EMCOR (EME)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $596.0 | Market Cap: $26.7 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Construction & Engineering
EMCOR (EME)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $596.0Market Cap: $26.7 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Construction & Engineering
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 59% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% | Key risksEME key risks include [1] skilled labor scarcity and wage pressures constraining project execution and profit margins, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Renewable Energy Transition, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Renewable Energy Transition, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 59% |
| Key risksEME key risks include [1] skilled labor scarcity and wage pressures constraining project execution and profit margins, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
EME Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
I am unable to provide the requested information. The specific stock movement of -3.8% for EMCOR (EME) with identifiable explanatory factors is not clearly available in the most recent information.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| EME Return | 6% | 40% | 17% | 46% | 111% | 38% | 640% |
| Peers Return | 26% | 54% | 6% | 28% | 55% | 45% | 488% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| EME Win Rate | 67% | 50% | 33% | 67% | 83% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 67% | 52% | 62% | 68% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| EME Max Drawdown | -44% | -3% | -24% | -4% | -2% | -25% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -44% | -4% | -23% | -14% | -9% | -22% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PWR, FIX, MTZ, ACM, J. See EME Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | EME | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -27.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 132 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -46.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 267 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 127 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -70.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 239.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,547 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to VST, FIX, LNT, EVRG, CDNL
In The Past
EMCOR's stock fell -27.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/5/2021. A -27.2% loss requires a 37.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to EME. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| 03312020 | EME | EMCOR | Dip Buy | DB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) | 10.3% | 83.8% | -8.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| 03312020 | EME | EMCOR | Dip Buy | DB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) | 10.3% | 83.8% | -8.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for EMCOR
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 311.76 |
| Mkt Cap | 22.0 |
| Rev LTM | 14,951 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,086 |
| FCF LTM | 742 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 735 |
| CFO LTM | 875 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 844 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 16.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 16.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 6.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 22.0 |
| P/S | 1.6 |
| P/EBIT | 27.1 |
| P/E | 42.4 |
| P/CFO | 24.5 |
| Total Yield | 2.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 19.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 24.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 167.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 6.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 12.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 90.1% |
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States mechanical construction and facilities services | 2,243 | 1,835 | 1,673 | 1,543 | 1,536 |
| United States building services | 1,383 | 1,207 | 1,090 | 1,040 | 997 |
| United States electrical construction and facilities services | 1,244 | 1,078 | 855 | 672 | 835 |
| Corporate administration | 892 | 597 | 993 | 1,031 | 452 |
| United States industrial services | 572 | 553 | 589 | 551 | 830 |
| United Kingdom building services | 277 | 256 | 242 | 228 | 181 |
| Total | 6,610 | 5,525 | 5,441 | 5,064 | 4,830 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | -16.6% | -13.1% | -21.8% |
| 7/31/2025 | -1.9% | -2.7% | -1.0% |
| 2/26/2025 | 5.7% | -2.5% | -1.5% |
| 10/31/2024 | 3.3% | 16.2% | 18.1% |
| 7/25/2024 | -2.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
| 2/28/2024 | 10.1% | 17.0% | 26.7% |
| 10/26/2023 | 7.5% | 7.9% | 13.0% |
| 7/27/2023 | 6.0% | 14.3% | 15.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 14 | 12 |
| # Negative | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 5.7% | 8.3% | 13.4% |
| Median Negative | -2.3% | -2.8% | -1.8% |
| Max Positive | 10.6% | 17.0% | 37.6% |
| Max Negative | -16.6% | -13.1% | -21.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2262025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7252024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4252024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |