Genuine Parts (GPC)
Market Price (4/19/2026): $113.77 | Market Cap: $15.8 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Distributors
Genuine Parts (GPC)
Market Price (4/19/2026): $113.77Market Cap: $15.8 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Distributors
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 3.6% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Factory Automation, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -99% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 73x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 240x Key risksGPC key risks include [1] margin compression from inflationary pressures on wages and freight costs and [2] reduced spending from its core "do it for me" professional customer segment during an economic slowdown. |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 3.6% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Factory Automation, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -99% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 73x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 240x |
| Key risksGPC key risks include [1] margin compression from inflationary pressures on wages and freight costs and [2] reduced spending from its core "do it for me" professional customer segment during an economic slowdown. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Genuine Parts (GPC) reported a significant miss on its Fourth Quarter 2025 earnings and revenue, coupled with a softer 2026 profit outlook.
On February 17, 2026, the company announced Q4 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $1.55, falling short of the consensus estimate of $1.79 by $0.24, representing a 14.36% negative surprise. Revenue also missed expectations, coming in at $6.01 billion compared to analyst estimates of $6.06 billion. This financial underperformance led to a substantial decline in the stock price, with pre-market trading showing a 7.37% drop. Additionally, the full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance, set between $7.50 and $8.00, fell below market expectations, contributing to the negative sentiment.
2. Analysts responded to the disappointing results by downgrading price targets and maintaining cautious ratings for GPC.
Following the Q4 2025 earnings release, several prominent analyst firms revised their outlooks. For instance, Evercore ISI Group lowered its price target on Genuine Parts to $160 from $175 on February 20, 2026. UBS similarly reduced its price target to $135 from $150 on February 18, 2026, and Truist Securities downgraded its price target from $162 to $127 on the same day. The average price target for GPC was consequently revised downward by 4.14% within three months leading up to April 14, 2026, reflecting decreased investor confidence.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -6.6% change in GPC stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -91.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4182026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 121.84 | 113.79 | -6.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 24,061 | 24,300 | 1.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.4% | 0.3% | -91.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 21.0 | 239.7 | 1043.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 139 | 139 | 0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -6.6% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GPC | -6.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 20.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | 0.8% | 35.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -16.5% change in GPC stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -92.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4182026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 136.26 | 113.79 | -16.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 23,771 | 24,300 | 2.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.4% | 0.3% | -92.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 23.4 | 239.7 | 923.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 139 | 139 | 0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -16.5% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GPC | -16.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 18.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 0.7% | 32.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -1.3% change in GPC stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -93.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4182026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 115.32 | 113.79 | -1.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 23,487 | 24,300 | 3.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.8% | 0.3% | -93.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 17.7 | 239.7 | 1253.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 139 | 139 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -1.3% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GPC | -1.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 41.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | 22.7% | 49.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -25.6% change in GPC stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -94.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4182026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 152.99 | 113.79 | -25.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 22,096 | 24,300 | 10.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.4% | 0.3% | -94.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 18.2 | 239.7 | 1213.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 141 | 139 | 1.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -25.6% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GPC | -25.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 34.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | 64.7% | 38.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GPC Return | 43% | 27% | -18% | -13% | 9% | -9% | 28% |
| Peers Return | 50% | -3% | 10% | 14% | 3% | 15% | 117% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 3% | 87% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GPC Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 72% | 40% | 57% | 65% | 57% | 70% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GPC Max Drawdown | -7% | -15% | -25% | -17% | -9% | -21% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -7% | -24% | -17% | -10% | -10% | -2% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ORLY, AZO, GWW, FAST, AAP. See GPC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/17/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GPC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -32.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -52.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 111.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 295 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -23.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 563 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -50.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 103.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 639 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to ORLY, AZO, GWW, FAST, AAP
In The Past
Genuine Parts's stock fell -32.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/2/2022. A -32.1% loss requires a 47.3% gain to breakeven.
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About Genuine Parts (GPC)
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. It's like a global **AutoZone** and **Grainger** combined, supplying replacement parts for everything from cars to factories.
2. Think of it as the specialized, B2B **Amazon** for vehicle and industrial replacement parts worldwide.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```html- Automotive Replacement Parts: Genuine Parts Company distributes a wide range of automotive parts and accessories for various vehicle types, including hybrid, electric, and heavy-duty equipment.
- Industrial Replacement Parts: The company distributes industrial replacement parts and related supplies, such as bearings, power transmission products, and hydraulic components.
- Industrial Repair & Assembly Services: GPC provides specialized services including gearbox and pump assembly and repair, hydraulic drive shaft repair, and hose and gasket manufacturing.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Genuine Parts (GPC) primarily sells to other companies (B2B).
Its major customers are categorized as:
- Automotive Aftermarket Businesses: This extensive category includes repair shops, service stations, fleet operators, automobile and truck dealers, leasing companies, bus and truck lines, mass merchandisers, farms, and industrial concerns.
- Industrial Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs): Companies that use GPC's industrial parts and materials in the production of their own equipment and machinery.
- Industrial Maintenance, Repair, and Operation (MRO) Customers: Businesses across various industries (such as equipment and machinery, food and beverage, forest products, primary metals, pulp and paper, mining, automotive, oil and gas, petrochemical, pharmaceutical, power generation, alternative energy, governments, and transportation) that rely on GPC for parts and supplies for their ongoing operational needs.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Will Stengel - Chair-Elect & Chief Executive Officer
Will Stengel is slated to assume the combined position of Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Genuine Parts Company upon the retirement of Paul D. Donahue in 2026. He joined GPC in 2019 as Executive Vice President and Chief Transformation Officer. He was promoted to President in 2021 and his role expanded to President and Chief Operating Officer in 2023. Prior to his tenure at GPC, Stengel served in various executive leadership roles at HD Supply Facilities Maintenance, including President and Chief Executive Officer. His earlier career also includes strategic development roles at The Home Depot and positions in investment banking.
Bert Nappier - Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Bert Nappier serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for Genuine Parts Company. He is also a member of the company's management team.
Paul D. Donahue - Non-Executive Chairman
Paul D. Donahue currently serves as the Non-Executive Chairman of Genuine Parts Company and plans to retire from the Board of Directors at the company's 2026 annual meeting of shareholders. He previously held the positions of Chairman and CEO, transitioning to Executive Chairman in June 2024, and then to Non-Executive Chairman in January 2025. Donahue became CEO of GPC in 2016, and before that, he was President of GPC since 2012, and President of the U.S. Automotive Parts Group from 2009 to 2015. He joined Genuine Parts Company in 2003 through S.P. Richards Company, where he served as President and Chief Operating Officer. Prior to GPC, he was President of Newell Rubbermaid's Sanford North American division. GPC sold its S.P. Richards office products business in a series of transactions in 2020.
Naveen Krishna - Executive Vice President and Chief Information & Digital Officer
Naveen Krishna holds the role of Executive Vice President and Chief Information & Digital Officer at Genuine Parts Company. He is a key member of the executive team.
Alain Masse - President, North American Automotive
Alain Masse was appointed President, North American Automotive, effective August 1, 2025. In this role, he is responsible for overseeing the company's automotive business across North America. Since 2014, Masse served as President of UAP Inc., Genuine Parts Company's Canadian distributor and merchandiser of automotive parts. He joined UAP in 2011 and has held various leadership positions, including Executive Vice President, NAPA Canada and Executive Vice President, Heavy Vehicle Parts.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to Genuine Parts Company (GPC):
- Ongoing Cost Inflation and Margin Pressure: Genuine Parts Company is facing significant headwinds from ongoing cost inflation, particularly in areas such as wages, healthcare, rent, and freight. These inflationary pressures are impacting operating expenses and profitability, leading to margin compression.
- Macroeconomic Headwinds and Market Weakness: The company is exposed to macroeconomic uncertainties and market weaknesses, including a cautious outlook for European markets, soft global manufacturing conditions, and potential deferred spending on vehicle maintenance. This also encompasses intense competition from established players, new entrants, and e-commerce platforms, which can pressure pricing and market share.
- Risks Associated with Business Separation: Genuine Parts Company is undertaking a significant strategic initiative to separate its Automotive and Industrial businesses into two independent, publicly traded entities, targeting completion by the first quarter of 2027. This separation involves inherent risks, including restructuring costs and potential execution challenges during the transition.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The accelerated global transition from internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles to electric vehicles (EVs) poses a clear emerging threat to Genuine Parts Company's Automotive Parts Group. While GPC currently distributes parts for hybrid and electric vehicles, the fundamental architecture of EVs leads to significantly fewer moving parts, reduced maintenance requirements (e.g., no oil changes, spark plugs, exhaust system replacements), and less wear on traditional components like brakes due to regenerative braking. This shift could lead to a substantial, long-term reduction in demand for a large portion of GPC's traditional automotive aftermarket parts inventory and services that are geared towards ICE vehicles, requiring a significant adaptation of their product offerings, supply chain, and service models.
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Addressable Markets for Genuine Parts (GPC)
Automotive Parts Group
-
Global Automotive Aftermarket: The global automotive aftermarket size was valued at approximately USD 443.12 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 604.57 billion by 2034. Another estimate indicates the global automotive aftermarket size at USD 860.08 billion in 2025, predicted to surpass USD 1,482.12 billion by 2035.
-
North American Automotive Aftermarket: This market was estimated at USD 108.73 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 127.51 billion by 2030. North America held the largest share of the global automotive aftermarket in 2025, with a market size of USD 137.53 billion.
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European Automotive Aftermarket: The European automotive aftermarket market size was valued at USD 144.68 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 251.79 billion by 2034.
Industrial Parts Group (Maintenance, Repair, and Operations - MRO)
-
Global MRO Market: The global maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) market size reached USD 699.4 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to USD 851.8 billion by 2034. Another report valued the global MRO market size at USD 675.92 billion in 2024, with an expectation to reach USD 836.75 billion by 2033.
-
North American MRO Market: The North America Maintenance Repair and Operations (MRO) market recorded a value of USD 697.45 billion in 2024 and is likely to attain USD 1,111.77 billion by 2032.
-
European MRO Market: The European MRO market was valued at USD 132.52 billion in 2025 and is estimated to grow to USD 146.3 billion by 2031. Another source projects the Europe Maintenance Repair and Operations (MRO) market to reach USD 928.31 billion by 2032 from USD 598.03 billion in 2024.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Genuine Parts Company (GPC) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several strategic initiatives:
- Strategic Acquisitions and Market Expansion: GPC has a history of strategic acquisitions, particularly in bolstering its NAPA Auto Parts network and diversifying its industrial business through targeted purchases. The company is focused on increasing its ownership of NAPA Auto Parts stores in key markets and expanding its industrial segment through acquisitions to diversify revenue streams. For example, the acquisition of Motor Parts & Equipment Corporation (MPEC) in May 2024 added 181 locations. In the industrial segment, the acquisition of Empire Wire & Supply in November 2024 is cited as vital for revenue diversification. Additionally, the planned separation of Genuine Parts into two independent public companies, Motion (industrial) and NAPA (automotive), is aimed at enhancing growth and improving capital allocation for each distinct business unit.
- Digital Transformation and Technology Investments: GPC is heavily investing in technology and digital transformation to drive growth, particularly through the rapid adoption of e-commerce within its Industrial Parts Group. These efforts aim to enhance customer engagement, expand market reach, and modernize the supply chain for improved efficiency. The company has also showcased advancements in artificial intelligence with the introduction of "ChatGPC," a proprietary platform used to improve internal efficiencies. Technology investments are also focused on optimizing inventory replenishment and customer interactions.
- Pricing Actions and Strategic Sourcing: Revenue growth is also anticipated from pricing actions. The company's 2026 outlook assumes that the benefit from pricing, including inflation and tariffs, will contribute approximately 2% to total sales growth. Management commentary highlights strategic sourcing and pricing capabilities as key drivers for gross margin improvement. S&P Global Ratings also projects low-single-digit revenue growth in 2025 and 2026, driven by pricing actions amid relatively flat volumes.
