AGCO (AGCO)
Market Price (5/6/2026): $120.21 | Market Cap: $8.7 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Agricultural & Farm Machinery
AGCO (AGCO)
Market Price (5/6/2026): $120.21Market Cap: $8.7 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Agricultural & Farm Machinery
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.5%, FCF Yield is 6.3% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Autonomous Technologies, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Machine Vision, Machine Learning, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -35%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.2% Key risksAGCO key risks include [1] potential failure to successfully integrate its major PTx Trimble acquisition and achieve anticipated benefits, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.5%, FCF Yield is 6.3% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Autonomous Technologies, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Machine Vision, Machine Learning, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -35%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.2% |
| Key risksAGCO key risks include [1] potential failure to successfully integrate its major PTx Trimble acquisition and achieve anticipated benefits, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Strong First Quarter 2026 Earnings Beat and Upgraded Full-Year Outlook.
AGCO reported robust first-quarter 2026 results on May 5, 2026, with net sales increasing by 14.3% year-over-year to $2.3 billion. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.94 significantly surpassed the forecasted $0.44, representing a surprise of 113.64%. This strong performance, driven by sales growth and a favorable product mix, led the company to raise its full-year adjusted EPS outlook to approximately $6.00.
2. Announcement of Share Repurchase Program and Strategic Divestment.
In conjunction with its strong Q1 results, AGCO announced a new $350 million share repurchase program set to commence in the second quarter of 2026. Additionally, on April 30, 2026, the company agreed to sell its 49% equity interests in its U.S. and Canadian finance joint ventures to Rabobank subsidiaries for approximately $190 million, with the proceeds designated for further share repurchases.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 6.2% change in AGCO stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 99.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 113.17 | 120.21 | 6.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 10,049 | 10,374 | 3.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.7% | 7.4% | 99.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 22.5 | 11.3 | -49.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 75 | 72 | 2.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 6.2% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AGCO | 6.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 43.0% |
| Sector (XLI) | 7.2% | 71.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 17.1% change in AGCO stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 99.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 102.66 | 120.21 | 17.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 10,049 | 10,374 | 3.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.7% | 7.4% | 99.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 20.4 | 11.3 | -44.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 75 | 72 | 2.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 17.1% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AGCO | 17.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | 40.6% |
| Sector (XLI) | 14.8% | 63.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 43.2% change in AGCO stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 56.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 83.97 | 120.21 | 43.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11,662 | 10,374 | -11.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.5 | 0.8 | 56.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 75 | 72 | 2.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 43.2% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AGCO | 43.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 40.4% |
| Sector (XLI) | 36.6% | 57.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 6.8% change in AGCO stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 19.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 112.54 | 120.21 | 6.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 12,651 | 10,374 | -18.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.4 | 11.3 | 19.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 75 | 72 | 2.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 6.8% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AGCO | 6.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 45.6% |
| Sector (XLI) | 85.0% | 59.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AGCO Return | 16% | 25% | -8% | -20% | 13% | 10% | 32% |
| Peers Return | 41% | 8% | -14% | 2% | -3% | 18% | 54% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 6% | 93% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AGCO Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 33% | 42% | 42% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 25% | 42% | 46% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AGCO Max Drawdown | -1% | -19% | -17% | -28% | -19% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -2% | -27% | -28% | -16% | -10% | 0% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DE, CNH. See AGCO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/6/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AGCO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 34 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -20.4% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.7% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 833 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -16.4% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.7% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 20 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -19.8% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.7% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 29 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -44.3% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 79.5% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 134 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -19.1% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.5% | 23.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 78 days | 105 days |
In The Past
AGCO's stock fell -26.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 35.7% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | AGCO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 34 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -20.4% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.7% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 833 days | 24 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -44.3% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 79.5% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 134 days | 140 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -33.8% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.1% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 99 days | 123 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -35.0% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 53.8% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 102 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -78.4% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 363.3% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3017 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
AGCO's stock fell -26.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 35.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About AGCO (AGCO)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are a few brief analogies for AGCO:- The Caterpillar of agriculture, providing heavy machinery and systems for farming.
- A major agricultural equipment manufacturer, similar to John Deere.
- Like General Motors for farm equipment, manufacturing a range of agricultural machinery under different brands.
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```html- Tractors: Manufactures a range of horsepower, utility, and compact tractors for various agricultural tasks.
- Grain & Protein Production Systems: Provides grain storage, drying, and handling equipment, along with systems for seed processing and animal protein production (swine, poultry, eggs).
- Hay & Forage Equipment: Offers balers, mowers, rakes, and other machinery for harvesting and packaging vegetative feeds.
- Tillage & Planting Equipment: Supplies implements such as disc harrows, cultivators, drills, and planters for soil preparation and seeding.
- Combines: Produces combines for the efficient harvesting of grain crops like corn, wheat, soybeans, and rice.
- Application Equipment: Develops self-propelled vehicles and related equipment for applying liquid and dry fertilizers and crop protection chemicals.
- Diesel Engines & Components: Manufactures diesel engines, gears, and generating sets primarily for its agricultural machinery.
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AGCO Corporation primarily serves a diverse base of customers within the agricultural sector and related industries, distributing its products through a network of independent dealers and distributors. Based on the types of equipment and their applications, AGCO's major categories of end-customers include:
- Commercial Farms and Agricultural Enterprises: This is the largest segment, encompassing a wide range of operations from small and medium-sized family farms to larger commercial agricultural businesses. These customers utilize AGCO's equipment for row crop production (corn, wheat, soybeans, rice), soil cultivation, planting, harvesting, and specialized operations such as dairy, livestock (beef, swine, poultry), orchards, and vineyards. This category also includes businesses involved in grain storage, seed processing, and renewable fuel industries.
- Landscaping and Equestrian Operations: Customers in this category typically use AGCO's utility and compact tractors, as well as associated implements, for property maintenance, land management, and other specialized tasks common in landscaping businesses and equestrian facilities.
- Residential Users: AGCO's compact tractors and related equipment also cater to individual residential users for personal property maintenance, gardening, and other small-scale agricultural or land management needs.
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Eric Hansotia, Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Eric Hansotia joined AGCO in 2013 and became CEO in 2021. Prior to joining AGCO, he had a 20-year career at Deere & Company, holding various global leadership positions in engineering, quality, advanced technology, manufacturing, product management, and global business leadership within the agriculture industry. Hansotia holds a Bachelor of Science and Master of Science in Mechanical Engineering from the University of Wisconsin – Madison and an MBA from the University of Iowa. He grew up working on a dairy farm and was involved in 4-H and Future Farmers of America (FFA). He also serves on the Board of The Toro Company.
Damon Audia, Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer
Damon Audia was appointed AGCO's Chief Financial Officer effective July 1, 2022. Before joining AGCO, he served as CFO at Kennametal Inc. since August 2018, and at Carpenter Technology Corporation. He also spent ten years at The Goodyear Tire and Rubber Company in various leadership roles, including Senior Vice President of Finance for its North America division, and held financial positions at Delphi Corporation and General Motors. Audia earned an MBA from Carnegie Mellon University and an undergraduate degree from the University of Michigan. He serves on the Board of Directors of Eastman Chemical Company.
Torsten Dehner, Senior Vice President, General Manager, Global Fendt/Valtra and Product Management
Torsten Dehner joined AGCO in 2010. Prior to his tenure at AGCO, he held a number of international leadership positions at Behr GmbH & Co. KG for 12 years, where his final role was Group Vice President, Purchasing, leading operations across Europe, the Americas, Asia Pacific, and South Africa. Dehner holds an Aeronautical Engineering Degree from the University of Stuttgart and an MBA from Reutlingen University.
Luís Felli, Senior Vice President, General Manager, Global Massey Ferguson and Business Effectiveness
Luís Felli joined AGCO in 2018 to lead AGCO South America's strategy, operations, and execution, and assumed his current role in January 2022. His previous experience includes roles such as General Director at Unipar Indupa Brasil & Argentina, Executive Vice President for Braskem, Operations Vice President for Atvos, and Chief Operations Officer for Eldorado Brasil Celulose. He began his career at FMC Agricultural Products in North America Marketing Intelligence. Felli holds an Agronomist Engineering degree from ESALQ/University of São Paulo and an MBA from Columbia University. He also serves on the Board of Directors of Colombo Agroindústria S/A.
Seth Crawford, Senior Vice President and General Manager, PTx
Seth Crawford joined AGCO in 2019. Prior to AGCO, he spent 22 years at Deere & Company, where he held several senior roles in marketing and customer support, culminating in his appointment as Director, Global Customer and Product Support for the Agriculture & Turf Division. Crawford earned a Bachelor of Science in Marketing and a Master of Science in Agribusiness from Arizona State University. He was recently appointed as Chair of Fieldwork Robotics.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to AGCO's business:
- Cyclicality of the Agricultural Industry and Market Demand: AGCO's business is inherently tied to the agricultural industry, which is highly cyclical and influenced by factors beyond its control. Fluctuations in farm income, commodity prices, weather patterns, and farmer capital expenditure directly impact the demand for agricultural equipment. Currently, the company faces a significant cyclical downturn, particularly in North America, characterized by substantial dealer inventory overhang, cautious farmer spending, and high interest rates, which are forcing production cuts and negatively affecting sales volumes. This market pressure directly impacts AGCO's top line, with projected net sales for 2025 showing a notable decrease due to lower sales volumes and dealer inventory destocking.
- Global Economic, Geopolitical, and Regulatory Factors: As a global manufacturer and distributor, AGCO is heavily exposed to risks associated with international markets. These include foreign laws, tariffs, taxes, and varying economic conditions across different regions. Geopolitical tensions, such as those in Ukraine, and changes in trade policies can significantly affect AGCO's sales, cost structures, and market access. The company also faces substantial currency exchange rate and interest rate volatility, which can impact production costs, profit margins, and competitive positioning. Furthermore, AGCO's revenue is heavily skewed geographically, with a significant portion tied to markets like Europe/Middle East, creating a concentration risk that requires close attention to regional farm economics.
- Intense Competition and Technological Obsolescence: The agricultural equipment sector is highly competitive, with major players such as Deere & Company and CNH Industrial. AGCO must continuously innovate and differentiate its agricultural solutions, particularly in precision agriculture, to maintain and grow its market share. Failure to keep pace with rapid advancements in technology and the introduction of superior solutions by competitors could disrupt AGCO's innovation strategy and negatively affect its performance.
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The emergence of highly specialized, autonomous robotic farming systems developed by non-traditional agricultural technology companies, which could displace the need for traditional large-scale, human-operated machinery.
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AGCO Addressable Markets
The addressable markets for AGCO's main products and services are significant on a global scale, reflecting the broad range of agricultural equipment the company manufactures and distributes.
- Global Agricultural Equipment Market: The global agriculture equipment market size was valued at approximately USD 207.21 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 402.18 billion by 2034, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.70% during the forecast period. Asia Pacific dominated this market, holding a share of 39.80% in 2025. Another estimate places the market at USD 188.8 billion in 2025, growing to USD 264.6 billion by 2034.
- Tractors: The global tractor market size is estimated at USD 96.8 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 159.6 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 5.7%. Asia Pacific is projected to dominate the global tractor market, holding a market share of 35.6% by 2025.
- Combine Harvesters: The global combine harvester market was valued at approximately USD 54.41 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 78.25 billion by 2035, with a CAGR of 3.70% between 2026 and 2035. Other estimates indicate the market was USD 56.17 billion in 2025 and is projected to surpass USD 80.85 billion by 2034.
- Hay and Forage Equipment: The global agricultural haying and forage machinery market size is estimated at USD 13.60 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 17.19 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 4.80% during the forecast period. Another source valued the global haying and forage equipment market at USD 9.5 billion in 2025, projected to grow to USD 14.2 billion by 2035.
- Planting and Seeding Equipment: The global planting equipment market size is poised to grow from USD 35.87 billion in 2025 to USD 53.81 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.2% during the forecast period. The agriculture planting and seeding equipment market was valued at USD 22.13 billion in 2025.
- Tillage Equipment: The global tillage equipment market size was valued at USD 9.59 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 15.51 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.20%. Asia-Pacific dominated this market with the largest revenue share of 35.1% in 2024.
- Grain Storage and Handling Equipment: The global grain handling equipment market size reached USD 23.7 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 40.3 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 6.1%. Separately, the agriculture storage systems market is valued at USD 5.09 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 6.53 billion by 2030.
- Swine and Poultry Equipment (Livestock Farm Equipment): The global livestock farm equipment market size is calculated at USD 23.45 billion in 2025 and is predicted to increase to approximately USD 31.78 billion by 2035, expanding at a CAGR of 3.09%. The poultry farm segment dominated the market in 2024, capturing 38% of the share.
- Application Equipment (Agricultural Sprayers): The global agricultural sprayers market size was estimated at USD 3.82 billion in 2025. This market is expected to rise from USD 4.06 billion in 2026 to USD 6.60 billion by 2034, expanding at a CAGR of 6.27%.
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AGCO (NYSE: AGCO) anticipates several key drivers to fuel its revenue growth over the next two to three years, primarily focusing on strategic product expansion, technological advancements, and market penetration.
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for AGCO:
- Precision Agriculture (PTx Business) Growth: AGCO is heavily investing in its precision agriculture business, known as PTx, with an ambitious target of achieving $2.0 billion in net sales by 2029 from just under $900 million in 2025. This growth is expected to be driven by a strategy that includes launching 3-5 new products annually, accelerating the rollout of its sprayer portfolio, implementing a Connected Cloud strategy, and globalizing its product offerings. A significant part of this initiative is the acquisition of Trimble's agricultural assets, forming PTx Trimble, which is central to AGCO's focus on mixed fleet smart farming and autonomy solutions.
- Fendt Brand Expansion and Geographic Reach: The company aims to significantly expand the Fendt brand, targeting $1.7 billion in net sales in North and South America by 2029. This expansion is supported by increasing geographic coverage and raising brand awareness. Fendt's sales in North and South America notably doubled between 2021 and 2023. AGCO is also focused on making Fendt a full-line equipment supplier, introducing additional product lines to drive sales and market share.
- Growth in Aftermarket Parts and Services: AGCO is strategically bolstering its parts business, projecting $2.3 billion in net sales by 2029. This growth is expected to come from increasing the market share of genuine AGCO parts, reinforcing their value and reliability, and expanding its distribution network for enhanced on-farm services through models like 'FarmerCore'.
- Pricing Execution: AGCO's forward guidance for 2026 indicates that pricing execution will contribute to revenue growth. The company's sales plan for 2026 assumes a 2% to 3% benefit from pricing, which is intended to help cover material inflation and tariff costs.
- Recovery in Industry Demand and Aging Equipment Fleet: While global industry demand is expected to remain relatively flat in 2026, AGCO anticipates a modest recovery in certain segments. Specifically, Western European tractor volumes and the North American small tractor segment are expected to see modest increases. This anticipated recovery is largely supported by relatively stable farm income levels and an aging equipment fleet that will necessitate replacements. AGCO itself projects an overall increase in sales for 2026, marking the first such increase in three years.
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Share Repurchases
- AGCO's Board of Directors authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $1 billion of the company's common stock, announced in July 2025.
- The company initiated $300 million in share repurchases in Q4 2025 as part of the $1 billion program, leveraging proceeds from the sale of its stake in TAFE.
- AGCO executed $250 million in share repurchases in Q4 2025 and anticipates continued share buybacks in 2026.
Outbound Investments
- AGCO acquired an 85% stake in PTx Trimble in April 2024, integrating it with Precision Planting to form PTx, in what was described as the largest ag tech deal in AGCO's history.
- In July 2023, AGCO announced the sale of its Grain & Protein business for approximately $700 million, with the deal expected to close in November 2024.
- AGCO sold its ownership interest in TAFE, generating approximately $230 million in after-tax proceeds in 2025.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures were estimated at approximately $375 million in 2025, down from $393 million in 2024, and also reported around $300 million for 2025.
- Capital expenditures are estimated to be around $350 million for 2026, aimed at positioning the company for future demand inflection and maintaining investment discipline.
- The company expects to make significant investments in research and development and acquisitions to drive technology outcomes, including the PTx Trimble joint venture.
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| 04302026 | GEO | GEO | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
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| 04172026 | RSG | Republic Services | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.1% |
| 04102026 | VRSK | Verisk Analytics | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.3% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | UHAL | U-Haul | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.3% | 0.3% | -1.0% |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 120.21 |
| Mkt Cap | 13.4 |
| Rev LTM | 18,093 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,640 |
| FCF LTM | 1,259 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 850 |
| CFO LTM | 2,411 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,050 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -3.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -7.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -19.6% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -14.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 13.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 13.4 |
| P/S | 0.8 |
| P/Op Inc | 12.0 |
| P/EBIT | 11.4 |
| P/E | 33.2 |
| P/CFO | 11.0 |
| Total Yield | 5.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -1.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 13.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 26.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 4.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -8.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -8.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 7.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -5.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -70.5% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tractors | 7,059 | 8,711 | 7,424 | 6,387 | 5,272 |
| Combines, application equipment and other machinery | 1,942 | 2,823 | 2,438 | 1,987 | 1,530 |
| Replacement parts | 1,828 | 1,816 | 1,687 | 1,688 | 1,446 |
| Grain storage and protein production systems | 832 | 1,063 | 1,102 | 1,076 | 902 |
| Total | 11,662 | 14,412 | 12,652 | 11,138 | 9,150 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $120.23 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 8.9 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/20/1992 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -14.4% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $119.87 | $113.18 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | 0.3% | 6.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 39.2% | 33.8% |
| Downside Capture | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| Upside Capture | 56.21 | 73.48 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 39.7% | 39.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.96 | 1.22 | 1.00 | 0.98 | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| Up Beta | 1.69 | 1.65 | 1.90 | 1.59 | 1.55 | 1.25 |
| Down Beta | 0.84 | 1.23 | 1.36 | 1.07 | 1.45 | 0.96 |
| Up Capture | 23% | 43% | 57% | 74% | 78% | 49% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 18 | 32 | 59 | 125 | 381 |
| Down Capture | -73% | 161% | 50% | 68% | 73% | 98% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 25 | 32 | 66 | 127 | 371 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AGCO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGCO | 26.8% | 33.8% | 0.74 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 33.3% | 15.6% | 1.65 | 58.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 28.5% | 12.5% | 1.78 | 40.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 40.6% | 27.2% | 1.23 | 10.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 50.9% | 18.0% | 2.20 | -10.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.8% | 13.5% | 0.65 | 36.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -14.2% | 42.1% | -0.25 | 13.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AGCO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGCO | -0.7% | 35.1% | 0.06 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.2% | 17.4% | 0.60 | 64.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.7% | 17.1% | 0.58 | 50.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.0% | 17.9% | 0.96 | 8.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.9% | 19.1% | 0.60 | 23.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.5% | 18.8% | 0.09 | 41.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 8.7% | 56.1% | 0.37 | 19.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AGCO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGCO | 10.7% | 34.9% | 0.39 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 14.0% | 20.0% | 0.62 | 67.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 56.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.7% | 16.0% | 0.71 | 2.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.5% | 17.7% | 0.45 | 27.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.7% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 46.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.4% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 14.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/5/2026 | -5.5% | ||
| 2/5/2026 | 2.2% | 13.8% | 2.0% |
| 10/31/2025 | -2.8% | -0.4% | -1.5% |
| 7/31/2025 | 10.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% |
| 5/1/2025 | 10.1% | 11.3% | 15.8% |
| 2/6/2025 | -5.1% | -5.6% | -0.3% |
| 11/5/2024 | -7.8% | -6.2% | 1.9% |
| 7/30/2024 | -5.7% | -14.1% | -11.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 14 | 15 |
| # Negative | 13 | 10 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 2.8% | 4.8% | 10.7% |
| Median Negative | -3.1% | -3.7% | -7.5% |
| Max Positive | 10.6% | 13.8% | 20.2% |
| Max Negative | -7.8% | -14.1% | -13.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/13/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/24/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/03/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/01/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/5/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Share Repurchases | 350.00 Mil | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 Revenue | 10.50 Bil | 10.60 Bil | 10.70 Bil | 0.5% | Raised | Guidance: 10.55 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Operating Margin | 7.5% | 7.75% | 8.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 7.75% for 2026 |
| 2026 EPS | 6 | 4.3% | Raised | Guidance: 5.75 for 2026 | |||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/5/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 10.40 Bil | 10.55 Bil | 10.70 Bil | 7.7% | Higher New | Actual: 9.80 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted Operating Margin | 7.5% | 7.75% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 0.2% | Higher New | Actual: 7.5% for 2025 |
| 2026 EPS | 5.5 | 5.75 | 6 | 15.0% | Higher New | Actual: 5 for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bennett, Kelvin Eugene | SVP Engineering | Direct | Sell | 2182026 | 137.04 | 2,300 | 315,192 | 2,308,365 | Form |
| 2 | Bennett, Kelvin Eugene | SVP Engineering | Direct | Sell | 11122025 | 104.28 | 250 | 26,070 | 1,786,316 | Form |
| 3 | Harris, Ivory Marie | SVP Chief HR Officer | Direct | Sell | 8182025 | 112.59 | 2,669 | 300,503 | 1,510,958 | Form |
| 4 | Felli, Luis Fernando Sartini | SVP GM Massey Ferguson | Direct | Sell | 8122025 | 109.40 | 10,000 | 1,094,000 | 1,771,077 | Form |
| 5 | Felli, Luis Fernando Sartini | SVP GM Massey Ferguson | Direct | Sell | 8122025 | 111.50 | 5,000 | 557,500 | 2,920,074 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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