Willdan (WLDN)
Market Price (11/7/2026): $66.67 | Market Cap: $1.0 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Construction & Engineering
Willdan (WLDN)
Market Price (11/7/2026): $66.67Market Cap: $1.0 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Construction & Engineering
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3%, FCF Yield is 6.4% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Grid Automation, Distributed Energy Resources, Show more. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Key risksWLDN key risks include [1] significant customer concentration, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3%, FCF Yield is 6.4% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Grid Automation, Distributed Energy Resources, Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Key risksWLDN key risks include [1] significant customer concentration, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Willdan (WLDN) stock has lost about 5% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Decline in GAAP Net Income and Diluted EPS in fiscal Q3 2026. Despite strong top-line growth and adjusted earnings, Willdan reported a 13.6% year-over-year decrease in net income and a 15.6% decline in GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) to $0.76 for fiscal Q3 2026, which ended October 2, 2026. This decline occurred despite adjusted EPS of $1.20 beating consensus estimates of $1.08 and revenue of $214.53 million significantly exceeding the $107.77 million consensus. The reduction in GAAP profitability was attributed to higher General & Administrative expenses and increased quarterly tax expense.
2. Lower-than-expected full-year 2026 revenue guidance. While Willdan raised its full-year fiscal 2026 adjusted diluted EPS guidance to $5.15-$5.25 (above the $4.87 consensus), its revenue forecast of $435 million-$445 million for the year was substantially below the analyst consensus estimate of $746.5 million. This significant discrepancy in revenue expectations for the upcoming period likely contributed to investor concern.
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Willdan (WLDN) stock has lost about 5% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Decline in GAAP Net Income and Diluted EPS in fiscal Q3 2026. Despite strong top-line growth and adjusted earnings, Willdan reported a 13.6% year-over-year decrease in net income and a 15.6% decline in GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) to $0.76 for fiscal Q3 2026, which ended October 2, 2026. This decline occurred despite adjusted EPS of $1.20 beating consensus estimates of $1.08 and revenue of $214.53 million significantly exceeding the $107.77 million consensus. The reduction in GAAP profitability was attributed to higher General & Administrative expenses and increased quarterly tax expense.
2. Lower-than-expected full-year 2026 revenue guidance. While Willdan raised its full-year fiscal 2026 adjusted diluted EPS guidance to $5.15-$5.25 (above the $4.87 consensus), its revenue forecast of $435 million-$445 million for the year was substantially below the analyst consensus estimate of $746.5 million. This significant discrepancy in revenue expectations for the upcoming period likely contributed to investor concern.
3. Significant insider selling activity. Director Thomas Brisbin sold 58,757 shares of Willdan's stock on September 3, 2026, at an average price of $88.14 per share, totaling approximately $5.18 million. This was a discretionary sale and not part of a pre-arranged trading plan, which can be interpreted by the market as a lack of confidence from a key insider.
4. Concerns surrounding the Mantis Innovation acquisition's impact on margins. Willdan's acquisition of Mantis Innovation, completed on October 30, 2026, while strategically positive for expanding commercial energy management services, raised concerns regarding potential margin dilution. Analysts noted that Mantis's adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be below Willdan's roughly 25% fiscal 2026 guidance, potentially leading to approximately 50 basis points of pro forma dilution and offsetting about one year of management's targeted annual margin expansion.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -3.4% change in WLDN stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -11.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312026 | 11062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 68.53 | 66.22 | -3.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 684 | 774 | 13.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.2% | 8.2% | -0.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 17.9 | 15.9 | -11.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 15 | 15 | -3.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -3.4% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2026 to 11/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| WLDN | -3.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | -1.6% | 38.6% |
| Sector (XLI) | -9.5% | 35.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -12.9% change in WLDN stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -25.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302026 | 11062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 76.00 | 66.22 | -12.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 682 | 774 | 13.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 21.2 | 15.9 | -25.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 15 | 15 | -3.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -12.9% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 11/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| WLDN | -12.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 2.6% | 30.6% |
| Sector (XLI) | -6.6% | 21.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -29.9% change in WLDN stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -59.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 11062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 94.51 | 66.22 | -29.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 628 | 774 | 23.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.6% | 8.2% | 46.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 38.8 | 15.9 | -59.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 14 | 15 | -4.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -29.9% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 11/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| WLDN | -29.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.7% | 35.8% |
| Sector (XLI) | 5.8% | 29.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 275.4% change in WLDN stock from 10/31/2023 to 11/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 3715.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 10312023 | 11062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 17.64 | 66.22 | 275.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 456 | 774 | 69.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.2% | 8.2% | 3715.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 240.2 | 15.9 | -93.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 15 | -12.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 275.4% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2023 to 11/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| WLDN | 275.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 81.9% | 30.7% |
| Sector (XLI) | 72.0% | 31.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| WLDN Return | -16% | -49% | 20% | 77% | 172% | -36% | 59% |
| Peers Return | 53% | -12% | 12% | 7% | 4% | -8% | 53% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 105% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| WLDN Win Rate | 33% | 33% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 27% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 47% | 55% | 60% | 57% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 45% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| WLDN Max Drawdown | -42% | -67% | -34% | -20% | -29% | -51% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -20% | -31% | -25% | -21% | -35% | -39% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TTEK, AMRC, STN, J, ACM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/6/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | WLDN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -10.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 7 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -28.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 41 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -66.5% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 198.8% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 658 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -50.3% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 101.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 240 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -13.9% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 16.2% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 7 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -12.1% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.8% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 7 days | 6 days |
In The Past
Willdan's stock fell -7.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 7.5% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | WLDN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -28.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 41 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -66.5% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 198.8% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 658 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -50.3% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 101.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 240 days | 140 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -27.0% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.9% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 50 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -34.0% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.4% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 70 days | 15 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -79.4% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 385.3% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2002 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Willdan's stock fell -7.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 7.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Willdan (WLDN)
Willdan Group, Inc. (WLDN) is a professional services firm operating primarily in the United States, offering a comprehensive suite of technical and consulting services. The company strategically divides its operations into two core segments: Energy, and Engineering and Consulting, addressing distinct but often interconnected needs of its clients.
The Energy segment focuses on optimizing energy use and infrastructure through services like comprehensive audits, program design, grid optimization, design engineering, construction management, and the provision of advanced software and data analytics for energy efficiency. The Engineering and Consulting segment provides a wide range of services critical for public and private sector development, including building and safety, city engineering, development plan review, disaster recovery, geotechnical and structural engineering, transportation and water resources engineering, along with financial consulting, federal compliance, and communications and technology solutions.
Willdan primarily serves a broad base of public and governmental agencies, such as cities, counties, water districts, school districts, universities, and both state and federal agencies. Its clientele also extends to investor and municipal-owned energy utilities, commercial and industrial firms, and various other special districts and agencies, making it a key partner for infrastructure development and operational efficiency across multiple sectors.
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- Willdan is like an AECOM for local governments and utilities, focusing on engineering, planning, and energy solutions.
- Willdan is like a Booz Allen Hamilton for cities and utilities, but specialized in engineering and energy infrastructure projects.
- Willdan is like Accenture for public agencies and utilities, specializing in engineering and energy efficiency consulting.
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- Energy Efficiency & Management Services: Provides comprehensive services from audits and program design to demand reduction, grid optimization, and installation, helping clients manage and improve energy usage.
- Energy Software & Data Analytics: Offers specialized software and data analysis tools for insights into energy consumption and performance.
- Civil & Structural Engineering: Includes services like building and safety, city engineering, code enforcement, development plan review, geotechnical, earthquake, structural, transportation, traffic, and water resources engineering.
- Planning & Program Management: Offers urban planning, surveying, and comprehensive program and construction management support for various projects.
