Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.0%
Key risks
KEX key risks include [1] its services segment's exposure to volatile oil and gas prices, Show more.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
 
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, and Future of Freight. Themes include US LNG, US Oilfield Technologies, Show more.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.0%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, and Future of Freight. Themes include US LNG, US Oilfield Technologies, Show more.
4 Key risks
KEX key risks include [1] its services segment's exposure to volatile oil and gas prices, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KEX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining why Kirby (KEX) stock likely moved by 13% in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat.

Kirby Corporation reported better-than-expected financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, with both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) surpassing analyst estimates. The company announced net earnings of $92.5 million, or $1.65 per diluted share, exceeding the analyst estimate of $1.64 per share and marking a 6% improvement over the previous year's third quarter. Consolidated revenues reached $871.2 million, outpacing the $854.7 million consensus estimate. 2. Robust Performance in the Distribution and Services Segment, Driven by Power Generation.

The Distribution and Services segment was a standout performer, with revenues climbing to $386.2 million in Q3 2025, an 11.9% year-over-year increase. This growth was significantly fueled by the power generation market, which saw a 56% year-over-year revenue increase due to strong demand from data centers and prime power customers. The segment's operating margin also improved to 11.0% from 8.8% a year ago.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KEX Return-42%15%8%22%35%3%22%
Peers Return-38%20%206%48%-7%7%234%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KEX Win Rate42%42%58%67%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate32%50%72%65%45%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KEX Max Drawdown-62%-7%-5%-6%-4%-24% 
Peers Max Drawdown-64%-3%-11%-13%-19%-32% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MATX, INSW, STNG, TDW, ASC. See KEX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKEXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-31.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven159 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-62.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven167.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,465 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-33.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,922 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-66.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven200.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven968 days1,480 days

Compare to MATX, TDW, DHT, SFL, CMDB


In The Past

Kirby's stock fell -31.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/17/2021. A -31.4% loss requires a 45.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Kirby (KEX)

Better Bets than Kirby (KEX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KEX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
KEX_9052025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09052025KEXKirbyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.4%22.4%-10.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
KEX_9052025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09052025KEXKirbyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.4%22.4%-10.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Kirby

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KEXMATXINSWSTNGTDWASCMedian
NameKirby Matson Internat.Scorpio .TidewaterArdmore . 
Mkt Price109.79124.2149.1151.8353.1811.1452.50
Mkt Cap6.13.92.42.42.60.52.5
Rev LTM3,3153,3837708901,3613091,125
Op Inc LTM46849022826428949277
FCF LTM29116271335292-43226
FCF 3Y Avg25830731471518878282
CFO LTM60554532844031878384
CFO 3Y Avg596606550778217145573

Growth & Margins

KEXMATXINSWSTNGTDWASCMedian
NameKirby Matson Internat.Scorpio .TidewaterArdmore . 
Rev Chg LTM1.6%1.9%-23.6%-35.4%4.4%-26.8%-11.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.9%-8.9%16.7%-6.8%36.0%-3.6%2.2%
Rev Chg Q4.8%-8.5%-12.8%-9.9%0.2%-15.5%-9.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.2%-2.4%-3.6%-2.9%0.1%-4.6%-2.6%
Op Mgn LTM14.1%14.5%29.6%29.7%21.3%15.8%18.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.5%13.4%45.7%45.7%19.0%29.5%24.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%-2.1%-1.7%-1.2%-0.6%-2.3%-1.4%
CFO/Rev LTM18.3%16.1%42.6%49.4%23.3%25.3%24.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg18.5%18.5%54.7%60.4%17.5%36.4%27.5%
FCF/Rev LTM8.8%4.8%9.2%37.7%21.5%-14.0%9.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.0%9.4%29.6%54.4%15.0%16.9%16.0%

Valuation

KEXMATXINSWSTNGTDWASCMedian
NameKirby Matson Internat.Scorpio .TidewaterArdmore . 
Mkt Cap6.13.92.42.42.60.52.5
P/S1.80.93.02.91.91.61.9
P/EBIT14.05.78.97.7-10.98.9
P/E20.07.210.59.217.413.612.0
P/CFO10.15.76.95.98.36.26.6
Total Yield5.0%14.2%16.7%14.0%5.7%10.6%12.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.4%7.1%3.1%0.0%3.2%1.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.6%8.1%13.5%24.4%-12.5%12.5%
D/E0.20.20.40.3-0.20.2
Net D/E0.20.20.20.1-0.10.2

Returns

KEXMATXINSWSTNGTDWASCMedian
NameKirby Matson Internat.Scorpio .TidewaterArdmore . 
1M Rtn2.3%18.7%-6.8%-15.8%-5.9%-12.5%-6.4%
3M Rtn32.9%17.4%1.9%-13.4%-6.8%-15.5%-2.5%
6M Rtn-2.7%13.0%23.9%18.9%13.0%7.2%13.0%
12M Rtn-0.9%-12.4%58.3%13.9%1.2%2.1%1.7%
3Y Rtn74.3%111.0%78.7%0.4%71.2%-11.0%72.8%
1M Excs Rtn1.6%17.9%-7.6%-16.6%-6.6%-13.3%-7.1%
3M Excs Rtn29.3%14.6%0.9%-13.9%-8.5%-15.9%-3.8%
6M Excs Rtn-15.1%0.6%11.6%6.5%0.6%-5.2%0.6%
12M Excs Rtn-17.6%-25.1%39.6%0.1%0.6%-10.1%-5.0%
3Y Excs Rtn0.0%43.8%4.6%-65.8%2.8%-81.5%1.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Marine Transportation (KMT)4,4554,2864,3194,7604,536
Distribution and Services (KDS)1,1561,0428938061,422
Other111227187358120
Total5,7225,5555,3995,9246,079


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,774,377
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-16.1%
Average Daily Volume645,298
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.75
Basic Shares Quantity55,626,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/202513.9%17.8%27.6%
7/31/20250.2%5.2%2.0%
5/1/20254.9%4.3%12.3%
1/30/2025-2.6%-4.4%-10.6%
10/30/2024-0.7%9.9%9.4%
8/1/2024-3.3%1.4%5.5%
4/25/2024-0.1%-2.3%9.1%
2/1/20241.7%2.5%8.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131717
# Negative1177
Median Positive2.8%4.0%8.4%
Median Negative-2.6%-4.4%-7.0%
Max Positive13.9%17.8%44.5%
Max Negative-8.4%-11.2%-24.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021218202210-K 12/31/2021