LATAM Airlines (LTM)
Market Price (3/15/2026): $47.6 | Market Cap: $13.7 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Passenger Airlines
LATAM Airlines (LTM)
Market Price (3/15/2026): $47.6Market Cap: $13.7 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Passenger Airlines
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 2.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.8% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Advanced Aviation & Space, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 2.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.8% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Advanced Aviation & Space, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Q4 2025 Financial Performance and Positive 2026 Outlook.
LATAM Airlines reported robust financial results for Q4 2025, with total revenues increasing by 16.3% year-over-year to $3.95 billion, and passenger revenue rising by 20.3%. The company's adjusted operating income surged by 42.7% to $661 million, and net income increased by 78.1% to $484 million. Diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.69 significantly beat analysts' expectations of $1.32 by 28.03%. This strong performance and an optimistic 2026 outlook, projecting capacity growth of 8-10% and an adjusted operating margin between 15-17%, likely provided a significant positive impetus, contributing to the stock reaching an all-time high of $68.46 on February 2, 2026.
2. Sustained Recovery and Growth in the South American Aviation Market.
The broader South American aviation market maintained its recovery momentum into 2026, building on a strong 2025 where regional traffic grew 3.8% year-over-year. The market is projected to grow from $11.20 billion in 2025 to $11.45 billion in 2026, with an estimated CAGR of 1.84% over 2026-2031. LATAM Airlines reinforced its position as the region's largest operator, increasing seats by 6.5% year-over-year in Q1 2026 to 26.8 million. This favorable macroeconomic environment and LATAM's dominant market share provided underlying support for the stock, helping to maintain its level despite post-earnings fluctuations.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 1.4% change in LTM stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 12.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 46.96 | 47.62 | 1.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 13,728 | 14,265 | 3.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 10.9 | 9.4 | -14.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 290 | 287 | 1.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 1.4% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LTM | 1.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | -3.1% | 41.8% |
| Sector (XLI) | 7.1% | 36.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -2.7% change in LTM stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -25.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 48.94 | 47.62 | -2.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 13,174 | 14,265 | 8.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.9% | 10.2% | 15.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 12.5 | 9.4 | -25.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 299 | 287 | 4.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -2.7% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LTM | -2.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.0% | 37.3% |
| Sector (XLI) | 8.8% | 39.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 61.1% change in LTM stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 65.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 29.56 | 47.62 | 61.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 12,707 | 14,265 | 12.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.2% | 10.2% | 65.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.3 | 9.4 | -17.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 302 | 287 | 5.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 61.1% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LTM | 61.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.4% | 43.1% |
| Sector (XLI) | 22.0% | 45.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 11967.9% change in LTM stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 383706.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 0.39 | 47.62 | 11967.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 8,591 | 14,265 | 66.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.0 | 1.0 | 383706.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 5 | 287 | -98.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 11967.9% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LTM | 11967.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 73.4% | -2.3% |
| Sector (XLI) | 70.2% | 2.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LTM Return | -76% | 18% | 22% | 4577% | 108% | -7% | 3033% |
| Peers Return | 1% | -20% | 4% | 60% | 4% | -16% | 19% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 80% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LTM Win Rate | 33% | 42% | 42% | 58% | 75% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 43% | 50% | 43% | 63% | 55% | 33% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LTM Max Drawdown | -82% | -80% | -41% | -92% | -4% | -11% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -12% | -29% | -18% | -16% | -40% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -2% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AAL, UAL, DAL, LUV, ALK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/13/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LTM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -97.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 3536.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 661 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -89.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 851.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,519 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -55.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 124.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,793 days | 120 days |
Compare to AAL, UAL, DAL, LUV, ALK
In The Past
LATAM Airlines's stock fell -97.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/1/2021. A -97.2% loss requires a 3536.4% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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About LATAM Airlines (LTM)
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. It's like the Delta Airlines or American Airlines of South America, serving as a major international carrier for passengers and cargo across the continent.
2. A full-service international airline similar to Lufthansa or British Airways, but primarily focused on connecting Latin America and the world.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Passenger Air Transportation: Provides scheduled flights for individuals traveling to various domestic and international destinations.
- Cargo Air Transportation: Offers freight services for businesses and individuals to transport goods by air across its network.
- Loyalty Programs: Manages programs that reward frequent travelers with benefits such as points, upgrades, and exclusive offers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
LATAM Airlines Group S.A. (LTM) sells primarily to individuals through its passenger transport services. The major categories of individual customers it serves include:
- Leisure Travelers: Individuals and families traveling for tourism, vacations, and recreational purposes.
- Business Travelers: Individuals traveling for corporate purposes, meetings, conferences, and work-related activities.
- Visiting Friends and Relatives (VFR) Travelers: Individuals traveling to visit friends and family, often connecting communities across the diverse regions LATAM serves.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Trade Ideas
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02272026 | EFX | Equifax | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02202026 | LZ | LegalZoom.com | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.2% | 7.2% | -5.0% |
| 02132026 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.1% | 1.1% | -3.0% |
| 02132026 | TREX | Trex | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.2% | -3.2% | -5.9% |
| 02132026 | PCTY | Paylocity | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.6% | -0.6% | -4.8% |
Research & Analysis
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Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 43.19 |
| Mkt Cap | 18.6 |
| Rev LTM | 41,348 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,981 |
| FCF LTM | -339 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 54 |
| CFO LTM | 1,930 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,015 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -2.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 0.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 18.6 |
| P/S | 0.5 |
| P/EBIT | 5.8 |
| P/E | 26.6 |
| P/CFO | 3.5 |
| Total Yield | 7.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 0.7% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -24.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -17.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -10.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 25.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 53.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -21.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -16.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -14.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 4.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -32.4% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $47.62 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 13.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/07/2014 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -30.4% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $58.33 | $47.38 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -18.4% | 0.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 41.9% | 35.2% |
| Downside Capture | 209.38 | 85.59 |
| Upside Capture | 169.44 | 116.24 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 41.4% | 43.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.02 | 1.13 | 1.20 | 0.97 | 0.72 | -44.28 |
| Up Beta | 0.58 | 0.25 | 0.49 | 0.42 | 0.56 | 0.62 |
| Down Beta | -1.39 | -0.24 | -0.23 | 0.32 | 0.70 | 44.06 |
| Up Capture | 85% | 243% | 298% | 165% | 128% | 32% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 24 | 33 | 66 | 145 | 365 |
| Down Capture | 275% | 173% | 144% | 129% | 75% | -2819% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 17 | 27 | 55 | 102 | 341 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LTM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LTM | 59.9% | 35.1% | 1.39 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 28.0% | 19.2% | 1.16 | 45.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 19.6% | 18.9% | 0.81 | 43.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 71.9% | 26.3% | 2.05 | 10.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.3% | 17.3% | 0.89 | 7.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.2% | 16.3% | 0.19 | 27.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -15.3% | 44.2% | -0.25 | 23.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LTM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LTM | -44.0% | 100.2% | -0.02 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.4% | 17.1% | 0.62 | 17.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.1% | 17.0% | 0.61 | 13.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.1% | 17.3% | 1.14 | 1.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.2% | 19.0% | 0.47 | 6.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 18.8% | 0.16 | 9.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 6.3% | 56.7% | 0.33 | 0.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LTM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LTM | -34.1% | 85.7% | -0.02 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.8% | 19.8% | 0.61 | 26.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 17.9% | 0.70 | 23.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.4% | 15.6% | 0.77 | 3.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 13.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 21.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.4% | 66.8% | 1.07 | 3.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 03/05/2026 | 20-F |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/17/2025 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/29/2025 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/28/2025 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/13/2025 | 20-F |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/06/2024 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/03/2024 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 20-F |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/31/2023 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/10/2023 | 20-F |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/10/2022 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/11/2022 | 6-K |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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