Garrett Motion (GTX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $16.66 | Market Cap: $3.3 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Garrett Motion (GTX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $16.66Market Cap: $3.3 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.8%, FCF Yield is 14% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.3%, Dist 3Y High is -4.3% | Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 103% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.1% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 53% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Hydrogen Economy, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Fuel Cell Technology, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.8%, FCF Yield is 14% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Hydrogen Economy, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Fuel Cell Technology, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.3%, Dist 3Y High is -4.3% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 103% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.1% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 53% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
GTX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested time period for Garrett Motion (GTX) stock movement analysis is from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. Based on the search results, there is relevant information available for this period, including financial results, analyst ratings, and company announcements.
Here are the key points explaining the stock movement for Garrett Motion (GTX) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Raised Outlook.
Garrett Motion reported robust third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 23, 2025, surpassing analyst expectations for both revenue and earnings per share. The company announced net sales of $902 million, a 9% increase year-over-year (6% at constant currency), exceeding the analyst consensus of approximately $871 million. Diluted EPS was reported at $0.38, outperforming the estimated $0.32. This strong performance led management to raise its full-year 2025 outlook for net sales and adjusted EBIT, with net sales projected to be between $3.5 billion and $3.6 billion and adjusted EBIT at $510 million. The positive earnings surprise and raised guidance significantly contributed to a favorable market reaction, with the stock showing a notable increase of over 16% in pre-market trading on October 23, 2025.
2. Increased Dividend and Share Repurchase Activities.
Alongside strong financial results, Garrett Motion’s Board of Directors declared an increased quarterly cash dividend of $0.08 per share, a 33% raise from the previous payout, payable on December 15, 2025. The company also executed a $50 million voluntary early repayment on its term loan and repurchased $84 million of its common stock during the third quarter of 2025. Additionally, on December 3, 2025, Garrett Motion announced a new Board-approved $250 million share repurchase program for calendar year 2026, commencing January 1, 2026. These capital allocation strategies, reinforcing a commitment to shareholder value, positively influenced investor sentiment.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GTX Return | - | - | -5% | 27% | -7% | 86% | 109% |
| Peers Return | 37% | 9% | -19% | 15% | -25% | 14% | 18% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GTX Win Rate | - | 57% | 50% | 58% | 42% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 53% | 38% | 47% | 35% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GTX Max Drawdown | - | - | -31% | -10% | -24% | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -63% | -9% | -41% | -14% | -37% | -29% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PATK, VC, CVGI, APTV, MGA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GTX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 423 days | 464 days |
Compare to PATK, VC, CVGI, APTV, MGA
In The Past
Garrett Motion's stock fell -35.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/26/2021. A -35.8% loss requires a 55.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to GTX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Garrett Motion
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 63.80 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.4 |
| Rev LTM | 3,816 |
| Op Inc LTM | 416 |
| FCF LTM | 369 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 326 |
| CFO LTM | 470 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 412 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.4 |
| P/S | 0.8 |
| P/EBIT | 8.0 |
| P/E | 11.8 |
| P/CFO | 6.3 |
| Total Yield | 7.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.5% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 24.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 18.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | -16.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 9.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 5.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -87.7% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10232025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7242025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10242024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7252024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4252024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10242023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4242023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2142023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10262022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2142022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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