AECOM (ACM)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $104.0 | Market Cap: $13.8 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Construction & Engineering
AECOM (ACM)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $104.0Market Cap: $13.8 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Construction & Engineering
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.5% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -30%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -43% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 26% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.5% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 26% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -30%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -43% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ACM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the -16.6% movement in AECOM (ACM) stock between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025:
1. Mixed Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2025 Results: AECOM reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.36, which surpassed analyst estimates of $1.34. However, the company's revenue of $4.18 billion fell short of analyst expectations of $4.31 billion. Additionally, GAAP diluted EPS declined by 20.8% year-over-year to $0.99, primarily due to a higher tax rate and restructuring charges.
2. Strategic Review of Construction Management Business: The company announced its intention to explore strategic alternatives for its Construction Management business, including a potential sale, and to classify it as discontinued operations. This announcement, made as part of its Q4 earnings and Investor Day on November 18, 2025, may have introduced uncertainty among investors regarding future business focus and overall company structure.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ACM Return | 15% | 55% | 11% | 10% | 17% | -4% | 145% |
| Peers Return | 8% | 32% | -1% | 21% | 19% | 2% | 107% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ACM Win Rate | 58% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 58% | 35% | 48% | 48% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ACM Max Drawdown | -45% | -2% | -20% | -11% | -10% | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -6% | -15% | -4% | -3% | -9% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WM, RSG, CLH, CWST, CDNL. See ACM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ACM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -23.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 152 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -54.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 118.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 251 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -37.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 295 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -59.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 144.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2121 days | 1480 days |
Compare to WM, RSG, CLH, CWST, CDNL
In The Past
AECOM's stock fell -23.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/25/2022. A -23.0% loss requires a 29.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| AECOM Earnings Notes | |||
| Is 22.7% Fall In AECOM (ACM) Stock A Buying Opportunity? | Actionable | ||
| Would You Still Hold AECOM Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | Return | ||
| AECOM vs T-Mobile US: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| AECOM vs United Rentals: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| How Does AECOM Stock Compare With Peers? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Better Bet Than ACM Stock: Pay Less Than AECOM To Get More From DIS, FI | |||
| Better Bet Than ACM Stock: Pay Less Than AECOM To Get More From LDOS, BAH | |||
| ACM Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| AECOM Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 26.4% in 2024 and 19.4% 3-yr compounded annual returns (above peer average) | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| AECOM Stock To $73? | November 26th, 2025 | ||
| How Will AECOM Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings? | November 17th, 2025 | ||
| Mid Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | September 16th, 2025 | ||
| Mid Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | August 22nd, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ACM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for AECOM
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 215.37 |
| Mkt Cap | 13.7 |
| Rev LTM | 16,075 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,018 |
| FCF LTM | 825 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 699 |
| CFO LTM | 924 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 822 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 19.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 13.7 |
| P/S | 3.4 |
| P/EBIT | 21.8 |
| P/E | 33.9 |
| P/CFO | 16.2 |
| Total Yield | 4.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -8.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -7.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 32.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 7.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -8.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -23.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -22.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -35.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2042025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11192024 | 10-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2072024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11152023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2072023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11172022 | 10-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8102022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5112022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2092022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11172021 | 10-K 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |