MSA Safety (MSA)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $159.89 | Market Cap: $6.3 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Office Services & Supplies
MSA Safety (MSA)
Market Price (12/20/2025): $159.89Market Cap: $6.3 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Office Services & Supplies
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49% | Key risksMSA key risks include [1] significant exposure to product liability claims, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, Renewable Energy Transition, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Industrial Robotics, Show more. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, Renewable Energy Transition, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Industrial Robotics, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49% |
| Key risksMSA key risks include [1] significant exposure to product liability claims, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MSA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the -5.8% stock movement for MSA Safety (MSA) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 20, 2025:
1. Fire Service Segment Headwinds and Government Shutdown Impact: MSA Safety reported timing challenges in its fire service segment during its Q3 2025 earnings call on October 28, 2025. The company cited a later-than-normal announcement of the annual Assistance to Firefighter Grants program in the U.S. and a U.S. Government shutdown, which were expected to shift a portion of Q4 2025 sales to 2026. This outlook indicated a near-term headwind for a significant part of their business.
2. Gross Margin Pressure: During the third quarter of 2025, MSA Safety experienced continued pressure on its GAAP gross margins, which declined to 46.5%. The company attributed this to factors such as inflation, tariffs, and transactional foreign exchange increases, despite some offsetting gains from price increases and productivity improvements. This margin compression can negatively impact investor sentiment regarding profitability.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MSA Return | 20% | 2% | -3% | 19% | -1% | -2% | 37% |
| Peers Return | 25% | 10% | -10% | 18% | 35% | 7% | 112% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MSA Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 50% | 42% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 55% | 42% | 43% | 58% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MSA Max Drawdown | -31% | -6% | -27% | -11% | -5% | -21% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -38% | -6% | -34% | -10% | -12% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HON, MMM, AXON, DD, GNTX. See MSA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MSA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -36.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 57.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 272 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -38.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 62.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 199 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -20.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 109 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -71.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 250.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,838 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to HON, MMM, AXON, DD, GNTX
In The Past
MSA Safety's stock fell -36.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2021. A -36.6% loss requires a 57.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MSA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.0% | 18.0% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.6% | 7.6% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.6% | 2.6% | -1.2% |
| 12312018 | MSA | MSA Safety | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 12.5% | 36.1% | -2.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.0% | 18.0% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.6% | 7.6% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.6% | 2.6% | -1.2% |
| 12312018 | MSA | MSA Safety | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 12.5% | 36.1% | -2.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for MSA Safety
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 161.03 |
| Mkt Cap | 31.9 |
| Rev LTM | 8,038 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,303 |
| FCF LTM | 893 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 517 |
| CFO LTM | 1,340 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,259 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 31.9 |
| P/S | 3.2 |
| P/EBIT | 16.2 |
| P/E | 21.5 |
| P/CFO | 17.4 |
| Total Yield | 4.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 4.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -3.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 42.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -9.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -18.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -31.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Service | 684 | 579 | |||
| Detection | 635 | 530 | |||
| Industrial Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) and Other | 469 | 419 | |||
| Breathing Apparatus | 322 | 329 | 318 | ||
| Fall Protection | 118 | 103 | 126 | ||
| Firefighter Helmets & Protective Apparel | 204 | 162 | 178 | ||
| Fixed Gas & Flame Detection | 299 | 287 | 293 | ||
| Industrial Head Protection | 144 | 126 | 145 | ||
| Other | 151 | 198 | 173 | ||
| Portable Gas Detection | 163 | 143 | 169 | ||
| Total | 1,788 | 1,528 | 1,400 | 1,348 | 1,402 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/28/2025 | 4.1% | -3.3% | -0.7% |
| 8/4/2025 | 1.4% | -4.5% | -4.5% |
| 4/29/2025 | 2.0% | 0.8% | 6.8% |
| 2/12/2025 | 0.2% | -2.1% | -7.4% |
| 10/23/2024 | -0.3% | -0.1% | 2.9% |
| 7/24/2024 | -0.1% | -1.8% | -7.4% |
| 4/29/2024 | -4.1% | -1.5% | -4.8% |
| 2/14/2024 | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 10 | 11 |
| # Negative | 10 | 12 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.8% |
| Median Negative | -0.3% | -2.9% | -4.8% |
| Max Positive | 12.2% | 12.3% | 21.8% |
| Max Negative | -6.4% | -6.5% | -26.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10242024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7252024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4302024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2162024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10252023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5022023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2182022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |