Tearsheet

Sterling Infrastructure (STRL)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $308.725 | Market Cap: $9.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Construction & Engineering

Sterling Infrastructure (STRL)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $308.725
Market Cap: $9.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Construction & Engineering

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 183%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Datacenter Power, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more.
Key risks
STRL key risks include [1] significant customer concentration, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Datacenter Power, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more.
2 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 183%
3 Key risks
STRL key risks include [1] significant customer concentration, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

STRL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results and Raised Full-Year Guidance. Sterling Infrastructure reported robust third-quarter 2025 results, with revenue increasing 32% year-over-year and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) growing 58% to $3.48, significantly beating analyst estimates. The company also substantially raised its full-year 2025 guidance for revenue, diluted EPS, and adjusted EBITDA, signaling strong confidence in future performance.

2. Exceptional Growth in E-Infrastructure Solutions Segment. The E-Infrastructure Solutions segment was a primary driver of growth, with revenue increasing 58% in Q3 2025, largely due to high demand for data center projects. This segment's backlog grew 97% year-over-year by Q3 2025, with data center-related revenue accounting for over 60% of its backlog by Q4 2024. Management forecasts E-Infrastructure revenue growth of 30% or higher organically and nearing 50% including acquisitions for 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
STRL Return32%41%25%168%92%79%2047%
Peers Return25%37%3%30%70%35%422%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
STRL Win Rate67%75%50%58%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate60%60%55%63%65%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
STRL Max Drawdown-48%-4%-21%-4%-18%-38% 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-6%-27%-12%-11%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PWR, MTZ, PRIM, GVA, ACM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSTRLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven38 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-51.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven106.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven90 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-44.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven725 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-64.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven183.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4,731 days1,480 days

Compare to DY, FLR, GVA, CDNL, KWF


In The Past

Sterling Infrastructure's stock fell -34.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2022. A -34.6% loss requires a 53.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Sterling Infrastructure (STRL)

Better Bets than Sterling Infrastructure (STRL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to STRL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%
STRL_11142025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11142025STRLSterling InfrastructureQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-8.9%-8.9%-16.3%
STRL_12312024_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%12312024STRLSterling InfrastructureQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
32.1%83.2%-37.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%
STRL_11142025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11142025STRLSterling InfrastructureQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-8.9%-8.9%-16.3%
STRL_12312024_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%12312024STRLSterling InfrastructureQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
32.1%83.2%-37.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Sterling Infrastructure

Peers to compare with:

Financials

STRLPWRMTZPRIMGVAACMMedian
NameSterling.Quanta S.MasTec Primoris.Granite .AECOM  
Mkt Price308.58426.66218.18125.19115.4596.72171.69
Mkt Cap9.463.617.06.85.112.811.1
Rev LTM2,23327,19113,7627,4594,23616,14010,611
Op Inc LTM3571,5485834242571,059504
FCF LTM3621,252417489346685453
FCF 3Y Avg3671,266548288204661458
CFO LTM4281,814645626462822635
CFO 3Y Avg4371,781739407333782588

Growth & Margins

STRLPWRMTZPRIMGVAACMMedian
NameSterling.Quanta S.MasTec Primoris.Granite .AECOM  
Rev Chg LTM6.2%18.7%13.0%21.5%6.9%0.2%9.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg13.1%17.9%17.8%23.9%8.7%7.2%15.5%
Rev Chg Q16.0%17.5%22.0%32.1%12.4%1.6%16.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.5%4.4%5.5%7.6%3.9%0.4%4.4%
Op Mgn LTM16.0%5.7%4.2%5.7%6.1%6.6%5.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.7%5.4%2.6%5.0%3.9%5.9%5.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.3%0.1%0.3%0.1%0.7%0.2%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM19.2%6.7%4.7%8.4%10.9%5.1%7.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg20.9%7.7%5.9%6.1%8.3%5.0%6.9%
FCF/Rev LTM16.2%4.6%3.0%6.6%8.2%4.2%5.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg17.6%5.4%4.4%4.3%4.9%4.2%4.7%

Valuation

STRLPWRMTZPRIMGVAACMMedian
NameSterling.Quanta S.MasTec Primoris.Granite .AECOM  
Mkt Cap9.463.617.06.85.112.811.1
P/S4.22.31.20.91.20.81.2
P/EBIT20.239.127.816.015.911.618.1
P/E29.862.551.224.427.722.828.8
P/CFO22.035.026.310.810.915.618.8
Total Yield3.4%1.7%2.0%4.3%3.8%5.4%3.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.1%0.0%0.2%0.2%1.0%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.2%3.0%5.7%6.8%4.7%4.7%5.2%
D/E0.00.10.20.10.30.30.2
Net D/E0.00.10.10.10.20.10.1

Returns

STRLPWRMTZPRIMGVAACMMedian
NameSterling.Quanta S.MasTec Primoris.Granite .AECOM  
1M Rtn-7.7%-4.2%10.7%2.2%12.4%-14.4%-1.0%
3M Rtn-14.3%9.8%8.6%-2.8%5.1%-26.8%1.2%
6M Rtn41.6%18.3%33.3%69.4%30.0%-11.3%31.6%
12M Rtn76.6%32.4%65.2%57.0%29.0%-8.8%44.7%
3Y Rtn912.7%200.4%155.0%496.3%236.8%18.8%218.6%
1M Excs Rtn-10.6%-7.1%7.8%-0.7%9.5%-17.3%-3.9%
3M Excs Rtn-18.1%5.7%3.3%-7.9%2.4%-29.2%-2.8%
6M Excs Rtn25.3%3.3%17.7%51.1%13.5%-26.3%15.6%
12M Excs Rtn61.8%14.0%46.8%42.5%13.6%-24.5%28.2%
3Y Excs Rtn796.6%110.7%73.7%423.0%159.5%-54.1%135.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
E-Infrastructure Solutions937905469397 
Transportation Solutions631543628754 
Building Solutions404322317276 
Heavy Civil    760
Residential    153
Specialty Services    213
Total1,9721,7691,4141,4271,126


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
E-Infrastructure Solutions1411218077 
Building Solutions46373330 
Transportation Solutions42272014 
Acquisition Related Costs-1-1-4-1-4
Corporate-22-24-22-25 
Heavy Civil    3
Residential    21
Specialty Services    18
Total2061601079538


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
E-Infrastructure Solutions924880773471 
Corporate3861372354 
Building Solutions246178143143 
Transportation Solutions222247203285 
Discontinued Operations  93  
Heavy Civil    271
Residential    87
Specialty Services    577
Total1,7771,4421,235953935


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,553,396
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-5.2%
Average Daily Volume554,160
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.61
Basic Shares Quantity30,519,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/2025-2.6%-2.1%-15.4%
8/4/20259.1%6.7%0.8%
2/25/20255.4%5.5%8.3%
11/6/2024-0.6%6.4%11.6%
8/5/20243.5%3.0%6.7%
5/6/202415.8%21.6%10.6%
2/26/202418.1%23.8%25.4%
11/6/2023-15.9%-11.0%-10.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121313
# Negative766
Median Positive5.2%8.7%8.6%
Median Negative-4.4%-5.0%-6.2%
Max Positive22.3%29.7%29.6%
Max Negative-15.9%-22.1%-30.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0O'Brien Dana C. 6182025Sell206.5810,1542,097,6133,408,157Form
1CUTILLO JOSEPH AChief Executive Officer3042025Buy124.328,1201,009,51158,823,528Form
2O'Brien Dana C. 12182024Sell175.892,000351,7784,555,704Form