Tearsheet

Core & Main (CNM)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $53.075 | Market Cap: $10.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors

Core & Main (CNM)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $53.075
Market Cap: $10.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -6.4%
Key risks
CNM key risks include [1] high sensitivity to cyclical construction markets, Show more.
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more.
  
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -6.4%
3 Key risks
CNM key risks include [1] high sensitivity to cyclical construction markets, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CNM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, Core & Main (CNM) experienced a significant stock movement, including a notable decline of approximately 18% in early September 2025. This downturn was primarily driven by the following key factors:

1. Core & Main missed fiscal second-quarter earnings and revenue expectations. The company reported fiscal second-quarter results, which ended August 3, 2025, falling short of Wall Street's estimates for both earnings per share and net sales. While adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.87 surpassed analyst expectations, net sales of $2.09 billion were below the anticipated $2.12 billion.

2. The company issued a lowered full-year guidance. Following the mixed second-quarter results, Core & Main reduced its full-year fiscal 2025 net sales forecast to a range of $7.6 billion to $7.7 billion, a narrower range compared to its earlier projection of $7.6 billion to $7.8 billion. This revision also included a trimmed estimate for adjusted EBITDA and operating cash flow.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CNM Return-36%109%26%7%
Peers Return4%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CNM Win Rate60%25%83%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate52%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CNM Max Drawdown-38%0%-6%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FERG, MWA, SITE, WSO, AIT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCNMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven66.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven196 days464 days

Compare to WSO, UHAL, URI, FERG, FAST


In The Past

Core & Main's stock fell -40.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/29/2021. A -40.0% loss requires a 66.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Core & Main (CNM)

Better Bets than Core & Main (CNM)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CNM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Core & Main

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CNMFERGMWASITEWSOAITMedian
NameCore & M.Ferguson.Mueller .SiteOne .Watsco Applied . 
Mkt Price53.07225.0024.73127.55346.23256.73176.28
Mkt Cap10.244.14.05.713.19.710.0
Rev LTM7,76431,1591,4304,6727,4144,6646,043
Op Inc LTM7282,789269218734514621
FCF LTM5751,647172205517455486
FCF 3Y Avg7561,765142230540407473
CFO LTM6171,993219255549484516
CFO 3Y Avg7932,145189274573434503

Growth & Margins

CNMFERGMWASITEWSOAITMedian
NameCore & M.Ferguson.Mueller .SiteOne .Watsco Applied . 
Rev Chg LTM8.1%4.9%8.7%4.0%-0.7%4.0%4.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.0%1.6%4.7%5.9%1.0%5.5%5.1%
Rev Chg Q1.2%5.1%9.4%4.1%-4.3%9.2%4.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.3%1.3%2.3%1.1%-1.2%2.2%1.2%
Op Mgn LTM9.4%9.0%18.8%4.7%9.9%11.0%9.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.2%8.9%15.3%5.1%10.2%11.0%10.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%0.2%1.4%0.3%-0.1%0.1%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM7.9%6.4%15.3%5.5%7.4%10.4%7.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.2%7.1%14.0%6.2%7.7%9.6%8.7%
FCF/Rev LTM7.4%5.3%12.0%4.4%7.0%9.8%7.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.7%5.9%10.5%5.2%7.3%9.0%8.1%

Valuation

CNMFERGMWASITEWSOAITMedian
NameCore & M.Ferguson.Mueller .SiteOne .Watsco Applied . 
Mkt Cap10.244.14.05.713.19.710.0
P/S1.31.42.81.22.12.11.7
P/EBIT---26.420.918.420.9
P/E23.522.520.841.529.324.524.0
P/CFO16.622.118.222.627.920.421.2
Total Yield4.2%4.4%5.3%2.4%6.4%4.4%4.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.5%0.0%3.0%0.4%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg---3.5%3.4%5.1%3.5%
D/E---0.20.00.10.1
Net D/E---0.1-0.00.00.0

Returns

CNMFERGMWASITEWSOAITMedian
NameCore & M.Ferguson.Mueller .SiteOne .Watsco Applied . 
1M Rtn18.1%-4.5%7.9%-0.9%2.5%6.7%4.6%
3M Rtn8.1%0.6%-2.0%-6.1%-9.9%-0.9%-1.4%
6M Rtn-5.5%5.8%6.3%9.1%-17.0%13.9%6.1%
12M Rtn2.1%23.7%4.7%-9.0%-30.1%1.7%1.9%
3Y Rtn167.0%-136.6%9.1%46.8%112.7%112.7%
1M Excs Rtn17.3%-5.3%7.2%-1.6%1.7%6.0%3.8%
3M Excs Rtn4.0%-2.8%-4.6%-7.8%-10.5%-3.5%-4.0%
6M Excs Rtn-17.9%-6.6%-6.1%-3.3%-29.4%1.5%-6.3%
12M Excs Rtn-9.4%11.0%-8.2%-20.8%-41.4%-12.4%-10.9%
3Y Excs Rtn89.3%-54.8%-62.6%-27.7%35.9%35.9%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2025202420232022
Pipes, valves & fittings products4,5044,5483,3612,373
Storm drainage products985949687489
Fire protection products688701565414
Meter products525453391366
Total6,7026,6515,0043,642


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity11,955,224
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-1.4%
Average Daily Volume2,860,637
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.18
Basic Shares Quantity190,214,298
Short % of Basic Shares6.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/9/20252.1%9.7% 
9/9/2025-25.4%-25.3%-23.6%
6/10/2025-2.1%-5.6%3.8%
3/25/2025-0.2%-2.7%1.6%
12/3/202415.5%11.5%6.3%
9/4/2024-15.8%-18.5%-6.5%
6/4/2024-14.5%-14.7%-12.8%
3/19/20247.5%12.7%8.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive12810
# Negative6108
Median Positive2.8%6.9%5.3%
Median Negative-10.5%-5.8%-6.5%
Max Positive15.5%12.7%18.4%
Max Negative-25.4%-25.3%-23.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251209202510-Q 11/2/2025
7312025909202510-Q 8/3/2025
4302025610202510-Q 5/4/2025
1312025325202510-K 2/2/2025
103120241203202410-Q 10/27/2024
7312024904202410-Q 7/28/2024
4302024604202410-Q 4/28/2024
1312024319202410-K 1/28/2024
103120231205202310-Q 10/29/2023
7312023906202310-Q 7/30/2023
4302023606202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023328202310-K 1/29/2023
103120221213202210-Q 10/30/2022
7312022913202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022614202210-Q 5/1/2022
1312022330202210-K 1/30/2022