XPO (XPO)
Market Price (12/25/2025): $142.0 | Market Cap: $16.8 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation
XPO (XPO)
Market Price (12/25/2025): $142.0Market Cap: $16.8 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Cargo Ground Transportation
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 50x |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Freight, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Freight Technology, Show more. | Key risksXPO key risks include [1] its substantial financial leverage and high debt load. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Freight, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Freight Technology, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 50x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2% |
| Key risksXPO key risks include [1] its substantial financial leverage and high debt load. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate 8.8% movement in XPO stock from August 31, 2025, to December 25, 2025: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Exceeded ExpectationsXPO announced robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on October 30, 2025, reporting adjusted diluted earnings per share of $1.07 against a forecasted $1.02 and revenue of $2.11 billion, surpassing the anticipated $2.07 billion. This strong performance, especially in a soft freight environment, caused a significant surge in the stock price, with reported increases of 9.67% and up to 12.56% in pre-market trading following the announcement. 2. Favorable Analyst Ratings and Increased Price Targets
Throughout the period, XPO received positive endorsements from various financial analysts. Citi upgraded XPO to a "Buy" rating with a $140 price target on August 1, 2025, and subsequently raised it to $155 on October 30, 2025. Other firms like Oppenheimer, UBS, Truist, Raymond James, and Stifel also increased their price targets for XPO around the Q3 earnings release, with Stifel setting a high of $167 on December 16, 2025. Benchmark added XPO to its "Best Ideas List" on October 1, 2025, maintaining a "Buy" rating. These positive revisions signal strong analyst confidence in XPO's future performance. Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 8.5% change in XPO stock from 9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 12.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 9242025 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 130.11 | 141.14 | 8.48% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 8009.00 | 8067.00 | 0.72% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.31% | 4.12% | -4.46% |
| P/E Multiple | 44.50 | 50.16 | 12.73% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 118.00 | 118.00 | 0.00% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 8.48% |
Market Drivers
9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| XPO | 8.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.4% | 24.6% |
| Sector (XLI) | 3.4% | 35.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 13.8% change in XPO stock from 6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 34.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 6252025 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 124.03 | 141.14 | 13.80% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 8008.00 | 8067.00 | 0.74% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.86% | 4.12% | -15.28% |
| P/E Multiple | 37.30 | 50.16 | 34.47% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 117.00 | 118.00 | -0.85% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 13.79% |
Market Drivers
6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| XPO | 13.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.0% | 34.6% |
| Sector (XLI) | 10.0% | 45.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 4.5% change in XPO stock from 12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 18.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12242024 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 135.03 | 141.14 | 4.52% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 8090.00 | 8067.00 | -0.28% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.57% | 4.12% | -10.01% |
| P/E Multiple | 42.33 | 50.16 | 18.50% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 116.00 | 118.00 | -1.72% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 4.49% |
Market Drivers
12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| XPO | 4.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.8% | 60.3% |
| Sector (XLI) | 18.6% | 62.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 304.4% change in XPO stock from 12/25/2022 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 1002.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12252022 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 34.90 | 141.14 | 304.41% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3644.00 | 8067.00 | 121.38% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 24.20% | 4.12% | -83.00% |
| P/E Multiple | 4.55 | 50.16 | 1002.40% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 115.00 | 118.00 | -2.61% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 304.14% |
Market Drivers
12/25/2023 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| XPO | 57.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.9% | 53.7% |
| Sector (XLI) | 42.7% | 57.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| XPO Return | 50% | 10% | -29% | 163% | 50% | 7% | 390% |
| Peers Return | 67% | 95% | -28% | 62% | -3% | -14% | 218% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 115% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| XPO Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 42% | 83% | 42% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 72% | 42% | 63% | 52% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| XPO Max Drawdown | -49% | -7% | -45% | -10% | -7% | -30% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -35% | -4% | -41% | -1% | -13% | -38% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ODFL, FDX, SAIA, ARCB, TFII. See XPO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | XPO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -53.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 113.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 274 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -58.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 143.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 234 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -61.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 157.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 721 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -57.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 135.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 384 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to EXPD, CHRW, HUBG, FWRD, ODFL
In The Past
XPO's stock fell -53.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/16/2021. A -53.2% loss requires a 113.5% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
XPO is like FedEx or UPS, but for larger business freight that ships on pallets instead of small packages.
Think of XPO as a major trucking company, similar to J.B. Hunt (JBHT), but specializing in shipping partial truckloads of goods for many different businesses.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) Shipping: This service involves consolidating multiple smaller freight shipments from different customers onto a single truck for cost-effective and efficient delivery across North America.
- Truckload Services: XPO provides solutions for full truckload shipments, connecting businesses with dedicated trailer capacity for larger freight volumes that fill an entire truck.
- Cross-border Transportation: They offer integrated freight services that facilitate the seamless movement of goods across international borders, primarily between the United States, Canada, and Mexico.
AI Analysis | Feedback
XPO (symbol: XPO) primarily sells its freight transportation services to other businesses (B2B).
Due to the nature of its Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) freight business, XPO serves a highly diversified customer base across a wide range of industries. XPO does not typically disclose specific "major customers" by name, as no single customer is reported to account for 10% or more of its consolidated revenue, which is the threshold for disclosing a "major customer" in its SEC filings. Therefore, XPO does not rely on a few dominant customer companies.
Instead, XPO's customer base is comprised of thousands of companies from various sectors that require reliable freight transportation. While specific named major customers are not disclosed, the types of businesses that commonly utilize XPO's services include:
- Manufacturing and Industrial Companies: Businesses involved in producing goods, requiring transportation for raw materials, components, and finished products.
- Retail and E-commerce Businesses: Companies needing efficient supply chain solutions to move inventory to distribution centers, physical stores, and to facilitate e-commerce fulfillment.
- Consumer Goods Companies: Manufacturers and distributors of everyday products that require extensive logistics networks for widespread distribution.
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Mario Harik, Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Harik leads XPO's strategy, including growth investments in customer service and employee satisfaction, and oversees the expansion of network capacity and proprietary technology. He joined XPO in November 2011 as Chief Information Officer, later serving as Chief Customer Officer and President of North American LTL, before being appointed Chief Executive Officer on November 1, 2022. Prior to XPO, Mr. Harik was Chief Information Officer and Senior Vice President of Research and Development with Oakleaf Waste Management, Chief Technology Officer with Tallan, Inc., and co-founder and Chief Architect of web and voice applications with G3 Analyst.
Kyle Wismans, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Wismans has led XPO's finance organization since 2023. He joined XPO in 2019 as Senior Vice President, Financial Planning and Analysis and later served as Senior Vice President, Revenue Management and Finance. Prior to XPO, he held numerous senior financial positions over a 17-year career with global public companies, including executive roles at General Electric Company and Baker Hughes, where he was head of global financial planning and analysis for two divisions and Chief Financial Officer for a global GE business. He also held senior roles on GE's global audit staff.
Dave Bates, Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Bates is responsible for all day-to-day operations in XPO's Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) business in North America, encompassing service quality, customer experience, network optimization, workforce productivity, and sales. He joined XPO in 2023, following 27 years with Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., where his roles included 12 years as Senior Vice President, Operations.
Carolyn Roach, Chief Human Resources Officer
As Chief Human Resources Officer, Ms. Roach is a key member of the XPO leadership team.
Jay Silberkleit, Chief Information Officer
Mr. Silberkleit leads XPO's technology organization. He joined XPO as Vice President, Enterprise Architecture in 2012, shortly after the company's founding, and was crucial in developing XPO's technology ecosystem, including its digital brokerage platform. In 2021, he was promoted to Senior Vice President, Technology, overseeing the company's optimization initiatives in less-than-truckload. His career spans 18 years as an enterprise systems leader with Fortune 500 companies, and he was previously a Principal Software Engineer at Waste Management, Inc.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to XPO's business include:
- Soft Freight Environment and Economic Downturns: A significant and immediate threat to XPO is the persistently soft freight environment, an external risk beyond the company's control. Analysts project a potential volume decline of up to 7% for XPO in 2025, which would put pressure on revenue generation. Economic recessions and fluctuations in freight volumes, both in North America and Europe, could materially impact the business, as XPO's financial health is closely tied to freight market dynamics.
- Intense Competition and Pricing Pressure: The North American Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) sector where XPO operates is highly competitive, featuring major players such as Old Dominion Freight Line, FedEx Freight, and Saia. The increasing commoditization of freight transportation, driven by e-commerce growth, could further weaken pricing power across the industry. Should volume declines persist, XPO might face increased pressure to compete more aggressively on price, potentially compromising its yield improvements. Additionally, the rise of automation, AI adoption, and new digital competitors poses a threat to XPO's market share, efficiency, and ability to maintain pricing power.
- High Debt Levels and Financial Leverage: XPO carries a substantial amount of financial leverage, which is a key risk, particularly in an environment of higher interest rates. The company's debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 2.34 indicates a higher reliance on debt financing. XPO anticipates significant interest expenses, projected to be between $220 million and $230 million in the 2025 fiscal year. As of September 30, 2025, XPO's total debt load was approximately $3.347 billion, which is noted as a high level of debt.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The continued and extensive investment by large enterprise shippers, particularly e-commerce giants like Amazon, in building out their own comprehensive proprietary logistics networks. These networks increasingly encompass middle-mile and LTL-like services, leading to a potential reduction in demand for third-party LTL carriers like XPO as these shippers internalize more of their freight movements.
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XPO's primary product and service is Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) freight transportation, predominantly in North America.
Addressable Market Sizes:
- North American Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) Market: The North American LTL market generated a revenue of approximately USD 84.63 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach approximately USD 120.55 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 6.1% from 2025 to 2030. North America held over 37.0% of the global less-than-truckload market revenue share in 2023. Another source indicates North America accounts for 42% of the global LTL market share in 2024.
- United States Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) Market: The United States LTL market size is estimated at USD 114 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 139.6 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 4.13% during the forecast period (2025-2030). Another report estimated the U.S. LTL market to be USD 114 billion in 2024. The U.S. LTL market is expected to exceed USD 110 billion by 2030.
For other services such as truckload, freight brokerage, last-mile delivery, managed transportation, and freight forwarding, specific addressable market sizes are null. XPO spun off its brokerage and other services (managed transportation, global forwarding and last-mile logistics) to RXO, Inc. in November 2022, and its contract logistics business into GXO Logistics.
AI Analysis | Feedback
XPO (NYSE: XPO) is strategically positioned for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key initiatives and market dynamics:
- North American LTL Network Expansion and Capacity Investments: XPO is making significant investments to expand its Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) network across North America. This includes opening new service centers, relocating existing facilities to larger sites to increase capacity, and continuously upgrading its fleet by purchasing new tractors and trailers. These initiatives are designed to improve network density, enhance service transit times, accommodate anticipated volume growth, and boost overall customer service. The company acquired 26 LTL service centers and assumed leases for two additional locations from Yellow Corporation, further expanding its growth capacity in key markets.
- Strategic Pricing and Yield Management in LTL: XPO has demonstrated strong pricing power and effective yield management within its LTL segment. Despite a soft freight market, the company has reported continued yield growth and anticipates further margin improvements. This disciplined approach to pricing is a significant factor in driving revenue growth.
- Technological Innovation and AI-Driven Efficiency: XPO is leveraging technology and AI to enhance its operational efficiency and service offerings. Investments in digital solutions, automation, and data analytics, including AI-driven tools, are leading to significant productivity improvements, reduced outsourced miles, and improved cost efficiency. These technological advancements are crucial for adapting to changing market demands and improving customer satisfaction and retention.
- Expansion into New Service Offerings and Strategic Partnerships: The company is actively exploring opportunities in adjacent service offerings and potential strategic partnerships to diversify its revenue streams and provide more comprehensive supply chain solutions. XPO also aims to increase its small and medium business (SMB) customer mix to 30%, which is expected to contribute to future growth.
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Share Repurchases
- XPO had a share repurchase authorization of $1.5 billion, with $503 million remaining as of December 31, 2024.
- The company did not repurchase shares in 2021, 2022, 2023, or 2024.
- In March 2025, XPO authorized a new $750 million share repurchase plan, replacing the previous authorization.
- XPO repurchased $50 million in common stock during Q3 2025.
Share Issuance
- In 2021, XPO exchanged remaining 1,015 preferred shares for 0.1 million shares of common stock.
- In 2021, 9.8 million warrants were exchanged for 9.2 million shares of common stock to simplify the equity capital structure.
- The company's 2016 incentive plan was amended in May 2022 to increase the number of authorized shares for stock-based compensation awards by 2.3 million.
Outbound Investments
- XPO completed the spin-off of GXO Logistics, Inc. in August 2021.
- XPO completed the sale of its North American intermodal operation in March 2022.
- XPO completed the spin-off of RXO, Inc. in November 2022.
- In December 2023, XPO acquired 28 LTL service centers and assumed leases for two additional locations from Yellow Corporation as part of the Yellow Asset Acquisition.
Capital Expenditures
- XPO's gross capital expenditures were 14.6% of revenue in 2024.
- For 2025, XPO anticipates gross capital expenditures to be between $600 million and $700 million.
- Capital expenditures are primarily focused on expanding network capacity, enhancing the network, improving service quality, and driving operational efficiencies, including investments in tractors, trailers, and service centers.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| XPO Earnings Notes | ||
| XPO Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go? | Return | |
| XPO vs Alphabet: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | |
| XPO vs Honeywell International: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | |
| XPO vs Saia: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | |
| How Does XPO Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | |
| Better Bet Than XPO Stock: Pay Less Than XPO To Get More From MU, RCLÂ | ||
| Better Bet Than XPO Stock: Pay Less Than XPO To Get More From ATI, GTLSÂ | ||
| XPO Dip Buy Analysis | ||
| Now Is Not The Time To Buy XPO Stock | Buy or Fear |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to XPO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.7% | 18.7% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.7% | 4.7% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.9% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.6% | 2.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 6.0% | 6.0% | -0.4% |
| 12312018 | XPO | XPO | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.1% | 39.7% | -19.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for XPO
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 150.25 |
| Mkt Cap | 12.7 |
| Rev LTM | 6,811 |
| Op Inc LTM | 658 |
| FCF LTM | 459 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 365 |
| CFO LTM | 953 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 907 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -2.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | -0.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 12.7 |
| P/S | 1.6 |
| P/EBIT | 18.8 |
| P/E | 29.0 |
| P/CFO | 11.7 |
| Total Yield | 4.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 21.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 12.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 18.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -14.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 33.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 17.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 7.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 4.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -31.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -51.5% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $141.14 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 16.7 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/07/2003 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -6.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $137.08 | $124.67 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 3.0% | 13.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 43.7% | 48.8% |
| Downside Capture | 55.01 | 161.31 |
| Upside Capture | 81.82 | 142.67 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 25.1% | 60.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.27 | 0.88 | 1.03 | 1.44 | 1.50 | 1.52 |
| Up Beta | 0.73 | 0.42 | 0.76 | 1.63 | 1.48 | 1.60 |
| Down Beta | 0.50 | 1.66 | 1.04 | 0.83 | 1.44 | 1.33 |
| Up Capture | 192% | 101% | 122% | 186% | 179% | 666% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 64 | 121 | 378 |
| Down Capture | 127% | 48% | 103% | 154% | 132% | 108% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 21 | 31 | 60 | 126 | 370 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of XPO With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XPO | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -3.0% | 20.9% | 19.2% | 71.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | -10.4% |
| Annualized Volatility | 49.1% | 18.8% | 19.5% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.09 | 0.87 | 0.78 | 2.69 | 0.36 | 0.18 | -0.12 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 61.3% | 58.6% | -4.3% | 13.7% | 47.8% | 21.2% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of XPO With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XPO | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 26.8% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 32.6% |
| Annualized Volatility | 45.8% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.7% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.67 | 0.66 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.51 | 0.17 | 0.59 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 61.4% | 58.9% | 3.3% | 11.2% | 43.9% | 24.6% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of XPO With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XPO | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 30.0% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 69.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 48.2% | 19.9% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.73 | 0.60 | 0.70 | 0.83 | 0.31 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 60.8% | 58.0% | -2.4% | 20.9% | 43.2% | 12.9% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | 9.0% | 10.9% | 15.0% |
| 7/31/2025 | -9.1% | -7.0% | -1.6% |
| 4/30/2025 | 8.9% | 10.6% | 20.6% |
| 2/6/2025 | 7.8% | 6.2% | -20.5% |
| 10/30/2024 | 11.4% | 14.9% | 24.9% |
| 8/1/2024 | 0.8% | -4.6% | 0.2% |
| 5/3/2024 | 3.3% | 3.7% | -6.0% |
| 2/7/2024 | 18.9% | 18.5% | 30.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 16 | 17 |
| # Negative | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 7.8% | 6.7% | 12.5% |
| Median Negative | -4.0% | -6.5% | -14.3% |
| Max Positive | 18.9% | 18.5% | 35.0% |
| Max Negative | -14.0% | -14.1% | -36.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2072025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10302023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2132023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2162022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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