Tearsheet

ExlService (EXLS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $40.02 | Market Cap: $6.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Data Processing & Outsourced Services

ExlService (EXLS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $40.02
Market Cap: $6.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Data Processing & Outsourced Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -7.1%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -65%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Automation & Robotics, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Automation & Robotics, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -7.1%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -65%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

EXLS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -8.2% stock movement for ExlService (EXLS) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Market reaction to Q3 2025 Earnings: Despite reporting strong Q3 2025 results on October 28, 2025, which included an earnings per share (EPS) beat and raised full-year guidance, the stock experienced a decline. This was largely attributed to market concerns over a slight revenue shortfall compared to analyst consensus estimates.

2. Concerns regarding intensifying competition in AI-driven business services: The positive aspects of the Q3 earnings report were overshadowed by investor anxieties about increasing competition within the AI-driven business services sector, which contributed to the stock's downward pressure.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
EXLS Return23%70%17%-9%44%-10%186%
Peers Return12%39%-24%11%-1%-13%14%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
EXLS Win Rate75%75%58%50%75%40% 
Peers Win Rate58%60%42%58%52%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
EXLS Max Drawdown-38%-10%-22%-26%-6%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-10%-38%-20%-26%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: IBM, ACN, EPAM, G, XRX. See EXLS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventEXLSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven337 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-46.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven86.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven230 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven179 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-80.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven424.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1439 days1480 days

Compare to IBM, ACN, EPAM, G, XRX


In The Past

ExlService's stock fell -33.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/10/2022. A -33.3% loss requires a 49.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About ExlService (EXLS)

Better Bets than ExlService (EXLS)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to EXLS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
EXLS_1312022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%01312022EXLSExlServiceQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
39.5%41.6%-5.8%
EXLS_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020EXLSExlServiceDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
26.9%73.3%-10.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
EXLS_1312022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%01312022EXLSExlServiceQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
39.5%41.6%-5.8%
EXLS_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020EXLSExlServiceDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
26.9%73.3%-10.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for ExlService

Peers to compare with:

Financials

EXLSIBMACNEPAMGXRXMedian
NameExlServi.Internat.AccentureEPAM Sys.Genpact Xerox  
Mkt Price40.19302.62272.85200.0045.202.71122.60
Mkt Cap6.5282.6169.911.17.80.39.5
Rev LTM2,02665,40269,6735,2985,0096,1745,736
Op Inc LTM30711,54410,226507753131630
FCF LTM28711,85410,874459642302551
FCF 3Y Avg20811,7539,495523545376534
CFO LTM33913,48311,474502729367616
CFO 3Y Avg25913,49810,043560621425590

Growth & Margins

EXLSIBMACNEPAMGXRXMedian
NameExlServi.Internat.AccentureEPAM Sys.Genpact Xerox  
Rev Chg LTM14.4%4.5%7.4%14.3%7.4%-5.0%7.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg15.0%2.6%4.2%4.3%4.9%-3.7%4.3%
Rev Chg Q12.2%9.1%7.3%19.4%6.6%-0.1%8.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.9%2.1%1.7%4.5%1.6%-0.0%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM15.1%17.7%14.7%9.6%15.0%2.1%14.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg14.6%16.4%14.4%11.0%14.4%3.7%14.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%0.6%-0.7%-1.1%0.1%-0.6%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM16.7%20.6%16.5%9.5%14.6%5.9%15.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.3%21.4%15.1%11.5%13.1%6.5%13.7%
FCF/Rev LTM14.2%18.1%15.6%8.7%12.8%4.9%13.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.4%18.6%14.3%10.8%11.5%5.7%11.5%

Valuation

EXLSIBMACNEPAMGXRXMedian
NameExlServi.Internat.AccentureEPAM Sys.Genpact Xerox  
Mkt Cap6.5282.6169.911.17.80.39.5
P/S3.54.02.21.61.50.11.9
P/EBIT21.523.214.616.59.1-0.615.6
P/E29.333.320.022.513.2-0.521.3
P/CFO20.919.513.416.710.01.815.0
Total Yield3.4%5.4%7.4%4.4%9.2%-214.5%4.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.4%2.4%0.0%1.6%0.0%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.4%6.4%5.2%4.7%7.8%31.5%5.8%
D/E0.10.30.10.00.25.90.1
Net D/E0.00.2-0.0-0.10.15.30.1

Returns

EXLSIBMACNEPAMGXRXMedian
NameExlServi.Internat.AccentureEPAM Sys.Genpact Xerox  
1M Rtn2.6%-0.7%9.8%23.7%18.6%-15.8%6.2%
3M Rtn-7.9%24.7%8.1%14.9%0.4%-28.2%4.2%
6M Rtn-14.3%15.4%-12.8%13.9%6.9%-45.7%-2.9%
12M Rtn-12.6%35.6%-21.0%-16.8%0.5%-67.3%-14.7%
3Y Rtn9.5%127.1%-4.2%-45.9%2.9%-80.1%-0.7%
1M Excs Rtn2.7%-0.7%9.9%23.7%18.6%-15.8%6.3%
3M Excs Rtn-14.3%17.8%3.2%13.6%-4.8%-35.0%-0.8%
6M Excs Rtn-29.0%0.7%-27.5%-0.9%-7.8%-60.4%-17.7%
12M Excs Rtn-26.9%23.0%-36.7%-31.6%-14.2%-81.9%-29.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-64.8%58.2%-73.9%-115.7%-66.5%-151.3%-70.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Analytics729647461363357
Insurance530449382342346
Emerging Business266219167153190
Healthcare1069711210197
Total1,6311,4121,122958991


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,712,106
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120256.4%
Average Daily Volume1,232,044
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.45
Basic Shares Quantity160,495,712
Short % of Basic Shares4.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021