Tearsheet

Modine Manufacturing (MOD)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $128.41 | Market Cap: $6.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Modine Manufacturing (MOD)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $128.41
Market Cap: $6.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 52x
1   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 79%
2   Key risks
MOD key risks include [1] a high customer concentration, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more.
1 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 52x
3 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 79%
4 Key risks
MOD key risks include [1] a high customer concentration, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MOD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Margin Pressure from Data Center Expansion Costs: Modine's shares tumbled after the company reported second-quarter fiscal 2026 results on October 28, 2025, despite beating adjusted earnings expectations. Investors focused on a decline in gross margin by 290 basis points to 22.3%, primarily due to increased costs associated with capacity expansion for data center products. The Climate Solutions segment, which includes data center operations, saw its gross margin drop 440 basis points compared to the prior year, with the CEO noting "temporary operating inefficiencies" as new capacity was brought online.

2. Negative Technical Signals and Downtrend: Several analyses in December 2025 indicated a bearish outlook for Modine Manufacturing's stock. As of December 17, 2025, Modine's stock held sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages, contributing to a negative forecast. The stock experienced a -18.46% loss in the two weeks leading up to December 17, 2025, and a -13.62% decline in 5 out of 10 days leading up to December 16, 2025. The stock's downtrend was noted to have started around October 29, 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MOD Return63%-20%97%201%94%20%1700%
Peers Return37%9%-19%15%-25%15%20%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MOD Win Rate67%42%50%67%67%67% 
Peers Win Rate63%53%38%47%35%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MOD Max Drawdown-61%-24%-24%-2%-3%-40% 
Peers Max Drawdown-63%-9%-41%-14%-37%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PATK, VC, CVGI, APTV, MGA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMODS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-57.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven135.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven188 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-67.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven205.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven217 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-73.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven273.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,197 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-97.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3374.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven5,223 days1,480 days

Compare to PATK, VC, CVGI, APTV, MGA


In The Past

Modine Manufacturing's stock fell -57.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/1/2021. A -57.5% loss requires a 135.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Modine Manufacturing (MOD)

Better Bets than Modine Manufacturing (MOD)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MOD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Modine Manufacturing

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MODPATKVCCVGIAPTVMGAMedian
NameModine M.Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Aptiv Magna In. 
Mkt Price128.39111.6499.971.4976.7553.6088.36
Mkt Cap6.83.62.70.116.715.15.2
Rev LTM2,6863,8733,75965819,79441,7903,816
Op Inc LTM313258341-42,0891,988327
FCF LTM42183366-51,6572,036275
FCF 3Y Avg8329025871,3411,133274
CFO LTM14530149562,3423,526398
CFO 3Y Avg169372384242,1653,218378

Growth & Margins

MODPATKVCCVGIAPTVMGAMedian
NameModine M.Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Aptiv Magna In. 
Rev Chg LTM8.1%6.1%-4.0%-12.8%-1.0%-2.0%-1.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.0%-7.3%3.0%-11.9%7.7%4.0%3.5%
Rev Chg Q12.3%6.1%-6.4%-11.2%3.1%1.8%2.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.1%1.5%-1.6%-2.8%0.8%0.4%0.6%
Op Mgn LTM11.7%6.7%9.1%-0.6%10.6%4.8%7.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.7%7.2%7.9%1.9%9.8%4.6%7.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.3%-0.3%0.1%-0.0%0.1%-0.0%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM5.4%7.8%13.2%0.9%11.8%8.4%8.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.7%10.0%9.9%3.2%11.0%7.6%8.8%
FCF/Rev LTM1.5%4.7%9.7%-0.8%8.4%4.9%4.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.3%7.9%6.7%0.8%6.8%2.7%5.0%

Valuation

MODPATKVCCVGIAPTVMGAMedian
NameModine M.Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Aptiv Magna In. 
Mkt Cap6.83.62.70.116.715.15.2
P/S2.80.90.90.10.90.30.9
P/EBIT27.114.38.8-10.49.67.19.2
P/E40.227.810.6-0.918.512.915.7
P/CFO51.811.16.68.88.03.88.4
Total Yield2.5%5.2%9.4%-108.7%5.4%11.8%5.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%4.1%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.2%13.3%8.0%-2.9%6.5%8.6%7.2%
D/E0.10.50.12.40.40.60.5
Net D/E0.10.5-0.11.80.40.50.4

Returns

MODPATKVCCVGIAPTVMGAMedian
NameModine M.Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Aptiv Magna In. 
1M Rtn-0.1%15.6%-0.4%-1.0%-0.1%12.1%-0.1%
3M Rtn-15.8%5.7%-19.8%-20.7%-7.4%15.8%-11.6%
6M Rtn33.6%25.5%10.6%12.0%13.4%45.5%19.5%
12M Rtn0.6%29.0%12.0%-37.0%32.6%29.1%20.5%
3Y Rtn536.5%187.0%-24.0%-77.9%-17.9%6.0%-5.9%
1M Excs Rtn-0.8%14.9%-1.1%-1.7%-0.9%11.4%-0.8%
3M Excs Rtn-20.4%3.0%-22.7%-24.5%-11.4%13.0%-15.9%
6M Excs Rtn21.2%13.1%-1.8%-0.4%1.1%33.1%7.1%
12M Excs Rtn-13.9%15.4%-3.2%-52.2%21.3%15.8%6.1%
3Y Excs Rtn474.2%137.8%-97.7%-146.8%-88.6%-67.0%-77.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Other1,071843778  
Climate Solutions413335292  
Performance Technologies368388357  
Automotive   124272
Building heating, ventilating, air conditioning (BHVAC)   111102
Commercial and Industrial Solutions (CIS)   609618
Corporate and eliminations   -6126
Heavy Duty Equipment (HDE)   439417
Total1,8521,5661,4271,2771,536


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,499,384
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520253.7%
Average Daily Volume1,126,516
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.88
Basic Shares Quantity52,700,000
Short % of Basic Shares10.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/28/2025-4.2%-9.8%-1.9%
7/30/202518.4%20.2%25.4%
5/20/2025-11.7%-14.0%-8.4%
2/4/20256.7%-1.4%-22.8%
10/29/2024-7.2%-13.4%2.3%
7/30/202418.9%2.5%15.8%
5/21/2024-4.7%-4.9%-7.3%
1/30/20243.5%1.7%34.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151514
# Negative9910
Median Positive13.3%18.5%25.0%
Median Negative-6.1%-9.8%-7.9%
Max Positive30.4%37.7%58.9%
Max Negative-40.8%-35.9%-40.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025521202510-K 3/31/2025
12312024205202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024522202410-K 3/31/2024
12312023131202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023525202310-K 3/31/2023
12312022202202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022526202210-K 3/31/2022
12312021203202210-Q 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0McGinnis Eric SPresident, Climate Solutions8262025Sell140.6520,8682,935,0843,413,716Form
1WILLIAMS MARSHA C8132025Sell134.7725,7613,471,90816,265,715Form
2Lucareli Michael BEVP, CFO8062025Sell140.0025,0003,500,0005,868,800Form
3WULFSOHN WILLIAM A3052025Buy79.432,530200,958578,012Form
4Lucareli Michael BEVP, CFO2102025Sell100.772,700272,07416,105,850Form