- Specialized Government & Infrastructure Consulting: Provides services such as disaster recovery, contract staff support, district administration, financial consulting, federal compliance, and communications & technology services to public agencies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Willdan (WLDN) primarily serves a diverse range of organizational customers rather than individuals. Based on the provided company description, its major customers can be categorized as follows:
- Public and Governmental Agencies: This broad category includes cities, counties, redevelopment agencies, water districts, school districts, universities, and both state and federal agencies.
- Energy Utilities: Willdan serves both investor-owned and municipal-owned energy utilities.
- Commercial and Industrial Firms: The company also provides services to various businesses operating in the commercial and industrial sectors.
- Other Special Districts and Agencies: This category covers various other special districts and agencies.
The provided company description does not list the specific names of its customer companies or their public symbols.
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Michael A. Bieber, Chief Executive Officer
Michael A. Bieber was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Willdan Group, Inc. on December 30, 2023, after serving as President from November 2016 to December 2023. He joined Willdan in December 2014 as Senior Vice President, Corporate Development. Prior to Willdan, Mr. Bieber spent over 18 years at Tetra Tech, where he held various leadership roles, including managing mergers and acquisitions and investor relations functions from March 2007 to December 2014, overseeing more than fifty acquisitions. He also managed Tetra Tech's corporate business development group from 2005 to 2007.
Creighton K. (Kim) Early, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Creighton K. (Kim) Early assumed the role of Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for Willdan Group, Inc. on December 30, 2023, having served as Chief Financial Officer since April 16, 2021. From 2015 to 2021, he was the Executive Vice President and CFO of Willdan's Energy Solutions group. Before joining Willdan, Mr. Early was the Chief Financial Officer for Infrastructure and Energy Alternatives, a company specializing in utility-scale wind, solar, and biomass projects. He also served as CFO for Earth Tech, where he contributed to its growth from a $37 million geotechnical consulting firm into a $1.3 billion multinational engineering leader over 14 years. Mr. Early has participated in over 50 M&A transactions as a buyer, seller, or advisor, and has held CFO positions for both public and privately held companies.
Thomas D. Brisbin, Chairman of the Board
Thomas D. Brisbin has been the Chairman of the Board for Willdan Group, Inc. since November 2016 and a board member since 2007. He previously served as the company's Chief Executive Officer from April 2007 to December 2023, and as President from 2007 to November 2016. Before joining Willdan, Dr. Brisbin was Vice President and consultant for AECOM Technology Corporation. His career also includes serving as Chief Operating Officer and Executive Vice President of Tetra Tech, Inc. for five years, and co-founding and serving as President of PRC Environmental Management, Inc. from 1978 to 1995.
Micah Chen, Executive Vice President and General Counsel
Micah Chen was appointed Executive Vice President and General Counsel for Willdan Group, Inc. on December 30, 2023, overseeing legal and regulatory risks. He served as General Counsel from March 2018 to December 2023 and as Legal Counsel from July 2017 to March 2018. Prior to Willdan, Mr. Chen held various positions at Aon Corporation, including Senior Vice President and Managing Director from 2008 to 2017, and was Vice President of the Construction Risk Group at Willis Towers Watson from 2006 to 2007.
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Key Risks to Willdan (WLDN)
- Customer and Geographic Concentration: Willdan faces significant risk due to its reliance on a limited number of clients and specific geographic regions, notably California, New York, and Nevada. The company's top 10 customers accounted for over half of its consolidated contract revenue in fiscal year 2025. This concentration makes Willdan vulnerable to adverse economic conditions, regulatory changes, or reduced spending by key clients in these areas, potentially leading to significant revenue fluctuations.
- Economic Uncertainty and Reliance on Specific Market Trends: General economic fluctuations can significantly impact government and private sector spending on infrastructure and energy projects, which form the core of Willdan's business. Furthermore, a substantial portion of Willdan's growth, particularly in its Energy segment, is tied to the demand for electricity from data centers. While this is a current growth driver, an over-reliance on this sector presents a single-point-of-failure risk, where a slowdown in AI-driven load growth or a major client's strategic shift could pressure revenue.
- Competitive Landscape and Talent Acquisition/Retention: The professional, technical, and consulting services market in which Willdan operates is highly competitive, with numerous firms vying for contracts. Willdan must continually innovate and differentiate its offerings to maintain its market position. Additionally, there is intense competition for skilled engineering and technical talent, which can drive up labor costs, pressure profit margins, and potentially limit the company's capacity for growth if it cannot effectively attract and retain qualified personnel.
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Willdan (WLDN) operates in the Energy and Engineering and Consulting segments, providing a range of professional, technical, and consulting services primarily in the United States. The addressable markets for their main products and services in the U.S. are sized as follows:
Energy Segment
- Energy Efficiency and Optimization Services: The U.S. energy as a service market, which includes energy efficiency and optimization services, generated a revenue of approximately USD 23.61 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach about USD 43.79 billion by 2030.
- Smart Grid and Grid Optimization: The United States smart grid market size reached approximately USD 20.9 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 77.3 billion by 2034.
Engineering and Consulting Segment
- Engineering Services: The market size for Engineering Services in the U.S. was approximately USD 357.9 billion in 2025.
- Public Sector Consulting and Advisory Services: The United States Public Sector Consulting and Advisory Services Market size is estimated at approximately USD 13.57 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 18.03 billion by 2030.
- Construction Management Services: The market size of Construction Project Management Services in the U.S. was approximately USD 372.5 billion in 2025.
- Disaster Recovery as a Service: The U.S. disaster recovery as a service market generated a revenue of approximately USD 3.53 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 15.31 billion by 2030.
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- Increased Demand for Energy Efficiency and Grid Modernization: Willdan is positioned to benefit from the growing national demand for energy efficiency and grid modernization solutions, driven by factors such as AI data centers, broader electrification initiatives, and the increasing complexity of the electricity grid. This trend is prompting utilities and municipalities to invest more in efficiency programs and power infrastructure, directly expanding Willdan's addressable market.
- Expansion in the Data Center Market: The rapid growth in electricity demand fueled by artificial intelligence applications and data centers is identified as a significant new catalyst for Willdan. The company's management anticipates that activity related to data centers, particularly through its acquired power engineering capabilities, could more than double in 2026. By the end of 2026, data center-related work could account for nearly 20% of total revenue.
- Growth from Large-Scale Utility and Government Contracts: Willdan continues to experience strong demand from both its government and utility customer base. The company has secured significant contracts, such as a $330 million contract with the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power (LADWP) expected to contribute to the top line over the next four years, and a $112 million energy efficiency program for the city of San Diego.
- Strategic Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A): Willdan actively pursues accretive "bolt-on" acquisitions to enhance its scale and capabilities, particularly in growing energy and infrastructure markets. The company has a robust M&A pipeline and plans to continue adding more capabilities through strategic acquisitions in the coming quarters.
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Share Issuance
- Willdan's shares outstanding have shown a slight increase over the past few years, with approximately 14.49 million shares outstanding as of May 7, 2025, and 14.66 million as of August 6, 2025.
- The company issues common stock related to business acquisitions, with an amount of $5,557 attributed to such issuances as of July 4, 2025.
- Executives and employees receive equity compensation in the form of restricted stock units, leading to share issuances upon vesting. For instance, the CEO was granted 18,000 restricted stock units in March 2026, vesting in installments through 2029.
Outbound Investments
- Willdan acquired Alternative Power Generation, Inc. (APG), an electrical engineering and construction management firm, in March 2025 through a stock purchase to strengthen its electrical engineering capabilities and enhance its position in the energy transition sector. APG generated approximately $37 million in revenue in 2024.
- In February 2025, Willdan acquired Alpha Inspections LLC, a provider of building inspections, plans examination, and building official services.
- The company completed the acquisition of Compass Municipal Advisors, LLC in January 2026, expanding its financial services offerings.
Capital Expenditures
- Willdan's capital expenditures were -$9.39 million in the last 12 months as of March 17, 2026, contributing to a free cash flow of $70.70 million.
