Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $85.91 | Market Cap: $10.5 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Research & Consulting Services
Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $85.91Market Cap: $10.5 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Research & Consulting Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.7%, FCF Yield is 7.8% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -74%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -86% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.1% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% | Key risksBAH key risks include [1] its near-total reliance on U.S. Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, Artificial Intelligence, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Cloud Security, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.7%, FCF Yield is 7.8% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 37% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, Artificial Intelligence, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Cloud Security, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -74%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -86% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.1% |
| Key risksBAH key risks include [1] its near-total reliance on U.S. Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BAH Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The provided search results indicate that the defense sector, including Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH), generally experienced positive performance and growth throughout 2024 and into early 2025, driven by geopolitical tensions and strong government contracts. There is no information within the search results that indicates a -21.1% stock movement for Booz Allen Hamilton from August 31, 2025, to December 20, 2025. This period is in the future, and therefore, actual events and stock movements for this specific timeframe are not available. However, based on general factors that could lead to a significant stock decline for a company in the defense and government consulting sector, here are five hypothetical key points:
1. Unexpected Reduction in Government Spending or Contract Awards: A significant and unanticipated cut in U.S. government defense or intelligence spending, or the loss of major, high-value government contracts, could severely impact Booz Allen Hamilton's revenue and future growth outlook, leading to a substantial stock drop.
2. Major Cybersecurity Breach or Data Exposure: Given Booz Allen Hamilton's role in sensitive government and national security projects, a high-profile cybersecurity breach or exposure of classified data could erode client trust, lead to penalties, and significantly damage its reputation and stock value.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BAH Return | 24% | -1% | 26% | 24% | 2% | -32% | 34% |
| Peers Return | 6% | 18% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 13% | 97% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BAH Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 58% | 67% | 67% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 58% | 55% | 60% | 67% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BAH Max Drawdown | -19% | -12% | -16% | -15% | -3% | -37% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -11% | -12% | -14% | -7% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LDOS, CACI, SAIC, ACN, GD. See BAH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BAH | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -28.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 173 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -27.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 67 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -19.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 214 days | 120 days |
Compare to
In The Past
Booz Allen Hamilton's stock fell -28.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/26/2021. A -28.0% loss requires a 38.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BAH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.0% | 18.0% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.6% | 2.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 3.6% | 3.6% | -0.4% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.0% | 18.0% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.6% | 2.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 3.6% | 3.6% | -0.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Booz Allen Hamilton
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 228.47 |
| Mkt Cap | 17.9 |
| Rev LTM | 14,519 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,574 |
| FCF LTM | 1,078 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 895 |
| CFO LTM | 1,208 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,020 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 17.9 |
| P/S | 1.4 |
| P/EBIT | 13.4 |
| P/E | 19.3 |
| P/CFO | 14.8 |
| Total Yield | 6.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 10.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 12.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 28.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 1.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -3.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -5.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -49.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/24/2025 | -8.9% | -17.4% | -18.9% |
| 5/23/2025 | -16.5% | -17.7% | -22.0% |
| 1/31/2025 | 0.1% | 0.2% | -20.0% |
| 10/25/2024 | 9.2% | 9.1% | -10.1% |
| 5/24/2024 | 4.0% | -0.1% | 3.6% |
| 1/26/2024 | 13.6% | 10.3% | 15.0% |
| 10/27/2023 | -3.3% | 1.1% | 5.8% |
| 5/26/2023 | 7.1% | 15.4% | 21.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| # Negative | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% |
| Median Negative | -4.6% | -6.7% | -10.1% |
| Max Positive | 13.6% | 15.4% | 21.9% |
| Max Negative | -16.5% | -17.7% | -22.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10242025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7252025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5232025 | 10-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 1312025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10252024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7262024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5242024 | 10-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 1262024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10272023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7282023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5262023 | 10-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 1272023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5202022 | 10-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 1282022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
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