Lyft (LYFT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $22.32 | Market Cap: $9.1 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Lyft (LYFT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $22.32Market Cap: $9.1 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 71% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 12% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.5% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Urban Mobility. Themes include On-Demand Ride-Sharing Platforms, Electrification of Urban Fleets, and Autonomous Vehicle Deployment. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 12% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Urban Mobility. Themes include On-Demand Ride-Sharing Platforms, Electrification of Urban Fleets, and Autonomous Vehicle Deployment. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 71% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.5% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LYFT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, Lyft's stock experienced a significant upward movement, driven by several key developments.
1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance: Lyft reported record third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 5, 2025, including record net income of $46.1 million, a record Adjusted EBITDA of $138.9 million (up 29% year over year), and record Gross Bookings of $4.8 billion (up 16% year over year). The company also achieved all-time highs for active riders (28.7 million, up 18% year over year) and rides growth (248.8 million, up 15% year over year), along with an upbeat outlook for Q4 2025, projecting gross bookings growth of approximately 17% to 20% year over year.
2. Key Partnerships in Autonomous Vehicle Technology: Lyft announced significant collaborations in the autonomous vehicle (AV) sector. A partnership with Waymo to launch autonomous ride-hailing services in Nashville by 2026, leveraging Lyft's Flexdrive unit, caused the stock to jump 25% on its announcement. Additionally, Lyft partnered with Baidu to deploy Apollo Go AVs in select European markets starting in 2026 and announced collaborations with May Mobility for autonomous vehicle deployment in Atlanta in 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LYFT Return | 14% | -13% | -74% | 36% | -14% | 72% | -48% |
| Peers Return | 30% | 18% | -4% | 28% | 60% | 845% | 2746% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LYFT Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 42% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 33% | 32% | 34% | 51% | 53% | 32% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LYFT Max Drawdown | -63% | -24% | -77% | -27% | -39% | -23% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | -5% | -17% | -25% | -19% | -42% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LRN, INSP, YELP, BMR, BTTC. See LYFT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LYFT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -88.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 743.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -70.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 236.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 329 days | 148 days |
Compare to LRN, INSP, YELP, BMR, BTTC
In The Past
Lyft's stock fell -88.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2021. A -88.1% loss requires a 743.8% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| With Lyft Stock Surging, Have You Considered The Downside? | Return | |
| How Does Lyft Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | |
| Lyft (LYFT) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | |
| Lyft (LYFT) Debt Comparison | Financials | |
| Lyft (LYFT) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | |
| Lyft (LYFT) Net Income Comparison | Financials | |
| Lyft (LYFT) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | |
| Lyft (LYFT) Revenue Comparison | Financials | |
| Lyft (LYFT) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | |
| LYFT Dip Buy Analysis |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LYFT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Lyft
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 26.23 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.3 |
| Rev LTM | 1,467 |
| Op Inc LTM | 37 |
| FCF LTM | 312 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 247 |
| CFO LTM | 369 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 298 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 15.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 15.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.3 |
| P/S | 1.9 |
| P/EBIT | 31.1 |
| P/E | 34.6 |
| P/CFO | 12.3 |
| Total Yield | 3.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -6.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -9.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -17.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -24.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 77.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -6.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -15.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -31.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -39.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -2.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2202024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5082023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |