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Brink's (BCO)

Market Price (5/11/2026): $107.16 | Market Cap: $4.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Security & Alarm Services

Brink's (BCO)

Market Price (5/11/2026): $107.16
Market Cap: $4.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Security & Alarm Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 12%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Physical Security & Secure Logistics. Themes include Cash & Valuables Logistics, Secure Supply Chain Solutions, and Cash Management Services.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 66%

Key risks
BCO key risks include [1] the global shift toward digital payments threatening its core cash management services and [2] heightened exposure to robberies and sophisticated security threats targeting its cash-in-transit operations.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 12%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Physical Security & Secure Logistics. Themes include Cash & Valuables Logistics, Secure Supply Chain Solutions, and Cash Management Services.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 66%
6 Key risks
BCO key risks include [1] the global shift toward digital payments threatening its core cash management services and [2] heightened exposure to robberies and sophisticated security threats targeting its cash-in-transit operations.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Brink's (BCO) stock has lost about 15% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Investor concerns regarding the financial implications of the NCR Atleos acquisition.

Brink's announced on February 26, 2026, its definitive agreement to acquire NCR Atleos for approximately $4 billion. This significant transaction, while strategically aimed at expanding ATM managed services and digital retail solutions, has introduced concerns about increased leverage and potential shareholder dilution. In March 2026, Brink's amended its credit facility by adding a $1.0 billion delayed draw term loan to help finance the acquisition, contributing to a total debt of $4.16 billion.

2. Decline in GAAP profitability due to acquisition-related costs and higher interest expenses.

Despite reporting adjusted earnings per share that beat consensus estimates for both Q4 2025 and Q1 2026, Brink's GAAP net income and earnings per share declined in Q1 2026. GAAP EPS from continuing operations fell to $0.77 from $1.19 year-over-year. This was primarily attributed to higher corporate expenses, increased interest costs, and approximately $38.9 million in spending related to the NCR Atleos acquisition and ongoing transformation initiatives.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -15.4% change in BCO stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -21.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120265102026Change
Stock Price ($)126.78107.22-15.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,1465,3904.7%
Net Income Margin (%)3.3%3.3%1.2%
P/E Multiple31.224.6-21.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)42411.5%
Cumulative Contribution-15.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BCO-15.4% 
Market (SPY)3.6%41.2%
Sector (XLI)5.0%38.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The -3.1% change in BCO stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -14.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120255102026Change
Stock Price ($)110.68107.22-3.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,0705,3906.3%
Net Income Margin (%)3.2%3.3%4.2%
P/E Multiple28.824.6-14.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)42412.4%
Cumulative Contribution-3.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BCO-3.1% 
Market (SPY)5.5%40.7%
Sector (XLI)12.4%40.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 21.4% change in BCO stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 7.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)43020255102026Change
Stock Price ($)88.35107.2221.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,0125,3907.5%
Net Income Margin (%)3.3%3.3%2.9%
P/E Multiple23.724.63.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)44415.8%
Cumulative Contribution21.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BCO21.4% 
Market (SPY)30.4%41.5%
Sector (XLI)33.8%39.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 76.2% change in BCO stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 47.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020235102026Change
Stock Price ($)60.87107.2276.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,5365,39018.8%
Net Income Margin (%)3.8%3.3%-11.1%
P/E Multiple16.724.647.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)474113.1%
Cumulative Contribution76.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/10/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BCO76.2% 
Market (SPY)78.7%50.0%
Sector (XLI)81.1%50.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
BCO Return-8%-17%66%7%27%-8%59%
Peers Return12%-5%13%24%28%1%96%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%7%95%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BCO Win Rate67%42%67%50%67%60% 
Peers Win Rate54%42%66%50%69%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%60% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BCO Max Drawdown-17%-25%0%-10%-11%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-10%-29%-17%-11%-14%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NATL, DBD, ALLE, ADT. See BCO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/8/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventBCOS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-13.0%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven14.9%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven34 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-25.2%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven123 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-50.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven102.1%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven1348 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-14.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.2%23.7%
  Time to Breakeven17 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-15.2%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.0%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven21 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-26.6%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven36.2%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven116 days15 days

Compare to NATL, DBD, ALLE, ADT

In The Past

Brink's's stock fell -13.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 14.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventBCOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-25.2%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven123 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-50.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven102.1%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven1348 days140 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-26.6%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven36.2%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven116 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-30.4%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.7%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven752 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-35.9%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven56.0%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven212 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-42.9%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven75.3%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven851 days1085 days

Compare to NATL, DBD, ALLE, ADT

In The Past

Brink's's stock fell -13.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 14.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Brink's (BCO)

The Brink's Company provides secure transportation, cash management, and other security-related services in North America, Latin America, Europe, and internationally. The company offers armored vehicle transportation of valuables; automated teller machine (ATM) management services, such as cash replenishment, replenishment forecasting, cash optimization, ATM remote monitoring, service call dispatching, transaction processing, installation, and first and second line maintenance services; network infrastructure; and cash-in-transit services. It also provides transportation services for diamonds, jewelry, precious metals, securities, bank notes, currency, high-tech devices, electronics, and pharmaceuticals; vault outsourcing and money processing services; and services related to deploying and servicing intelligent safes and safe control devices, as well as cashier balancing, counterfeit detection, account consolidation, electronic reporting, check imaging, and reconciliation services. In addition, the company offers technology applications, including online cash tracking, cash inventory management, and other web-based tools. Further, it provides bill payment and collection services; prepaid cards and corporate debit cards; and security system design and installation services that include alarms, motion detectors, closed-circuit televisions, and digital video recorders, as well as access control systems comprising card and biometric readers, electronic locks, and turnstiles. Additionally, the company offers monitoring services; and security and guarding services to protect airports, offices, warehouses, stores, and public venues. It serves banks and financial institutions, retailers, government agencies, mints, jewelers, and other commercial operations. The company was formerly known as The Pittston Company and changed its name to The Brink's Company in May 2003. The Brink's Company was founded in 1859 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for The Brink's Company (BCO):

  • They're like the **FedEx or UPS for incredibly valuable items** like cash, gold, and diamonds, transported in armored vehicles.

  • Think of them as a highly secure, global **payment processor, but for physical cash and valuables** rather than digital transactions like PayPal or Stripe.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Secure Logistics & Cash-in-Transit: Provides armored vehicle transportation for cash, valuables, and sensitive goods.
  • ATM Management: Offers comprehensive services for ATMs, including cash replenishment, forecasting, and maintenance.
  • Cash Management & Processing: Delivers vault outsourcing, money processing, intelligent safe services, and related cash handling solutions.
  • Cash Logistics Technology: Develops web-based tools for online cash tracking and inventory management.
  • Financial Transaction Services: Provides bill payment, collection services, and offers prepaid and corporate debit cards.
  • Security Systems & Monitoring: Designs, installs, and monitors physical security systems like alarms, CCTV, and access control.
  • Security Guarding: Supplies security personnel for protection at various commercial and public venues.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Major Customers of The Brink's Company (BCO)

The Brink's Company primarily sells its services to other companies rather than individuals. Based on the provided background information, its major customers fall into the following categories:

  • Banks and financial institutions
  • Retailers
  • Government agencies
  • Mints
  • Jewelers
  • Other commercial operations

Specific names of individual customer companies were not detailed in the provided company description.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Mark Eubanks, President and Chief Executive Officer

Mark Eubanks has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of The Brink's Company since May 2022. Prior to this, he was the company's Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer from September 2021 to May 2022. Before joining Brink's, Mr. Eubanks was President, EMEA at Otis Worldwide Corporation from April 2019 to September 2020. Preceding his time at Otis, he was Group President, Electrical Products at Eaton Corporation from 2015 to 2019.

Kurt McMaken, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Kurt McMaken joined Brink's as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer on August 24, 2022. He oversees the company's financial, information technology, and sustainability functions. Before coming to Brink's, Mr. McMaken spent 20 years at Eaton Corporation plc in various financial and management capacities, most recently as Senior Vice President, Operations Finance and Transformation. He began his career in Audit & Business Advisory Services at PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP.

Adrian Button, Executive Vice President and President, Brink's North America

Adrian Button was appointed Executive Vice President and President, Brink's North America, effective February 16, 2026, bringing over 30 years of global operational leadership experience. He started his career as a mechanical engineering apprentice at the Royal Mint in Cardiff, Wales. He spent nearly two decades with General Electric, holding senior leadership roles across Aviation, Oil & Gas, and Industrial Solutions, managing multibillion-dollar P&Ls and leading major supply chain transformations. Subsequently, Mr. Button joined NCR Corporation, where he led the $2.6 billion Hardware Group and later served as Executive Vice President of Service and Product, overseeing a $5 billion P&L and a global team of more than 25,000 employees. Most recently, he was Senior Vice President of Operations at Carrier Corporation.

