Tearsheet

XPO (XPO)


Market Price (12/25/2025): $142.0 | Market Cap: $16.8 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

XPO (XPO)


Market Price (12/25/2025): $142.0
Market Cap: $16.8 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 50x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Freight Technology, Show more.
Key risks
XPO key risks include [1] its substantial financial leverage and high debt load.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Freight Technology, Show more.
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 50x
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2%
5 Key risks
XPO key risks include [1] its substantial financial leverage and high debt load.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

XPO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate 8.8% movement in XPO stock from August 31, 2025, to December 25, 2025: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Exceeded Expectations

XPO announced robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on October 30, 2025, reporting adjusted diluted earnings per share of $1.07 against a forecasted $1.02 and revenue of $2.11 billion, surpassing the anticipated $2.07 billion. This strong performance, especially in a soft freight environment, caused a significant surge in the stock price, with reported increases of 9.67% and up to 12.56% in pre-market trading following the announcement. 2. Favorable Analyst Ratings and Increased Price Targets

Throughout the period, XPO received positive endorsements from various financial analysts. Citi upgraded XPO to a "Buy" rating with a $140 price target on August 1, 2025, and subsequently raised it to $155 on October 30, 2025. Other firms like Oppenheimer, UBS, Truist, Raymond James, and Stifel also increased their price targets for XPO around the Q3 earnings release, with Stifel setting a high of $167 on December 16, 2025. Benchmark added XPO to its "Best Ideas List" on October 1, 2025, maintaining a "Buy" rating. These positive revisions signal strong analyst confidence in XPO's future performance. Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 8.5% change in XPO stock from 9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 12.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
924202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)130.11141.148.48%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8009.008067.000.72%
Net Income Margin (%)4.31%4.12%-4.46%
P/E Multiple44.5050.1612.73%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)118.00118.000.00%
Cumulative Contribution8.48%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
XPO8.5% 
Market (SPY)4.4%24.6%
Sector (XLI)3.4%35.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 13.8% change in XPO stock from 6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 34.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
625202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)124.03141.1413.80%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8008.008067.000.74%
Net Income Margin (%)4.86%4.12%-15.28%
P/E Multiple37.3050.1634.47%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)117.00118.00-0.85%
Cumulative Contribution13.79%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
XPO13.8% 
Market (SPY)14.0%34.6%
Sector (XLI)10.0%45.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 4.5% change in XPO stock from 12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 18.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1224202412242025Change
Stock Price ($)135.03141.144.52%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8090.008067.00-0.28%
Net Income Margin (%)4.57%4.12%-10.01%
P/E Multiple42.3350.1618.50%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)116.00118.00-1.72%
Cumulative Contribution4.49%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
XPO4.5% 
Market (SPY)15.8%60.3%
Sector (XLI)18.6%62.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 304.4% change in XPO stock from 12/25/2022 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 1002.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1225202212242025Change
Stock Price ($)34.90141.14304.41%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3644.008067.00121.38%
Net Income Margin (%)24.20%4.12%-83.00%
P/E Multiple4.5550.161002.40%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)115.00118.00-2.61%
Cumulative Contribution304.14%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/25/2023 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
XPO57.7% 
Market (SPY)48.9%53.7%
Sector (XLI)42.7%57.7%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
XPO Return50%10%-29%163%50%7%390%
Peers Return67%95%-28%62%-3%-14%218%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%115%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
XPO Win Rate58%58%42%83%42%42% 
Peers Win Rate67%72%42%63%52%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
XPO Max Drawdown-49%-7%-45%-10%-7%-30% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-4%-41%-1%-13%-38% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ODFL, FDX, SAIA, ARCB, TFII. See XPO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventXPOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-53.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven113.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven274 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-58.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven143.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven234 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-61.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven157.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven721 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-57.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven135.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven384 days1,480 days

Compare to EXPD, CHRW, HUBG, FWRD, ODFL

In The Past

XPO's stock fell -53.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/16/2021. A -53.2% loss requires a 113.5% gain to breakeven.

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About XPO (XPO)

XPO Logistics, Inc. provides freight transportation services in the United States, rest of North America, France, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, North American LTL and Brokerage and Other Services. The North American LTL segment provides customers with less-than-truckload (LTL) services, such as geographic density and day-definite regional, inter-regional, and transcontinental LTL freight services. This segment also offers cross-border U.S. service to and from Mexico and Canada, as well as intra-Canada service. The Brokerage and Other Services segment offers last mile logistics for heavy goods sold through e-commerce, omnichannel retail, and direct-to-consumer channels, as well as other non-core brokered freight transportation modes. It provides its services to customers in various industries, such as industrial and manufacturing, retail and e-commerce, food and beverage, logistics and transportation, and consumer goods. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Greenwich, Connecticut.

AI Analysis | Feedback

XPO is like FedEx or UPS, but for larger business freight that ships on pallets instead of small packages.

Think of XPO as a major trucking company, similar to J.B. Hunt (JBHT), but specializing in shipping partial truckloads of goods for many different businesses.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) Shipping: This service involves consolidating multiple smaller freight shipments from different customers onto a single truck for cost-effective and efficient delivery across North America.
  • Truckload Services: XPO provides solutions for full truckload shipments, connecting businesses with dedicated trailer capacity for larger freight volumes that fill an entire truck.
  • Cross-border Transportation: They offer integrated freight services that facilitate the seamless movement of goods across international borders, primarily between the United States, Canada, and Mexico.

AI Analysis | Feedback

XPO (symbol: XPO) primarily sells its freight transportation services to other businesses (B2B).

Due to the nature of its Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) freight business, XPO serves a highly diversified customer base across a wide range of industries. XPO does not typically disclose specific "major customers" by name, as no single customer is reported to account for 10% or more of its consolidated revenue, which is the threshold for disclosing a "major customer" in its SEC filings. Therefore, XPO does not rely on a few dominant customer companies.

Instead, XPO's customer base is comprised of thousands of companies from various sectors that require reliable freight transportation. While specific named major customers are not disclosed, the types of businesses that commonly utilize XPO's services include:

  • Manufacturing and Industrial Companies: Businesses involved in producing goods, requiring transportation for raw materials, components, and finished products.
  • Retail and E-commerce Businesses: Companies needing efficient supply chain solutions to move inventory to distribution centers, physical stores, and to facilitate e-commerce fulfillment.
  • Consumer Goods Companies: Manufacturers and distributors of everyday products that require extensive logistics networks for widespread distribution.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Mario Harik, Chief Executive Officer

Mr. Harik leads XPO's strategy, including growth investments in customer service and employee satisfaction, and oversees the expansion of network capacity and proprietary technology. He joined XPO in November 2011 as Chief Information Officer, later serving as Chief Customer Officer and President of North American LTL, before being appointed Chief Executive Officer on November 1, 2022. Prior to XPO, Mr. Harik was Chief Information Officer and Senior Vice President of Research and Development with Oakleaf Waste Management, Chief Technology Officer with Tallan, Inc., and co-founder and Chief Architect of web and voice applications with G3 Analyst.

Kyle Wismans, Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Wismans has led XPO's finance organization since 2023. He joined XPO in 2019 as Senior Vice President, Financial Planning and Analysis and later served as Senior Vice President, Revenue Management and Finance. Prior to XPO, he held numerous senior financial positions over a 17-year career with global public companies, including executive roles at General Electric Company and Baker Hughes, where he was head of global financial planning and analysis for two divisions and Chief Financial Officer for a global GE business. He also held senior roles on GE's global audit staff.

Dave Bates, Chief Operating Officer

Mr. Bates is responsible for all day-to-day operations in XPO's Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) business in North America, encompassing service quality, customer experience, network optimization, workforce productivity, and sales. He joined XPO in 2023, following 27 years with Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., where his roles included 12 years as Senior Vice President, Operations.

Carolyn Roach, Chief Human Resources Officer

As Chief Human Resources Officer, Ms. Roach is a key member of the XPO leadership team.

Jay Silberkleit, Chief Information Officer

Mr. Silberkleit leads XPO's technology organization. He joined XPO as Vice President, Enterprise Architecture in 2012, shortly after the company's founding, and was crucial in developing XPO's technology ecosystem, including its digital brokerage platform. In 2021, he was promoted to Senior Vice President, Technology, overseeing the company's optimization initiatives in less-than-truckload. His career spans 18 years as an enterprise systems leader with Fortune 500 companies, and he was previously a Principal Software Engineer at Waste Management, Inc.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to XPO's business include:

  1. Soft Freight Environment and Economic Downturns: A significant and immediate threat to XPO is the persistently soft freight environment, an external risk beyond the company's control. Analysts project a potential volume decline of up to 7% for XPO in 2025, which would put pressure on revenue generation. Economic recessions and fluctuations in freight volumes, both in North America and Europe, could materially impact the business, as XPO's financial health is closely tied to freight market dynamics.
  2. Intense Competition and Pricing Pressure: The North American Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) sector where XPO operates is highly competitive, featuring major players such as Old Dominion Freight Line, FedEx Freight, and Saia. The increasing commoditization of freight transportation, driven by e-commerce growth, could further weaken pricing power across the industry. Should volume declines persist, XPO might face increased pressure to compete more aggressively on price, potentially compromising its yield improvements. Additionally, the rise of automation, AI adoption, and new digital competitors poses a threat to XPO's market share, efficiency, and ability to maintain pricing power.
  3. High Debt Levels and Financial Leverage: XPO carries a substantial amount of financial leverage, which is a key risk, particularly in an environment of higher interest rates. The company's debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 2.34 indicates a higher reliance on debt financing. XPO anticipates significant interest expenses, projected to be between $220 million and $230 million in the 2025 fiscal year. As of September 30, 2025, XPO's total debt load was approximately $3.347 billion, which is noted as a high level of debt.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The continued and extensive investment by large enterprise shippers, particularly e-commerce giants like Amazon, in building out their own comprehensive proprietary logistics networks. These networks increasingly encompass middle-mile and LTL-like services, leading to a potential reduction in demand for third-party LTL carriers like XPO as these shippers internalize more of their freight movements.

AI Analysis | Feedback

XPO's primary product and service is Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) freight transportation, predominantly in North America.

Addressable Market Sizes:

  • North American Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) Market: The North American LTL market generated a revenue of approximately USD 84.63 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach approximately USD 120.55 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 6.1% from 2025 to 2030. North America held over 37.0% of the global less-than-truckload market revenue share in 2023. Another source indicates North America accounts for 42% of the global LTL market share in 2024.
  • United States Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) Market: The United States LTL market size is estimated at USD 114 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 139.6 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 4.13% during the forecast period (2025-2030). Another report estimated the U.S. LTL market to be USD 114 billion in 2024. The U.S. LTL market is expected to exceed USD 110 billion by 2030.

For other services such as truckload, freight brokerage, last-mile delivery, managed transportation, and freight forwarding, specific addressable market sizes are null. XPO spun off its brokerage and other services (managed transportation, global forwarding and last-mile logistics) to RXO, Inc. in November 2022, and its contract logistics business into GXO Logistics.

AI Analysis | Feedback

XPO (NYSE: XPO) is strategically positioned for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key initiatives and market dynamics:

  1. North American LTL Network Expansion and Capacity Investments: XPO is making significant investments to expand its Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) network across North America. This includes opening new service centers, relocating existing facilities to larger sites to increase capacity, and continuously upgrading its fleet by purchasing new tractors and trailers. These initiatives are designed to improve network density, enhance service transit times, accommodate anticipated volume growth, and boost overall customer service. The company acquired 26 LTL service centers and assumed leases for two additional locations from Yellow Corporation, further expanding its growth capacity in key markets.
  2. Strategic Pricing and Yield Management in LTL: XPO has demonstrated strong pricing power and effective yield management within its LTL segment. Despite a soft freight market, the company has reported continued yield growth and anticipates further margin improvements. This disciplined approach to pricing is a significant factor in driving revenue growth.
  3. Technological Innovation and AI-Driven Efficiency: XPO is leveraging technology and AI to enhance its operational efficiency and service offerings. Investments in digital solutions, automation, and data analytics, including AI-driven tools, are leading to significant productivity improvements, reduced outsourced miles, and improved cost efficiency. These technological advancements are crucial for adapting to changing market demands and improving customer satisfaction and retention.
  4. Expansion into New Service Offerings and Strategic Partnerships: The company is actively exploring opportunities in adjacent service offerings and potential strategic partnerships to diversify its revenue streams and provide more comprehensive supply chain solutions. XPO also aims to increase its small and medium business (SMB) customer mix to 30%, which is expected to contribute to future growth.

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Share Repurchases

  • XPO had a share repurchase authorization of $1.5 billion, with $503 million remaining as of December 31, 2024.
  • The company did not repurchase shares in 2021, 2022, 2023, or 2024.
  • In March 2025, XPO authorized a new $750 million share repurchase plan, replacing the previous authorization.
  • XPO repurchased $50 million in common stock during Q3 2025.

Share Issuance

  • In 2021, XPO exchanged remaining 1,015 preferred shares for 0.1 million shares of common stock.
  • In 2021, 9.8 million warrants were exchanged for 9.2 million shares of common stock to simplify the equity capital structure.
  • The company's 2016 incentive plan was amended in May 2022 to increase the number of authorized shares for stock-based compensation awards by 2.3 million.

Outbound Investments

  • XPO completed the spin-off of GXO Logistics, Inc. in August 2021.
  • XPO completed the sale of its North American intermodal operation in March 2022.
  • XPO completed the spin-off of RXO, Inc. in November 2022.
  • In December 2023, XPO acquired 28 LTL service centers and assumed leases for two additional locations from Yellow Corporation as part of the Yellow Asset Acquisition.

Capital Expenditures

  • XPO's gross capital expenditures were 14.6% of revenue in 2024.
  • For 2025, XPO anticipates gross capital expenditures to be between $600 million and $700 million.
  • Capital expenditures are primarily focused on expanding network capacity, enhancing the network, improving service quality, and driving operational efficiencies, including investments in tractors, trailers, and service centers.

Better Bets than XPO (XPO)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to XPO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.7%18.7%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.7%4.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.9%6.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
6.0%6.0%-0.4%
XPO_12312018_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG12312018XPOXPODip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.1%39.7%-19.0%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for XPO

Peers to compare with:

Financials

XPOODFLFDXSAIAARCBTFIIMedian
NameXPO Old Domi.FedEx Saia ArcBest TFI Inte. 
Mkt Price141.14159.36295.90329.9476.87106.21150.25
Mkt Cap16.733.469.58.81.78.812.7
Rev LTM8,0675,57590,0933,2334,0398,0486,811
Op Inc LTM7061,3916,327390111610658
FCF LTM2329214,348-1466685459
FCF 3Y Avg-2068273,698-9783648365
CFO LTM9491,4618,198622241958953
CFO 3Y Avg8081,5508,2465833041,007907

Growth & Margins

XPOODFLFDXSAIAARCBTFIIMedian
NameXPO Old Domi.FedEx Saia ArcBest TFI Inte. 
Rev Chg LTM-0.3%-5.9%3.1%2.0%-5.3%-2.9%-1.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg38.4%-3.3%-1.4%5.7%-5.8%-3.0%-2.2%
Rev Chg Q2.8%-4.3%6.8%-0.3%-1.4%-9.9%-0.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.7%-1.1%1.7%-0.1%-0.4%-2.6%-0.2%
Op Mgn LTM8.8%24.9%7.0%12.1%2.7%7.6%8.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.0%26.9%6.8%14.5%3.8%8.9%8.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-0.4%0.2%-0.2%-0.1%-0.4%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM11.8%26.2%9.1%19.2%6.0%11.9%11.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.1%26.8%9.3%19.0%7.1%12.7%11.4%
FCF/Rev LTM2.9%16.5%4.8%-0.4%1.6%8.5%3.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-2.6%14.3%4.2%-2.9%1.9%8.1%3.0%

