Trane Technologies (TT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $407.7 | Market Cap: $90.8 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Building Products
Trane Technologies (TT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $407.7Market Cap: $90.8 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Building Products
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electrification of Everything, Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable Resource Management, Sustainable & Green Buildings, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electrification of Everything, Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable Resource Management, Sustainable & Green Buildings, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
TT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points that could explain a -1.3% movement in Trane Technologies (TT) stock for a recent period:
1. Analyst Rating Adjustments and Price Target Reductions.
While overall analyst sentiment for Trane Technologies has largely been positive, some individual analyst adjustments to ratings or price targets could contribute to minor downward pressure. For example, Barclays reportedly lowered its price target for TT by 2.02% in September 2025. Similarly, Wells Fargo reiterated a "Sell" rating and lowered its price target for Trane Technologies in November 2025.
2. Normalization in the Residential HVAC Market.
Trane Technologies itself noted an expectation for its residential business to continue a "normalization" process through the fourth quarter of 2023. Although strong performance in the commercial HVAC sector has largely offset this, concerns about slowing growth or reduced demand in the residential segment could cause some investor caution, leading to a slight stock pullback.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TT Return | 44% | 41% | -15% | 47% | 53% | 12% | 335% |
| Peers Return | 18% | 40% | -17% | 44% | 35% | -5% | 151% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TT Win Rate | 67% | 67% | 33% | 67% | 83% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 66% | 78% | 38% | 55% | 65% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TT Max Drawdown | -30% | -4% | -40% | -2% | -3% | -14% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -6% | -39% | -7% | -6% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JCI, CARR, IR, LII, AAON. See TT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -41.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 70.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 416 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -39.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 65.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 140 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -18.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 60 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -78.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 372.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1475 days | 1480 days |
Compare to JCI, CARR, IR, LII, AAON
In The Past
Trane Technologies's stock fell -41.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/3/2021. A -41.4% loss requires a 70.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to TT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Trane Technologies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Valuation
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4302024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2102023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2072022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Regnery David S | Chair and CEO | 3062025 | Sell | 346.95 | 26,989 | 9,363,915 | 42,921,767 | Form |
| 1 | Simmons Donald E. | Group President, Americas | 3062025 | Sell | 350.00 | 3,373 | 1,180,550 | 1,257,550 | Form |
| 2 | Turtz Evan M | Senior Vice President | 3062025 | Sell | 346.99 | 3,778 | 1,310,934 | 7,549,220 | Form |
| 3 | Kuehn Christopher J | Executive Vice President & CFO | 3062025 | Sell | 346.96 | 8,434 | 2,926,246 | 21,290,948 | Form |
| 4 | Magner Mairead | Senior Vice President | 3062025 | Sell | 346.95 | 3,590 | 1,245,557 | 4,481,558 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |