Tearsheet

Frontdoor (FTDR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $52.54 | Market Cap: $3.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Specialized Consumer Services

Frontdoor (FTDR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $52.54
Market Cap: $3.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Specialized Consumer Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.4%, FCF Yield is 7.0%
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 58%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
 
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 44%
 
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Building Management Systems, and Real Estate Data Analytics.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.4%, FCF Yield is 7.0%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 44%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Building Management Systems, and Real Estate Data Analytics.
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 58%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FTDR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for the movement of Frontdoor (FTDR) stock from approximately August 31, 2025, to today:

1. Revenue Miss Against Analyst Expectations: Despite reporting a 14% increase in revenue to $618 million for the third quarter of 2025, Frontdoor's reported revenue fell short of the analyst consensus estimate of $623.3 million. Furthermore, the updated full-year 2025 revenue guidance, while raised, was slightly below the prevailing analyst sales estimate, which may have dampened investor enthusiasm.

2. Concerns Over Soft Member Growth: Analysts highlighted "soft member growth in its core home warranty segment" as a "main risk" for Frontdoor, even amidst generally positive financial results. This indicated investor apprehension regarding the long-term sustainability of organic growth within the company's primary business.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FTDR Return6%-27%-43%69%55%-3%11%
Peers Return7%25%-12%20%13%-2%57%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FTDR Win Rate50%33%33%58%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate31%40%25%35%32%41% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FTDR Max Drawdown-36%-35%-47%0%-16%-32% 
Peers Max Drawdown-16%-5%-23%-9%-7%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WSC, MEDG, WW, DASH, SCI. See FTDR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFTDRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-66.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven197.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven686 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-36.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven58.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven221 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-56.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven130.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven265 days120 days

Compare to WSC, MEDG, WW, DASH, SCI


In The Past

Frontdoor's stock fell -66.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -66.4% loss requires a 197.5% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Frontdoor (FTDR)

Better Bets than Frontdoor (FTDR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FTDR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Frontdoor

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FTDRWSCMEDGWWDASHSCIMedian
NameFrontdoorWillScot MEDI WW Inter.DoorDash Service . 
Mkt Price52.5821.02-26.78222.4876.6452.58
Mkt Cap3.83.8--95.410.87.3
Rev LTM2,0422,318-74112,6354,2912,318
Op Inc LTM399549-103695987549
FCF LTM345452--1,992574513
FCF 3Y Avg249409--1,550513461
CFO LTM373782--2,528994888
CFO 3Y Avg283709--1,946905807

Growth & Margins

FTDRWSCMEDGWWDASHSCIMedian
NameFrontdoorWillScot MEDI WW Inter.DoorDash Service . 
Rev Chg LTM11.8%-3.6%--10.7%24.5%3.4%3.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.1%6.8%--13.2%27.8%1.3%6.8%
Rev Chg Q14.0%-5.8%--12.4%27.3%4.4%4.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.9%-1.5%--3.3%6.2%1.0%1.0%
Op Mgn LTM19.5%23.7%-13.9%5.5%23.0%19.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg17.8%25.5%-8.9%-2.1%22.0%17.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-0.7%-1.2%0.9%0.2%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM18.3%33.7%--20.0%23.2%21.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.9%30.1%--18.5%21.7%20.1%
FCF/Rev LTM16.9%19.5%--15.8%13.4%16.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg13.1%17.4%--14.7%12.3%13.9%

Valuation

FTDRWSCMEDGWWDASHSCIMedian
NameFrontdoorWillScot MEDI WW Inter.DoorDash Service . 
Mkt Cap3.83.8--95.410.87.3
P/S2.41.7--9.22.72.6
P/EBIT11.97.2--167.912.012.0
P/E18.617.3--135.221.820.2
P/CFO13.14.9--46.111.712.4
Total Yield5.4%6.8%--0.7%4.6%5.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.0%--0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.8%7.3%--2.5%4.8%5.8%
D/E0.21.0--0.00.40.3
Net D/E0.11.0---0.00.40.3

Returns

FTDRWSCMEDGWWDASHSCIMedian
NameFrontdoorWillScot MEDI WW Inter.DoorDash Service . 
1M Rtn-19.7%-2.3%--21.4%-8.1%-5.9%-8.1%
3M Rtn-15.4%-9.8%--15.6%-10.6%-1.4%-10.6%
6M Rtn-8.0%-23.5%--1.0%-1.0%-4.5%
12M Rtn-10.0%-43.6%--26.3%-11.5%-10.7%
3Y Rtn125.4%-56.1%--303.1%13.3%69.3%
1M Excs Rtn-19.7%-2.3%--21.3%-8.1%-5.8%-8.1%
3M Excs Rtn-22.3%-16.0%--21.6%-15.9%-7.5%-16.0%
6M Excs Rtn-22.7%-38.2%---13.7%-15.8%-19.2%
12M Excs Rtn-23.8%-58.0%--9.7%-25.7%-24.8%
3Y Excs Rtn53.8%-127.8%--234.3%-58.7%-2.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment1,7801,6621,6021,4741,365
Total1,7801,6621,6021,4741,365


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment171    
Total171    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment1,089    
Total1,089    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,136,559
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202510.5%
Average Daily Volume953,677
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.24
Basic Shares Quantity72,800,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Collins Kathryn MSVP & Chief Revenue Officer8192025Sell59.029,429556,484577,377Form
1Boland Darrin Steve 3052025Buy42.755,000213,750213,750Form
2COBB WILLIAM CCEO3032025Buy42.225,000211,120633,360Form
3Iverson EvanSVP & Chief Operating Officer12122024Sell58.8416,000941,494291,569Form