5% | 88.4% | 0.58 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.4% | 23.7% | 0.23 | 26.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.1% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 28.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.8% | 17.8% | 1.01 | 6.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.7% | 18.8% | 0.51 | 3.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.7% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 17.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.6% | 56.6% | 0.30 | 9.8% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SYM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SYM | 8.2% | 87.7% | 0.57 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.4% | 22.0% | 0.52 | 25.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.9% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 28.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.2% | 15.9% | 0.74 | 6.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.8% | 17.6% | 0.42 | 3.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 17.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.5% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 9.7% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/4/2026 | 0.6% | 9.2% | -9.1% |
| 11/24/2025 | 39.4% | 32.0% | 7.9% |
| 8/6/2025 | -13.8% | -14.7% | -23.3% |
| 5/7/2025 | 6.6% | 24.7% | 32.7% |
| 2/5/2025 | -15.9% | -5.9% | -24.7% |
| 11/20/2023 | 40.2% | 44.8% | 37.5% |
| 7/31/2023 | 50.6% | 27.1% | -5.7% |
| 5/1/2023 | -12.6% | 5.0% | 23.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| # Negative | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 15.7% | 19.9% | 21.3% |
| Median Negative | -13.2% | -13.8% | -23.3% |
| Max Positive | 50.6% | 44.8% | 37.5% |
| Max Negative | -15.9% | -14.7% | -34.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/04/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/24/2025 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 12/04/2024 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 12/11/2023 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 12/09/2022 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 424B3 |
| 03/31/2022 | 06/01/2022 | 424B3 |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 2/4/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Revenue | 650.00 Mil | 660.00 Mil | 670.00 Mil | 6.4% | Higher New | Guidance: 620.00 Mil for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 70.00 Mil | 72.50 Mil | 75.00 Mil | 42.2% | Higher New | Guidance: 51.00 Mil for Q1 2026 | |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 11/24/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Revenue | 610.00 Mil | 620.00 Mil | 630.00 Mil | 3.3% | Raised | Guidance: 600.00 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 49.00 Mil | 51.00 Mil | 53.00 Mil | 8.5% | Raised | Guidance: 47.00 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boyd, William M Iii | Chief Strategy Officer | Direct | Sell | 1062026 | 63.89 | 5,115 | 326,810 | 1,226,672 | Form |
| 2 | Boyd, William M Iii | Chief Strategy Officer | The William M. Boyd, III Revocable Trust of 2015 | Sell | 1062026 | 69.00 | 15,000 | Form | ||
| 3 | Boyd, William M Iii | Chief Strategy Officer | Direct | Sell | 12172025 | 60.51 | 2,455 | 148,551 | 1,471,234 | Form |
| 4 | Softbank, Group Corp | SVF Sponsor III (DE) LLC | Sell | 12082025 | 53.21 | 3,500,000 | 186,243,750 | 297,457,875 | Form | |
| 5 | Svf, Sponsor Iii (de) Llc | SVF Sponsor III (DE) LLC | Sell | 12082025 | 53.21 | 3,500,000 | 186,243,750 | 297,457,875 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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