Valuation

XPOODFLFDXSAIAARCBTFIIMedian
NameXPO Old Domi.FedEx Saia ArcBest TFI Inte. 
Mkt Cap16.733.469.58.81.78.812.7
P/S2.16.00.82.70.41.11.6
P/EBIT25.024.010.622.612.315.018.8
P/E50.231.616.031.118.026.829.0
P/CFO17.522.98.514.27.29.111.7
Total Yield2.0%3.9%8.2%3.2%6.2%5.4%4.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.7%1.9%0.0%0.6%1.7%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.8%2.2%6.0%-0.8%3.8%6.8%3.0%
D/E0.20.00.50.00.30.30.3
Net D/E0.20.00.40.00.20.30.2

Returns

XPOODFLFDXSAIAARCBTFIIMedian
NameXPO Old Domi.FedEx Saia ArcBest TFI Inte. 
1M Rtn5.5%20.7%11.4%21.3%22.9%26.1%21.0%
3M Rtn8.5%13.2%27.2%10.0%11.0%17.5%12.1%
6M Rtn13.8%-0.2%34.8%22.2%4.1%23.1%18.0%
12M Rtn4.5%-11.6%11.4%-30.7%-18.2%-23.4%-14.9%
3Y Rtn304.4%13.3%79.4%53.9%9.2%9.6%33.6%
1M Excs Rtn2.1%17.3%8.0%17.9%19.5%22.7%17.6%
3M Excs Rtn4.3%8.7%20.8%4.5%6.5%13.8%7.6%
6M Excs Rtn0.8%-13.5%22.5%9.0%-9.5%8.1%4.5%
12M Excs Rtn-12.5%-28.4%-7.0%-47.2%-34.7%-38.6%-31.5%
3Y Excs Rtn217.6%-69.9%5.4%-33.2%-74.6%-73.2%-51.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
North American Less-Than-Truckload (LTL)4,6714,6454,1253,539 
European Transportation3,0733,0733,077  
Brokerage and Other Services   6,800 
Eliminations   -140-132
Logistics    6,093
Transportation    10,687
Total7,7447,7187,20210,19916,648


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$141.14 
Market Cap ($ Bil)16.7 
First Trading Date10/07/2003 
Distance from 52W High-6.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$137.08$124.67
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA3.0%13.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility43.7%48.8%
Downside Capture55.01161.31
Upside Capture81.82142.67
Correlation (SPY)25.1%60.3%
XPO Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.270.881.031.441.501.52
Up Beta0.730.420.761.631.481.60
Down Beta0.501.661.040.831.441.33
Up Capture192%101%122%186%179%666%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days9203164121378
Down Capture127%48%103%154%132%108%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days10213160126370

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of XPO With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 XPOSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-3.0%20.9%19.2%71.9%8.9%6.0%-10.4%
Annualized Volatility49.1%18.8%19.5%19.3%15.3%17.1%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio0.090.870.782.690.360.18-0.12
Correlation With Other Assets 61.3%58.6%-4.3%13.7%47.8%21.2%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of XPO With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 XPOSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return26.8%14.0%14.9%18.7%11.7%4.8%32.6%
Annualized Volatility45.8%17.2%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.7%
Sharpe Ratio0.670.660.700.970.510.170.59
Correlation With Other Assets 61.4%58.9%3.3%11.2%43.9%24.6%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of XPO With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 XPOSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return30.0%13.4%14.7%14.9%6.9%5.2%69.2%
Annualized Volatility48.2%19.9%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.730.600.700.830.310.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 60.8%58.0%-2.4%20.9%43.2%12.9%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,964,001
Short Interest: % Change Since 11302025-5.2%
Average Daily Volume1,742,273
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.72
Basic Shares Quantity118,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.4%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/20259.0%10.9%15.0%
7/31/2025-9.1%-7.0%-1.6%
4/30/20258.9%10.6%20.6%
2/6/20257.8%6.2%-20.5%
10/30/202411.4%14.9%24.9%
8/1/20240.8%-4.6%0.2%
5/3/20243.3%3.7%-6.0%
2/7/202418.9%18.5%30.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151617
# Negative987
Median Positive7.8%6.7%12.5%
Median Negative-4.0%-6.5%-14.3%
Max Positive18.9%18.5%35.0%
Max Negative-14.0%-14.1%-36.5%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024207202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231030202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022213202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021216202210-K 12/31/2021