- In Q1 2026, Willdan Group invested $2.5 million in capital expenditures, focusing on funding long-term assets and infrastructure.
- Purchases of property, plant and equipment amounted to -$2.46 million in Q4 2025.
Peer Outperformance in Construction & Engineering
| Ticker | Name | Rev Growth 3Y Avg | P/E | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 5Y Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WLDN | Willdan | 18.4% | 15.9x | -22.3% | 249.3% | 77.5% | — |
| TPC | Tutor Perini | 18.5% | 33.5x | 33.8% | 1109.1% | 546.2% | +469pp |
| EME | EMCOR | 18.0% | 17.4x | -6.7% | 193.7% | 367.3% | +290pp |
| GVA | Granite Construction | 16.6% | -20.0x | 21.8% | 171.6% | 202.2% | +125pp |
| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marine Transportation | 5 | 31.6% | 32.1% | 105.5% | MATX 153% · KEX 106% |
| Construction & Engineering ← | 28 | -22.1% | 92.9% | 93.8% | FIX 949% · STRL 830% · AGX 565% |
| Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment | 14 | 7.5% | 66.0% | 93.0% | ALSN 256% · WAB 210% · CAT 195% |
| Aerospace & Defense | 54 | -0.9% | 55.7% | 55.7% | ATI 891% · FTAI 850% · HWM 525% |
| Trading Companies & Distributors | 19 | 5.3% | 32.0% | 31.6% | DXPE 298% · AIT 187% · URI 180% |
| Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components | 71 | 0.9% | 49.5% | 28.8% | CRS 795% · MLI 302% · SYM 266% |
| Rail Transportation | 7 | 34.9% | 68.8% | 25.2% | CSX 48% · UNP 36% · NSC 25% |
| Diversified Support Services | 34 | 15.4% | 37.0% | 15.8% | CXW 200% · OPLN 134% · CACI 113% |
| Building Products | 34 | -6.6% | 6.9% | 12.8% | MOD 760% · GFF 339% · TT 132% |
| Cargo Ground Transportation | 16 | 30.0% | 10.9% | 2.2% | XPO 270% · R 245% · ARCB 19% |
| Industrial Conglomerates | 17 | 13.4% | 3.3% | -0.6% | CSW 99% · CSL 70% · DD 67% |
| Office Services & Supplies | 10 | 19.2% | 22.9% | -2.5% | PBI 157% · HNI 37% · MSA 18% |
| Electrical Components & Equipment | 39 | -8.1% | 59.1% | -5.3% | POWL 1454% · VRT 565% · BE 441% |
| Data Processing & Outsourced Services | 6 | -11.7% | 1.7% | -13.8% | EXLS 57% · BR 20% · G -10% |
| Research & Consulting Services | 13 | 0.2% | -15.7% | -24.2% | HURN 210% · FCN 36% · BAH 9% |
| Agricultural & Farm Machinery | 16 | 14.3% | -4.3% | -25.5% | DE 102% · TTC 15% · AGCO 3% |
| Environmental & Facilities Services | 29 | -19.4% | 26.4% | -27.0% | GEO 191% · CLH 168% · RSG 98% |
| Security & Alarm Services | 9 | -45.7% | 29.4% | -27.5% | BCO 65% |
| Passenger Airlines | 11 | 6.4% | 67.5% | -34.4% | LTM 3140% · UAL 114% · DAL 105% |
| Air Freight & Logistics | 12 | -29.4% | -9.4% | -40.2% | FDX 75% · EXPD 56% · CHRW 50% |
| Human Resource & Employment Services | 22 | 23.6% | -9.6% | -42.8% | ADP 48% · FA 24% · PAYX 10% |
| Passenger Ground Transportation | 3 | -19.6% | 37.4% | -58.0% | UBER 45% · CAR -58% · LYFT -68% |
| Airport Services | 4 | -46.5% | -66.9% | -87.0% | JOBY -40% |
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| ... | 06/23/2026 | |
| Willdan Stock Dips 14% In One Day, Time To Buy The Stock? | 04/28/2026 | |
| The Bear Case: How WLDN Behaves During Market Shocks | 04/28/2026 | |
| Willdan Stock Pre-Market (-14%): Weak 2026 Guidance Eclipses Strong Q4 Beat | 02/27/2026 | |
| Willdan Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Is Willdan Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback? | 10/17/2025 |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 66.70 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.5 |
| Rev LTM | 6,811 |
| Op Inc LTM | 622 |
| FCF LTM | 375 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 512 |
| CFO LTM | 466 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 577 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 9.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 12.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.7% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 9.9% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 18.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 6.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.3% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2026 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy | 576 | 473 | 427 | 357 | 286 |
