Jacobs Solutions (J)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $139.14 | Market Cap: $16.7 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Construction & Engineering
Jacobs Solutions (J)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $139.14Market Cap: $16.7 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Construction & Engineering
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, Renewable Energy Transition, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, Renewable Energy Transition, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
J Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points explaining the stock movement of Jacobs Solutions (J) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Significant Decline in GAAP Net Earnings and EPS. Jacobs Solutions reported a substantial year-over-year decrease in its GAAP net earnings, which fell by 55.4% for the fiscal fourth quarter ended September 26, 2025. Similarly, GAAP earnings per share (EPS) declined by 55.9% during the same period. For the entire fiscal year 2025, GAAP net earnings were down 48.9%, and GAAP EPS dropped 46.1%.
2. Impact of Mark-to-Market Losses from Amentum Stock. The significant decrease in GAAP profitability was primarily attributed to mark-to-market gains and losses from Jacobs' previous investment in Amentum stock. These non-operational losses amounted to $227.3 million for the fiscal year 2025, heavily impacting the company's reported financial performance.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| J Return | 22% | 29% | -13% | 9% | 25% | 3% | 92% |
| Peers Return | 20% | 52% | -22% | 86% | 6% | 7% | 201% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| J Win Rate | 83% | 58% | 50% | 50% | 75% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 68% | 75% | 40% | 63% | 62% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| J Max Drawdown | -30% | -7% | -21% | -8% | -3% | -17% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -51% | -4% | -41% | -0% | -6% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DHI, LEN, PHM, NVR, TOL. See J Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | J | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 524 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -39.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 238 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 178 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -74.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 286.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4109 days | 1480 days |
Compare to DHI, LEN, PHM, NVR, TOL
In The Past
Jacobs Solutions's stock fell -26.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/21/2022. A -26.8% loss requires a 36.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to J. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Jacobs Solutions
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Valuation
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Returns
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Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/27/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/28/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2042025 | 10-Q 12/27/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11252024 | 10-K 9/27/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/28/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/29/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2062024 | 10-Q 12/29/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11212023 | 10-K 9/29/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2072023 | 10-Q 12/30/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11212022 | 10-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8012022 | 10-Q 7/1/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 4/1/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2082022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11232021 | 10-K 10/1/2021 |
External Quote Links
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