LATAM Airlines (LTM)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $51.84 | Market Cap: $15.1 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Passenger Airlines
LATAM Airlines (LTM)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $51.84Market Cap: $15.1 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Passenger Airlines
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.4% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.8%, Dist 3Y High is -3.8% | Key risksLTM key risks include [1] significant exposure to foreign exchange rate fluctuations from its extensive operations in various South American countries. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Advanced Aviation & Space, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.4% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Advanced Aviation & Space, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.8%, Dist 3Y High is -3.8% |
| Key risksLTM key risks include [1] significant exposure to foreign exchange rate fluctuations from its extensive operations in various South American countries. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LTM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results.
LATAM Airlines Group SA released its third-quarter 2025 results on November 17, 2025, reporting strong financial performance that exceeded analyst expectations. This led to a 5.89% rise in the airline's stock in premarket trading. The company announced total revenues of $3.86 billion, a 17.3% increase from the previous year, with net income rising to $379 million, a 25.8% improvement. Adjusted operating income surged by 51.6% to $698 million.
2. Strategic Fleet Expansion.
A key announcement in the third quarter was LATAM's agreement with Embraer for the acquisition of up to 74 Embraer E195-E2 aircraft. This includes 24 firm orders scheduled for delivery between Q4 2026 and 2027, along with 50 purchase options for 2027-2030. This strategic investment aims to enhance regional connectivity in South America and improve fuel efficiency by 30% per seat, supporting the group's long-term growth.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LTM Return | -83% | -76% | 18% | 22% | 4577% | 104% | 475% |
| Peers Return | -33% | 1% | -20% | 4% | 60% | 7% | -3% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LTM Win Rate | 42% | 33% | 42% | 42% | 58% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 43% | 50% | 43% | 63% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LTM Max Drawdown | -89% | -82% | -80% | -41% | -92% | -4% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -67% | -12% | -29% | -18% | -16% | -40% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AAL, UAL, DAL, LUV, ALK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LTM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -97.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 3536.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 661 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -89.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 851.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,519 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -55.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 124.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,793 days | 120 days |
Compare to RJET, AL, JBLU, DAL, UAL
In The Past
LATAM Airlines's stock fell -97.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/1/2021. A -97.2% loss requires a 3536.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LTM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for LATAM Airlines
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 51.55 |
| Mkt Cap | 18.2 |
| Rev LTM | 40,922 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,180 |
| FCF LTM | 882 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 962 |
| CFO LTM | 3,771 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,667 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 12.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 1.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 18.2 |
| P/S | 0.6 |
| P/EBIT | 6.4 |
| P/E | 12.0 |
| P/CFO | 4.3 |
| Total Yield | 9.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 25.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 14.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 43.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 16.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 68.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 24.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 13.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 31.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 4.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -9.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11172025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7292025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4282025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3132025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10312023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3102023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8102022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5112022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3302022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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