Tearsheet

Norfolk Southern (NSC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $293.08 | Market Cap: $65.8 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Rail Transportation

Norfolk Southern (NSC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $293.08
Market Cap: $65.8 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Rail Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NSC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The request asks for an analysis of Norfolk Southern (NSC) stock movement (5.5%) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to today (December 4, 2025). As these dates are in the future, I cannot provide a factual explanation for a stock movement that has not yet occurred. However, I can provide information on key factors that have influenced Norfolk Southern's stock performance and the broader rail industry in recent periods for which information is available. Here are some key points that have been relevant to Norfolk Southern's stock performance and the rail industry: 1. Financial Performance and Operating Ratios. Norfolk Southern reported its fourth quarter and full-year 2024 financial results, with full-year 2024 revenue at $12.1 billion and diluted earnings per share at $11.57. The company also achieved an operating ratio of 66.4% for full-year 2024, an improvement of 1,010 basis points compared to 76.5% in 2023. Improvements in operating ratio and income from railway operations can positively influence investor sentiment.

2. Productivity Initiatives and Network Efficiencies. Norfolk Southern has emphasized productivity initiatives and network efficiencies as drivers of its performance. The company's management stated that its network is running fast, terminals are more efficient, and service metrics are steady, leading to increased customer business. These operational improvements are key to driving long-term value.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NSC Return25%27%-16%-2%2%27%70%
Peers Return26%19%-9%10%-7%7%50%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NSC Win Rate67%50%33%42%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate70%50%37%52%45%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NSC Max Drawdown-38%-2%-30%-24%-10%-12% 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-6%-20%-12%-11%-10% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: UNP, CSX, CP, CNI, NSC. See NSC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNSCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven61.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven703 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-44.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven80.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven158 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven95 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-63.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven173.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven780 days1480 days

Compare to UNP, CSX, CP, CNI, NSC


In The Past

Norfolk Southern's stock fell -38.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -38.0% loss requires a 61.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Norfolk Southern (NSC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NSC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
NSC_4302023_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04302023NSCNorfolk SouthernMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-8.0%22.0%-8.0%
NSC_10312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312022NSCNorfolk SouthernMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.5%-14.4%-17.2%
NSC_4302022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04302022NSCNorfolk SouthernMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-10.3%-19.6%-21.1%
NSC_3312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03312020NSCNorfolk SouthernDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
49.4%87.4%-4.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
NSC_4302023_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04302023NSCNorfolk SouthernMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-8.0%22.0%-8.0%
NSC_10312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312022NSCNorfolk SouthernMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.5%-14.4%-17.2%
NSC_4302022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04302022NSCNorfolk SouthernMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-10.3%-19.6%-21.1%
NSC_3312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03312020NSCNorfolk SouthernDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
49.4%87.4%-4.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Norfolk Southern

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NSCUNPCSXCPCNIMedian
NameNorfolk .Union Pa.CSX Canadian.Canadian. 
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Growth & Margins

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Valuation

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Returns

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Intermodal3,0903,6813,1632,6542,824
Agriculture, forest and consumer products2,5302,4932,2512,1162,256
Chemicals2,0542,1481,9511,8092,092
Coal1,7131,7331,3101,0471,669
Metals and construction1,6341,6521,5621,3331,461
Automotive1,1351,038905830994
Total12,15612,74511,1429,78911,296


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,297,896
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202517.0%
Average Daily Volume1,247,501
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.85
Basic Shares Quantity224,400,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251023202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025423202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024210202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241022202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024726202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024424202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023205202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231025202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022203202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221026202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021204202210-K 12/31/2021