Tearsheet

Ameresco (AMRC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $35.03 | Market Cap: $1.8 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Construction & Engineering

Ameresco (AMRC)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $35.03
Market Cap: $1.8 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Construction & Engineering

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -27%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -116%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 105%
1   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 136%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.0%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 170%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -27%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -116%
2 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 105%
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 136%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.0%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 170%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AMRC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results Exceed Expectations. Ameresco's stock saw a significant jump after reporting strong second-quarter financial results on August 4, 2025, with non-GAAP earnings per share crushing Wall Street's expectations by 350% and revenue increasing by 8% year-over-year to $472.3 million. The company also announced a record total project backlog of $5.1 billion, which served as a strong indicator of future revenue.

2. Significant Analyst Upgrades and Price Target Increases in September and October 2025. Several analyst firms revised their ratings and price targets upwards for Ameresco. Notably, Jefferies upgraded AMRC from 'Hold' to 'Buy' on September 25, 2025, with a price target increase from $19.00 to $39.00, a 105.26% rise. B. Riley Securities also increased its price target from $22.00 to $32.00 on September 10, 2025, while Baird upgraded the stock to 'Outperform' with a $35.00 price target on September 2, 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AMRC Return199%56%-30%-45%-26%49%100%
Peers Return11%32%8%21%38%28%236%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AMRC Win Rate75%75%50%58%42%70% 
Peers Win Rate35%40%44%46%44%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AMRC Max Drawdown-19%-24%-49%-62%-43%-63% 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-6%-18%-10%-7%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DY, FLR, GVA, CDNL, KWF.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAMRCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-77.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven349.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven99 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven152 days120 days

Compare to DY, FLR, GVA, CDNL, KWF


In The Past

Ameresco's stock fell -77.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/5/2021. A -77.7% loss requires a 349.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ameresco (AMRC)

Better Bets than Ameresco (AMRC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AMRC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ameresco

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AMRCDYFLRGVACDNLKWFMedian
NameAmeresco Dycom In.Fluor Granite .Cardinal.KWF  
Mkt Price34.98352.8044.05106.99--75.52
Mkt Cap1.810.27.14.7--5.9
Rev LTM1,8844,99315,5884,236--4,615
Op Inc LTM102381-226257--180
FCF LTM-399123237346--180
FCF 3Y Avg-49044240204--124
CFO LTM-19397306462--352
CFO 3Y Avg-18284355333--309

Growth & Margins

AMRCDYFLRGVACDNLKWFMedian
NameAmeresco Dycom In.Fluor Granite .Cardinal.KWF  
Rev Chg LTM12.2%12.6%-1.8%6.9%--9.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.7%13.0%4.7%8.7%--6.7%
Rev Chg Q5.0%14.5%-17.7%12.4%--8.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.4%3.6%-4.5%3.9%--2.5%
Op Mgn LTM5.4%7.6%-1.4%6.1%--5.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.7%7.5%0.6%3.9%--4.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%0.5%-3.3%0.7%--0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-1.0%8.0%2.0%10.9%--5.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-1.7%6.2%2.2%8.3%--4.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-21.2%2.5%1.5%8.2%--2.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-32.8%0.9%1.5%4.9%--1.2%

Valuation

AMRCDYFLRGVACDNLKWFMedian
NameAmeresco Dycom In.Fluor Granite .Cardinal.KWF  
Mkt Cap1.810.27.14.7--5.9
P/S0.91.40.41.1--1.0
P/EBIT13.517.3-57.315.1--14.3
P/E28.127.12.026.3--26.7
P/CFO-92.717.822.310.4--14.1
Total Yield3.6%3.7%49.7%4.0%--3.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.2%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-25.3%0.6%2.8%4.7%--1.7%
D/E1.10.20.20.3--0.2
Net D/E1.00.2-0.30.2--0.2

Returns

AMRCDYFLRGVACDNLKWFMedian
NameAmeresco Dycom In.Fluor Granite .Cardinal.KWF  
1M Rtn-12.6%23.3%-8.3%4.4%---2.0%
3M Rtn36.4%41.7%2.8%1.3%--19.6%
6M Rtn135.9%49.2%2.7%19.6%--34.4%
12M Rtn24.4%84.9%-19.5%8.6%--16.5%
3Y Rtn-48.3%287.3%23.5%201.3%--112.4%
1M Excs Rtn-12.5%23.3%-8.3%4.4%---1.9%
3M Excs Rtn29.2%33.6%0.9%-6.5%--15.0%
6M Excs Rtn121.2%34.5%-12.0%4.9%--19.7%
12M Excs Rtn10.6%81.2%-35.1%-5.3%--2.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-116.1%222.8%-39.3%145.9%--53.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Project revenue1,0011,481   
Energy assets179162   
Other102461119692
Operations and Maintenance (O&M) revenue9285   
Integrated - Solar photovoltaic (PV) 50   
Alternative Fuels  111  
Canada  494838
North America Regions  551404365
United States (US) Federal  393378287
Non-Solar Distributed Generation   10685
Total1,3751,8241,2161,032867


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,339,721
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120252.1%
Average Daily Volume657,934
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.08
Basic Shares Quantity52,716,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021