Tearsheet

C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $160.115 | Market Cap: $19.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Air Freight & Logistics

C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $160.115
Market Cap: $19.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Air Freight & Logistics

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.7%, FCF Yield is 5.1%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.1%, Dist 3Y High is -0.1%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -13%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
  Key risks
CHRW key risks include [1] a heavy dependence on its proprietary Navisphere® technology platform and the associated vulnerabilities to cybersecurity events.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Freight Technology, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.7%, FCF Yield is 5.1%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Freight Technology, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.1%, Dist 3Y High is -0.1%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -13%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11%
5 Key risks
CHRW key risks include [1] a heavy dependence on its proprietary Navisphere® technology platform and the associated vulnerabilities to cybersecurity events.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CHRW Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Based on the provided information for C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, the stock experienced significant movement. Here are the key points for why the stock moved: **1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat on Profitability:** C.H. Robinson Worldwide announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 29, 2025, significantly exceeding analyst expectations on profitability despite a challenging freight environment. The company reported an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.40, surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of $1.33. This performance led to a surge of over 13% in the stock price in after-hours trading following the announcement.

**2. Expanded Operating Margins through Cost Discipline:** Despite a 10.9% decrease in total revenue to $4.14 billion (missing analyst expectations), the company demonstrated a strong ability to expand its margins. The adjusted operating margin increased by 680 basis points to 31.3% in Q3 2025, driven by strategic execution and cost discipline. Operating expenses decreased by 12.6% to $485.2 million due to productivity improvements and the divestiture of its Europe Surface Transportation business.

**3. Strategic Initiatives and AI-driven Innovations:** The company highlighted its disciplined execution of strategic initiatives and innovative use of Lean AI. These efforts led to significant productivity improvements, including a 3% year-over-year growth in combined truckload and LTL volume in North American Surface Transportation (NAST), outperforming the market. Global Forwarding also expanded gross margins by 380 basis points year-over-year.

**4. Increased Shareholder Returns and Dividend:** C.H. Robinson returned $189.6 million to shareholders in Q3 2025 through dividends ($74.7 million) and stock repurchases ($114.9 million). Additionally, in November 2025, the company announced an increase in its quarterly cash dividend to $0.63 per share.

**5. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Revisions:** Following the strong Q3 2025 results and strategic advancements, analysts generally maintained a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating. Several firms, including Stifel and Barclays, revised their price targets upwards in December 2025, with some reaching as high as $184 or $200, indicating continued optimism for the stock.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CHRW Return23%18%-13%-3%23%57%136%
Peers Return51%5%5%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CHRW Win Rate58%50%50%58%58%83% 
Peers Win Rate33%62%50%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CHRW Max Drawdown-23%-9%-18%-12%-21%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-7%-15%-30% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EXPD, JBHT, XPO, RXO, HUBG. See CHRW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCHRWS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven639 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven88 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven298 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-43.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven514 days1480 days

Compare to UPS, FDX, EXPD, JBHT, XPO


In The Past

C.H. Robinson Worldwide's stock fell -33.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/25/2022. A -33.9% loss requires a 51.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW)

Better Bets than C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CHRW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for C.H. Robinson Worldwide

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CHRWEXPDJBHTXPORXOHUBGMedian
NameC.H. Rob.Expedito.JB Hunt .XPO RXO Hub  
Mkt Price160.10149.75194.10145.1013.8943.32147.43
Mkt Cap19.220.418.717.12.32.617.9
Rev LTM16,50511,27312,0498,0675,9403,7299,670
Op Inc LTM7971,11682670611142752
FCF LTM807810790232-18113511
FCF 3Y Avg7941,104388-2069197293
CFO LTM8778621,61094937160869
CFO 3Y Avg8751,1521,64780866295841

