Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 67x
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 8.8%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.0%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
Key risks
GFF key risks include [1] tariffs disrupting its Consumer and Professional Products segment, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Urbanization & Housing Trends, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Home Improvement & Renovation, Show more.
 
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 8.8%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Urbanization & Housing Trends, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Home Improvement & Renovation, Show more.
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 67x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.0%
6 Key risks
GFF key risks include [1] tariffs disrupting its Consumer and Professional Products segment, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GFF Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Griffon reported a net loss for the third fiscal quarter ended June 30, 2025, which included a significant after-tax impairment charge of $217.2 million, or $4.69 per share, related to goodwill and intangible assets in its Consumer and Professional Products (CPP) segment. However, the company's adjusted net income and adjusted EBITDA for the quarter showed increases year-over-year.

2. For the fourth fiscal quarter ended September 30, 2025, Griffon announced adjusted earnings of $1.54 per share, which slightly missed analysts' consensus estimates of $1.56. Despite this, total revenues for Q4 reached $662.2 million, surpassing consensus estimates and showing a 0.4% increase year-over-year.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GFF Return2%42%37%84%18%9%366%
Peers Return45%48%-20%60%-1%20%230%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GFF Win Rate50%58%58%67%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate67%63%38%63%52%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GFF Max Drawdown-53%-0%-38%-22%-8%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-4%-35%-3%-17%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WMS, WTS, UFPI, WOR, TT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGFFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-39.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven19 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-57.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven132.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven130 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-63.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven173.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven807 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-73.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven278.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,816 days1,480 days

Compare to WMS, WTS, UFPI, WOR, TT


In The Past

Griffon's stock fell -39.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/28/2021. A -39.3% loss requires a 64.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Griffon (GFF)

Better Bets than Griffon (GFF)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GFF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Griffon

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GFFWMSWTSUFPIWORTTMedian
NameGriffon Advanced.Watts Wa.UFP Indu.Worthing.Trane Te. 
Mkt Price76.67144.70277.6493.4454.86382.30119.07
Mkt Cap3.411.39.35.32.785.17.3
Rev LTM2,5202,9872,3546,4531,20021,0512,753
Op Inc LTM456667447396663,956451
FCF LTM3045293442721562,533324
FCF 3Y Avg3264943185412912,431410
CFO LTM3567413875442102,936465
CFO 3Y Avg3876933527673622,777540

Growth & Margins

GFFWMSWTSUFPIWORTTMedian
NameGriffon Advanced.Watts Wa.UFP Indu.Worthing.Trane Te. 
Rev Chg LTM-3.9%2.5%4.2%-3.9%0.8%8.6%1.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.0%-2.0%6.5%-12.5%-2.7%10.8%-2.3%
Rev Chg Q0.4%8.7%12.5%-5.4%18.0%5.5%7.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.1%2.3%3.0%-1.4%4.0%1.5%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM18.1%22.3%19.0%6.1%5.5%18.8%18.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg15.0%23.6%17.8%7.8%2.2%17.4%16.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.5%0.1%0.1%-0.3%1.1%0.4%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM14.1%24.8%16.4%8.4%17.5%13.9%15.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.8%23.8%16.0%10.9%22.6%14.4%15.4%
FCF/Rev LTM12.0%17.7%14.6%4.2%13.0%12.0%12.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg12.5%17.0%14.4%7.6%17.8%12.6%13.5%

Valuation

GFFWMSWTSUFPIWORTTMedian
NameGriffon Advanced.Watts Wa.UFP Indu.Worthing.Trane Te. 
Mkt Cap3.411.39.35.32.785.17.3
P/S1.43.64.00.82.34.52.9
P/EBIT15.315.521.612.118.824.017.1
P/E67.423.528.816.325.632.027.2
P/CFO9.714.624.29.713.032.013.8
Total Yield2.6%4.7%4.2%7.7%4.9%4.0%4.4%
Dividend Yield1.2%0.5%0.7%1.6%0.9%0.9%0.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.2%4.8%4.5%8.5%13.7%3.4%6.6%
D/E0.50.10.00.10.10.00.1
Net D/E0.40.1-0.0-0.10.10.00.0

Returns

GFFWMSWTSUFPIWORTTMedian
NameGriffon Advanced.Watts Wa.UFP Indu.Worthing.Trane Te. 
1M Rtn15.1%2.8%4.8%6.1%4.5%-7.4%4.7%
3M Rtn1.5%3.0%-0.7%-3.4%-9.9%-4.0%-2.1%
6M Rtn13.9%28.4%15.6%-1.0%-6.2%-8.5%6.4%
12M Rtn2.3%19.5%30.3%-22.3%45.5%-1.5%10.9%
3Y Rtn141.6%71.4%97.3%21.9%68.9%132.5%84.4%
1M Excs Rtn14.4%2.1%4.1%5.4%3.8%-8.1%3.9%
3M Excs Rtn-1.0%-1.2%-4.0%-5.8%-13.6%-6.1%-4.9%
6M Excs Rtn1.5%16.0%3.2%-13.4%-18.6%-20.9%-6.0%
12M Excs Rtn-12.4%3.8%17.3%-36.4%30.6%-14.4%-4.3%
3Y Excs Rtn64.4%-2.2%16.2%-50.1%-3.0%57.6%7.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Consumer and Professional Products (CPP)1,4951,5801,9151,3781,255
Home and Building Products (HBP)738704738666607
Corporate133130158283249
Other discontinued operations4 648
Discontinued operations 5 273 
Defense Electronics    329
Total2,3712,4192,8162,6052,448


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity883,739
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520251.3%
Average Daily Volume485,207
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.82
Basic Shares Quantity44,901,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/19/20253.6%12.7% 
8/6/2025-13.7%-11.5%-3.0%
5/8/20254.4%7.6%4.0%
2/5/20258.9%6.6%-6.3%
11/13/202418.2%11.7%16.3%
8/7/2024-20.1%-11.4%-9.5%
5/8/20247.3%2.4%-0.8%
2/7/202412.8%10.3%15.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121411
# Negative121013
Median Positive7.2%8.1%15.9%
Median Negative-5.9%-10.7%-5.2%
Max Positive18.2%37.4%76.3%
Max Negative-20.1%-14.6%-17.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251119202510-K 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024205202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023207202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231116202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022131202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221118202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021201202210-Q 12/31/2021