Graham (GHC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1112.0 | Market Cap: $4.8 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Education Services
Graham (GHC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $1112.0Market Cap: $4.8 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Education Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 10%, FCF Yield is 7.1% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Hydrogen Economy, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Green Hydrogen Production, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 10%, FCF Yield is 7.1% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Hydrogen Economy, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Green Hydrogen Production, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
GHC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Report. Graham Holdings Company reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on October 29, 2025. The company's revenue reached $1,278.9 million, surpassing analyst estimates of $1,223.80 million. Additionally, net income attributable to common shares significantly increased to $122.9 million ($27.91 per share) from $72.5 million ($16.42 per share) in the prior year's third quarter. The education segment was a key driver, showing a 41% rise in operating income, contributing to higher profitability despite declines in television broadcasting and automotive segments.
2. Significant Institutional Investment Increase. Prudential Financial Inc. increased its stake in Graham Holdings Company (GHC) by 8.5% in the second quarter, as reported on December 1, 2025. The institutional investor acquired an additional 507 shares, bringing its total holdings to 6,455 shares valued at approximately $5.99 million. This transaction exceeded the USD 5 million threshold, indicating increased institutional confidence in the company.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GHC Return | -15% | 19% | -3% | 17% | 26% | 28% | 84% |
| Peers Return | 24% | -2% | -18% | -5% | 0% | -12% | -17% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GHC Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 50% | 42% | 67% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 27% | 10% | 19% | 25% | 21% | 22% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GHC Max Drawdown | -56% | -1% | -16% | -7% | -4% | -2% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -18% | -6% | -26% | -19% | -18% | -15% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LOPE, FCHL, GV, MH, MKTR. See GHC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GHC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 443 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -56.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 130.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 393 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -16.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 20.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1514 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -64.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 179.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2076 days | 1480 days |
Compare to LOPE, FCHL, GV, MH, MKTR
In The Past
Graham's stock fell -22.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/21/2021. A -22.4% loss requires a 28.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| How Low Can Graham Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| With GHC Up 18% in a Month, Is It Time to Compare It Against TMUS? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| GHC Jumps 18% in a Month, But Does GM Offer Better Fundamentals? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| GHC Jumps 18% in a Month, But Does ATGE Offer Better Fundamentals? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| null | |||
| Better Bet Than GHC Stock: Pay Less Than Graham To Get More From EXEL, CALM | |||
| GHC Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Graham Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 27.0% in 2024 and 13.5% 3-yr compounded annual returns (above peer average) | |||
| Graham (GHC) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Graham (GHC) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | September 27th, 2025 | ||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | September 5th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to GHC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Graham
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 17.27 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.5 |
| Rev LTM | 1,948 |
| Op Inc LTM | 286 |
| FCF LTM | 301 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 239 |
| CFO LTM | 357 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 301 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.5 |
| P/S | 3.3 |
| P/EBIT | 11.7 |
| P/E | 17.9 |
| P/CFO | 16.8 |
| Total Yield | 9.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.8% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -5.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -1.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -21.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -0.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 40.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -5.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -35.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -14.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -33.7% |
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prepaid Pension Cost | 2,114 | 1,658 | 2,307 | 1,708 | 1,292 |
| Kaplan international | 1,538 | 1,480 | 1,494 | 1,456 | 1,455 |
| Investments in Marketable Equity Securities | 690 | 610 | 810 | 573 | 585 |
| Automotive | 597 | 427 | 238 | ||
| Manufacturing | 432 | 486 | 486 | 552 | 564 |
| Television broadcasting | 420 | 431 | 449 | 454 | 464 |
| Other businesses | 369 | 476 | 690 | 518 | 567 |
| Healthcare | 265 | 250 | 195 | 161 | 160 |
| Supplemental education | 250 | 268 | 287 | 275 | 312 |
| Higher education | 188 | 174 | 188 | 187 | 197 |
| Investments in Affiliates | 186 | 186 | 155 | 156 | 162 |
| Corporate Costs | 94 | 71 | 69 | 348 | 104 |
| Kaplan corporate and other | 46 | 65 | 58 | 58 | 68 |
| Total | 7,188 | 6,582 | 7,426 | 6,444 | 5,931 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2262025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |