Tearsheet

ArcBest (ARCB)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $68.6 | Market Cap: $1.6 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

ArcBest (ARCB)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $68.6
Market Cap: $1.6 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.8%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -91%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -86%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.4%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.8%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -91%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -86%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.4%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ARCB Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -5.5% stock movement for ArcBest (ARCB) from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025: 1. Mixed Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results.

ArcBest reported mixed financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on November 5, 2025. While the company exceeded non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) estimates, reporting $1.46 against an anticipated $1.40 or $1.37, it fell slightly short on revenue, achieving $1.05 billion compared to analyst estimates of $1.06 billion. This mixed performance, particularly the revenue miss and a year-over-year decline in net income from continuing operations to $39.3 million from $100.3 million in Q3 2024, led to initial downward pressure on the stock. 2. Unfavorable Fourth Quarter 2025 Outlook.

Management provided a cautious outlook for the fourth quarter of 2025, anticipating a "tough Q4" despite gains from AI-driven productivity. The company projected a significant 400 basis points of sequential margin deterioration in its asset-based segment and an expected non-GAAP operating loss of $1 million to $3 million in the asset-light segment. This guidance reflected continued softness in the broader freight market and the impact of three fewer workdays in the quarter, contributing to investor uncertainty.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ARCB Return57%182%-41%72%-22%-25%162%
Peers Return30%41%-15%54%10%-2%160%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ARCB Win Rate58%92%42%67%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate60%68%40%62%53%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ARCB Max Drawdown-41%0%-44%-2%-22%-39% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-3%-30%-7%-14%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: XPO, R, WERN, ODFL, JBHT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventARCBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven82.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven545 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-44.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven78.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-50.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven103.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven617 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-64.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven179.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1924 days1480 days

Compare to XPO, R, WERN, ODFL, JBHT


In The Past

ArcBest's stock fell -45.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/29/2021. A -45.2% loss requires a 82.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About ArcBest (ARCB)

Better Bets than ArcBest (ARCB)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ARCB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for ArcBest

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ARCBXPORWERNODFLJBHTMedian
NameArcBest XPO Ryder Sy.Werner E.Old Domi.JB Hunt . 
Mkt Price69.55140.85180.0128.79153.51187.53147.18
Mkt Cap1.616.67.31.732.218.012.0
Rev LTM4,0398,06712,7082,9915,57512,0496,821
Op Inc LTM1117061,112541,391826766
FCF LTM66232-88-55921790149
FCF 3Y Avg83-206-458-88827388-3
CFO LTM2419492,4031911,4611,6101,205
CFO 3Y Avg3048082,3293471,5501,6471,179

Growth & Margins

ARCBXPORWERNODFLJBHTMedian
NameArcBest XPO Ryder Sy.Werner E.Old Domi.JB Hunt . 
Rev Chg LTM-5.3%-0.3%1.3%-3.4%-5.9%-1.6%-2.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-5.8%38.4%2.0%-2.1%-3.3%-6.3%-2.7%
Rev Chg Q-1.4%2.8%-0.3%3.5%-4.3%-0.5%-0.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.4%0.7%-0.1%0.9%-1.1%-0.1%-0.1%
Op Mgn LTM2.7%8.8%8.8%1.8%24.9%6.9%7.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.8%8.0%8.8%3.9%26.9%7.2%7.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%0.1%0.0%-1.0%-0.4%0.2%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM6.0%11.8%18.9%6.4%26.2%13.4%12.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.1%10.1%18.7%10.9%26.8%13.1%12.0%
FCF/Rev LTM1.6%2.9%-0.7%-1.8%16.5%6.6%2.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.9%-2.6%-3.7%-2.7%14.3%3.2%-0.3%

Valuation

ARCBXPORWERNODFLJBHTMedian
NameArcBest XPO Ryder Sy.Werner E.Old Domi.JB Hunt . 
Mkt Cap1.616.67.31.732.218.012.0
P/S0.41.90.60.55.31.10.8
P/EBIT11.122.97.020.721.215.518.1
P/E16.345.915.362.327.922.525.2
P/CFO6.616.13.28.320.28.08.1
Total Yield6.8%2.2%8.4%3.8%4.4%5.8%5.1%
Dividend Yield0.7%0.0%1.9%2.2%0.8%1.3%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.8%-1.8%-8.5%-4.0%2.2%2.8%0.2%
D/E0.30.31.20.50.00.10.3
Net D/E0.20.21.10.40.00.10.2

Returns

ARCBXPORWERNODFLJBHTMedian
NameArcBest XPO Ryder Sy.Werner E.Old Domi.JB Hunt . 
1M Rtn-2.4%0.1%8.1%9.5%8.8%8.6%8.4%
3M Rtn-6.4%7.7%-4.1%0.4%3.4%29.4%1.9%
6M Rtn10.3%20.7%22.7%7.7%-3.5%35.6%15.5%
12M Rtn-35.2%-9.2%10.5%-26.3%-26.7%2.5%-17.8%
3Y Rtn-10.0%292.6%121.6%-30.8%7.9%8.8%8.3%
1M Excs Rtn-3.7%-1.1%6.9%8.2%7.5%7.4%7.1%
3M Excs Rtn-13.8%1.8%-9.1%-4.7%-3.7%25.0%-4.2%
6M Excs Rtn-5.1%5.3%7.3%-7.7%-18.9%20.1%0.1%
12M Excs Rtn-50.4%-22.2%-5.3%-41.7%-44.5%-13.1%-32.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-86.4%200.6%34.7%-103.7%-66.3%-65.8%-66.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Asset-Based2,8713,0112,5742,0922,077
Asset-Light1,6812,139   
Other and eliminations-124-121-148-1365
ArcBest  1,301779731
FleetNet  254205175
Total4,4275,0293,9802,9402,988


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Asset-Based25338126199102
Asset-Light-1253   
Other and eliminations-68-39-31-14-23
ArcBest  4610-20
FleetNet  535
Total1733952819864


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,257,375
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202519.2%
Average Daily Volume316,975
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.97
Basic Shares Quantity22,718,292
Short % of Basic Shares5.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Hogan Michael P5092025Buy59.003,418201,6621,927,176Form
1Beasley John MatthewCHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER3132025Buy74.8970052,423609,754Form