Tearsheet

Murphy USA (MUSA)


Market Price (4/23/2026): $519.94 | Market Cap: $9.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Retail

Murphy USA (MUSA)


Market Price (4/23/2026): $519.94
Market Cap: $9.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3%

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.4 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Liquid Fuels Distribution & Retail, and Physical Retail & Convenience Hubs.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.2%

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.1%

Key risks
MUSA key risks include [1] declining same-store fuel demand driven by the evolving energy and consumer landscape and [2] a notably elevated debt-to-equity ratio.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3%
1 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.4 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 37%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Liquid Fuels Distribution & Retail, and Physical Retail & Convenience Hubs.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.2%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.1%
7 Key risks
MUSA key risks include [1] declining same-store fuel demand driven by the evolving energy and consumer landscape and [2] a notably elevated debt-to-equity ratio.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Murphy USA (MUSA) stock has gained about 30% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Performance and Enhanced Fuel Margins. Murphy USA reported diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $7.53 for Q4 2025, surpassing the consensus analyst estimate of $6.67 by $0.86. This robust profitability was supported by a higher total fuel contribution of 34.3 cents per gallon (cpg) in Q4 2025, an increase from 32.5 cpg in Q4 2024.

2. Robust Capital Allocation Strategy. The company aggressively returned capital to shareholders through significant share repurchases and a dividend increase. During Q4 2025, Murphy USA repurchased approximately 175.4 thousand common shares for $67.5 million, contributing to a full-year 2025 total of approximately 1.5 million shares repurchased for $652.0 million. Additionally, the quarterly cash dividend was increased by 18.9% to $0.63 per share, paid on December 1, 2025. A new $2.0 billion share repurchase authorization was also approved in October 2025.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 29.0% change in MUSA stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 26.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120254222026Change
Stock Price ($)402.87519.7829.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)19,35119,3840.2%
Net Income Margin (%)2.4%2.4%-0.3%
P/E Multiple16.320.626.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)19192.1%
Cumulative Contribution29.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 4/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MUSA29.0% 
Market (SPY)-5.4%-12.9%
Sector (XLY)-0.4%-21.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 34.3% change in MUSA stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 33.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)93020254222026Change
Stock Price ($)386.96519.7834.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)19,47919,384-0.5%
Net Income Margin (%)2.5%2.4%-3.6%
P/E Multiple15.420.633.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)20194.9%
Cumulative Contribution34.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 4/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MUSA34.3% 
Market (SPY)-2.9%-11.3%
Sector (XLY)-0.5%-11.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 11.3% change in MUSA stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120254222026Change
Stock Price ($)467.06519.7811.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)20,24419,384-4.2%
Net Income Margin (%)2.5%2.4%-2.2%
P/E Multiple18.720.69.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)20198.1%
Cumulative Contribution11.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2025 to 4/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MUSA11.3% 
Market (SPY)16.3%3.9%
Sector (XLY)21.2%3.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 104.4% change in MUSA stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 146.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120234222026Change
Stock Price ($)254.32519.78104.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)23,44619,384-17.3%
Net Income Margin (%)2.9%2.4%-15.4%
P/E Multiple8.420.6146.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)221918.8%
Cumulative Contribution104.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2023 to 4/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MUSA104.4% 
Market (SPY)63.3%13.3%
Sector (XLY)62.7%12.2%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
MUSA Return53%41%28%41%-19%27%303%
Peers Return1%33%6%0%27%40%153%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%3%88%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MUSA Win Rate58%50%67%58%58%75% 
Peers Win Rate53%64%50%47%53%75% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MUSA Max Drawdown-6%-15%-14%-1%-29%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-10%-9%-19%-29%-28%-5% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CASY, DK, ARKO. See MUSA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/22/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMUSAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-24.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven126 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-30.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven43.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven114 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-29.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven463 days120 days

Compare to CASY, DK, ARKO

In The Past

Murphy USA's stock fell -24.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/1/2022. A -24.7% loss requires a 32.7% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Murphy USA (MUSA)

Murphy USA Inc. engages in marketing of retail motor fuel products and convenience merchandise. The company operates retail stores under the Murphy USA, Murphy Express, and QuickChek brands. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 1,679 retail gasoline stores principally in the Southeast, Southwest, and Midwest United States. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in El Dorado, Arkansas.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-2 brief analogies to describe Murphy USA:

  • Like a regional 7-Eleven
  • A gas station and convenience store chain, similar to a Circle K or Casey's General Stores

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Retail Motor Fuel Products: Provides gasoline and other motor fuels to consumers through its retail stations.
  • Convenience Merchandise: Sells a variety of everyday items, snacks, beverages, and other convenience goods within its retail stores.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Murphy USA (MUSA) primarily sells its products and services directly to individual consumers through its retail gasoline and convenience stores. Therefore, it does not have major corporate customers.

The company serves the following categories of individual customers:

  • Motorists and Commuters: Individuals who purchase motor fuel for their vehicles as part of their daily commute or travel. These customers are primarily driven by the need for gasoline and diesel.
  • Convenience Shoppers: Customers who stop at Murphy USA, Murphy Express, or QuickChek stores to purchase a variety of convenience merchandise, including snacks, beverages, tobacco products, lottery tickets, and other quick-stop items. These purchases may or may not be combined with fuel purchases.
  • Local Residents and Travelers: Individuals who frequent the stores for a quick stop, whether for fuel, coffee, a meal, or other essential items while on the road or as part of their routine within their local community.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Mindy K. West, President and Chief Executive Officer

Mindy K. West became President and Chief Executive Officer of Murphy USA Inc. effective January 1, 2026. She joined Murphy Oil Corporation, Murphy USA's former parent, in 1996 and held various positions in finance, human resources, and planning. In 2013, with the spin-off of Murphy USA, she was named Executive Vice President, CFO & Treasurer, and in 2017, she also took on the Fuels leadership role. She was elevated to Chief Operating Officer in February 2024 before her appointment as CEO.

Donald R. Smith Jr., Interim Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Donald R. Smith Jr. was appointed interim Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer of Murphy USA Inc. effective October 14, 2025. He has been with Murphy USA since its 2013 spin-off from Murphy Oil Corporation, initially serving as Vice President and Controller, and later as Chief Accounting Officer and Treasurer. Before joining Murphy USA, Mr. Smith spent over 14 years at KPMG, LLP, where he was a Senior Manager in the Audit and Assurance Practice.

Renee Bacon, Senior Vice President Sales & Operations

Renee Bacon is responsible for all Sales and Operations functions for both Murphy USA and QuickChek brands. Her responsibilities include store operations, asset protection, compliance, field readiness, and the store support call center.

Eric Bartko, Senior Vice President and Chief Customer Officer

Eric Bartko oversees the Strategy, Analytics, and Marketing organizations for both the Murphy USA and QuickChek banners.

Rob Chumley, Senior Vice President, Innovation

Rob Chumley leads the Innovation team and Digital Transformation initiatives across Murphy USA and QuickChek, which encompass Loyalty, Payments, and Customer Experience.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Murphy USA's business operations are primarily linked to the volatile nature of the fuel market, intense competition within the retail fuel and convenience store industry, and the company's significant reliance on its relationship with Walmart.

  1. Fuel Price Volatility and Margin Sensitivity: Murphy USA's profitability is highly susceptible to fluctuations in crude oil and gasoline prices and the resulting impact on retail fuel margins. The company's strategy of not hedging against commodity price changes increases its exposure to market volatility. Both high volatility, which can create uncertainty, and periods of low volatility, which can lead to compressed margins, can significantly affect operating results and overall profitability.
  2. Competition and Reliance on Walmart Relationship: The retail fuel and convenience store market is highly competitive, characterized by sensitivity to gas prices and pressure from numerous traditional and non-traditional retailers. A substantial portion of Murphy USA's stores are strategically located near Walmart stores, leveraging the high traffic these locations generate. Any adverse changes or deterioration in this critical relationship with Walmart, including the exercise of certain rights Walmart retains in its agreements, could significantly impact Murphy USA's operations and financial performance.
  3. Regulatory and Environmental Risks: Murphy USA faces ongoing risks related to changes in environmental laws, fuel standards, and tax regulations, which could lead to increased operational costs and potentially affect product demand. Furthermore, the company is subject to legal proceedings, including a lawsuit alleging damages from climate change, which could result in significant, unspecified damages and abatement costs.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Shift to Electric Vehicles (EVs): The increasing adoption of electric vehicles directly threatens Murphy USA's core business of retail motor fuel products. As EV sales grow and charging infrastructure expands, demand for gasoline is projected to decline over time, reducing traffic to Murphy USA's gas stations and consequently impacting convenience store sales which often benefit from fuel customers.
  • Growth of On-Demand Convenience Delivery Services: The proliferation of delivery platforms (e.g., GoPuff, DoorDash, Uber Eats) specializing in quick delivery of convenience store items poses a direct threat to Murphy USA's in-store convenience merchandise sales. These services offer an alternative for consumers to obtain items without physically visiting a store, potentially reducing foot traffic and impulse purchases at Murphy USA locations.

AI Analysis | Feedback

For Murphy USA (MUSA), the addressable market for its main products and services in the U.S. is as follows:

  • Convenience Merchandise: The total in-store convenience store sales in the U.S. are estimated at $297 billion in 2024. This market is projected to grow slowly in the coming years.
  • Retail Motor Fuel Products: null

AI Analysis | Feedback

Murphy USA (MUSA) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:

  1. New Store Construction and Raze-and-Rebuilds: The company plans a significant expansion of its store network. For 2026, Murphy USA anticipates opening 45 to 55 new stores and undertaking up to 30 raze-and-rebuild projects. This aligns with their long-term goal of constructing over 500 new stores in the next decade. The maturation of these new store classes is expected to significantly contribute to EBITDA and, by extension, revenue growth from 2027 onwards.
  2. Merchandise Sales Growth and Enhanced Offerings: Murphy USA is focusing on increasing its merchandise contribution through an improved mix of products, particularly by expanding its food and beverage options and focusing on nicotine and non-nicotine categories. Robust promotional activity, steadfast category management, and digital initiatives that drive loyalty enrollments and merchandise transactions are also expected to support this growth. The company projected merchandise contribution for 2026 to range from $890 million to $900 million.
  3. Increased Retail Fuel Volumes from New Stores: While same-store sales volumes for fuel have seen some declines, the overall addition of new stores is projected to drive an increase in total retail fuel gallons sold. Murphy USA expects to sell just over 4.97 billion gallons of fuel in 2026, an increase from 4.85 billion gallons in 2025. This growth in volume from new, high-performing stores is anticipated to offset any legacy declines in older, smaller format locations.
  4. Operational Efficiency and Cost Management: Ongoing initiatives aimed at enhancing operational efficiency and controlling costs are expected to indirectly support revenue growth by improving profitability and potentially allowing for more competitive pricing. These efforts include improved store maintenance practices, loss prevention, and optimizing home office expenditures, which have resulted in contained operating expense growth. The company is also investing in proactive maintenance capital to avoid disruptions and improve store uptime, which is expected to yield savings in maintenance expenses.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Murphy USA repurchased approximately 1.5 million shares for a total of $652.0 million in 2025.
  • In 2024, the company repurchased slightly more than 938.5 thousand shares for a total of $446.6 million.
  • As of October 29, 2025, approximately $337 million remained available under the existing $1.5 billion 2023 share repurchase authorization, and a new authorization for up to $2.0 billion was approved to commence upon its completion and expire by December 31, 2030.

Share Issuance

  • Murphy USA has consistently reduced its shares outstanding through repurchases, with shares outstanding declining by 6.31% in 2025, 4.58% in 2024, and 8.8% in 2023.

Outbound Investments

  • On January 29, 2021, Murphy USA acquired 100% of Quick Chek Corporation, a convenience store chain with 156 stores at the time of acquisition.
  • The company also engages in recent "tuck-in acquisitions," such as targeted store purchases in Colorado, to allow for strategic expansion in key markets.

Capital Expenditures

  • Total capital spending in 2025 was $432 million, following a budget of just over $500 million in 2024.
  • For 2026, capital expenditures are expected to be between $475 million and $525 million.
  • The primary focus of capital expenditures is on organic growth through new-to-industry (NTI) store construction (targeting 45-55 new stores annually) and raze-and-rebuild projects (up to 30 annually), along with increased proactive maintenance investments.

Better Bets vs. Murphy USA (MUSA)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to MUSA.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
SKY_3312026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03312026SKYChampion HomesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
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0.0%0.0%0.0%
DPZ_3272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03272026DPZDomino's PizzaDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
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ETSY_3272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03272026ETSYEtsyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.6%5.6%0.0%
OLLI_3272026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03272026OLLIOllie's Bargain OutletDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
PATK_3272026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V203272026PATKPatrick IndustriesInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.6%
MUSA_8312025_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V208312025MUSAMurphy USAInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
4.1%31.6%-5.2%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MUSACASYDKARKOMedian
NameMurphy U.Casey's .Delek US ARKO  
Mkt Price519.78782.9139.436.50279.60
Mkt Cap9.729.02.40.76.0
Rev LTM19,38416,98210,7237,64313,852
Op Inc LTM739954319100529
FCF LTM374667-665220
FCF 3Y Avg4045133866235
CFO LTM8141,313536193675
CFO 3Y Avg8151,069494184655

Growth & Margins

MUSACASYDKARKOMedian
NameMurphy U.Casey's .Delek US ARKO  
Rev Chg LTM-4.2%9.2%-9.5%-12.5%-6.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-6.1%3.9%-18.1%-5.6%-5.9%
Rev Chg Q0.7%0.3%2.3%-9.9%0.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.2%0.1%0.5%-2.5%0.1%
Op Inc Chg LTM-2.2%24.3%218.6%9.3%16.8%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-8.5%14.4%-4.1%-14.1%-6.3%
Op Mgn LTM3.8%5.6%3.0%1.3%3.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.8%5.0%0.8%1.2%2.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.0%0.3%3.5%0.3%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM4.2%7.7%5.0%2.5%4.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.0%6.8%3.5%2.2%3.8%
FCF/Rev LTM1.9%3.9%-0.1%0.9%1.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.0%3.2%-0.2%0.8%1.4%

Valuation

MUSACASYDKARKOMedian
NameMurphy U.Casey's .Delek US ARKO  
Mkt Cap9.729.02.40.76.0
P/S0.51.70.20.10.4
P/Op Inc13.130.47.47.210.3
P/EBIT13.530.46.25.99.8
P/E20.644.6-103.831.626.1
P/CFO11.922.14.43.78.2
Total Yield5.3%2.5%1.7%5.1%3.8%
Dividend Yield0.4%0.3%2.6%1.9%1.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.9%3.4%-1.8%9.9%4.2%
D/E0.30.11.43.60.8
Net D/E0.30.11.13.20.7

Returns

MUSACASYDKARKOMedian
NameMurphy U.Casey's .Delek US ARKO  
1M Rtn13.3%15.6%-7.0%21.5%14.5%
3M Rtn21.6%25.3%40.7%24.7%25.0%
6M Rtn39.2%43.9%12.3%54.4%41.6%
12M Rtn3.4%71.3%215.6%56.7%64.0%
3Y Rtn92.9%254.2%105.7%-18.3%99.3%
1M Excs Rtn4.8%7.2%-15.4%13.0%6.0%
3M Excs Rtn17.8%21.5%36.9%20.9%21.2%
6M Excs Rtn34.0%33.0%10.6%49.9%33.5%
12M Excs Rtn-33.8%35.7%187.0%19.4%27.5%
3Y Excs Rtn21.8%176.5%23.7%-92.8%22.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Marketing4,3274,0623,7943,5692,418
Reconciling Items215278   
Other revenues  329479268
Total4,5424,3404,1234,0482,686


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$519.78 
Market Cap ($ Bil)9.7 
First Trading Date04/09/2010 
Distance from 52W High-1.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$452.59$408.50
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA14.8%27.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility43.0%36.9%
Downside Capture-0.580.03
Upside Capture-45.099.63
Correlation (SPY)-20.5%-5.3%
MUSA Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.84-0.74-0.40-0.330.080.25
Up Beta-3.36-3.22-2.99-1.85-0.010.20
Down Beta-0.150.870.38-0.150.030.18
Up Capture70%-44%23%25%17%17%
Bmk +ve Days7162765139424
Stock +ve Days15273673137396
Down Capture-226%-150%-88%-44%26%43%
Bmk -ve Days12233358110323
Stock -ve Days7152753115354

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MUSA
MUSA4.6%36.8%0.20-
Sector ETF (XLY)32.7%19.2%1.35-1.9%
Equity (SPY)26.7%12.5%1.77-5.5%
Gold (GLD)38.9%27.4%1.191.4%
Commodities (DBC)23.5%16.2%1.32-6.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)15.6%13.6%0.829.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-12.8%42.6%-0.211.0%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MUSA
MUSA30.4%29.3%0.93-
Sector ETF (XLY)6.7%23.8%0.2520.9%
Equity (SPY)10.5%17.1%0.4824.8%
Gold (GLD)21.5%17.8%0.992.7%
Commodities (DBC)10.7%18.8%0.474.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.6%18.8%0.0922.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)3.8%56.4%0.297.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MUSA
MUSA24.5%31.0%0.77-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.8%22.0%0.5330.9%
Equity (SPY)13.8%17.9%0.6634.1%
Gold (GLD)13.9%15.9%0.731.5%
Commodities (DBC)8.1%17.6%0.388.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.4%20.7%0.2330.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)68.1%66.9%1.076.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 315202611.0%
Average Daily Volume0.4 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.5 days
Basic Shares Quantity18.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares6.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/4/2026-10.7%-14.4%-1.3%
10/29/2025-7.3%-6.7%-1.5%
7/30/2025-11.2%-9.9%-8.1%
5/7/2025-12.3%-13.1%-15.9%
2/5/2025-3.2%-4.6%-11.6%
10/30/20243.3%8.2%16.0%
7/31/20242.0%-1.0%1.2%
5/1/2024-3.7%-1.0%6.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111315
# Negative12108
Median Positive3.3%2.9%5.8%
Median Negative-3.7%-5.6%-6.9%
Max Positive14.3%15.3%21.0%
Max Negative-12.3%-14.4%-15.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/18/202610-K
09/30/202510/30/202510-Q
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/20/202510-K
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
06/30/202408/01/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202302/16/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202202/15/202310-K
09/30/202210/27/202210-Q
06/30/202207/28/202210-Q
03/31/202205/05/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/4/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 New Stores4550550 AffirmedGuidance: 50 for 2026
2026 Raze-and-Rebuilds01530  Higher New
2026 Retail fuel volume per store233235237  Higher New
2026 Merchandise contribution890.00 Mil895.00 Mil900.00 Mil  Higher New
2026 SG&A240.00 Mil245.00 Mil250.00 Mil  Higher New
2026 Effective Tax Rate23.0%24.0%25.0%  Higher New
2026 Capital expenditures475.00 Mil500.00 Mil525.00 Mil  Higher New
2026 Net Income 439.00 Mil   Higher New
2026 Adjusted EBITDA 1.00 Bil   Higher New

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/29/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 New-to-Industry (NTI) Locations 50 0 AffirmedGuidance: 50 for 2026
2026 Leverage Ratio 2.5    
2030 Share Repurchases 2.00 Bil