Yum China (YUMC)


Market Price (11/6/2026): $49.69 | Market Cap: $16.7 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Yum China (YUMC)


Market Price (11/6/2026): $49.69
Market Cap: $16.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.2%, Dividend Yield is 2.3%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 3.5 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -83%

Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.0%

Key risks
YUMC key risks include [1] its vulnerability to China's dynamic regulatory and geopolitical environment and [2] potential government scrutiny of its variable interest entity (VIE) corporate structure.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.2%, Dividend Yield is 2.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
2 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 3.5 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -83%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.0%
7 Key risks
YUMC key risks include [1] its vulnerability to China's dynamic regulatory and geopolitical environment and [2] potential government scrutiny of its variable interest entity (VIE) corporate structure.

YUMC in ETFs

Weight = YUMC's share of each fund

FNDE0.28%
SPEM0.17%
VWO0.01%
VXUS0.01%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 11/3/2026

Yum China (YUMC) stock has gained about 5% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Mixed Fiscal Q3 2026 Performance with Strong Operational Execution Offset by Sales Challenges.

Yum China reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.91 for fiscal Q3 2026 (ended September 30, 2026), surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.88. However, total revenues of $3.5 billion slightly missed the $3.50 billion estimate, and same-store sales declined by 3% year-over-year, primarily due to challenging comparisons from prior year delivery platform subsidies and adverse weather in August. This blend of better-than-expected profitability and a slight revenue shortfall with declining same-store sales likely contributed to the stock remaining largely range-bound.

2. Aggressive Store Expansion and Robust Shareholder Returns.

The company demonstrated strong growth initiatives by opening a record 692 net new stores in fiscal Q3 2026, bringing its total store count to 19,989 as of September 30, 2026. Yum China also raised its full-year 2026 net new store target to over 2,400. Alongside this expansion, the company reaffirmed its commitment to return $1.5 billion to shareholders in 2026, representing approximately 10% of its market capitalization as of October 30, 2026, and increased its share repurchase authorization by an additional $1 billion in November 2026. These significant growth and capital allocation strategies provided a floor for the stock, preventing a substantial downturn.

Show more
Updated on 11/3/2026

Yum China (YUMC) stock has gained about 5% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Mixed Fiscal Q3 2026 Performance with Strong Operational Execution Offset by Sales Challenges.

Yum China reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.91 for fiscal Q3 2026 (ended September 30, 2026), surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.88. However, total revenues of $3.5 billion slightly missed the $3.50 billion estimate, and same-store sales declined by 3% year-over-year, primarily due to challenging comparisons from prior year delivery platform subsidies and adverse weather in August. This blend of better-than-expected profitability and a slight revenue shortfall with declining same-store sales likely contributed to the stock remaining largely range-bound.

2. Aggressive Store Expansion and Robust Shareholder Returns.

The company demonstrated strong growth initiatives by opening a record 692 net new stores in fiscal Q3 2026, bringing its total store count to 19,989 as of September 30, 2026. Yum China also raised its full-year 2026 net new store target to over 2,400. Alongside this expansion, the company reaffirmed its commitment to return $1.5 billion to shareholders in 2026, representing approximately 10% of its market capitalization as of October 30, 2026, and increased its share repurchase authorization by an additional $1 billion in November 2026. These significant growth and capital allocation strategies provided a floor for the stock, preventing a substantial downturn.

3. Uneven Chinese Consumer Spending Environment.

While China's overall economy continued to improve with a 4.5% GDP growth in fiscal Q3 2026, the consumer spending landscape was mixed. Offline consumption payments increased 2.6% year-over-year in fiscal Q3 2026, but household consumption spending grew at a slower pace than disposable income (2.7% versus 4.4% per capita). Furthermore, there is an ongoing structural shift in consumption patterns from goods-led to service-oriented, with retail sales of services growing 5% compared to more sluggish growth for goods. This macroeconomic backdrop presented a cautious environment for restaurant chains, limiting significant upward momentum for the stock.

4. Significant Insider Selling.

Within the last 12 months, CEO Joey Wat executed an insider sale of US$5.7 million worth of company shares at a price of $55.18 per share. While this transaction occurred above recent trading levels, a substantial insider sale by a key executive can be interpreted by investors as a potential cautionary signal, which may have tempered bullish sentiment and contributed to the stock's steady, rather than surging, performance.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 3.9% change in YUMC stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 5.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)731202611052026Change
Stock Price ($)47.8849.773.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12,08712,7095.1%
Net Income Margin (%)7.8%7.9%0.9%
P/E Multiple17.917.0-5.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3533423.2%
Cumulative Contribution3.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2026 to 11/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
YUMC3.9% 
Market (SPY)-1.9%-5.2%
Sector (XLY)1.3%33.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 4.0% change in YUMC stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 7.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)430202611052026Change
Stock Price ($)47.8449.774.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11,79712,7097.7%
Net Income Margin (%)7.9%7.9%0.3%
P/E Multiple18.517.0-8.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3603425.3%
Cumulative Contribution4.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 11/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
YUMC4.0% 
Market (SPY)2.3%-4.3%
Sector (XLY)-0.4%26.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 17.8% change in YUMC stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)1031202511052026Change
Stock Price ($)42.2649.7717.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11,43412,70911.2%
Net Income Margin (%)8.0%7.9%-1.7%
P/E Multiple17.217.0-1.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3733429.1%
Cumulative Contribution17.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 11/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
YUMC17.8% 
Market (SPY)8.4%13.3%
Sector (XLY)-1.4%24.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 0.4% change in YUMC stock from 10/31/2023 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 22.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)1031202311052026Change
Stock Price ($)49.5849.770.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)10,34412,70922.9%
Net Income Margin (%)7.2%7.9%9.7%
P/E Multiple27.817.0-39.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)41834222.2%
Cumulative Contribution0.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2023 to 11/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
YUMC0.4% 
Market (SPY)81.3%25.3%
Sector (XLY)58.2%29.0%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
YUMC Return-12%11%-22%15%1%6%-5%
Peers Return20%-6%21%4%-2%9%52%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
YUMC Win Rate25%58%42%42%58%45% 
Peers Win Rate55%43%58%50%47%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%45% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
YUMC Max Drawdown-32%-32%-38%-33%-23%-30% 
Peers Max Drawdown-14%-27%-18%-20%-24%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MCD, SBUX, YUM, QSR, CMG. See YUMC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/5/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventYUMCS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-12.1%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven13.8%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven81 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-31.8%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.5%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven786 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-10.1%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven11.2%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven25 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-26.0%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven35.2%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven109 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-14.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven33 days140 days

Compare to MCD, SBUX, YUM, QSR, CMG

In The Past

Yum China's stock fell -12.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 13.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventYUMCS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-31.8%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.5%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven786 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-26.0%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven35.2%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven109 days427 days

Compare to MCD, SBUX, YUM, QSR, CMG

In The Past

Yum China's stock fell -12.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 13.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Yum China (YUMC)

Yum China Holdings, Inc. (YUMC) is a leading restaurant company that exclusively owns, operates, and franchises a vast portfolio of quick-service and casual dining establishments across China. The company serves as the master franchisor for several globally recognized brands while also developing its own local concepts tailored to the unique tastes of the Chinese market.

The company's core business revolves around its diverse brand portfolio, which includes internationally renowned names like KFC, Pizza Hut, and Taco Bell. It also features popular local Chinese brands such as Little Sheep (hot pot) and Huang Ji Huang (simmer pot), alongside coffee concepts like Lavazza and COFFii & JOY, offering a wide array of food categories from chicken and pizza to specialty coffee and traditional Chinese cuisine.

Beyond its extensive restaurant operations, Yum China also operates V-Gold Mall, a mobile e-commerce platform selling various merchandise, including electronics, home accessories, and ready-to-eat meals. With nearly 12,000 restaurants spread across approximately 1,600 cities as of late 2021, Yum China's primary market is the vast and growing consumer base throughout mainland China, catering to diverse tastes and preferences.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Yum China (YUMC):

  • Essentially, it's the Yum! Brands (KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell's global parent) of China.
  • Imagine a Darden Restaurants (Olive Garden, LongHorn Steakhouse) but for fast food, coffee, and local cuisine, with thousands of locations across China.
  • Like a multi-brand McDonald's for China, operating KFC, Pizza Hut, and other chains across the country.

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  • Restaurant Food & Beverages: A diverse range of food and drink offerings including chicken, pizza, hot pot, simmer pot, Mexican-style food, and various coffee beverages across its portfolio of restaurant brands.
  • Restaurant Franchising Services: Licensing and providing operational support for independent operators to establish and run restaurants under its various brand names.
  • E-commerce Retail: An online platform, V-Gold Mall, offering a selection of electronics, home accessories, general merchandise, ready-to-eat meals, and coffee capsules.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Yum China (YUMC) primarily sells to individuals through its extensive network of restaurants and its e-commerce platform. Its major customers can be categorized as:

  • Diners at Quick Service Restaurants: This includes individuals seeking convenient, fast food and beverage options from brands like KFC, Taco Bell, Lavazza, and COFFii & JOY across various cities in China.
  • Diners at Casual Dining Restaurants: This category encompasses individuals and families looking for sit-down dining experiences at brands such as Pizza Hut, Little Sheep, Huang Ji Huang, and East Dawning, which offer pizza, hot pot, simmer pot, and Chinese cuisine.
  • Online Consumers via V-Gold Mall: Individuals who purchase ready meals (e.g., fried rice, steak, pasta), coffee capsules, electronics, home and kitchen accessories, and other general merchandise through the company's mobile e-commerce platform.

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Joey Wat, Chief Executive Officer, Director

Joey Wat was appointed CEO of Yum China in March 2018 and has been a member of its Board of Directors since July 2017. Prior to her current role, she served as President and Chief Operating Officer of Yum China from 2017 to 2018, and as CEO of KFC China from 2015 to 2017. Before joining Yum! Restaurants China in 2014 as President of KFC China, Ms. Wat spent ten years at A.S. Watson Group UK, where she held various management and strategy positions, including Managing Director of Watson U.K. She is recognized for successfully turning around the Savers health and beauty store chain during her tenure at A.S. Watson Group. Earlier in her career, she dedicated seven years to management consulting, working with firms such as McKinsey & Company in Hong Kong from 2000 to 2003 and AT Kearney. Ms. Wat holds an MBA from Northwestern University's Kellogg School of Management and a bachelor's degree from the University of Hong Kong.

Andy Yeung, Chief Financial Officer

Andy Yeung assumed the role of Chief Financial Officer for Yum China in October 2019. Before his appointment at Yum China, Mr. Yeung served as the Chief Financial Officer of Smart Finance International Limited, a financial technology company, from April 2017 to August 2019. From January 2014 to March 2017, he was the Chief Financial Officer of Cheetah Mobile Inc., a mobile internet company listed on the NYSE. Earlier, between 2009 and 2013, Mr. Yeung worked at Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. as director, executive director, and managing director, where he was responsible for research coverage of China's internet and media sectors. His professional background also includes experience in equity research, management consulting, and credit risk management in the United States. Mr. Yeung holds an MBA from the Yale University School of Management and dual degrees in Mechanical Engineering and Applied Mathematics from the University of California, Berkeley. He is also a Chartered Financial Analyst charterholder.

Leila Zhang, Chief Technology Officer

Leila Zhang has served as the Chief Technology Officer of Yum China since March 2018.

Jerry Ding, Chief People Officer

Jerry Ding has served as Yum China's Chief People Officer since August 2023. Prior to this role, he was the Head of Corporate Strategy from November 2019 to July 2023 and also served as the brand leader for Taco Bell from November 2021 to May 2023. Before joining Yum China, Mr. Ding worked at McKinsey & Company for more than six years, specializing in developing corporate-level strategies. He earned a Ph.D. in Mechanical Engineering and Materials Science from Yale University and a B.S. from Tsinghua University.

Xueling Lu, Controller and Principal Accounting Officer

Xueling Lu has held the position of Controller and Principal Accounting Officer at Yum China since January 2018. She joined the company in November 2016 as Senior Director, Finance. Before her tenure at Yum China, Ms. Lu was the Asia Pacific Controller of Lear Corporation from 2013 to 2016. She also spent ten years in public accounting with Ernst & Young, where her work focused on audits, initial public offerings for companies listed in the U.S., SEC reporting, and Sarbanes-Oxley compliance.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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For Yum China Holdings, Inc. (YUMC), the key risks to the business are primarily concentrated around its deep reliance on the Chinese market and the inherent complexities of operating within it.

  1. Dependence on the Chinese Market and Macroeconomic Headwinds: Yum China derives nearly all its revenue from operations in China, making it highly susceptible to the country's economic performance and stability. A slower-than-expected economic recovery, cautious consumer spending, or deflationary pressures in China can directly impact sales volumes and overall profitability. This concentration limits diversification benefits and increases vulnerability to regional disruptions.
  2. Intense Competition: The Chinese restaurant industry is characterized by a high degree of fragmentation and intense competition from numerous local and international players. This competitive landscape necessitates continuous innovation, adaptation of offerings, and compelling value propositions to maintain market share and can put pressure on profit margins.
  3. Regulatory and Operational Risks in China: Operating in China presents unique and complex regulatory and operational challenges. These include evolving food safety regulations, labor laws, foreign investment policies, and the potential for government intervention. Historically, food safety incidents have posed significant threats to Yum China's reputation and operations, potentially leading to negative publicity, legal liabilities, and temporary restaurant closures, thereby adversely affecting sales and customer trust. Additionally, changes in political, business, economic, and trade relations between the U.S. and China could materially affect the company's business.
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The clear emerging threat for Yum China is the proliferation and increasing sophistication of **delivery-only ghost kitchens and virtual brands** in China. These entities operate professional cooking facilities dedicated solely to fulfilling online delivery orders, bypassing the significant overheads associated with traditional dine-in restaurants (e.g., prime real estate, front-of-house staff, extensive branding for physical locations). Leveraging China's robust food delivery platforms, these ghost kitchens can offer a diverse array of cuisines with greater operational agility, lower cost structures, and rapid menu adaptation, directly challenging Yum China's established physical restaurant model, particularly for its delivery and take-out segments across all its brands.

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The addressable markets for Yum China's main products and services in China are substantial:

  • Fast Food (KFC, Taco Bell, East Dawning): The fast-food restaurant market in China was valued at approximately $187.8 billion in 2024. This market has experienced a growth at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.7% between 2019 and 2024. It is projected to grow at an 8.35% CAGR from 2025 to 2035.
  • Pizza (Pizza Hut): The pizza market in China is estimated to be valued at $10.98 billion in 2024. This market is projected to reach $20.75 billion by 2035, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.58% from 2025 to 2035. Another projection indicates the market could surpass 100 billion yuan (about $13.9 billion USD) over the next five years, growing from 48 billion yuan in 2024 to 60.8 billion yuan in 2025.
  • Hot Pot (Little Sheep, Huang Ji Huang): China's hot pot with food market accounts for approximately $175 billion USD of the global market in 2024. The overall hot pot market scale in China is expected to reach 650 billion yuan.
  • Coffee (Lavazza, COFFii & JOY): China's coffee market is estimated at $42 billion in 2024. The market is projected to grow from USD 24.61 billion in 2024 to USD 30.57 billion by 2032, at a CAGR of 2.75% during the forecast period of 2025-2032.
  • E-commerce (V-Gold Mall): China's e-commerce market reached US$3.1 trillion in 2024 and is projected to grow by 6.3% annually, climbing to US$3.85 trillion by 2028.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Yum China Holdings, Inc. (YUMC) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:

  1. Aggressive Store Expansion and Penetration into Lower-Tier Cities: Yum China plans substantial new store openings, aiming to open between 1,600 and 1,800 net new stores in 2025 and over 1,900 in 2026. The company has a clear objective to surpass 20,000 stores nationwide by 2026 and exceed 25,000 by 2028. This expansion is particularly focused on lower-tier cities, utilizing simpler operating models like KFC's 'small-time mini' and Pizza Hut's 'WOW' stores to broaden market reach and capture new demand.
  2. Increased Franchisee Participation: To accelerate scalability and reduce capital intensity, Yum China is increasingly relying on franchising. The company aims for 40-50% of KFC's net new openings and 20-30% for Pizza Hut to be franchisee-operated in the coming years.
  3. Menu Innovation and Diversification into Emerging Brands/New Concepts: The company consistently introduces new and upgraded menu items, launching approximately 600 in 2024. Beyond its core KFC and Pizza Hut brands, Yum China is actively diversifying its business through new concepts and strategic partnerships, including expanding its presence in the coffee sector with brands like Lavazza and KCoffee. Innovative concepts such as 'Pizza Hut Wow' stores and the "Gemini" model (KFC and Pizza Hut side-by-side) are also being introduced to broaden market appeal.
  4. Digital Transformation and Loyalty Program Growth: Digital channels are a significant driver of sales, accounting for 93% of sales in 2025. Yum China's loyalty program boasts over 590 million members and contributes significantly to system sales. Ongoing investments in digitalization, including AI and generative AI for operational efficiency, supply chain optimization, and restaurant management, are expected to further enhance sales and customer engagement.

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Capital Allocation Decisions for Yum China (YUMC) Over the Last 3-5 Years

Share Repurchases

  • Yum China plans to return $4.5 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases between 2024 and 2026.
  • For the first nine months of 2024, the company repurchased $1.06 billion in shares, equivalent to approximately 7% of its outstanding shares as of December 31, 2023.
  • As of December 11, 2025, the Board of Directors increased the share repurchase authorization by $1 billion, bringing the total authorization to $5.4 billion, with approximately $1.2 billion remaining for future repurchases.

Share Issuance

  • In March 2024, Yum China filed for a share offering of 600,000 shares of common stock for participants in its Long Term Incentive Plan.

Outbound Investments

  • In March 2021, Yum China acquired a 5% equity interest in Fujian Sunner Development Co., Ltd., which is China's largest white-feathered chicken producer and Yum China's largest poultry supplier.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for Yum China were $689 million in 2021, $679 million in 2022, and $710 million in 2023.
  • For the 2024-2026 period, total capital expenditure is anticipated to range from $3.5 billion to $5.0 billion, with more than half ($2.3 billion to $3.0 billion) allocated to expand the restaurant network to reach 20,000 stores by 2026.
  • Average annual capital expenditure is expected to be between $600 million and $700 million from 2026 to 2028, primarily focused on new store openings and investments in supply chain and digital initiatives.

Better Bets vs. Yum China (YUMC)

Peer Outperformance in Restaurants

YUMC has outperformed 54% of its 35 Restaurants peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it are CAKE, DRI and YUM. Restaurants ranks 10th of 22 industries in Consumer Discretionary by median 5Y return.
Share of Restaurants constituents that YUMC has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
58%
of 43 industry peers · 16.1% return
3Y
66%
of 41 industry peers · 17.3% return
5Y
54%
of 35 industry peers · -5.7% return
Restaurants peers with revenue growth within 4pp of YUMC's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
YUMC Yum China 6.4% 17.0x 16.1%17.3%-5.7% —
CAKE Cheesecake Factory 5.1% 24.9x 133.9%285.1%167.1% +173pp
DRI Darden Restaurants 7.5% 22.0x 31.0%68.7%74.7% +80pp
YUM Yum Brands 7.8% 20.6x 13.3%39.3%44.2% +50pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Consumer Discretionary sector, ranked by 5Y. Restaurants is YUMC's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Education Services 14 -15.2%33.1%45.5% CVSA 255% · GHC 110% · LRN 107%
Homebuilding 17 4.5%38.1%35.4% PHM 181% · TOL 164% · GRBK 154%
Automotive Retail 17 1.0%20.5%13.7% MUSA 205% · ORLY 115% · PAG 114%
Home Improvement Retail 5 -3.7%5.4%6.6% HD 8% · LOW 7% · FND -61%
Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines 21 22.9%53.1%6.0% RCL 245% · MAR 160% · HLT 147%
Home Furnishings 3 4.0%82.5%1.6% SGI 59% · MHK -15%
Footwear 9 80.5%86.0%-15.1% DECK 24% · SHOO -12% · CROX -15%
Computer & Electronics Retail 3 29.4%71.8%-22.5% BBY -3% · GME -55%
Specialized Consumer Services 10 -10.8%34.2%-23.9% FTDR 165% · HRB 157% · ADT 24%
Restaurants ← 36 -1.1%-3.5%-24.2% EAT 376% · CAKE 167% · TXRH 119%
Distributors 4 -4.4%-14.2%-24.8% ARMK 88% · GPC 5% · POOL -55%
Leisure Products 14 -18.9%-6.0%-34.7% GOLF 56% · HAS 51% · BC -12%
Household Appliances 18 22.8%22.9%-39.0% WHR -82%
Leisure Facilities 12 0.9%6.2%-41.2% OSW 156% · LTH 146% · PLNT -37%
Broadline Retail 12 -9.3%16.3%-44.5% EBAY 78% · AMZN 48% · OLLI 28%
Casinos & Gaming 21 -20.4%-16.7%-46.1% RRR 21% · BYD 20% · LVS 3%
Apparel Retail 27 -1.9%4.6%-47.5% ANF 241% · TJX 109% · ROST 108%
Automotive Parts & Equipment 37 -14.6%-28.4%-48.6% GTX 185% · PATK 73% · ALV 41%
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods 29 13.2%22.5%-52.8% TPR 258% · RL 230% · KTB 63%
Other Specialty Retail 25 -4.7%-11.7%-58.9% ULTA 66% · ASO 54% · DKS 22%
Automobile Manufacturers 8 -60.7%-40.9%-69.5% GM 59% · F -12% · TSLA -16%
Consumer Electronics 11 -37.8%-36.5%-81.3% GRMN 123%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.

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Financials

YUMCMCDSBUXYUMQSRCMGMedian
NameYum ChinaMcDonald.StarbucksYum Bran.Restaura.Chipotle. 
Mkt Price49.69274.11106.02165.6477.9035.1191.96
Mkt Cap17.0194.4120.845.627.244.445.0
Rev LTM12,70927,70238,3388,7249,77512,71312,711
Op Inc LTM1,46412,6623,8732,6502,6401,9002,645
FCF LTM-2547,7613,6421,6791,5801,5101,630
FCF 3Y Avg4487,2513,2411,5271,4111,4451,486
CFO LTM1,60611,3444,9862,0831,8632,3482,215
CFO 3Y Avg1,50210,2455,4641,8491,6432,1361,992

Growth & Margins

YUMCMCDSBUXYUMQSRCMGMedian
NameYum ChinaMcDonald.StarbucksYum Bran.Restaura.Chipotle. 
Rev Chg LTM9.9%6.3%4.5%10.3%5.5%7.9%7.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.4%4.6%3.1%7.8%12.5%10.1%7.1%
Rev Chg Q8.5%3.8%-1.4%12.3%3.1%9.6%6.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.2%0.9%-0.3%2.8%0.8%2.3%1.6%
Op Inc Chg LTM13.3%5.3%1.0%8.7%10.0%-4.8%7.0%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg11.2%4.5%-6.9%6.2%7.4%7.4%6.8%
Op Mgn LTM11.5%45.7%10.1%30.4%27.0%14.9%21.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg11.0%45.8%11.9%31.3%26.9%16.5%21.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%-0.3%0.8%-0.2%0.0%-0.5%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM12.6%41.0%13.0%23.9%19.1%18.5%18.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.7%38.6%14.7%23.3%18.2%18.0%18.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-2.0%28.0%9.5%19.2%16.2%11.9%14.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.0%27.3%8.7%19.3%15.7%12.2%14.0%

Valuation

YUMCMCDSBUXYUMQSRCMGMedian
NameYum ChinaMcDonald.StarbucksYum Bran.Restaura.Chipotle. 
Mkt Cap17.0194.4120.845.627.244.445.0
P/S1.37.03.25.22.83.53.3
P/Op Inc11.615.431.217.210.323.416.3
P/EBIT11.615.233.316.810.323.416.0
P/E16.922.160.920.518.132.321.3
P/CFO10.617.124.221.914.618.918.0
Total Yield8.2%7.1%4.0%6.6%9.7%3.1%6.9%
Dividend Yield2.3%2.7%2.3%1.8%4.2%0.0%2.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.7%3.7%3.2%3.7%6.2%2.8%3.5%
D/E0.20.30.20.30.60.10.2
Net D/E0.10.30.20.30.50.10.2

Returns

YUMCMCDSBUXYUMQSRCMGMedian
NameYum ChinaMcDonald.StarbucksYum Bran.Restaura.Chipotle. 
1M Rtn22.3%17.9%10.3%18.4%10.9%13.6%15.8%
3M Rtn3.8%-0.1%1.4%9.3%7.8%4.2%4.0%
6M Rtn4.6%-2.0%2.9%6.4%0.2%5.5%3.7%
12M Rtn15.9%-8.0%31.2%13.0%20.4%9.8%14.5%
3Y Rtn17.1%9.6%9.9%38.9%29.0%-15.2%13.5%
1M Excs Rtn23.7%20.2%14.7%19.5%13.6%15.5%17.5%
3M Excs Rtn5.7%1.5%1.9%11.3%7.3%8.0%6.5%
6M Excs Rtn-0.2%-6.8%-1.9%1.6%-4.5%0.8%-1.0%
12M Excs Rtn-0.0%-19.4%23.1%-0.6%8.5%-2.8%-0.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-83.0%-69.8%-59.3%-37.9%-54.0%-92.3%-64.5%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
KFC8,8718,5098,2407,2197,003
Pizza Hut2,3242,2602,2461,9602,109
All Other Segments934789779671473
Corporate and Unallocated418353293253520
Elimination-750-608-580-534-252
Total11,79711,30310,9789,5699,853


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
KFC1,2851,1921,202787827
Pizza Hut18315314270111
Elimination00   
All Other Segments-1-15-31-50-29
Corporate and Unallocated-177-168-207-178 
Unallocated and corporate General and Administrative (G&A) expenses    -171
Unallocated expenses for transactions with franchisees    -497
Unallocated other income, net    642
Unallocated other operating costs and expenses    -17
Unallocated other revenues    20
Unallocated revenues from transactions with franchisees    500
Total1,2901,1621,1066291,386


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
KFC5,5605,3345,3715,2966,072
Corporate and Unallocated3,9634,5735,4095,2695,725
Pizza Hut952914904880972
All Other Segments308300347381454
Total10,78311,12112,03111,82613,223


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$49.77 
Market Cap ($ Bil)17.0 
First Trading Date10/17/2016 
Distance from 52W High-12.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$43.39$46.44
DMA Trenddownindeterminate
Distance from DMA14.7%7.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility24.8%25.6%
Downside Capture-15.1230.28
Upside Capture12.8940.52
Correlation (S&P 500)-3.8%15.6%
YUMC Betas & Captures as of 10/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.35-0.19-0.32-0.160.260.58
Up Beta-0.04-0.27-0.16-0.160.480.63
Down Beta-0.27-0.54-0.58-0.130.090.57
Up Capture55%2%-36%-17%19%17%
Bmk +ve Days12182862130427
Stock +ve Days14223161122359
Down Capture-118%-20%-18%-14%27%83%
Bmk -ve Days10253664121325
Stock -ve Days8213364127389

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with YUMC
YUMC13.7%25.6%0.45-
Sector ETF (XLY)-0.6%19.9%-0.1625.0%
Equity (SPY)9.5%13.6%0.4114.0%
Gold (GLD)3.6%28.7%0.1112.6%
Commodities (DBC)37.7%21.2%1.40-12.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.0%14.2%0.5528.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-20.8%43.3%-0.42-4.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with YUMC
YUMC-1.5%37.3%0.04-
Sector ETF (XLY)4.1%24.2%0.1334.2%
Equity (SPY)11.3%17.3%0.4832.0%
Gold (GLD)17.5%19.1%0.749.1%
Commodities (DBC)8.0%19.6%0.297.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.2%18.9%-0.0527.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)5.9%51.5%0.2918.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with YUMC
YUMC7.7%34.9%0.30-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.7%22.3%0.5236.3%
Equity (SPY)14.9%18.0%0.7035.1%
Gold (GLD)12.0%16.5%0.596.8%
Commodities (DBC)7.6%18.1%0.3311.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.7%20.7%0.2324.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)61.3%66.2%1.0110.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5.9 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 93020260.5%
Average Daily Volume1.8 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.3 days
Basic Shares Quantity342.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.7%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 11/6/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/20261.6%  
7/30/20261.4%3.6%-1.4%
4/29/20262.9%2.2%-8.5%
2/4/20264.7%12.6%3.8%
11/4/20251.9%1.8%6.5%
8/5/2025-6.1%-4.5%-4.0%
4/30/2025-7.2%-6.3%-3.6%
2/6/20259.1%6.3%9.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161611
# Negative8712
Median Positive3.6%5.0%9.4%
Median Negative-6.0%-5.9%-5.9%
Max Positive12.0%16.8%27.5%
Max Negative-15.2%-15.3%-17.6%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/3/20261.6%  
7/30/20261.4%3.6%-1.4%
4/29/20262.9%2.2%-8.5%
2/4/20264.7%12.6%3.8%
11/4/20251.9%1.8%6.5%
8/5/2025-6.1%-4.5%-4.0%
4/30/2025-7.2%-6.3%-3.6%
2/6/20259.1%6.3%9.7%
11/4/20247.2%9.4%4.9%
8/5/202412.0%10.7%13.5%
4/29/2024-8.8%-5.9%-12.6%
2/6/20247.9%6.1%10.2%
10/31/2023-15.2%-15.3%-17.6%
7/31/2023-6.0%-7.2%-11.9%
5/2/20231.3%0.2%-7.3%
2/7/2023-0.6%0.1%-4.4%
11/1/20227.6%16.8%27.5%
7/28/20223.5%4.4%5.3%
5/3/20223.8%-5.1%9.4%
2/8/20221.5%11.3%-4.6%
10/27/2021-1.3%-2.3%-12.6%
7/28/20210.0%0.2%-3.1%
4/27/20215.9%2.8%10.1%
2/3/2021-2.3%5.6%5.7%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161611
# Negative8712
Median Positive3.6%5.0%9.4%
Median Negative-6.0%-5.9%-5.9%
Max Positive12.0%16.8%27.5%
Max Negative-15.2%-15.3%-17.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202611/05/202610-Q
06/30/202608/10/202610-Q
03/31/202605/08/202610-Q
12/31/202502/27/202610-K
09/30/202511/10/202510-Q
06/30/202508/11/202510-Q
03/31/202505/09/202510-Q
12/31/202402/27/202510-K
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/09/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/29/202410-K
09/30/202311/09/202310-Q
06/30/202308/09/202310-Q
03/31/202305/08/202310-Q
12/31/202203/01/202310-K
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202611/05/202610-Q
06/30/202608/10/202610-Q
03/31/202605/08/202610-Q
12/31/202502/27/202610-K
09/30/202511/10/202510-Q
06/30/202508/11/202510-Q
03/31/202505/09/202510-Q
12/31/202402/27/202510-K
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/09/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/29/202410-K
09/30/202311/09/202310-Q
06/30/202308/09/202310-Q
03/31/202305/08/202310-Q
12/31/202203/01/202310-K
09/30/202211/09/202210-Q
06/30/202208/09/202210-Q
03/31/202205/06/202210-Q
12/31/202102/28/202210-K
09/30/202111/08/202110-Q
06/30/202108/06/202110-Q
03/31/202105/06/202110-Q
12/31/202002/26/202110-K
09/30/202011/06/202010-Q
06/30/202008/06/202010-Q
03/31/202005/08/202010-Q
12/31/201902/27/202010-K

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 11/4/2026

Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 11/3/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2026 Cash Dividend Per ShareReported 0.29    
2026 Total StoresReported2050020500 2.5% RaisedGuidance: 20000 for 2026
2026 Net New StoresReported24002400 26.3% RaisedGuidance: 1900 for 2026
2026 Franchise Mix of Net New StoresReported0.40.450.5 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 0.45 for 2026
2026 Capital Return to ShareholdersReported 1.50 Bil 0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 1.50 Bil for 2026
2026 Capital ExpendituresReported600.00 Mil650.00 Mil700.00 Mil0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 650.00 Mil for 2026
2028 Capital Return to ShareholdersReported1.00 Bil1.00 Bil    


Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 7/30/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Total StoresReported 20000 0 AffirmedGuidance: 20000 for 2026
2026 Net New StoresReported 1900 0 AffirmedGuidance: 1900 for 2026
2026 Franchise Mix of Net New StoresReported0.40.450.5   
2026 Capital Return to ShareholdersReported 1.50 Bil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.50 Bil for 2026
2026 Capital ExpendituresReported600.00 Mil650.00 Mil700.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 650.00 Mil for 2026

Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/29/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Total StoresReported 20000   Higher New
2026 Net New StoresReported 1900 0 AffirmedGuidance: 1900 for 2026
2026 Capital Return to ShareholdersReported 1.50 Bil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.50 Bil for 2026
2026 Capital ExpendituresReported600.00 Mil650.00 Mil700.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 650.00 Mil for 2026
2027 Capital Return to ShareholdersReported900.00 Mil950.00 Mil1.00 Bil  Higher New
2028 Capital Return to ShareholdersReported 1.00 Bil   Higher New

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/4/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Net New StoresReported 1900 11.8% Higher NewActual: 1700 for 2025
2026 Capital Returns to ShareholdersReported 1.50 Bil 0 Same NewActual: 1.50 Bil for 2025
2026 Capital ExpendituresReported600.00 Mil650.00 Mil700.00 Mil0 Same NewActual: 650.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 9/3/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Huang, Duoduo (howard)Chief Supply Chain OfficerDirectSell819202647.0824,0961,134,520357,315Form
2Kuai, JeffGeneral Manager, Pizza HutDirectSell813202647.7214,586696,0273,032,105Form
3Lu, XuelingController and PAODirectSell225202655.8423,5041,312,404504,883Form
4Wat, JoeyChief Executive OfficerDirectSell217202655.18104,0005,738,72023,909,825Form
5Wat, JoeyChief Executive OfficerDirectSell212202657.014,613262,98730,631,815Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Huang, Duoduo (howard)Chief Supply Chain OfficerDirectSell819202647.0824,0961,134,520357,315Form
2Kuai, JeffGeneral Manager, Pizza HutDirectSell813202647.7214,586696,0273,032,105Form
3Lu, XuelingController and PAODirectSell225202655.8423,5041,312,404504,883Form
4Wat, JoeyChief Executive OfficerDirectSell217202655.18104,0005,738,72023,909,825Form
5Wat, JoeyChief Executive OfficerDirectSell212202657.014,613262,98730,631,815Form
6Zhang, LeilaChief Technology OfficerDirectSell206202655.255,193286,9133,305,331Form
7Ding, JerryChief People OfficerDirectSell206202655.143,000165,42050,453Form
8Zhang, LeilaChief Technology OfficerDirectSell1212202547.227,689363,0752,751,132Form
9Huang, Duoduo (howard)Chief Supply Chain OfficerDirectSell1125202548.104,888235,1131,082,731Form
10Wang, WartonGeneral Manager, KFCDirectSell1125202548.288,187395,2682,261,773Form
11Kuai, JeffGeneral Manager, Pizza HutDirectSell1121202548.005,167248,0162,716,896Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Nov 6, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Primavera Capital Management Ltd$587.1 Mil90.6%3Hold13F
Pinebridge Investments Asia LTD$56.8 Mil19.6%7Hold13F
BLS Capital Fondsmaeglerselskab A/S$554.7 Mil18.9%11TRIM -8.0%13F
Mondrian Investment Partners LTD$908.6 Mil13.6%103TRIM -70.0%13F
GUARDCAP ASSET MANAGEMENT Ltd$192.5 Mil11.0%27TRIM -47.7%13F
Westwood Global Investments, LLC$232.0 Mil8.7%20New13F
Holowesko Partners Ltd.$28.5 Mil8.0%31Hold13F
RV Capital AG$20.6 Mil5.4%13TRIM -5.1%13F
Perseverance Asset Management International$34.8 Mil3.8%33Hold13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Westwood Global Investments, LLC$232.0 Mil8.7%20New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
E Fund Management (Hong Kong) Co., Ltd.$58.1 Mil19.5%397ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Mondrian Investment Partners LTD$908.6 Mil13.6%103TRIM -70.0%Mar 31, 202613F
GUARDCAP ASSET MANAGEMENT Ltd$192.5 Mil11.0%27TRIM -47.7%Mar 31, 202613F
BLS Capital Fondsmaeglerselskab A/S$554.7 Mil18.9%11TRIM -8.0%Mar 31, 202613F
RV Capital AG$20.6 Mil5.4%13TRIM -5.1%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Mondrian Investment Partners LTD$908.6 Mil13.6%103TRIM -70.0%13F
Primavera Capital Management Ltd$587.1 Mil90.6%3Hold13F
BLS Capital Fondsmaeglerselskab A/S$554.7 Mil18.9%11TRIM -8.0%13F
Westwood Global Investments, LLC$232.0 Mil8.7%20New13F
GUARDCAP ASSET MANAGEMENT Ltd$192.5 Mil11.0%27TRIM -47.7%13F
Pinebridge Investments Asia LTD$56.8 Mil19.6%7Hold13F
Perseverance Asset Management International$34.8 Mil3.8%33Hold13F
Holowesko Partners Ltd.$28.5 Mil8.0%31Hold13F
RV Capital AG$20.6 Mil5.4%13TRIM -5.1%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 11/5/2026