Elizabeth Galloway, Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer

Elizabeth Galloway leads Brink's global human resources function. Prior to joining Brink's, she served as Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer of Invitation Homes, a leader in the single-family home rental industry. Before Invitation Homes, Ms. Galloway held human resources leadership positions at At Home, PepsiCo, Owens Corning, and Marathon Petroleum Company.

Guillermo Peschard Mijares, Executive Vice President and President, Brink's Latin America (LATAM)

Guillermo Peschard Mijares leads Brink's Latin America operations. Before joining Brink's, he was Senior Vice President of Global Strategic Cost Transformation at PepsiCo, and prior to that, Chief Strategy and Transformation Officer for PepsiCo's Latin American business. Earlier in his career, Mr. Peschard Mijares worked at Walmart Mexico and Central America, where he served as General Manager & Senior Vice President of their Financial Services business and was Chairman of the Board of Banco Walmart.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Brink's Company (BCO) faces several key risks to its business operations. The most significant among these is the ongoing global shift towards a cashless economy and the resulting decline in physical cash usage. This secular trend poses a fundamental threat to a large portion of the company's traditional Cash-in-Transit (CIT) revenue, despite Brink's efforts to diversify into digital services. Secondly, Brink's operates within a highly competitive landscape. The secure logistics and cash management market includes established global security firms and specialized niche players such as Loomis, Prosegur, and GardaWorld. These competitors offer similar services and frequently engage in aggressive pricing strategies, which can exert pressure on Brink's market share and profitability. Finally, the inherent nature of Brink's business exposes it to significant security threats. Despite its expertise in security, the company remains a target for external theft and robbery, as well as internal fraud, due to the handling of large volumes of valuables. Furthermore, as Brink's increasingly relies on its IT infrastructure and digital solutions, it faces growing cybersecurity risks and the potential for breaches, which could lead to financial losses, operational disruptions, and reputational damage.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The widespread adoption of digital payment systems, including mobile payments, contactless transactions, and peer-to-peer payment applications, coupled with the emerging development of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), poses a clear threat by reducing the global reliance on physical cash. This trend directly impacts the demand for Brink's core services, which are heavily centered around the secure transportation, management, and processing of physical currency and other valuables, including ATM services and vault operations.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Brink's Company (BCO) operates within several substantial addressable markets for its core products and services globally and across key regions.

Secure Transportation and Cash-in-Transit (CIT) Services

  • The global Cash-in-Transit (CIT) Services market was valued at approximately USD 22.1 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 41.6 billion by 2033.
  • In North America, the CIT market size was approximately USD 6.2 billion in 2024.
  • Europe's CIT market was valued at USD 5.8 billion in 2024.
  • Latin America's CIT market size reached USD 3.2 billion in 2024.
  • The Asia Pacific region's CIT market was USD 4.9 billion in 2024.
  • The Middle East & Africa's CIT market was USD 2.0 billion in 2024.

Cash Management Services

  • ATM Managed Services: The global ATM Managed Services market size was valued at USD 9.04 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 20.85 billion by 2034.
    • North America's ATM Managed Services market size is estimated at USD 3.47 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach approximately USD 8.19 billion by 2035.
  • Smart Safes: The global smart safes market was valued at USD 3,735.11 million (approximately USD 3.74 billion) in 2024 and is projected to hit US$ 8,373.81 million by 2033.
  • Smart Safe Cash Management: The global smart safe cash management market was valued at USD 29.48 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 62.99 billion by 2033.

Security and Guarding Services

  • The global physical security market was estimated at USD 405 billion in 2023 and is projected to grow to nearly USD 500 billion by 2026.
  • The global physical security services market was estimated at USD 319 billion in 2023, with guarding services accounting for 47% of this total.
  • The global Manned Guarding Services market was valued at US$219.9 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach US$283.8 billion by 2030.
  • The global security guarding services market size was $184.33 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to $265.2 billion in 2030.
  • The global Security Systems Market, which includes alarms, motion detectors, closed-circuit televisions, digital video recorders, and access control systems, was estimated at USD 77.4 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 213.98 billion by 2035.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Brink's (BCO) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several strategic initiatives and market trends:

  1. Accelerated Growth in ATM Managed Services (AMS) and Digital Retail Solutions (DRS): Brink's is heavily prioritizing the expansion of its higher-margin, tech-enabled ATM Managed Services and Digital Retail Solutions segments. These services have demonstrated strong organic growth, exceeding 20% in the first quarter of 2025 and the fourth quarter of 2025, and are projected to constitute a significant portion of total revenue by 2025. This strategic shift towards digital solutions is a key component of the company's business transformation.
  2. Strategic Acquisitions, particularly NCR Atleos: The planned acquisition of NCR Atleos, valued at approximately $6.6 billion, is a transformative move anticipated to significantly expand Brink's market position and double its revenue size to around $10 billion. This acquisition is expected to enhance Brink's capabilities in ATM-as-a-Service (ATMaaS), generate substantial cost synergies, and be accretive to earnings per share.
  3. Increased Demand for Outsourced Cash Management and ATM Services: There is a growing trend among banks, financial institutions, and retailers to outsource their ATM operations and cash management to reduce costs and improve efficiency. Brink's, particularly with its enhanced digital solutions and the integration of NCR Atleos, is well-positioned to capitalize on this demand, offering comprehensive, end-to-end ATM outsourcing solutions and strengthening its role as a primary partner in the evolving cash ecosystem.
  4. Geographic Expansion and Market Penetration: Brink's continues to pursue a multi-faceted expansion strategy, focusing on strengthening its presence in crucial geographic markets and expanding into new territories. This includes targeted investments and strategic appointments to bolster regional growth, such as in Latin America.

AI Analysis | Feedback


Capital Allocation Decisions (Last 3-5 Years)

Share Repurchases
  • The Brink's Company authorized a new $750 million share repurchase program on December 10, 2025, which will extend through December 31, 2027. This program complements a previous $500 million authorization that was set to expire at the end of 2025.
  • Since 2022, Brink's has retired over seven million shares and returned more than $725 million to shareholders through a combination of dividends and share repurchases.
  • In 2025, the company repurchased $209 million of its stock, contributing to an approximately 5% reduction in its diluted share count.
Share Issuance
  • Brink's plans to acquire NCR Atleos for $6.6 billion in cash and stock, involving the issuance of over 13 million new shares. This transaction is expected to result in current Brink's shareholders owning less than 80% of the combined entity.
Outbound Investments
  • The company announced its intention to acquire NCR Atleos for $6.6 billion in a cash and stock transaction in February 2026. This acquisition is projected to double Brink's revenue and generate $200 million in annual run-rate synergies within three years.
  • Acquisitions, net of cash acquired, amounted to $19.1 million in 2023 and $1.5 million in 2024.
  • Transaction costs related to business acquisitions totaled $2.7 million in 2025.
Capital Expenditures
  • Capital expenditures were reported as $222.5 million in 2023 and $202.7 million in 2024.
  • The last twelve months' (LTM) capital expenditure, as of October 2025, was $45.2 million.
  • Capital expenditures are primarily focused on maintaining existing property, plant, and equipment, and supporting growth initiatives, particularly in ATM managed services (AMS) and digital retail solutions (DRS), as well as technology and systems investments.

Better Bets vs. Brink's (BCO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleDate
0DASHBOARDS 
1Brink's Stock Plummets 20% With 13-Day Losing Streak03/20/2026
2Brink's Stock In Shambles: Down 20% With 12-Day Losing Streak03/19/2026
3Brink's Stock 11-Day Losing Spree: Stock Falls 16%03/18/2026
4Brink's Stock Slides 16% With A 10-Day Losing Spree03/17/2026
5Is 15.2% Fall In Brink's (BCO) Stock A Buying Opportunity?03/10/2026
6Brink's Stock (+7.8%): Goldman Sachs Upgrade Reverses M&A-Driven Weakness03/03/2026
7Brink's Stock Pre-Market (-7.2%): $6.6B NCR Atleos Acquisition Announced02/28/2026
8Brink's Earnings Notes12/29/2026
9ARTICLES 
10Brink’s Stock 13-Day Losing Spree: Stock Falls -20%03/20/2026
11Brink’s Stock Slides -20% With A 12-Day Losing Spree03/19/2026
12Brink’s Stock In Shambles: Down -16% With 11-Day Losing Streak03/18/2026
13Brink’s Stock Plummets -16% With 10-Day Losing Streak03/17/2026
14Time To Buy The Dip In Brink’s Stock?03/10/2026

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to BCO.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_4302026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302026GEOGEODip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin		0.0%0.0%0.0%
RUN_4302026_Short_Squeeze04302026RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.		0.0%0.0%0.0%
RSG_4172026_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04172026RSGRepublic ServicesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple		0.8%0.8%-1.1%
VRSK_4102026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04102026VRSKVerisk AnalyticsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin		12.3%12.3%0.0%
UHAL_4102026_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04102026UHALU-HaulMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple		0.3%0.3%-1.0%
BCO_5312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG05312020BCOBrink'sDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap		73.3%90.3%-5.0%

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

BCONATLDBDALLEADTMedian
NameBrink's NCR Atle.Diebold .Allegion ADT  
Mkt Price107.2244.2778.01134.376.8778.01
Mkt Cap4.43.32.711.65.64.4
Rev LTM5,3904,4203,8564,1595,1404,420
Op Inc LTM5724702638581,315572
FCF LTM544722546831,495544
FCF 3Y Avg406162-6061,257506
CFO LTM7282243177812,056728
CFO 3Y Avg614309-6971,919656

Growth & Margins

BCONATLDBDALLEADTMedian
NameBrink's NCR Atle.Diebold .Allegion ADT  
Rev Chg LTM7.3%4.2%4.3%8.9%3.3%4.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.1%2.2%-6.2%3.1%4.1%
Rev Chg Q10.3%6.5%6.0%9.7%0.9%6.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.4%1.5%1.3%2.3%0.2%1.5%
Op Inc Chg LTM26.2%1.3%28.0%6.6%6.5%6.6%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg12.0%22.2%-10.3%14.3%13.1%
Op Mgn LTM10.6%10.6%6.8%20.6%25.6%10.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.0%9.3%-20.5%25.5%15.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%-0.4%0.1%-0.5%0.1%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM13.5%5.1%8.2%18.8%40.0%13.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.0%7.2%-18.0%38.8%15.0%
FCF/Rev LTM10.1%1.6%6.6%16.4%29.1%10.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.9%3.8%-15.6%25.3%11.8%

Valuation

BCONATLDBDALLEADTMedian
NameBrink's NCR Atle.Diebold .Allegion ADT  
Mkt Cap4.43.32.711.65.64.4
P/S0.80.70.72.81.10.8
P/Op Inc7.76.910.413.54.37.7
P/EBIT7.66.911.813.44.37.6
P/E24.618.525.418.39.018.5
P/CFO6.114.58.614.82.78.6
Total Yield4.1%5.4%3.9%7.0%14.4%5.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%1.5%3.3%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.7%9.4%-5.1%20.8%9.6%
D/E1.00.90.30.21.40.9
Net D/E0.70.80.20.11.30.7

Returns

BCONATLDBDALLEADTMedian
NameBrink's NCR Atle.Diebold .Allegion ADT  
1M Rtn1.6%0.2%-8.0%-7.2%2.1%0.2%
3M Rtn-18.1%10.2%8.6%-25.0%-14.1%-14.1%
6M Rtn-4.7%24.3%20.9%-19.2%-15.7%-4.7%
12M Rtn17.0%65.5%68.7%-4.0%-15.2%17.0%
3Y Rtn68.4%107.5%279.2%29.0%23.9%68.4%
1M Excs Rtn-7.3%-8.1%-16.1%-16.6%-7.8%-8.1%
3M Excs Rtn-24.8%3.5%1.9%-31.7%-20.9%-20.9%
6M Excs Rtn-14.5%8.2%14.5%-27.3%-23.0%-14.5%
12M Excs Rtn-12.5%19.0%45.9%-34.3%-46.0%-12.5%
3Y Excs Rtn1.6%26.6%198.4%-52.0%-39.4%1.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Cash and Valuables Management3,8003,8633,7923,670 
Digital Retail Solutions (DRS) and Automated Teller Machines Managed Services(AMS)1,2121,012743530 
Core services    1,909
High-value services    1,614
Other security services    168
Total5,0124,8754,5364,2003,691


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$107.22 
Market Cap ($ Bil)4.5 
First Trading Date01/03/1996 
Distance from 52W High-20.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$108.21$113.45
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA-0.9%-5.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility43.8%33.6%
Downside Capture1.150.62
Upside Capture89.66103.43
Correlation (SPY)40.3%40.6%
BCO Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.361.181.171.121.110.98
Up Beta1.410.850.870.721.100.75
Down Beta3.790.840.950.971.120.88
Up Capture73%94%95%124%105%162%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days9122454121388
Down Capture303%179%168%135%113%105%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days13313969129363

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return		Annualized
Volatility		Sharpe
Ratio		Correlation
with BCO
BCO19.0%33.5%0.56-
Sector ETF (XLI)31.0%15.6%1.5339.4%
Equity (SPY)29.0%12.5%1.8341.5%
Gold (GLD)39.8%27.0%1.225.7%
Commodities (DBC)50.6%18.0%2.21-13.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.0%13.5%0.6634.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-17.4%42.1%-0.3424.4%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return		Annualized
Volatility		Sharpe
Ratio		Correlation
with BCO
BCO7.3%31.0%0.27-
Sector ETF (XLI)12.7%17.4%0.5752.6%
Equity (SPY)12.8%17.1%0.5950.2%
Gold (GLD)20.9%17.9%0.956.5%
Commodities (DBC)13.8%19.1%0.597.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.4%18.8%0.0843.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)7.0%56.0%0.3417.2%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return		Annualized
Volatility		Sharpe
Ratio		Correlation
with BCO
BCO13.4%37.1%0.45-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.9%20.0%0.6156.9%
Equity (SPY)15.1%17.9%0.7252.9%
Gold (GLD)13.4%15.9%0.691.9%
Commodities (DBC)9.3%17.8%0.4417.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.8%20.7%0.2448.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.8%66.9%1.0710.3%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 331202617.1%
Average Daily Volume0.4 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity41.3 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares4.8%

Returns Analyses

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/26/2026-13.9%-9.4%-25.7%
11/5/20257.5%6.4%10.2%
8/6/202512.8%22.8%28.2%
5/12/2025-4.8%-8.5%-10.1%
2/26/20251.9%-8.6%-7.8%
11/6/2024-1.2%-7.0%-10.0%
8/7/2024-6.6%-4.7%5.5%
2/29/20244.2%6.0%16.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141214
# Negative9119
Median Positive4.5%5.5%12.7%
Median Negative-5.3%-5.0%-4.2%
Max Positive25.5%22.8%57.7%
Max Negative-14.9%-23.1%-25.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/06/202610-Q
12/31/202502/26/202610-K
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/12/202510-Q
12/31/202402/26/202510-K
09/30/202411/06/202410-Q
06/30/202408/07/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/29/202410-K
09/30/202311/07/202310-Q
06/30/202308/09/202310-Q
03/31/202305/10/202310-Q
12/31/202203/01/202310-K
09/30/202210/26/202210-Q
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/26/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Revenue1.33 Bil1.36 Bil1.40 Bil0.7% RaisedGuidance: 1.35 Bil for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA220.00 Mil230.00 Mil240.00 Mil-17.0% LoweredGuidance: 277.00 Mil for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Non-GAAP EPS1.51.71.9-31.5% LoweredGuidance: 2.48 for Q4 2025
2026 Organic Revenue Growth4.0%5.0% 00AffirmedGuidance: 5.0% for 2025
2026 AMS/DRS Organic Revenue Growth15.0%17.5% 00AffirmedGuidance: 17.5% for 2025
2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin Expansion0.3%0.4% 00AffirmedGuidance: 0.4% for 2025
2026 Free Cash Flow Conversion0.40.42 00AffirmedGuidance: 0.42 for 2025

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/5/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Revenue1.33 Bil1.35 Bil1.38 Bil1.9% RaisedGuidance: 1.33 Bil for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA267.00 Mil277.00 Mil287.00 Mil10.8% RaisedGuidance: 250.00 Mil for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 Non-GAAP EPS2.282.482.6821.0% RaisedGuidance: 2.05 for Q3 2025
2025 Organic Revenue Growth 5.0%    
2025 AMS/DRS Organic Revenue Growth 17.5%    
2025 Adjusted EBITDA Margin Expansion0.3%0.4%0.5%00AffirmedGuidance: 0.4% for 2025
2025 Free Cash Flow Conversion0.40.420.4500AffirmedGuidance: 0.42 for 2025
2025 Free Cash Flow Returned to Shareholders 0.5 0 AffirmedGuidance: 0.5 for 2025

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value		Value of
Held Shares		Form
1Sweeney, Michael EControllerDirectSell12162025119.501,418169,447687,706Form
2Castillo, Daniel JEVPDirectSell8182025109.7021,7002,380,5582,434,093Form
3Sweeney, Michael EControllerDirectSell8152025115.0074685,790895,275Form
4Parker, Arthelbert Louis DirectSell8152025115.0054062,100759,345Form
5Sweeney, Michael EControllerDirectSell8152025110.0079587,450938,410Form

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