Growth & Margins

CHRWEXPDJBHTXPORXOHUBGMedian
NameC.H. Rob.Expedito.JB Hunt .XPO RXO Hub  
Rev Chg LTM-7.1%23.7%-1.6%-0.3%53.8%-5.8%-0.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-13.4%-12.5%-6.3%38.4%10.0%-11.0%-8.7%
Rev Chg Q-10.9%8.7%-0.5%2.8%36.6%-5.3%1.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.0%1.9%-0.1%0.7%6.9%-1.4%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM4.8%9.9%6.9%8.8%0.2%3.8%5.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.8%10.1%7.2%8.0%1.2%4.5%5.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%0.0%0.2%0.1%-0.2%0.2%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM5.3%7.6%13.4%11.8%0.6%4.3%6.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.9%10.1%13.1%10.1%1.5%7.1%8.6%
FCF/Rev LTM4.9%7.2%6.6%2.9%-0.3%3.0%4.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.5%9.7%3.2%-2.6%0.3%4.8%3.9%

Valuation

CHRWEXPDJBHTXPORXOHUBGMedian
NameC.H. Rob.Expedito.JB Hunt .XPO RXO Hub  
Mkt Cap19.220.418.717.12.32.617.9
P/S1.01.41.11.90.40.61.0
P/EBIT19.913.915.522.9-41.213.814.7
P/E26.518.322.545.9-32.819.721.1
P/CFO18.118.18.016.170.112.917.1
Total Yield5.7%6.8%5.8%2.2%-3.0%6.5%5.7%
Dividend Yield1.9%1.3%1.3%0.0%0.0%1.5%1.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.7%6.4%2.8%-1.8%0.6%8.0%4.6%
D/E0.10.00.10.30.30.20.2
Net D/E0.1-0.00.10.20.30.20.2

Returns

CHRWEXPDJBHTXPORXOHUBGMedian
NameC.H. Rob.Expedito.JB Hunt .XPO RXO Hub  
1M Rtn5.3%5.8%21.1%13.4%31.3%21.7%17.3%
3M Rtn19.0%20.5%44.7%11.8%-17.9%18.1%18.5%
6M Rtn72.9%33.1%40.4%20.3%-10.2%33.5%33.3%
12M Rtn50.3%30.8%10.7%-8.1%-47.6%-8.6%1.3%
3Y Rtn83.5%43.0%11.9%300.6%-14.6%9.8%27.5%
1M Excs Rtn4.6%5.1%20.4%12.7%30.6%21.0%16.5%
3M Excs Rtn15.9%20.0%42.7%8.9%-21.8%15.7%15.8%
6M Excs Rtn60.5%20.7%28.1%7.9%-22.5%21.1%20.9%
12M Excs Rtn35.8%16.8%-1.9%-18.2%-60.2%-21.7%-10.1%
3Y Excs Rtn8.4%-31.4%-61.4%222.3%-87.9%-58.1%-44.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
North American Surface Transportation (NAST)12,47115,827   
Global Forwarding2,9986,812   
Other revenues2,1282,057   
Sourcing  1,0561,060987
Transportation and logistics services  22,04715,14814,322
Total17,59624,69723,10216,20715,310


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
North American Surface Transportation (NAST)460833   
Global Forwarding86449   
Other revenues-31-16   
Total5151,267   


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
North American Surface Transportation (NAST)3,0083,304   
Other revenues1,1221,142   
Global Forwarding1,0951,508   
Total5,2255,955   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,361,578
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-3.8%
Average Daily Volume1,223,858
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.02
Basic Shares Quantity119,887,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/30/202518.1%20.6%32.4%
4/30/20251.2%-1.9%7.6%
1/29/2025-6.9%-9.9%-5.8%
10/30/2024-6.0%-2.9%-3.7%
7/31/202414.8%9.8%15.7%
5/1/202412.3%12.3%19.8%
1/31/2024-12.6%-12.4%-11.4%
11/1/2023-0.0%-0.1%3.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101212
# Negative141212
Median Positive7.5%7.8%8.4%
Median Negative-5.9%-6.4%-4.8%
Max Positive18.1%20.6%32.4%
Max Negative-12.6%-15.6%-11.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023216202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022217202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021