Tearsheet

Granite Construction (GVA)


Market Price (12/21/2025): $115.76 | Market Cap: $5.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Construction & Engineering

Granite Construction (GVA)


Market Price (12/21/2025): $115.76
Market Cap: $5.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Construction & Engineering

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.0%, Dist 3Y High is -1.0%
Key risks
GVA key risks include [1] legal and accounting challenges stemming from a history of financial misstatements and material weaknesses in internal controls, Show more.
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.9%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.9%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.0%, Dist 3Y High is -1.0%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
6 Key risks
GVA key risks include [1] legal and accounting challenges stemming from a history of financial misstatements and material weaknesses in internal controls, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GVA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Granite Construction (GVA) experienced a notable stock movement of 7.3% during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 21, 2025. This movement can be attributed to several key developments:

1. Strong Q2 2025 Earnings Beat and Raised Guidance: Granite Construction reported mixed Q2 2025 results on August 7, 2025, with revenue missing estimates but adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) significantly exceeding expectations at $1.93 against an estimated $1.71. The company also raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to between $4.35 billion and $4.55 billion, and increased its adjusted EBITDA margin guidance to 11.25%-12.25%, reflecting confidence in operational efficiency and accretive acquisitions. This strong earnings beat and optimistic outlook positively impacted the stock, which surged 7.45% following the announcement.

2. Record Committed and Awarded Projects (CAP) Backlog and Strategic Acquisitions: The company reported a record Committed and Awarded Projects (CAP) backlog of $6.1 billion in Q2 2025, indicating a strong pipeline of future work and supporting revenue visibility. Strategic acquisitions, such as Warren Paving and Papich Construction, were also highlighted as contributing approximately $150 million to the revised FY2025 revenue guidance and immediately boosting adjusted EBITDA margins and cash flows. These acquisitions were expected to enhance geographic diversification and operational scale.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GVA Return-1%47%-8%47%74%30%347%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GVA Win Rate58%58%50%67%67%75% 
Peers Win Rate 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GVA Max Drawdown-63%-0%-34%-2%-13%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DY, PRIM, ROAD, MYRG, KWF. See GVA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGVAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven125 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-64.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven182.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven295 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-65.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven188.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,730 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-69.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven223.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven5,779 days1,480 days

Compare to DY, PRIM, ROAD, MYRG, KWF


In The Past

Granite Construction's stock fell -40.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/23/2021. A -40.4% loss requires a 67.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Granite Construction (GVA)

Better Bets than Granite Construction (GVA)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GVA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Granite Construction

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GVADYPRIMROADMYRGKWFMedian
NameGranite .Dycom In.Primoris.Construc.MYR KWF  
Mkt Price115.45344.38125.19109.13221.15-125.19
Mkt Cap5.110.06.86.03.4-6.0
Rev LTM4,2365,1737,4592,8123,514-4,236
Op Inc LTM257430424240145-257
FCF LTM346297489153156-297
FCF 3Y Avg20411928811170-119
CFO LTM462552626291233-462
CFO 3Y Avg333359407219155-333

Growth & Margins

GVADYPRIMROADMYRGKWFMedian
NameGranite .Dycom In.Primoris.Construc.MYR KWF  
Rev Chg LTM6.9%13.2%21.5%54.2%-0.6%-13.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.7%12.3%23.9%30.3%8.6%-12.3%
Rev Chg Q12.4%14.1%32.1%67.2%7.0%-14.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.9%3.6%7.6%14.8%1.8%-3.9%
Op Mgn LTM6.1%8.3%5.7%8.5%4.1%-6.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.9%7.8%5.0%6.4%3.1%-5.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.7%0.7%0.1%1.0%0.7%-0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM10.9%10.7%8.4%10.4%6.6%-10.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.3%7.5%6.1%10.6%4.4%-7.5%
FCF/Rev LTM8.2%5.7%6.6%5.5%4.4%-5.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.9%2.3%4.3%5.3%2.0%-4.3%

Valuation

GVADYPRIMROADMYRGKWFMedian
NameGranite .Dycom In.Primoris.Construc.MYR KWF  
Mkt Cap5.110.06.86.03.4-6.0
P/S1.21.90.92.11.0-1.2
P/EBIT15.922.016.026.823.1-22.0
P/E27.733.524.459.235.1-33.5
P/CFO10.918.110.820.714.7-14.7
Total Yield3.8%3.0%4.3%1.7%2.8%-3.0%
Dividend Yield0.2%0.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.7%1.2%6.8%2.9%2.5%-2.9%
D/E0.30.10.10.30.0-0.1
Net D/E0.20.10.10.30.0-0.1

Returns

GVADYPRIMROADMYRGKWFMedian
NameGranite .Dycom In.Primoris.Construc.MYR KWF  
1M Rtn12.7%6.5%7.2%8.7%8.2%-8.2%
3M Rtn5.1%27.7%-2.8%-18.4%23.7%-5.1%
6M Rtn30.0%47.2%69.4%6.6%30.6%-30.6%
12M Rtn28.1%98.2%55.9%17.6%44.3%-44.3%
3Y Rtn233.6%277.6%490.5%310.4%149.3%-277.6%
1M Excs Rtn9.5%3.0%-0.7%1.8%-0.7%-1.8%
3M Excs Rtn2.4%20.4%-7.9%-22.3%14.8%-2.4%
6M Excs Rtn13.5%32.7%51.1%-11.5%14.2%-14.2%
12M Excs Rtn13.6%81.6%42.5%0.8%22.4%-22.4%
3Y Excs Rtn159.5%206.5%423.0%219.2%71.1%-206.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Construction2,9922,8043,0762,764 
Materials717671588514530
Elimination of intersegment revenue-200-174-162-149-173
Specialty    728
Transportation    1,892
Water    469
Total3,5093,3013,5023,1293,446


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Construction173    
Materials62    
Corporate (gain) loss on sales of property and equipment, net0    
Other costs, net-50    
Corporate selling, general and administrative expenses-105    
Total80    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Receivables, net599464465438547
Construction598433359371 
Materials539364333316370
Cash and cash equivalents418294396425262
Other current assets, excluding segment assets317280323170257
Investments in affiliates9381232884
Right of use assets7849495373
Property and equipment, net, excluding segment assets7365574943
Other noncurrent assets5650585860
Short-term marketable securities366616533
Deferred income taxes, net822244350
Current assets held for sale  393171 
Noncurrent assets held for sale   252 
Specialty    129
Transportation    309
Water    285
Total2,8142,1682,4952,3802,502


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,665,901
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520254.7%
Average Daily Volume617,427
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.56
Basic Shares Quantity43,783,000
Short % of Basic Shares10.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-3.3%-0.3%5.3%
8/7/20258.1%19.2%15.8%
5/1/2025-2.4%-0.1%10.0%
2/13/20250.6%-2.4%-14.6%
10/31/20242.4%15.9%21.1%
8/1/20241.4%-0.4%8.1%
5/2/20244.1%11.5%13.3%
2/22/20242.4%1.5%10.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131114
# Negative9118
Median Positive4.1%12.2%11.8%
Median Negative-3.3%-2.4%-5.8%
Max Positive18.0%34.1%34.5%
Max Negative-6.9%-16.1%-32.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021