Modine Manufacturing (MOD)
Market Price (11/13/2025): $146.95 | Market Cap: $7.7 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Modine Manufacturing (MOD)
Market Price (11/13/2025): $146.95Market Cap: $7.7 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 28x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 54x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 42x | |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 79% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 28x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 54x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 42x |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 79% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
MOD Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Modine Manufacturing reported strong financial results for its first quarter of fiscal year 2026, ending June 2025, announced around July 30, 2025. The company surpassed Zacks Consensus Estimates for both earnings per share (EPS) at $1.06 (beating the $0.93 estimate by 14%) and revenues at $682.8 million (exceeding the $661.5 million estimate by 4.87%). This positive news, particularly the strong performance in the Climate Solutions segment, including significant growth in data center sales, caused the stock to trend up by 18.68% on July 31, 2025.
2. Continued robust performance in the Climate Solutions segment, especially in data center cooling, fueled investor optimism. Modine is strategically investing $100 million to expand its U.S. manufacturing capacity for data center cooling products, with management forecasting the potential to double data center revenues from approximately $1 billion in fiscal year 2026 to $2 billion by fiscal year 2028. This long-term growth outlook in a high-demand sector significantly contributed to positive stock movement.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MOD Return | 63% | -20% | 97% | 201% | 94% | 27% | 1814% |
| Peers Return | 28% | 0% | -5% | 17% | -17% | -16% | -0% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MOD Win Rate | 67% | 42% | 50% | 67% | 67% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 46% | 38% | 33% | 38% | 42% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MOD Max Drawdown | -61% | -24% | -24% | -2% | -3% | -40% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -49% | -10% | -28% | -8% | -27% | -45% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PATK, VC, CVGI, CREV, INEO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/12/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MOD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -57.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 135.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 188 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -67.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 205.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 217 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -73.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 273.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1197 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -97.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 3374.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 5223 days | 1480 days |
Compare to PATK, VC, CVGI, CREV, INEO
In The Past
Modine Manufacturing's stock fell -57.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/1/2021. A -57.5% loss requires a 135.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MOD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.1% | -2.1% | -4.2% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.5% | 1.5% | -2.4% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -1.5% | -1.5% | -5.9% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.4% | -1.4% | -2.5% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.6% | 17.6% | -6.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.1% | -2.1% | -4.2% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.5% | 1.5% | -2.4% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -1.5% | -1.5% | -5.9% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.4% | -1.4% | -2.5% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.6% | 17.6% | -6.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Modine Manufacturing
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 53.05 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.1 |
| Rev LTM | 3,222 |
| Op Inc LTM | 286 |
| FCF LTM | 112 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 171 |
| CFO LTM | 223 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 271 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -2.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | -0.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 6.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.1 |
| P/S | 0.8 |
| P/EBIT | 11.1 |
| P/E | 18.6 |
| P/CFO | 8.5 |
| Total Yield | 3.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -4.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -13.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 19.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -0.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 85.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -8.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -16.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 3.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -21.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 32.5% |
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 1,071 | 843 | 778 | ||
| Climate Solutions | 413 | 335 | 292 | ||
| Performance Technologies | 368 | 388 | 357 | ||
| Automotive | 124 | 272 | |||
| Building heating, ventilating, air conditioning (BHVAC) | 111 | 102 | |||
| Commercial and Industrial Solutions (CIS) | 609 | 618 | |||
| Corporate and eliminations | -6 | 126 | |||
| Heavy Duty Equipment (HDE) | 439 | 417 | |||
| Total | 1,852 | 1,566 | 1,427 | 1,277 | 1,536 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/28/2025 | -4.2% | -9.8% | |
| 7/30/2025 | 18.4% | 20.2% | 25.4% |
| 5/20/2025 | -11.7% | -14.0% | -8.4% |
| 2/4/2025 | 6.7% | -1.4% | -22.8% |
| 10/29/2024 | -7.2% | -13.4% | 2.3% |
| 7/30/2024 | 18.9% | 2.5% | 15.8% |
| 5/21/2024 | -4.7% | -4.9% | -7.3% |
| 1/30/2024 | 3.5% | 1.7% | 34.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| # Negative | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 13.3% | 18.5% | 25.0% |
| Median Negative | -6.1% | -9.8% | -8.4% |
| Max Positive | 30.4% | 37.7% | 58.9% |
| Max Negative | -40.8% | -35.9% | -40.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5212025 | 10-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2052025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5222024 | 10-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 1312024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5252023 | 10-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2022023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5262022 | 10-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2032022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | McGinnis Eric S | President, Climate Solutions | 8262025 | Sell | 140.65 | 20,868 | 2,935,084 | 3,413,716 | Form |
| 1 | WILLIAMS MARSHA C | 8132025 | Sell | 134.77 | 25,761 | 3,471,908 | 16,265,715 | Form | |
| 2 | Lucareli Michael B | EVP, CFO | 8062025 | Sell | 140.00 | 25,000 | 3,500,000 | 5,868,800 | Form |
| 3 | WULFSOHN WILLIAM A | 3052025 | Buy | 79.43 | 2,530 | 200,958 | 578,012 | Form | |
| 4 | Lucareli Michael B | EVP, CFO | 2102025 | Sell | 100.77 | 2,700 | 272,074 | 16,105,850 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |