C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $159.54 | Market Cap: $19.1 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Air Freight & Logistics
C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $159.54Market Cap: $19.1 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Air Freight & Logistics
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Freight, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Freight Technology, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Freight, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Freight Technology, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CHRW Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The stock of C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW) experienced significant movement between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025. This period saw the company's stock respond positively to its third-quarter earnings report, among other factors, contributing to a substantial increase in its share price.
1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat Analyst Expectations: C.H. Robinson Worldwide reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.40 for the third quarter of 2025, surpassing analyst consensus estimates of $1.33. This beat on profitability, despite a challenging freight environment and a slight revenue miss, highlighted the company's effective cost control and margin expansion strategies. The announcement on October 29, 2025, led to an immediate surge in the stock, with shares reportedly up about 13% in after-hours trading and approximately 12.2% on the day of the earnings release.
2. Significant Increase in Income from Operations and Operating Margin: The company's income from operations increased by 22.6% to $220.8 million, and the adjusted operating margin expanded by 680 basis points to 31.3% in Q3 2025. This demonstrates robust operational efficiency and the ability to enhance profitability even with a decrease in total revenues, which were down 10.9% to $4.1 billion.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CHRW Return | 23% | 18% | -13% | -3% | 23% | 57% | 136% |
| Peers Return | 43% | 27% | -22% | 49% | 4% | 5% | 130% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CHRW Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 50% | 58% | 58% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 60% | 47% | 60% | 45% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CHRW Max Drawdown | -23% | -9% | -18% | -12% | -21% | -15% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -36% | -8% | -34% | -7% | -14% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: UPS, FDX, EXPD, JBHT, XPO. See CHRW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CHRW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -33.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 639 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -28.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 88 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -25.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 298 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -43.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 514 days | 1480 days |
Compare to UPS, FDX, EXPD, JBHT, XPO
In The Past
C.H. Robinson Worldwide's stock fell -33.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/25/2022. A -33.9% loss requires a 51.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CHRW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for C.H. Robinson Worldwide
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North American Surface Transportation (NAST) | 12,471 | 15,827 | |||
| Global Forwarding | 2,998 | 6,812 | |||
| Other revenues | 2,128 | 2,057 | |||
| Sourcing | 1,056 | 1,060 | 987 | ||
| Transportation and logistics services | 22,047 | 15,148 | 14,322 | ||
| Total | 17,596 | 24,697 | 23,102 | 16,207 | 15,310 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North American Surface Transportation (NAST) | 460 | 833 | |||
| Global Forwarding | 86 | 449 | |||
| Other revenues | -31 | -16 | |||
| Total | 515 | 1,267 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North American Surface Transportation (NAST) | 3,008 | 3,304 | |||
| Other revenues | 1,122 | 1,142 | |||
| Global Forwarding | 1,095 | 1,508 | |||
| Total | 5,225 | 5,955 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2162024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2172023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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