Tearsheet

Mueller Industries (MLI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $111.3 | Market Cap: $12.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Mueller Industries (MLI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $111.3
Market Cap: $12.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%, FCF Yield is 6.1%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
 
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
  
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
  
3 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21%
  
4 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
  
5 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
  
6 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%, FCF Yield is 6.1%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
3 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21%
4 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
5 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
6 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Show more.
7 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MLI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Mueller Industries (MLI) reached a new 52-week high on December 4, 2025, indicating strong investor confidence and upward momentum for the stock. 2. The company continued to demonstrate its commitment to shareholder returns by declaring cash dividends for both the third and fourth quarters of 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MLI Return12%71%1%62%71%41%656%
Peers Return36%2%9%21%12%124%364%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MLI Win Rate58%75%33%58%75%70% 
Peers Win Rate50%48%54%52%50%73% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MLI Max Drawdown-43%-3%-15%-0%-4%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-51%-21%-29%-14%-21%-11% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PAAS, ATI, WTS, HL, ADVEN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMLIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-23.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven30.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven57 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-46.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven244 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-50.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven100.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven808 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-58.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven138.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven888 days1480 days

Compare to PAAS, ATI, WTS, HL, ADVEN


In The Past

Mueller Industries's stock fell -23.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/24/2023. A -23.6% loss requires a 30.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Mueller Industries (MLI)

Better Bets than Mueller Industries (MLI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MLI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
MLI_11302024_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11302024MLIMueller IndustriesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-3.0%37.6%-14.8%
MLI_7312023_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%07312023MLIMueller IndustriesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
22.4%76.1%-13.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
MLI_11302024_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11302024MLIMueller IndustriesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-3.0%37.6%-14.8%
MLI_7312023_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%07312023MLIMueller IndustriesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
22.4%76.1%-13.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Mueller Industries

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MLIPAASATIWTSHLADVENMedian
NameMueller .Pan Amer.ATI Watts Wa.Hecla Mi.AdvEn  
Mkt Price111.6044.4498.37274.9717.36-98.37
Mkt Cap12.216.113.59.211.6-12.2
Rev LTM4,1403,1164,5832,3541,225-3,116
Op Inc LTM887682631447374-631
FCF LTM676680444344182-444
FCF 3Y Avg6502041533184-204
CFO LTM754968679387413-679
CFO 3Y Avg713528372352225-372

Growth & Margins

MLIPAASATIWTSHLADVENMedian
NameMueller .Pan Amer.ATI Watts Wa.Hecla Mi.AdvEn  
Rev Chg LTM15.7%21.1%7.7%4.2%45.6%-15.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.3%24.5%8.6%6.5%21.2%-8.6%
Rev Chg Q8.0%18.3%7.1%12.5%67.1%-12.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.0%4.2%1.6%3.0%15.5%-3.0%
Op Mgn LTM21.4%21.9%13.8%19.0%30.5%-21.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg21.4%9.1%12.4%17.8%16.3%-16.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.0%4.1%0.2%0.1%6.2%-1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM18.2%31.1%14.8%16.4%33.7%-18.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg19.0%19.0%8.4%16.0%22.1%-19.0%
FCF/Rev LTM16.3%21.8%9.7%14.6%14.9%-14.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg17.3%5.3%3.3%14.4%-2.3%-5.3%

Valuation

MLIPAASATIWTSHLADVENMedian
NameMueller .Pan Amer.ATI Watts Wa.Hecla Mi.AdvEn  
Mkt Cap12.216.113.59.211.6-12.2
P/S2.73.32.44.06.6-3.3
P/EBIT11.112.116.121.622.4-16.1
P/E14.719.725.128.840.6-25.1
P/CFO14.610.616.424.219.6-16.4
Total Yield7.5%6.5%4.0%4.2%2.5%-4.2%
Dividend Yield0.7%1.4%0.0%0.7%0.0%-0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.8%1.6%0.9%4.5%-1.3%-1.6%
D/E0.00.10.20.00.0-0.0
Net D/E-0.1-0.00.1-0.00.0--0.0

Returns

MLIPAASATIWTSHLADVENMedian
NameMueller .Pan Amer.ATI Watts Wa.Hecla Mi.AdvEn  
1M Rtn3.3%28.6%-0.2%1.4%36.1%-3.3%
3M Rtn17.4%31.1%28.6%-0.1%93.4%-28.6%
6M Rtn44.1%68.4%18.5%15.3%184.3%-44.1%
12M Rtn43.1%99.7%64.7%29.6%203.1%-64.7%
3Y Rtn233.0%171.6%216.1%76.1%208.0%-208.0%
1M Excs Rtn3.4%28.7%-0.2%1.4%36.1%-3.4%
3M Excs Rtn9.6%27.5%22.1%-6.9%90.9%-22.1%
6M Excs Rtn29.4%53.7%3.8%0.5%169.6%-29.4%
12M Excs Rtn26.2%92.0%49.9%14.9%201.6%-49.9%
3Y Excs Rtn170.5%144.0%178.8%12.7%190.4%-170.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Corporate and Unallocated1,319    
Piping Systems1,0301,0891,160978796
Climate253280250259250
Industrial Metals158161173153162
Corporate and Eliminations 713145139163
Total2,7592,2421,7291,5291,371


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,033,282
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-2.5%
Average Daily Volume638,311
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.19
Basic Shares Quantity109,114,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251022202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025723202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025423202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241023202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024724202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024424202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231025202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023726202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023426202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221019202210-Q 9/24/2022
6302022720202210-Q 6/25/2022
3312022420202210-Q 3/26/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/25/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0GOLDMAN SCOTT JAY 11252025Sell108.644,234459,9644,535,006Form
1Christopher Gregory L.Chairman of the Board & CEO10272025Sell104.32158,00016,482,560116,759,221Form
2HANSEN JOHN B 10232025Sell105.711,000105,7109,689,801Form