Tearsheet

Ross Stores (ROST)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $177.65 | Market Cap: $57.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail

Ross Stores (ROST)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $177.65
Market Cap: $57.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Value Retail & Off-Price. Themes include Discount Apparel & Home Goods, Efficient Inventory Management (Off-Price Model), and In-Store Experiential Shopping (Treasure Hunt).
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Value Retail & Off-Price. Themes include Discount Apparel & Home Goods, Efficient Inventory Management (Off-Price Model), and In-Store Experiential Shopping (Treasure Hunt).

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ROST Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



1. Ross Stores reported stronger-than-expected third-quarter 2025 earnings and raised its full-year outlook.
On November 20, 2025, Ross Stores announced third-quarter diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.58, significantly exceeding analysts' consensus estimates of $1.38 to $1.42. The company's revenue for the quarter reached $5.60 billion, surpassing expectations of $5.38 billion and marking a 10.4% increase year-over-year. This strong performance led Ross Stores to raise its full-year 2025 EPS guidance to a range of $6.38 to $6.46. Comparable store sales also saw a robust 7% increase year-over-year.

2. Analysts responded with numerous upgrades and increased price targets.
Following the positive earnings report, several research analysts raised their price targets and reaffirmed or upgraded their ratings for ROST stock. For example, UBS Group increased its price target from $163.00 to $169.00 on November 21st, and TD Cowen raised its target from $170.00 to $174.00 on November 10th. BofA Securities and Evercore ISI also raised their price targets to $200 and $195, respectively, citing strong sales and improved product assortment. On December 1, 2025, Zacks upgraded Ross Stores to a "Buy" rating, reflecting an upward trend in earnings estimates. The stock even reached an all-time high of $178.19 on November 28, 2025.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ROST Return6%-6%3%21%10%18%61%
Peers Return17%13%2%17%-2%37%111%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ROST Win Rate58%42%42%67%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate60%65%52%65%55%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ROST Max Drawdown-48%-14%-38%-13%-8%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-40%-10%-27%-15%-27%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TJX, CASY, DLTR, FIVE, ROST. See ROST Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventROSTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-47.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven89.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven529 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-51.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven106.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven356 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven177 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-46.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven86.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven235 days1480 days

Compare to TJX, CASY, DLTR, FIVE, ROST


In The Past

Ross Stores's stock fell -47.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/7/2021. A -47.2% loss requires a 89.3% gain to breakeven.

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About Ross Stores (ROST)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ROST. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ross Stores

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ROSTTJXCASYDLTRFIVEMedian
NameRoss Sto.TJX Comp.Casey's .Dollar T.Five Bel. 
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Growth & Margins

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NameRoss Sto.TJX Comp.Casey's .Dollar T.Five Bel. 
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Valuation

ROSTTJXCASYDLTRFIVEMedian
NameRoss Sto.TJX Comp.Casey's .Dollar T.Five Bel. 
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Returns

ROSTTJXCASYDLTRFIVEMedian
NameRoss Sto.TJX Comp.Casey's .Dollar T.Five Bel. 
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Home Accents and Bed and Bath5,2984,8614,9183,5094,491
Ladies4,6874,4874,7292,8823,689
Accessories, Lingerie, Fine Jewelry, and Cosmetics3,0572,6172,6481,7542,245
Men's3,0572,8042,6481,7542,245
Shoes2,6492,2432,2701,5041,925
Children's1,6301,6831,7021,1281,444
Total20,37718,69618,91612,53216,039


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,755,819
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120253.3%
Average Daily Volume2,291,039
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.95
Basic Shares Quantity323,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025910202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025611202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025401202510-K 2/1/2025
103120241211202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024911202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024612202410-Q 5/4/2024
1312024402202410-K 2/3/2024
103120231206202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023906202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023607202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023328202310-K 1/28/2023
103120221207202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022907202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022608202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022329202210-K 1/29/2022
103120211208202110-Q 10/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Fleming KarenPRES, CMO ROSS DRESS FOR LESS9292025Sell149.092,932437,14213,170,109Form
1BALMUTH MICHAELEXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN4042025Sell131.6011,2611,481,9547,868,400Form
2Sykes KarenPRESIDENT, CMO DD'S DISCOUNTS4042025Sell130.485,036657,11114,400,723Form
3Fleming KarenPRES, CMO ROSS DRESS FOR LESS4022025Sell127.705,270672,97911,892,127Form
4Hartshorn Michael J.GROUP PRESIDENT, COO3262025Sell127.697,492956,66117,760,669Form