Tearsheet

Comfort Systems USA (FIX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $884.53 | Market Cap: $31.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Construction & Engineering

Comfort Systems USA (FIX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $884.53
Market Cap: $31.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Construction & Engineering

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 124%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
Key risks
FIX key risks include [1] its concentrated exposure to large, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, Electrification of Everything, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Building Management Systems, Show more.
 
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, Electrification of Everything, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Building Management Systems, Show more.
3 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 124%
4 Key risks
FIX key risks include [1] its concentrated exposure to large, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FIX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate 25.7% stock movement for Comfort Systems USA (FIX) between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025: 1. Exceptional Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results

Comfort Systems USA reported significantly better-than-expected third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 23, 2025. The company announced that net income and earnings per diluted share doubled compared to the same quarter in the previous year, with revenue also seeing a substantial increase, leading to an over 16% rise in the stock price in after-hours trading. 2. Record-Breaking Backlog Growth

As of September 30, 2025, Comfort Systems USA achieved a record backlog of $9.38 billion, indicating strong future demand for its services. This represented a significant year-over-year increase and demonstrated robust operational momentum and sustained business strength.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FIX Return7%89%17%80%107%129%1909%
Peers Return49%52%-2%46%49%49%621%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FIX Win Rate58%75%42%83%75%75% 
Peers Win Rate70%65%43%63%62%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FIX Max Drawdown-41%-2%-24%-3%-5%-30% 
Peers Max Drawdown-51%-5%-30%-11%-16%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EME, PWR, MTZ, APG, MYRG. See FIX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFIXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven42 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-41.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven70.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven104 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-38.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven61.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven531 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-57.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven132.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,688 days1,480 days

Compare to DY, FLR, ACA, AMRC, CDNL


In The Past

Comfort Systems USA's stock fell -26.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/18/2021. A -26.7% loss requires a 36.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Comfort Systems USA (FIX)

Better Bets than Comfort Systems USA (FIX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FIX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
FIX_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025FIXComfort Systems USAQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
8.3%8.3%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
FIX_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025FIXComfort Systems USAQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
8.3%8.3%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Comfort Systems USA

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FIXEMEPWRMTZAPGMYRGMedian
NameComfort .EMCOR Quanta S.MasTec APi MYR  
Mkt Price883.79596.47414.25209.2738.20212.15313.20
Mkt Cap31.226.761.716.315.93.321.5
Rev LTM8,32316,24327,19113,7627,6553,51411,043
Op Inc LTM1,1121,5281,548583506145848
FCF LTM7991,1491,252417572156685
FCF 3Y Avg6771,0331,26654848070612
CFO LTM9281,2471,814645660233794
CFO 3Y Avg7791,1151,781739566155759

Growth & Margins

FIXEMEPWRMTZAPGMYRGMedian
NameComfort .EMCOR Quanta S.MasTec APi MYR  
Rev Chg LTM27.7%14.1%18.7%13.0%10.7%-0.6%13.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg29.0%14.7%17.9%17.8%8.8%8.6%16.3%
Rev Chg Q35.2%16.4%17.5%22.0%14.2%7.0%16.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.3%3.9%4.4%5.5%3.5%1.8%4.1%
Op Mgn LTM13.4%9.4%5.7%4.2%6.6%4.1%6.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.3%8.2%5.4%2.6%5.8%3.1%5.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.2%-0.1%0.1%0.3%0.1%0.7%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM11.2%7.7%6.7%4.7%8.6%6.6%7.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.9%7.8%7.7%5.9%7.9%4.4%7.7%
FCF/Rev LTM9.6%7.1%4.6%3.0%7.5%4.4%5.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.3%7.2%5.4%4.4%6.7%2.0%6.1%

Valuation

FIXEMEPWRMTZAPGMYRGMedian
NameComfort .EMCOR Quanta S.MasTec APi MYR  
Mkt Cap31.226.761.716.315.93.321.5
P/S3.51.82.31.21.90.91.8
P/EBIT27.318.637.927.128.221.727.2
P/E34.825.760.749.952.533.042.4
P/CFO31.423.334.025.621.713.924.5
Total Yield3.1%4.0%1.7%2.0%1.9%3.0%2.5%
Dividend Yield0.2%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.4%5.7%3.0%5.7%3.8%2.5%4.6%
D/E0.00.00.10.20.20.00.1
Net D/E-0.0-0.00.10.20.20.00.1

Returns

FIXEMEPWRMTZAPGMYRGMedian
NameComfort .EMCOR Quanta S.MasTec APi MYR  
1M Rtn-3.9%-2.4%-3.0%8.2%2.1%-3.7%-2.7%
3M Rtn15.9%-3.2%10.2%8.2%10.1%19.8%10.2%
6M Rtn77.3%23.0%15.0%27.1%17.1%26.3%24.7%
12M Rtn95.2%25.3%23.3%53.3%47.8%29.8%38.8%
3Y Rtn671.0%306.1%190.4%144.8%207.7%145.5%199.1%
1M Excs Rtn-4.7%-3.2%-3.7%7.5%1.4%-4.4%-3.4%
3M Excs Rtn9.3%-6.5%4.7%3.6%6.3%13.9%5.5%
6M Excs Rtn65.0%10.6%2.6%14.7%4.7%13.9%12.3%
12M Excs Rtn80.8%13.6%11.8%40.8%41.2%17.0%28.9%
3Y Excs Rtn574.7%234.2%108.5%71.7%136.4%63.2%122.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Mechanical Segment3,9463,1782,5432,4312,252
Electrical Segment1,261962531426364
Corporate00   
Total5,2074,1403,0742,8572,615


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Mechanical Segment357    
Electrical Segment111    
Corporate-50    
Total418    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Mechanical Segment2,1801,7411,4531,2461,057
Electrical Segment901790690419372
Corporate22566669276
Total3,3062,5972,2091,7571,505


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity734,974
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202512.1%
Average Daily Volume709,866
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.04
Basic Shares Quantity35,307,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/202519.0%16.8%8.4%
7/24/202522.4%25.0%22.6%
2/20/2025-4.7%-6.7%-7.7%
10/24/2024-10.4%-5.4%18.9%
7/25/20246.0%11.8%16.0%
2/22/202412.6%23.4%29.9%
10/26/202314.5%22.2%29.5%
7/26/2023-0.3%5.4%8.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111314
# Negative754
Median Positive9.8%15.1%17.4%
Median Negative-4.7%-5.4%-5.4%
Max Positive22.4%25.0%29.9%
Max Negative-12.9%-13.9%-18.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251023202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241024202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023726202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221026202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021