Tearsheet

Trane Technologies (TT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $407.7 | Market Cap: $90.8 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Building Products

Trane Technologies (TT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $407.7
Market Cap: $90.8 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Building Products

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electrification of Everything, Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable Resource Management, Sustainable & Green Buildings, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electrification of Everything, Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable Resource Management, Sustainable & Green Buildings, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points that could explain a -1.3% movement in Trane Technologies (TT) stock for a recent period: 1. Analyst Rating Adjustments and Price Target Reductions. While overall analyst sentiment for Trane Technologies has largely been positive, some individual analyst adjustments to ratings or price targets could contribute to minor downward pressure. For example, Barclays reportedly lowered its price target for TT by 2.02% in September 2025. Similarly, Wells Fargo reiterated a "Sell" rating and lowered its price target for Trane Technologies in November 2025.

2. Normalization in the Residential HVAC Market. Trane Technologies itself noted an expectation for its residential business to continue a "normalization" process through the fourth quarter of 2023. Although strong performance in the commercial HVAC sector has largely offset this, concerns about slowing growth or reduced demand in the residential segment could cause some investor caution, leading to a slight stock pullback.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TT Return44%41%-15%47%53%12%335%
Peers Return18%40%-17%44%35%-5%151%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TT Win Rate67%67%33%67%83%60% 
Peers Win Rate66%78%38%55%65%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TT Max Drawdown-30%-4%-40%-2%-3%-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-6%-39%-7%-6%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JCI, CARR, IR, LII, AAON. See TT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-41.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven70.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven416 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-39.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven65.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven140 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-18.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven22.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven60 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-78.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven372.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1475 days1480 days

Compare to JCI, CARR, IR, LII, AAON


In The Past

Trane Technologies's stock fell -41.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/3/2021. A -41.4% loss requires a 70.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Trane Technologies (TT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Trane Technologies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TTJCICARRIRLIIAAONMedian
NameTrane Te.Johnson .Carrier .Ingersol.Lennox I.AAON  
Mkt Price-------
Mkt Cap-------
Rev LTM-------
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-------
FCF 3Y Avg-------
CFO LTM-------
CFO 3Y Avg-------

Growth & Margins

TTJCICARRIRLIIAAONMedian
NameTrane Te.Johnson .Carrier .Ingersol.Lennox I.AAON  
Rev Chg LTM-------
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-------
Rev Chg Q-------
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-------
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-------
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-------
FCF/Rev LTM-------
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-------

Valuation

TTJCICARRIRLIIAAONMedian
NameTrane Te.Johnson .Carrier .Ingersol.Lennox I.AAON  
Mkt Cap-------
P/S-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E-------
P/CFO-------
Total Yield-------
Dividend Yield-------
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-------
D/E-------
Net D/E-------

Returns

TTJCICARRIRLIIAAONMedian
NameTrane Te.Johnson .Carrier .Ingersol.Lennox I.AAON  
1M Rtn-------
3M Rtn-------
6M Rtn-------
12M Rtn-------
3Y Rtn-------
1M Excs Rtn-------
3M Excs Rtn-------
6M Excs Rtn-------
12M Excs Rtn-------
3Y Excs Rtn-------

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Equipment11,97510,9319,4998,3728,968
Services5,7025,0614,6384,0824,108
Total17,67815,99214,13612,45513,076


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,753,643
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-11.1%
Average Daily Volume1,212,853
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.27
Basic Shares Quantity222,600,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022210202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021207202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Regnery David SChair and CEO3062025Sell346.9526,9899,363,91542,921,767Form
1Simmons Donald E.Group President, Americas3062025Sell350.003,3731,180,5501,257,550Form
2Turtz Evan MSenior Vice President3062025Sell346.993,7781,310,9347,549,220Form
3Kuehn Christopher JExecutive Vice President & CFO3062025Sell346.968,4342,926,24621,290,948Form
4Magner MaireadSenior Vice President3062025Sell346.953,5901,245,5574,481,558Form