| Engineering & Consulting | 106 | 92 | 83 | 72 | 67 |
| Intersegment | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Unallocated Corporate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 682 | 566 | 510 | 429 | 354 |
| $ Mil | 2006 |
|---|---|
| Engineering Services | 4 |
| Public Finance Services | 1 |
| Homeland Security Services | -0 |
| Total | 5 |
| $ Mil | 2026 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy | 52 | 21 | 13 | -7 | -3 |
| Engineering & Consulting | 21 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| Intersegment | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Unallocated Corporate | -21 | -10 | -9 | -9 | -11 |
| Total | 53 | 23 | 11 | -8 | -8 |
| $ Mil | 2026 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy | 398 | 349 | 346 | 342 | 363 |
| Unallocated Corporate | 102 | 87 | 44 | 69 | 33 |
| Engineering & Consulting | 44 | 29 | 26 | 22 | 21 |
| Intersegment | 0 | 0 | 0 | -23 | -23 |
| Total | 544 | 465 | 416 | 410 | 394 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $66.22 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/21/2006 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -50.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $77.17 | $85.30 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -14.2% | -22.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 33.0% | 59.0% |
| Downside Capture | 181.09 | 237.36 |
| Upside Capture | 98.10 | 175.66 |
| Correlation (S&P 500) | 29.9% | 36.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.18 | 1.04 | 1.81 | 1.25 | 1.66 | 1.10 |
| Up Beta | -1.07 | -0.00 | 1.73 | 0.90 | 1.22 | 0.96 |
| Down Beta | 2.12 | 1.01 | 0.49 | 0.24 | 0.83 | 0.56 |
| Up Capture | 95% | 61% | 254% | 174% | 273% | 533% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 18 | 28 | 62 | 130 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 18 | 31 | 54 | 118 | 375 |
| Down Capture | 89% | 182% | 184% | 157% | 161% | 108% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 25 | 36 | 64 | 121 | 325 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 25 | 33 | 72 | 133 | 375 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with WLDN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WLDN | -29.7% | 59.0% | -0.37 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 7.1% | 17.8% | 0.22 | 29.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 9.5% | 13.6% | 0.40 | 35.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 1.6% | 28.7% | 0.05 | 14.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 38.4% | 21.2% | 1.42 | -7.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.3% | 14.2% | 0.51 | 13.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -26.9% | 43.6% | -0.60 | 22.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with WLDN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WLDN | 12.9% | 56.2% | 0.42 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 10.9% | 17.7% | 0.45 | 34.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.3% | 17.3% | 0.48 | 33.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.5% | 19.1% | 0.74 | 12.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.1% | 19.6% | 0.30 | 7.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.3% | 18.9% | -0.04 | 30.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.1% | 51.6% | 0.26 | 21.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with WLDN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WLDN | 14.0% | 53.9% | 0.46 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.0% | 20.1% | 0.56 | 38.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.0% | 18.0% | 0.70 | 37.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.9% | 16.5% | 0.59 | 8.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 18.1% | 0.33 | 11.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.9% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 33.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.1% | 66.3% | 1.00 | 14.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 11/7/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2026 | -6.5% | ||
| 8/6/2026 | 17.0% | 15.0% | 16.4% |
| 5/7/2026 | 18.7% | 23.1% | 32.3% |
| 2/26/2026 | -25.5% | -31.2% | -33.3% |
| 11/6/2025 | 6.6% | 8.3% | 21.0% |
| 8/7/2025 | 27.5% | 35.1% | 9.6% |
| 5/8/2025 | 4.5% | 16.6% | 41.1% |
| 3/6/2025 | 29.7% | 24.1% | 20.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 16 | 15 | 16 |
| # Negative | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 12.8% | 20.8% | 20.1% |
| Median Negative | -7.7% | -7.3% | -8.3% |
| Max Positive | 29.7% | 38.9% | 41.1% |
| Max Negative | -25.5% | -31.2% | -33.3% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2026 | -6.5% | ||
| 8/6/2026 | 17.0% | 15.0% | 16.4% |
| 5/7/2026 | 18.7% | 23.1% | 32.3% |
| 2/26/2026 | -25.5% | -31.2% | -33.3% |
| 11/6/2025 | 6.6% | 8.3% | 21.0% |
| 8/7/2025 | 27.5% | 35.1% | 9.6% |
| 5/8/2025 | 4.5% | 16.6% | 41.1% |
| 3/6/2025 | 29.7% | 24.1% | 20.1% |
| 10/31/2024 | -7.7% | -8.3% | -8.3% |
| 8/1/2024 | 11.5% | 8.6% | 14.9% |
| 5/2/2024 | 9.9% | 20.8% | 12.4% |
| 3/7/2024 | 24.3% | 38.9% | 40.4% |
| 11/2/2023 | 11.2% | 6.9% | 20.1% |
| 8/3/2023 | 20.9% | 18.5% | 20.5% |
| 5/4/2023 | 10.7% | 23.6% | 27.7% |
| 3/9/2023 | -8.3% | -0.6% | -9.0% |
| 11/3/2022 | 29.3% | 26.3% | 22.4% |
| 8/4/2022 | -6.4% | -4.4% | -26.3% |
| 5/5/2022 | -3.2% | -9.4% | -3.3% |
| 3/10/2022 | -9.8% | -7.6% | -8.2% |
| 11/4/2021 | 1.0% | 11.6% | 7.5% |
| 8/5/2021 | -9.0% | -2.4% | -2.6% |
| 5/6/2021 | -0.5% | -3.1% | 3.1% |
| 3/11/2021 | 7.1% | -7.3% | -8.3% |
| 11/5/2020 | 14.1% | 23.0% | 19.8% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 16 | 15 | 16 |
| # Negative | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 12.8% | 20.8% | 20.1% |
| Median Negative | -7.7% | -7.3% | -8.3% |
| Max Positive | 29.7% | 38.9% | 41.1% |
| Max Negative | -25.5% | -31.2% | -33.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2026 | 11/06/2026 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2026 | 08/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/07/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/03/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/08/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/10/2023 | 10-K |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2026 | 11/06/2026 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2026 | 08/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/07/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/03/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/08/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/10/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/06/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/11/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/05/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/06/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/07/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 03/17/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/06/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/07/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/08/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 03/06/2020 | 10-K |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 11/6/2026Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 11/5/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Net Revenue | Reported | 435.00 Mil | 440.00 Mil | 445.00 Mil | 4.1% | Raised | Guidance: 422.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | Reported | 109.00 Mil | 110.00 Mil | 111.00 Mil | 4.8% | Raised | Guidance: 105.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Effective Tax Rate | Reported | 0.0% | ||||||
| 2026 Adjusted Diluted EPS | Reported | 5.15 | 5.2 | 5.25 | 2.5% | Raised | Guidance: 5.08 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Diluted Shares | Reported | 15.90 Mil | ||||||
| 2027 Contract Revenue | Reported | 1.00 Bil | 1.00 Bil | |||||
| 2027 Net Revenue | Reported | 500.00 Mil | 500.00 Mil | |||||
| 2027 Adjusted EBITDA | Reported | 140.00 Mil | 140.00 Mil | |||||
| 2027 Adjusted EBITDA Growth | Reported | 25.0% | 25.0% | |||||
Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/6/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Net Revenue | Reported | 415.00 Mil | 422.50 Mil | 430.00 Mil | 1.2% | Raised | Guidance: 417.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Revenue and Net Revenue Growth | Reported | 15.0% | 17.5% | 20.0% | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 17.5% for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | Reported | 103.00 Mil | 105.00 Mil | 107.00 Mil | 2.4% | Raised | Guidance: 102.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted Diluted EPS | Reported | 5 | 5.08 | 5.15 | 2.0% | Raised | Guidance: 4.98 for 2026 | |
Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Net Revenue | Reported | 410.00 Mil | 417.50 Mil | 425.00 Mil | 5.0% | Raised | Guidance: 397.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Revenue and Net Revenue Growth | Reported | 15.0% | 17.5% | 20.0% | ||||
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | Reported | 100.00 Mil | 102.50 Mil | 105.00 Mil | 17.1% | Raised | Guidance: 87.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Growth | Reported | 26.0% | 29.0% | 32.0% | ||||
| 2026 Adjusted Diluted EPS | Reported | 4.9 | 4.98 | 5.05 | 8.2% | Raised | Guidance: 4.6 for 2026 | |
Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/26/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Net Revenue | Reported | 390.00 Mil | 397.50 Mil | 405.00 Mil | 9.7% | Higher New | Actual: 362.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | Reported | 85.00 Mil | 87.50 Mil | 90.00 Mil | 12.9% | Higher New | Actual: 77.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted Diluted EPS | Reported | 4.5 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 10.8% | Higher New | Actual: 4.15 for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 9/17/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brisbin, Thomas Donald | Direct | Sell | 9162026 | 79.36 | 4,905 | 389,254 | 7,672,947 | Form | |
| 2 | Brisbin, Thomas Donald | Direct | Sell | 9092026 | 88.19 | 3,439 | 303,285 | 8,526,827 | Form | |
| 3 | Brisbin, Thomas Donald | Direct | Sell | 9042026 | 88.14 | 58,757 | 5,178,842 | 8,521,992 | Form | |
| 4 | Bieber, Michael A | PRESIDENT AND CEO | Direct | Sell | 5152026 | 91.58 | 56,676 | 5,190,212 | 22,850,726 | Form |
| 5 | Bieber, Michael A | PRESIDENT AND CEO | Direct | Sell | 5142026 | 92.65 | 9,991 | 925,666 | 23,118,491 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brisbin, Thomas Donald | Direct | Sell | 9162026 | 79.36 | 4,905 | 389,254 | 7,672,947 | Form | |
| 2 | Brisbin, Thomas Donald | Direct | Sell | 9092026 | 88.19 | 3,439 | 303,285 | 8,526,827 | Form | |
| 3 | Brisbin, Thomas Donald | Direct | Sell | 9042026 | 88.14 | 58,757 | 5,178,842 | 8,521,992 | Form | |
| 4 | Bieber, Michael A | PRESIDENT AND CEO | Direct | Sell | 5152026 | 91.58 | 56,676 | 5,190,212 | 22,850,726 | Form |
| 5 | Bieber, Michael A | PRESIDENT AND CEO | Direct | Sell | 5142026 | 92.65 | 9,991 | 925,666 | 23,118,491 | Form |
| 6 | Cohen, Steven A | Direct | Sell | 3102026 | 81.82 | 6,000 | 490,920 | 1,705,865 | Form | |
| 7 | Chen, Micah | EXECUTIVE VP & GENERAL COUNSEL | Direct | Sell | 9222025 | 106.00 | 10,000 | 1,060,000 | 4,284,838 | Form |
| 8 | McGinn, Dennis V | Direct | Sell | 9222025 | 106.32 | 7,298 | 775,923 | 1,204,606 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Nov 7, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
Industry Resources
| Industrials Resources |
| IndustryWeek |
| Manufacturing.net |
| Aviation Week |
| Construction & Engineering Resources |
| Engineering News-Record (ENR) |
| Construction Dive |
| Civil Engineering Magazine |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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