Tearsheet

Brink's (BCO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $120.14 | Market Cap: $5.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Security & Alarm Services

Brink's (BCO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $120.14
Market Cap: $5.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Security & Alarm Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.6%, Dist 3Y High is -0.6%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 61%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 8.5%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -1.6%
Key risks
BCO key risks include [1] the global shift toward digital payments threatening its core cash management services and [2] heightened exposure to robberies and sophisticated security threats targeting its cash-in-transit operations.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Physical Security & Secure Logistics. Themes include Cash & Valuables Logistics, Secure Supply Chain Solutions, and Cash Management Services.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 8.5%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Physical Security & Secure Logistics. Themes include Cash & Valuables Logistics, Secure Supply Chain Solutions, and Cash Management Services.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.6%, Dist 3Y High is -0.6%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -1.6%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 61%
7 Key risks
BCO key risks include [1] the global shift toward digital payments threatening its core cash management services and [2] heightened exposure to robberies and sophisticated security threats targeting its cash-in-transit operations.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BCO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Brink's stock surged approximately 7.5% following the announcement of its third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 5, 2025. This jump was attributed to revenue and adjusted earnings per share aligning with analyst expectations. 2. Strong second-quarter 2025 performance and raised full-year outlook contributed to positive sentiment. On August 6, 2025, Brink's reported Q2 results that exceeded guidance for revenue, operating profit, and EBITDA, leading to a 6.09% stock rise. The company subsequently increased its full-year revenue and EBITDA expectations.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BCO Return-20%-8%-17%66%7%30%41%
Peers Return24%29%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BCO Win Rate42%67%42%67%50%67% 
Peers Win Rate71%50%69% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BCO Max Drawdown-62%-17%-25%0%-10%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-11%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NATL, DBD, ALLE, ADT. See BCO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBCOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-41.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven71.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven430 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-63.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven176.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1456 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-32.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven48.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven206 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-53.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven112.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2898 days1480 days

Compare to MG, CIX, NL, SNT, ADT


In The Past

Brink's's stock fell -41.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2021. A -41.8% loss requires a 71.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Brink's (BCO)

Better Bets than Brink's (BCO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BCO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
BCO_5312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG05312020BCOBrink'sDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
73.3%90.3%-5.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
BCO_5312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG05312020BCOBrink'sDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
73.3%90.3%-5.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Brink's

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BCONATLDBDALLEADTMedian
NameBrink's NCR Atle.Diebold .Allegion ADT  
Mkt Price120.0738.6466.82160.718.1566.82
Mkt Cap5.02.82.413.86.75.0
Rev LTM5,1464,3133,6903,9805,1134,313
Op Inc LTM5065292158341,306529
FCF LTM418552306801,387418
FCF 3Y Avg347147-5851,163466
CFO LTM6362052797631,970636
CFO 3Y Avg558286-6711,873614

Growth & Margins

BCONATLDBDALLEADTMedian
NameBrink's NCR Atle.Diebold .Allegion ADT  
Rev Chg LTM3.1%0.4%-6.9%6.3%4.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.1%--8.6%3.4%5.1%
Rev Chg Q6.1%4.5%2.0%10.7%4.4%4.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.5%1.1%0.5%2.7%1.1%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM9.8%12.3%5.8%21.0%25.5%12.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.9%8.5%-20.4%26.1%15.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.5%-0.3%0.7%-0.1%-0.5%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM12.4%4.8%7.6%19.2%38.5%12.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.2%6.7%-17.7%40.1%14.5%
FCF/Rev LTM8.1%1.3%6.2%17.1%27.1%8.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.0%3.5%-15.4%24.7%11.2%

Valuation

BCONATLDBDALLEADTMedian
NameBrink's NCR Atle.Diebold .Allegion ADT  
Mkt Cap5.02.82.413.86.75.0
P/S1.00.70.63.81.41.0
P/EBIT9.26.212.418.05.69.2
P/E28.822.541.123.811.123.8
P/CFO7.714.17.520.03.67.7
Total Yield3.5%4.5%2.4%5.3%11.7%4.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%1.1%2.7%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg8.2%--4.8%18.2%8.2%
D/E0.91.00.40.11.10.9
Net D/E0.60.90.30.11.10.6

Returns

BCONATLDBDALLEADTMedian
NameBrink's NCR Atle.Diebold .Allegion ADT  
1M Rtn11.1%12.4%8.7%0.8%2.2%8.7%
3M Rtn4.6%-1.6%13.1%-8.7%-4.7%-1.6%
6M Rtn38.6%39.8%29.0%18.2%1.5%29.0%
12M Rtn28.2%17.1%41.5%19.3%18.1%19.3%
3Y Rtn123.1%--61.8%-3.3%61.8%
1M Excs Rtn10.4%11.6%8.0%0.0%1.5%8.0%
3M Excs Rtn3.3%-3.4%9.9%-11.2%-6.5%-3.4%
6M Excs Rtn26.2%27.5%16.6%5.8%-10.9%16.6%
12M Excs Rtn17.2%5.2%27.0%6.7%5.2%6.7%
3Y Excs Rtn45.1%---15.5%-78.1%-15.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Cash and Valuables Management3,8633,7923,670  
Digital Retail Solutions (DRS) and Automated Teller Machines Managed Services(AMS)1,012743530  
Core services   1,9091,953
High-value services   1,6141,584
Other security services   168146
Total4,8754,5364,2003,6913,683


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity707,465
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520255.6%
Average Daily Volume239,299
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.96
Basic Shares Quantity41,900,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/20257.5%6.4%10.2%
8/6/202512.8%22.8%28.2%
5/12/2025-4.8%-8.5%-10.1%
2/26/20251.9%-8.6%-7.8%
11/6/2024-1.2%-7.0%-10.0%
8/7/2024-6.6%-4.7%5.5%
2/29/20244.2%6.0%16.3%
11/7/20236.4%4.2%17.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141214
# Negative9119
Median Positive4.5%5.5%12.7%
Median Negative-5.3%-4.7%-4.2%
Max Positive25.5%22.8%57.6%
Max Negative-14.9%-23.1%-10.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221026202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021