Tearsheet

Simpson Manufacturing (SSD)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $166.38 | Market Cap: $6.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Building Products

Simpson Manufacturing (SSD)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $166.38
Market Cap: $6.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Building Products

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%
Key risks
SSD key risks include [1] a reliance on a limited number of large customers, Show more.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Green Building Materials, and Energy Efficient Building Materials.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Green Building Materials, and Energy Efficient Building Materials.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%
5 Key risks
SSD key risks include [1] a reliance on a limited number of large customers, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SSD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the stock movement for Simpson Manufacturing (SSD) during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Economic Headwinds and Housing Market Uncertainty: Despite reporting strong Q3 2025 financial results, the company faced ongoing concerns about economic headwinds and softness in the residential housing market in both the U.S. and Europe. These broader market conditions likely contributed to a cautious outlook for a company in the building solutions sector.

2. Contraction in North American Gross Margins: While overall net sales increased, the North America segment experienced a decline in gross margin from 49.5% to 49.0% in Q3 2025. This was primarily attributed to higher factory, overhead, and warehouse costs, as well as decreased sales volumes in the region, signaling underlying operational pressures in a key market.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SSD Return18%50%-36%125%-16%3%121%
Peers Return27%47%-28%62%-10%-14%67%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SSD Win Rate67%58%42%75%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate65%60%37%57%45%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SSD Max Drawdown-39%-1%-45%0%-19%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-5%-42%-2%-16%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: UFPI, ITW, SWK, BLDR, FBIN. See SSD Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSSDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven82.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven252 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven77.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven72 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-36.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven309 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-62.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven169.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,750 days1,480 days

Compare to MAS, OC, TREX, LEG, TT


In The Past

Simpson Manufacturing's stock fell -45.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -45.0% loss requires a 82.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Simpson Manufacturing (SSD)

Better Bets than Simpson Manufacturing (SSD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SSD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
SSD_8312022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy08312022SSDSimpson ManufacturingDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
17.7%74.3%-17.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
SSD_8312022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy08312022SSDSimpson ManufacturingDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
17.7%74.3%-17.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Simpson Manufacturing

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SSDUFPIITWSWKBLDRFBINMedian
NameSimpson .UFP Indu.Illinois.Stanley .Builders.Fortune . 
Mkt Price166.4893.44252.4071.92103.5151.7998.47
Mkt Cap6.95.373.410.911.56.28.9
Rev LTM2,3116,45315,88315,16615,9444,49010,809
Op Inc LTM4473964,1621,1241,228663893
FCF LTM2392722,8453701,189395382
FCF 3Y Avg2635412,8116441,953554599
CFO LTM4195443,2776951,577543619
CFO 3Y Avg4027673,2659882,375757877

Growth & Margins

SSDUFPIITWSWKBLDRFBINMedian
NameSimpson .UFP Indu.Illinois.Stanley .Builders.Fortune . 
Rev Chg LTM4.3%-3.9%-0.4%-1.4%-6.4%-3.8%-2.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.9%-12.5%0.5%-3.6%-11.0%22.7%-1.5%
Rev Chg Q6.2%-5.4%2.3%0.1%-5.0%-0.5%-0.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.6%-1.4%0.6%0.0%-1.4%-0.1%-0.1%
Op Mgn LTM19.3%6.1%26.2%7.4%7.7%14.8%11.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg20.4%7.8%25.9%5.8%11.1%15.4%13.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.3%-0.3%0.2%0.4%-1.0%-0.6%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM18.1%8.4%20.6%4.6%9.9%12.1%11.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg18.0%10.9%20.4%6.4%13.6%16.5%15.0%
FCF/Rev LTM10.3%4.2%17.9%2.4%7.5%8.8%8.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.8%7.6%17.6%4.1%11.1%12.1%11.5%

Valuation

SSDUFPIITWSWKBLDRFBINMedian
NameSimpson .UFP Indu.Illinois.Stanley .Builders.Fortune . 
Mkt Cap6.95.373.410.911.56.28.9
P/S3.00.84.80.70.81.41.1
P/EBIT15.612.118.013.811.011.413.0
P/E20.216.325.125.617.819.619.9
P/CFO16.69.723.116.28.511.814.0
Total Yield5.6%7.7%6.3%8.3%5.6%7.0%6.6%
Dividend Yield0.7%1.6%2.3%4.4%0.0%1.9%1.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.9%8.5%3.8%4.7%11.7%6.9%5.8%
D/E0.10.10.10.60.40.40.3
Net D/E0.0-0.10.10.60.40.40.2

Returns

SSDUFPIITWSWKBLDRFBINMedian
NameSimpson .UFP Indu.Illinois.Stanley .Builders.Fortune . 
1M Rtn5.0%6.1%4.6%14.3%4.1%12.4%5.6%
3M Rtn-8.5%-3.4%-3.2%-6.9%-19.9%-8.5%-7.7%
6M Rtn9.4%-1.0%5.9%13.9%-3.1%5.5%5.7%
12M Rtn-5.6%-22.3%-3.5%-8.4%-35.4%-28.5%-15.4%
3Y Rtn86.6%21.9%24.1%6.1%53.3%-5.1%23.0%
1M Excs Rtn4.3%5.4%3.8%13.5%3.4%11.7%4.8%
3M Excs Rtn-10.8%-5.8%-5.0%-9.7%-21.1%-10.8%-10.2%
6M Excs Rtn-2.9%-13.4%-6.5%1.5%-15.5%-6.9%-6.7%
12M Excs Rtn-20.2%-36.4%-16.0%-20.2%-48.9%-41.5%-28.3%
3Y Excs Rtn11.5%-50.1%-48.4%-67.6%-12.7%-67.5%-49.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Wood construction1,8911,8321,3611,083949
Concrete construction320282211185187
Other22100
Total2,2142,1161,5731,2681,137


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,090,032
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-6.7%
Average Daily Volume305,307
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.57
Basic Shares Quantity41,520,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/28/202510.6%8.8%17.1%
4/28/20250.2%0.5%-0.6%
2/10/20251.5%5.8%-5.8%
10/21/2024-5.5%-0.4%-3.9%
7/22/2024-0.8%5.8%-2.1%
4/22/2024-8.6%-5.1%-6.7%
2/5/2024-1.7%6.0%15.5%
10/23/2023-5.0%-0.6%20.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101315
# Negative1297
Median Positive7.8%6.3%6.0%
Median Negative-3.9%-1.6%-5.1%
Max Positive15.2%11.4%29.6%
Max Negative-8.6%-7.0%-6.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022810202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0ANDRASICK JAMES S 11122025Sell170.00600102,00031,110Form