Tearsheet

Tutor Perini (TPC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $68.79 | Market Cap: $3.6 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Construction & Engineering

Tutor Perini (TPC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $68.79
Market Cap: $3.6 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Construction & Engineering

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.5%, Dist 3Y High is -2.5%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 148%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 152%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 23%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.0%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 23%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.5%, Dist 3Y High is -2.5%
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 148%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 152%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.0%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TPC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The user requested an explanation for a 14.7% stock movement for Tutor Perini (TPC) between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025. This time period is in the future. As an AI, I cannot access or predict future stock market data or events. However, I can provide information about Tutor Perini's performance and outlook based on the most recent available financial reports and news, which extend into early 2025 in some cases. This information may provide context about the company's trajectory and potential drivers for future stock movements, although it cannot directly explain a specific future 14.7% change. Based on the available information up to early 2025, here are key points regarding Tutor Perini's recent performance and future outlook:

1. Record Operating Cash Flow and Debt Reduction
Tutor Perini reported record operating cash flow of $308.5 million in 2023, increasing to $503.5 million in 2024. This strong cash generation enabled the company to accelerate debt reduction, reducing total debt by $477 million (52%) from the end of 2023 through February 27, 2025, including the full payoff of its Term Loan B. This significant improvement in financial health could positively influence investor sentiment.

2. Substantial Backlog Growth and New Project Awards
The company's backlog grew significantly, reaching a record $10.2 billion as of December 31, 2023, and further increasing to $18.7 billion as of December 31, 2024, an 84% year-over-year increase. This growth was driven by $12.8 billion in new awards and contract adjustments in 2024, including major projects like the $3.76 billion Manhattan Jail project and the $1.66 billion City Center Guideway and Stations project. This robust backlog provides strong revenue visibility and potential for future growth.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TPC Return1%-4%-39%21%166%175%417%
Peers Return11%32%8%21%38%28%236%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TPC Win Rate58%42%42%58%58%70% 
Peers Win Rate35%40%44%46%44%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TPC Max Drawdown-77%-6%-55%-33%-11%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-6%-18%-10%-7%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DY, FLR, GVA, CDNL, KWF.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTPCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-74.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven296.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven395 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-80.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven413.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven295 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-71.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven249.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1892 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-85.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven586.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to DY, FLR, GVA, CDNL, KWF


In The Past

Tutor Perini's stock fell -74.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/12/2021. A -74.8% loss requires a 296.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Tutor Perini (TPC)

Better Bets than Tutor Perini (TPC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TPC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Tutor Perini

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TPCDYFLRGVACDNLKWFMedian
NameTutor Pe.Dycom In.Fluor Granite .Cardinal.KWF  
Mkt Price67.63352.8044.05106.99--87.31
Mkt Cap3.610.27.14.7--5.9
Rev LTM5,1034,99315,5884,236--5,048
Op Inc LTM96381-226257--177
FCF LTM789123237346--292
FCF 3Y Avg37644240204--222
CFO LTM904397306462--430
CFO 3Y Avg447284355333--344

Growth & Margins

TPCDYFLRGVACDNLKWFMedian
NameTutor Pe.Dycom In.Fluor Granite .Cardinal.KWF  
Rev Chg LTM19.2%12.6%-1.8%6.9%--9.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.6%13.0%4.7%8.7%--9.2%
Rev Chg Q30.7%14.5%-17.7%12.4%--13.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.0%3.6%-4.5%3.9%--3.8%
Op Mgn LTM1.9%7.6%-1.4%6.1%--4.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-1.4%7.5%0.6%3.9%--2.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.9%0.5%-3.3%0.7%--0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM17.7%8.0%2.0%10.9%--9.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.5%6.2%2.2%8.3%--7.3%
FCF/Rev LTM15.5%2.5%1.5%8.2%--5.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.9%0.9%1.5%4.9%--3.2%

Valuation

TPCDYFLRGVACDNLKWFMedian
NameTutor Pe.Dycom In.Fluor Granite .Cardinal.KWF  
Mkt Cap3.610.27.14.7--5.9
P/S0.71.40.41.1--0.9
P/EBIT30.417.3-57.315.1--16.2
P/E-124.327.12.026.3--14.2
P/CFO3.817.822.310.4--14.1
Total Yield-0.8%3.7%49.7%4.0%--3.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.2%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg19.9%0.6%2.8%4.7%--3.7%
D/E0.10.20.20.3--0.2
Net D/E-0.10.2-0.30.2--0.0

Returns

TPCDYFLRGVACDNLKWFMedian
NameTutor Pe.Dycom In.Fluor Granite .Cardinal.KWF  
1M Rtn-0.9%23.3%-8.3%4.4%--1.8%
3M Rtn14.6%41.7%2.8%1.3%--8.7%
6M Rtn75.2%49.2%2.7%19.6%--34.4%
12M Rtn147.5%84.9%-19.5%8.6%--46.8%
3Y Rtn817.6%287.3%23.5%201.3%--244.3%
1M Excs Rtn-0.8%23.3%-8.3%4.4%--1.8%
3M Excs Rtn5.5%33.6%0.9%-6.5%--3.2%
6M Excs Rtn60.4%34.5%-12.0%4.9%--19.7%
12M Excs Rtn135.3%81.2%-35.1%-5.3%--38.0%
3Y Excs Rtn752.4%222.8%-39.3%145.9%--184.4%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Civil3,5403,4033,3113,1422,791
Building8998999811,148995
Specialty Contractors307484632674635
Corporate-316-242-1988264
Total4,4304,5434,7255,0464,486


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,192,056
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-2.1%
Average Daily Volume583,636
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.76
Basic Shares Quantity52,743,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022315202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021