OneSpaWorld (OSW)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $19.89 | Market Cap: $2.1 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Leisure Facilities
OneSpaWorld (OSW)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $19.89Market Cap: $2.1 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Leisure Facilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 27x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Experiential Retail, Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Experiential Retail, Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 27x |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
OSW Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Following an approximate -11.3% movement for OneSpaWorld (OSW) during the period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, several factors may have contributed to the stock's decline:
1. Analyst Downgrade: On December 1, 2025, Wall Street Zen downgraded OneSpaWorld (OSW) from a "buy" to a "hold" rating in a research note. This adjustment in analyst sentiment likely signaled a more cautious outlook to investors.
2. General Market Downturn: The broader stock market experienced a decline on December 2, 2025, with major indices such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq Composite, and S&P 500 all closing lower. This market-wide weakness could have exerted downward pressure on individual stocks, including OSW.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OSW Return | -40% | -1% | -7% | 51% | 42% | 2% | 21% |
| Peers Return | -9% | -9% | |||||
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OSW Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 50% | 67% | 58% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 27% | 31% | |||||
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OSW Max Drawdown | -85% | -17% | -32% | -3% | -14% | -24% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | ||||||
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FUN, NOMA, NTV, TRON, AS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | OSW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -45.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 290 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -84.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 563.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1566 days | 148 days |
Compare to FUN, NOMA, NTV, TRON, AS
In The Past
OneSpaWorld's stock fell -45.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/12/2021. A -45.0% loss requires a 81.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| How Low Can OneSpaWorld Stock Really Go? | Return | |
| OSW Dip Buy Analysis | ||
| OneSpaWorld (OSW) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | |
| Now Is Not The Time To Buy OneSpaWorld Stock | Buy or Fear | |
| OneSpaWorld (OSW) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | |
| OneSpaWorld (OSW) Net Income Comparison | Financials | |
| OneSpaWorld (OSW) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | |
| OneSpaWorld (OSW) Revenue Comparison | Financials |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to OSW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for OneSpaWorld
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 15.39 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.1 |
| Rev LTM | 936 |
| Op Inc LTM | 83 |
| FCF LTM | -1 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 22 |
| CFO LTM | 40 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 71 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 14.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 25.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -13.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -23.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.1 |
| P/S | 2.3 |
| P/EBIT | 26.1 |
| P/E | 29.5 |
| P/CFO | 17.1 |
| Total Yield | 1.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -13.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -22.7% |
| 6M Rtn | -0.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 2.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 98.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -13.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -30.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -15.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -7.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 34.2% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2212025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3032023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3042022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |