Vertiv (VRT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $183.23 | Market Cap: $70.0 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Vertiv (VRT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $183.23Market Cap: $70.0 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 38x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 37x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 56x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 82% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Datacenter Power, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Datacenter Power, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 38x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 37x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 56x |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 82% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
VRT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Vertiv (VRT) stock moved by 40.3% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Raised Guidance: Vertiv reported robust third-quarter 2025 results on October 22, 2025, exceeding analyst expectations with diluted EPS increasing by 122% and adjusted EPS by 63%, driven by 29% growth in net sales and approximately 60% year-over-year organic order growth. The company also raised its full-year 2025 guidance for both EPS and revenue, indicating continued strong performance.
2. Surging Demand in AI Infrastructure: Vertiv's strong positioning in providing critical digital infrastructure for Artificial Intelligence (AI) driven data centers significantly boosted its performance. The company experienced accelerated organic orders, particularly in AI-driven infrastructure, and saw its backlog grow to $9.5 billion in Q3 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VRT Return | 69% | 34% | -45% | 252% | 137% | 59% | 1548% |
| Peers Return | 1% | 17% | 6% | 54% | 55% | 14% | 241% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VRT Win Rate | 75% | 67% | 33% | 83% | 75% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 38% | 48% | 33% | 46% | 48% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VRT Max Drawdown | -50% | -3% | -67% | -11% | -5% | -48% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -39% | -7% | -21% | -6% | -6% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: POWL, AIGO, SONC, ETN, EMR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | VRT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -71.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 247.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 398 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -58.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 141.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 76 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -3.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 3.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 122 days | 120 days |
Compare to POWL, AIGO, SONC, ETN, EMR
In The Past
Vertiv's stock fell -71.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/2/2021. A -71.2% loss requires a 247.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| What Is Happening With Vertiv Stock? | |||
| Is Vertiv Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | Return | ||
| Wait For A Dip To Buy Vertiv Stock | Buy or Fear | ||
| VRT Pulls Back to Support. Smart Time to Enter? | Actionable | ||
| Vertiv vs FTAI Aviation: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| How Does Vertiv Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Better Bet Than VRT Stock: Pay Less Than Vertiv To Get More From CALM, POWL | |||
| Better Bet Than VRT Stock: Pay Less Than Vertiv To Get More From POWL | |||
| Better Bet Than VRT Stock: Pay Less Than Vertiv To Get More From POWL | |||
| VRT's One-Month Rally Offers a Chance to Reevaluate POWL | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| VRT Looks Smarter Buy Than Woodward Stock | November 26th, 2025 | ||
| Vertiv Stock Surged 80%, Here’s Why | November 20th, 2025 | ||
| Vertiv Stock To $123? | October 17th, 2025 | ||
| VRT Drops 6.2% In A Day, Wait For A Dip To Buy The Stock | September 24th, 2025 | ||
| VRT Fell 6.2% In A Day. What To Do Now? | September 24th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to VRT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.5% | 9.5% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.5% | 9.5% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Vertiv
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 251.18 |
| Mkt Cap | 72.1 |
| Rev LTM | 13,738 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,544 |
| FCF LTM | 2,053 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,529 |
| CFO LTM | 2,366 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,802 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 11.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 23.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 18.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 13.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 72.1 |
| P/S | 4.8 |
| P/EBIT | 26.2 |
| P/E | 32.7 |
| P/CFO | 30.3 |
| Total Yield | 3.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -9.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 15.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 35.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 11.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 615.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -9.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 5.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 20.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -1.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 582.2% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10222025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4232025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2182025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10252024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7262024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4262024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10272023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10312022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5022022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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