- International Market Expansion and Densification: Expanding its global footprint remains a core part of GPC's growth strategy. This involves increasing NAPA store density across North America through NAPA conversions and independent jobber roll-ups to deepen penetration with professional customers. In Europe, the Alliance Automotive Group continues with tuck-in acquisitions across various countries, leveraging its network for market consolidation. The International Automotive segment experienced a 5.4% increase in net sales in 2025.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Genuine Parts repurchased $261 million of its stock in 2023.
- The company utilized $223 million for share repurchases in 2022.
- In 2024, $150 million was used for stock repurchases.
Share Issuance
- Genuine Parts' shares outstanding declined by 0.3% in 2025 to 139 million from 2024.
- Shares outstanding decreased by 0.97% in 2024 to 140 million from 2023.
- The number of shares outstanding decreased by 0.9% in 2023 to 141 million from 2022.
Outbound Investments
- Genuine Parts invested $1.7 billion in cash for investing activities in 2022, primarily for the acquisition of Kaman Distribution Group (KDG). KDG is a provider of industrial solutions including automation, conveyance, and fluid power.
- In 2023, the company used $309 million for acquisitions of businesses and other investing activities.
- Genuine Parts acquired Motor Parts & Equipment Corporation (MPEC) in May 2024, which was the largest independent owner of NAPA Auto Parts stores in the U.S., adding 181 locations. The company also strengthened its industrial segment through acquisitions like Empire Wire & Supply in November 2024.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures totaled $513 million in 2023, primarily focused on supply chain, facilities, and technology improvements.
- The company's capital expenditures were $567 million in 2024 and are estimated to be between $400 million and $450 million for fiscal year 2025.
- Genuine Parts undertook a global restructuring program in 2024, designed to improve customer service and create shareholder value, with expected costs ranging from $100 million to $200 million in 2024 and anticipated costs of $150 million to $180 million in 2025 related to consolidating distribution centers, optimizing supply chains, and reducing administrative expenses.
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Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 103.75 |
| Mkt Cap | 54.0 |
| Rev LTM | 17,862 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,102 |
| FCF LTM | 1,247 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,285 |
| CFO LTM | 1,714 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,675 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 0.6% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 16.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 13.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 54.0 |
| P/S | 3.1 |
| P/Op Inc | 21.8 |
| P/EBIT | 26.7 |
| P/E | 36.4 |
| P/CFO | 23.5 |
| Total Yield | 3.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.1% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 9.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 3.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 0.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 8.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 45.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 1.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -6.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -23.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -25.3% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Automotive Segment | 14,247 | 13,667 | 12,544 | 10,861 | 10,994 |
| Industrial Segment | 8,844 | 8,429 | 6,326 | 5,677 | 6,528 |
| Total | 23,091 | 22,096 | 18,871 | 16,537 | 17,522 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Automotive Segment | 9,846 | 8,755 | 8,508 | 8,258 | 7,376 |
| Goodwill and other intangible assets | 4,528 | 4,401 | 3,322 | 3,416 | 3,786 |
| Industrial Segment | 2,535 | 2,474 | 1,909 | 1,512 | 1,993 |
| Corporate | 1,060 | 865 | 613 | 255 | 527 |
| Discontinued operations | 963 | ||||
| Total | 17,968 | 16,495 | 14,352 | 13,440 | 14,646 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $113.79 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 15.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/06/1983 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -23.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $114.70 | $126.16 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -0.8% | -9.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 40.7% | 28.3% |
| Downside Capture | 0.09 | 0.32 |
| Upside Capture | -106.81 | 50.08 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 19.9% | 31.8% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.67 | 0.31 | 0.67 | 0.48 | 0.65 | 0.66 |
| Up Beta | 1.38 | 3.45 | 2.27 | 0.82 | 0.80 | 0.84 |
| Down Beta | 0.69 | 1.24 | 1.56 | 0.88 | 0.41 | 0.45 |
| Up Capture | -12% | -161% | -52% | -15% | 45% | 22% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 31 | 56 | 119 | 377 |
| Down Capture | 103% | 44% | 33% | 55% | 85% | 93% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 15 | 26 | 32 | 70 | 133 | 373 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPC | 2.9% | 28.3% | 0.09 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 28.4% | 19.5% | 1.16 | 43.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 21.1% | 12.9% | 1.32 | 33.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 50.9% | 27.5% | 1.49 | 2.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 25.2% | 16.2% | 1.40 | -2.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 17.5% | 13.7% | 0.93 | 39.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -7.8% | 42.6% | -0.08 | 13.4% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPC | 2.1% | 26.7% | 0.08 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 7.2% | 23.8% | 0.26 | 45.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 10.8% | 17.1% | 0.49 | 45.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.6% | 17.8% | 1.04 | 3.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.8% | 0.51 | 7.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.4% | 18.8% | 0.14 | 45.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 5.2% | 56.5% | 0.31 | 15.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPC | 4.6% | 27.9% | 0.20 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 13.1% | 22.0% | 0.55 | 53.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 56.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.3% | 15.9% | 0.75 | 1.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.5% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 17.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 53.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.4% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 8.9% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/17/2026 | -14.6% | -21.1% | -29.5% |
| 10/21/2025 | 2.0% | -0.3% | -4.2% |
| 7/22/2025 | 7.6% | 7.4% | 12.0% |
| 2/18/2025 | -2.6% | -2.2% | 0.1% |
| 10/22/2024 | -21.0% | -17.3% | -15.3% |
| 7/23/2024 | -0.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| 2/15/2024 | -0.2% | 1.4% | 7.4% |
| 10/19/2023 | -12.5% | -13.6% | -7.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 5 | 8 | 10 |
| # Negative | 14 | 11 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 3.4% | 3.0% | 8.8% |
| Median Negative | -2.8% | -6.0% | -7.6% |
| Max Positive | 7.6% | 7.7% | 21.4% |
| Max Negative | -21.0% | -21.1% | -29.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/20/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/21/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/22/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/22/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/22/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/23/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/18/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/19/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/20/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/20/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/20/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/21/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/17/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Total sales growth | 3.0% | 4.25% | 5.5% | 21.4% | 0.8% | Raised | Guidance: 3.5% for 2025 |
| 2026 Industrial sales growth | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 80.0% | 2.0% | Raised | Guidance: 2.5% for 2025 |
| 2026 Diluted earnings per share | 6.1 | 6.35 | 6.6 | -4.9% | Lowered | Guidance: 6.67 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted diluted earnings per share | 7.5 | 7.75 | 8 | 1.6% | Raised | Guidance: 7.62 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Net cash provided by operating activities | 1.00 Bil | 1.10 Bil | 1.20 Bil | -8.3% | Lowered | Guidance: 1.20 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Free cash flow | 550.00 Mil | 625.00 Mil | 700.00 Mil | -21.9% | Lowered | Guidance: 800.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 North America Automotive sales growth | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | ||||
| 2026 International Automotive sales growth | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | ||||
| 2026 Effective tax rate | 24.0% | ||||||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/21/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Total sales growth | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 75.0% | 1.5% | Raised | Guidance: 2.0% for 2025 |
| 2025 Automotive sales growth | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 80.0% | 2.0% | Raised | Guidance: 2.5% for 2025 |
| 2025 Industrial sales growth | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 25.0% | 0.5% | Raised | Guidance: 2.0% for 2025 |
| 2025 Diluted earnings per share | 6.55 | 6.67 | 6.8 | -1.8% | Lowered | Guidance: 6.8 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted diluted earnings per share | 7.5 | 7.62 | 7.75 | -1.6% | Lowered | Guidance: 7.75 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Net cash provided by operating activities | 1.10 Bil | 1.20 Bil | 1.30 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 1.20 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Free cash flow | 700.00 Mil | 800.00 Mil | 900.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 800.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Howe, James F | President, Motion | Direct | Sell | 12182025 | 128.60 | 1,648 | 211,933 | 3,523,126 | Form |
| 2 | Krishna, Naveen | EVP, CIDO | Direct | Sell | 9292025 | 138.12 | 5,303 | 732,450 | 3,606,589 | Form |
| 3 | Needham, Wendy B | Direct | Sell | 3052025 | 123.28 | 4,024 | 496,079 | 904,012 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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