Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.3%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 9.0%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
 
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Urbanization & Housing Trends, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Home Improvement & Renovation, Show more.
 
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 9.0%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Urbanization & Housing Trends, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Home Improvement & Renovation, Show more.
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.3%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GFF Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Griffon Corporation (GFF) experienced a stock movement of -1.8% between approximately August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, primarily influenced by its fiscal fourth quarter and full-year 2025 financial results. 1. Griffon Missed Adjusted EPS Estimates for Q4 2025.

The company reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.54 for its fiscal fourth quarter, which concluded on September 30, 2025. This figure fell slightly short of analysts' consensus estimates of $1.56 per share. 2. Significant Decline in Fiscal Year 2025 Net Income.

For the full fiscal year 2025, Griffon's net income dramatically decreased to $51.1 million, or $1.09 per share, compared to $209.9 million, or $4.23 per share, in the prior fiscal year. This decline included a substantial charge of $217.2 million.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GFF Return2%42%37%84%18%5%349%
Peers Return45%48%-20%60%-1%20%229%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GFF Win Rate50%58%58%67%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate67%63%38%63%52%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GFF Max Drawdown-53%-0%-38%-22%-8%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-4%-35%-3%-17%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WMS, WTS, UFPI, WOR, TT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGFFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-39.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven19 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-57.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven132.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven130 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-63.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven173.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven807 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-73.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven278.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2816 days1480 days

Compare to WMS, WTS, UFPI, WOR, TT


In The Past

Griffon's stock fell -39.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/28/2021. A -39.3% loss requires a 64.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Griffon (GFF)

Better Bets than Griffon (GFF)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GFF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Griffon

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GFFWMSWTSUFPIWORTTMedian
NameGriffon Advanced.Watts Wa.UFP Indu.Worthing.Trane Te. 
Mkt Price74.57151.93274.9792.7255.53409.07122.33
Mkt Cap3.411.89.25.22.791.17.2
Rev LTM2,5172,9872,3546,4531,20021,0512,752
Op Inc LTM443667447396663,956445
FCF LTM2945293442721562,533319
FCF 3Y Avg3384943185412912,431416
CFO LTM3557413875442102,936465
CFO 3Y Avg3986933527673622,777546

Growth & Margins

GFFWMSWTSUFPIWORTTMedian
NameGriffon Advanced.Watts Wa.UFP Indu.Worthing.Trane Te. 
Rev Chg LTM-3.4%2.5%4.2%-3.9%0.8%8.6%1.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-2.4%-2.0%6.5%-12.5%-2.7%10.8%-2.2%
Rev Chg Q-5.3%8.7%12.5%-5.4%18.0%5.5%7.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.3%2.3%3.0%-1.4%4.0%1.5%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM17.6%22.3%19.0%6.1%5.5%18.8%18.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg14.3%23.6%17.8%7.8%2.2%17.4%15.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.2%0.1%0.1%-0.3%1.1%0.4%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM14.1%24.8%16.4%8.4%17.5%13.9%15.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg15.2%23.8%16.0%10.9%22.6%14.4%15.6%
FCF/Rev LTM11.7%17.7%14.6%4.2%13.0%12.0%12.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg12.8%17.0%14.4%7.6%17.8%12.6%13.6%

Valuation

GFFWMSWTSUFPIWORTTMedian
NameGriffon Advanced.Watts Wa.UFP Indu.Worthing.Trane Te. 
Mkt Cap3.411.89.25.22.791.17.2
P/S1.33.64.00.82.34.52.9
P/EBIT15.315.521.612.118.824.017.1
P/E46.923.528.816.325.632.027.2
P/CFO9.214.624.29.713.032.013.8
Total Yield3.3%4.7%4.2%7.7%4.9%4.0%4.4%
Dividend Yield1.2%0.5%0.7%1.6%0.9%0.9%0.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.8%4.8%4.5%8.5%13.7%3.4%6.6%
D/E0.50.10.00.10.10.00.1
Net D/E0.50.1-0.0-0.10.10.00.0

Returns

GFFWMSWTSUFPIWORTTMedian
NameGriffon Advanced.Watts Wa.UFP Indu.Worthing.Trane Te. 
1M Rtn-0.4%10.4%1.4%0.3%-0.4%-8.3%-0.0%
3M Rtn-2.9%7.1%-0.1%-5.4%-13.4%0.4%-1.5%
6M Rtn8.0%34.6%15.3%-3.8%-6.3%-5.0%2.1%
12M Rtn-9.0%12.9%29.6%-30.0%36.1%0.1%6.5%
3Y Rtn127.9%61.7%76.1%15.6%54.5%136.2%68.9%
1M Excs Rtn-0.4%10.4%1.4%0.3%-0.4%-8.3%-0.0%
3M Excs Rtn-11.5%0.2%-6.9%-14.7%-20.1%-6.1%-9.2%
6M Excs Rtn-6.8%19.9%0.5%-18.5%-21.0%-19.7%-12.6%
12M Excs Rtn-24.2%-0.5%14.9%-44.2%24.1%-14.4%-7.4%
3Y Excs Rtn61.8%-7.3%12.7%-52.6%-15.3%70.5%2.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Home and Building Products1,5891,5071,041927874
Consumer and Professional Products1,0971,3421,2301,1391,001
Total2,6852,8482,2712,0671,874


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Consumer and Professional Products1,580  1,255 
Home and Building Products704  607 
Corporate130  253 
Other discontinued operations5  8 
Discontinued operations   326 
Total2,419  2,449 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity872,598
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-8.3%
Average Daily Volume291,890
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.99
Basic Shares Quantity45,320,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024205202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023207202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231116202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022131202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221118202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021201202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211117202110-K 9/30/2021