Ross Stores (ROST)
Market Price (11/8/2026): $230.46 | Market Cap: $73.6 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail
Ross Stores (ROST)
Market Price (11/8/2026): $230.46Market Cap: $73.6 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 3.7 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.8 Bil Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 3.5 Bil Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Value Retail & Off-Price. Themes include Discount Apparel & Home Goods, Efficient Inventory Management (Off-Price Model), and In-Store Experiential Shopping (Treasure Hunt). | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 20x Key risksROST key risks include [1] the high sensitivity of its low-to-moderate income customer base to economic pressures that reduce discretionary spending and [2] significant exposure to trade tariffs and margin compression due to its heavy reliance on merchandise sourced from China. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 3.7 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.8 Bil |
| Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 3.5 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Value Retail & Off-Price. Themes include Discount Apparel & Home Goods, Efficient Inventory Management (Off-Price Model), and In-Store Experiential Shopping (Treasure Hunt). |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 20x |
| Key risksROST key risks include [1] the high sensitivity of its low-to-moderate income customer base to economic pressures that reduce discretionary spending and [2] significant exposure to trade tariffs and margin compression due to its heavy reliance on merchandise sourced from China. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Ross Stores (ROST) stock has lost about 10% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Impact of One-Time Tariff Refunds on Q2 Fiscal 2026 Outperformance.
Ross Stores reported robust fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on August 20, 2026 (for the quarter ended August 1, 2026), with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.66 and revenue up 13.3% year-over-year to $6.26 billion. However, these strong results included a significant, non-recurring benefit of approximately $0.60 per share from IEEPA tariff refunds, totaling $253 million. While underlying operating margin still expanded by 205 basis points excluding this one-time item, the market likely adjusted its expectations for future quarters, such as fiscal Q3 2026 (ended November 1, 2026), where this particular boost would not be present.
2. Elevated Valuation and Softening Growth Expectations for Fiscal H2 2026.
Following the strong fiscal Q2 2026 report, the stock was perceived by some analysts as "priced for perfection," trading near its 52-week high of $257.00. The forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 29.4x for fiscal 2026 was seen as incorporating an expectation for continued outperformance that might be challenging to sustain, particularly without the tariff refund tailwind. Analysts noted that the company's full-year guidance, when accounting for the strong first half of fiscal 2026, implied a slowdown in comparable store sales growth to roughly 1-2% for the second half of the fiscal year, a deceleration from earlier periods.
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Ross Stores (ROST) stock has lost about 10% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Impact of One-Time Tariff Refunds on Q2 Fiscal 2026 Outperformance.
Ross Stores reported robust fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on August 20, 2026 (for the quarter ended August 1, 2026), with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.66 and revenue up 13.3% year-over-year to $6.26 billion. However, these strong results included a significant, non-recurring benefit of approximately $0.60 per share from IEEPA tariff refunds, totaling $253 million. While underlying operating margin still expanded by 205 basis points excluding this one-time item, the market likely adjusted its expectations for future quarters, such as fiscal Q3 2026 (ended November 1, 2026), where this particular boost would not be present.
2. Elevated Valuation and Softening Growth Expectations for Fiscal H2 2026.
Following the strong fiscal Q2 2026 report, the stock was perceived by some analysts as "priced for perfection," trading near its 52-week high of $257.00. The forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 29.4x for fiscal 2026 was seen as incorporating an expectation for continued outperformance that might be challenging to sustain, particularly without the tariff refund tailwind. Analysts noted that the company's full-year guidance, when accounting for the strong first half of fiscal 2026, implied a slowdown in comparable store sales growth to roughly 1-2% for the second half of the fiscal year, a deceleration from earlier periods.
3. Significant Insider Selling Activity.
During the period, notable insider selling activity occurred, which could have signaled to investors that company leadership viewed the stock as fully valued. On September 14, 2026, James Grant Conroy, the Chief Executive Officer, sold shares amounting to approximately $11.29 million. Additionally, Stephen C. Brinkley, President of Operations, sold shares valued at about $1.48 million on the same date. The combined insider selling exceeding the $5 million threshold may have contributed to negative sentiment.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -7.8% change in ROST stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -20.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312026 | 11072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 250.59 | 231.09 | -7.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 23,776 | 24,512 | 3.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 34.5 | 27.6 | -20.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 319 | 318 | 0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -7.8% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2026 to 11/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ROST | -7.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | -1.6% | 35.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | 1.3% | 57.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 1.8% change in ROST stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 15.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 4302026 | 11072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 226.91 | 231.09 | 1.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 22,751 | 24,512 | 7.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.4% | 10.8% | 15.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 33.8 | 27.6 | -18.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 320 | 318 | 0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 1.8% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 11/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ROST | 1.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 2.6% | 21.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | -0.5% | 37.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 46.6% change in ROST stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 14.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 11072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 157.61 | 231.09 | 46.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 21,498 | 24,512 | 14.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 24.7 | 27.6 | 11.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 323 | 318 | 1.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 46.6% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 11/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ROST | 46.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.7% | 30.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | -1.4% | 42.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 105.2% change in ROST stock from 10/31/2023 to 11/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 29.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 10312023 | 11072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 112.61 | 231.09 | 105.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 19,209 | 24,512 | 27.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.4% | 10.8% | 29.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 23.6 | 27.6 | 17.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 336 | 318 | 5.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 105.2% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2023 to 11/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ROST | 105.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 81.9% | 41.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 58.2% | 47.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ROST Return | -6% | 3% | 21% | 10% | 20% | 29% | 100% |
| Peers Return | 43% | -26% | 19% | -0% | 37% | -5% | 62% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 105% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ROST Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 67% | 58% | 67% | 73% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 35% | 55% | 48% | 55% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 45% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ROST Max Drawdown | -21% | -38% | -17% | -15% | -20% | -13% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -30% | -51% | -41% | -30% | -36% | -38% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TJX, BURL, M, KSS, AEO. See ROST Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/6/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ROST | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -11.8% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.3% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 29 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -13.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15.7% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 144 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -37.5% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 60.0% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 144 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -51.1% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 104.4% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 285 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -20.9% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.4% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 101 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -11.1% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.5% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 95 days | 6 days |
In The Past
Ross Stores's stock fell -11.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 13.3% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | ROST | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -37.5% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 60.0% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 144 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -51.1% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 104.4% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 285 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -20.9% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.4% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 101 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Ross Stores's stock fell -11.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 13.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Ross Stores (ROST)
Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) operates as a prominent off-price retail company specializing in apparel and home fashions. The company manages two primary retail chains: Ross Dress for Less and dd's DISCOUNTS. Across these brands, Ross offers a broad selection of merchandise, including clothing, accessories, footwear, and various home decor items, all at discounted prices.
The company strategically targets different customer demographics through its distinct banners. Ross Dress for Less caters to middle-income households, providing products comparable to those found in department and specialty stores but at a significant value. In contrast, dd's DISCOUNTS serves moderate-income households, offering even deeper discounts on a similar range of products, competing directly with traditional discount retailers. Ross Stores boasts a substantial footprint with approximately 1,649 Ross Dress for Less and 303 dd's DISCOUNTS stores spanning 40 states, the District of Columbia, and Guam.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Ross Stores:
- Like a deeply discounted TJ Maxx or Marshalls.
- A bargain-focused department store, similar to a much cheaper Kohl's or Macy's for apparel and home goods.
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- Apparel: A wide range of clothing for men, women, and children.
- Accessories: Items such as handbags, jewelry, scarves, and other fashion add-ons.
- Footwear: Shoes, boots, sandals, and other types of foot coverings.
- Home Fashions: Products for decorating and furnishing the home, including textiles, decor, and small household goods.
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Ross Stores (ROST) primarily sells its products directly to individual consumers through its retail store brands, Ross Dress for Less and dd's DISCOUNTS. The company targets the following customer categories:
- Middle-income households seeking off-price apparel, accessories, footwear, and home fashions, primarily served by Ross Dress for Less stores.
- Moderate-income households looking for similar products at discount prices, primarily served by dd's DISCOUNTS stores.
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James Conroy – Chief Executive Officer (CEO) and Director
James Conroy was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Ross Stores in February 2025. He brings significant experience as a retail operator to his role.William Sheehan – Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer (CFO)
William Sheehan was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective October 1, 2025. He succeeded Adam Orvos in this position.Michael J. Hartshorn – Group President, Chief Operating Officer (COO) and Director
Michael J. Hartshorn has served as Group President and Chief Operating Officer of Ross Stores since 2019 and as a Board member since 2021. He joined Ross in 2000 and advanced through various finance, treasury, and CFO roles before becoming COO. Prior to his tenure at Ross, Hartshorn spent seven years in financial roles at The May Department Stores Company.Michael Balmuth – Executive Chairman of the Board
Michael Balmuth serves as the Executive Chairman of the Board for Ross Stores. He has a long history with the company, having joined in 1989 and serving as CEO from 1996 to 2014. His time as CEO was characterized by sustained growth, strong financial performance, and increased shareholder value for the company. He rejoined the Board in 2023 after previous service from 1996–2021.AI Analysis | Feedback
Key Risks to Ross Stores (ROST)
- Macroeconomic Environment and Consumer Spending: Ross Stores' financial performance is highly sensitive to the overall macroeconomic environment, including inflation, and consumer confidence and spending patterns. While the off-price model can benefit from consumers "trading down" during economic downturns, a severe or prolonged recession could significantly reduce discretionary spending across all retail segments. Conversely, an improving economy could lead consumers to "trade up" to traditional department stores or higher-end brands, thereby impacting Ross's sales and profitability. Additionally, factors like tariffs and supply chain disruptions can affect the company's costs and, consequently, its pricing and margins.
- Intense Competition: The retail industry, particularly the off-price sector, is highly competitive and fragmented. Ross Stores faces significant competition from other off-price retailers such as TJX Companies (TJ Maxx, Marshalls, HomeGoods) and Burlington, as well as from traditional department stores, discount stores, and an increasing number of online platforms and flash sale sites. This intense competition can lead to pressure on pricing, margins, and market share, requiring continuous efforts in merchandising, marketing, and store presentation.
- Supply Chain and Inventory Management: The off-price business model relies on the opportunistic purchasing of excess, over-produced, or out-of-season branded goods. This inherently leads to an inconsistent and unpredictable inventory assortment in terms of brand mix, sizes, and quantities. Successfully executing this model requires maintaining strong, reliable relationships with a vast network of suppliers and efficient inventory management. Disruptions in the global supply chain, rising costs of goods, and challenges like "retail shrink" (theft) can negatively impact product availability, increase operating costs, and reduce profitability.
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The rapid growth and increasing mainstream adoption of online second-hand and resale marketplaces (e.g., ThredUp, Poshmark, Depop). These platforms leverage technology to offer a vast and constantly updated inventory of apparel, accessories, and home goods at significantly discounted prices, often appealing to the same value-conscious, middle-to-moderate income households targeted by Ross Stores. This model offers convenience, a potentially wider selection, and aligns with growing consumer preferences for sustainability, directly competing for market share without the overhead of traditional brick-and-mortar retail.
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Addressable Markets for Ross Stores' Main Products and Services (U.S. Region)
The overall off-price retail market in the United States, where Ross Stores operates, was estimated at approximately $372.46 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach $668.30 billion by 2032. Another estimate places the market at $404.86 billion in 2026, with a projection to reach $858.3 billion by 2035. Specific product categories that constitute Ross Stores' offerings within the U.S. market include:- Apparel: The United States apparel market is valued at approximately $365.70 billion in 2025. This market is projected to grow to approximately $399.77 billion by 2026.
- Accessories: The U.S. fashion accessories market generated revenue of approximately $223.2 billion in 2024. It is expected to grow to about $289.34 billion by 2026 and is projected to reach approximately $477.4 billion by 2034.
- Footwear: The U.S. shoe and footwear market size was approximately $95.1 billion in 2024, and $97.16 billion in 2025. This market is projected to reach around $125.7 billion by 2032.
- Home Fashions: The United States home decor market was valued at approximately $225.58 billion in 2024. It is expected to reach approximately $518.84 billion by 2033. The broader furniture and home furnishings market was forecasted to reach $338 billion in 2023. More specifically, the U.S. home textile market was valued at about $44.3 billion in 2024.
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Share Repurchases
- Ross Stores' Board of Directors authorized a new $2.55 billion stock repurchase plan for fiscal years 2026 and 2027.
- The company repurchased $2.1 billion of common stock during fiscal years 2024 and 2025 combined.
- In fiscal 2025, Ross repurchased 7.1 million shares for $1.05 billion, completing its existing two-year program.
Share Issuance
- Ross Stores' shares outstanding have generally declined, with a 1.91% decrease in fiscal 2025 from 2024, indicating net repurchases.
- The number of shares outstanding decreased by 2.26% in fiscal 2024 from 2023.
Capital Expenditures
- Ross Stores expects to open approximately 110 new stores in fiscal year 2026, comprising about 85 Ross and 25 dd's DISCOUNTS locations, representing approximately 5% unit growth.
- The company's long-term growth potential includes expanding the Ross and dd's DISCOUNTS chains to 2,900 and 700 stores, respectively.
- The latest reported Capital Expenditure (Last 12 Months as of December 19, 2025) was $167 million.
Peer Outperformance in Apparel Retail
| Ticker | Name | Rev Growth 3Y Avg | P/E | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 5Y Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROST | Ross Stores | 8.6% | 27.6x | 44.7% | 93.8% | 104.0% | — |
| ANF | Abercrombie & Fitch | 11.7% | 12.2x | 108.9% | 120.2% | 223.5% | +119pp |
| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Education Services | 14 | -14.6% | 32.4% | 41.0% | CVSA 246% · GHC 109% · LRN 107% |
| Homebuilding | 17 | 2.8% | 29.0% | 29.7% | PHM 175% · TOL 159% · GRBK 150% |
| Automotive Retail | 17 | -4.5% | 18.3% | 11.3% | MUSA 209% · PAG 115% · ORLY 111% |
| Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines | 21 | 19.1% | 65.4% | 7.0% | RCL 250% · MAR 159% · HLT 147% |
| Home Improvement Retail | 5 | -4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | HD 6% · LOW 5% · FND -62% |
| Home Furnishings | 3 | 3.8% | 76.0% | -1.2% | SGI 50% · MHK -15% |
| Footwear | 9 | 75.5% | 83.0% | -15.7% | DECK 23% · SHOO -11% · CROX -16% |
| Restaurants | 36 | 1.5% | -3.8% | -24.2% | EAT 363% · CAKE 158% · TXRH 110% |
| Computer & Electronics Retail | 3 | 32.8% | 80.3% | -24.5% | BBY -3% · GME -53% |
| Specialized Consumer Services | 10 | -12.1% | 33.3% | -25.5% | FTDR 168% · HRB 146% · ADT 24% |
| Distributors | 4 | -6.7% | -16.6% | -26.0% | ARMK 96% · GPC 4% · POOL -56% |
| Leisure Products | 14 | -18.0% | -5.2% | -34.4% | GOLF 51% · HAS 50% · BC -14% |
| Leisure Facilities | 12 | 16.8% | 5.3% | -39.5% | OSW 160% · LTH 143% · PLNT -37% |
| Household Appliances | 18 | 36.3% | 16.7% | -40.3% | WHR -82% |
| Broadline Retail | 12 | -4.4% | 16.3% | -45.7% | EBAY 76% · AMZN 47% · OLLI 24% |
| Apparel Retail ← | 27 | -5.5% | 2.6% | -48.8% | ANF 223% · VSXY 110% · TJX 104% |
| Automotive Parts & Equipment | 37 | -13.5% | -25.6% | -48.8% | GTX 197% · PATK 64% · ALV 41% |
| Casinos & Gaming | 21 | -25.1% | -16.3% | -51.8% | RRR 22% · BYD 19% · LVS 3% |
| Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods | 29 | 14.6% | 20.9% | -53.7% | TPR 255% · RL 225% · KTB 59% |
| Other Specialty Retail | 25 | -5.3% | -10.5% | -57.7% | ULTA 65% · ASO 53% · ARHS 26% |
| Automobile Manufacturers | 8 | -57.1% | -43.4% | -70.5% | GM 54% · TSLA -12% · F -12% |
| Consumer Electronics | 11 | -31.6% | -31.4% | -80.5% | GRMN 122% |
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Peer Comparisons
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Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 79.46 |
| Mkt Cap | 15.5 |
| Rev LTM | 15,430 |
| Op Inc LTM | 988 |
| FCF LTM | 1,034 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 741 |
| CFO LTM | 1,415 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,149 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 9.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 29.2% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 26.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.8% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Accents and Bed and Bath | 5,915 | 5,494 | 5,298 | 4,861 | 4,918 |
| Ladies | 5,005 | 4,648 | 4,687 | 4,487 | 4,729 |
| Accessories, Lingerie, Fine Jewelry, and Cosmetics | 3,413 | 3,169 | 3,057 | 2,617 | 2,648 |
| Men's | 3,413 | 3,381 | 3,057 | 2,804 | 2,648 |
| Shoes | 2,958 | 2,536 | 2,649 | 2,243 | 2,270 |
| Children's | 2,048 | 1,902 | 1,630 | 1,683 | 1,702 |
| Total | 22,751 | 21,129 | 20,377 | 18,696 | 18,916 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $231.09 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 73.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/09/1986 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -9.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $230.84 | $222.91 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | 0.1% | 3.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 28.1% | 27.4% |
| Downside Capture | 63.49 | 37.25 |
| Upside Capture | 23.46 | 76.33 |
| Correlation (S&P 500) | 37.4% | 31.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.39 | 0.29 | 0.28 | 0.26 | 0.53 | 0.66 |
| Up Beta | -2.65 | 1.63 | 0.82 | 0.40 | 0.87 | 0.85 |
| Down Beta | 0.44 | -0.05 | 0.19 | 0.46 | 0.45 | 0.39 |
| Up Capture | -83% | 22% | -6% | 11% | 54% | 44% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 18 | 28 | 62 | 130 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 22 | 30 | 64 | 141 | 395 |
| Down Capture | -45% | 20% | 51% | 17% | 29% | 83% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 25 | 36 | 64 | 121 | 325 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 34 | 62 | 108 | 352 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ROST | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROST | 43.8% | 27.4% | 1.29 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | -1.9% | 19.8% | -0.22 | 42.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 9.5% | 13.6% | 0.40 | 31.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 1.6% | 28.7% | 0.05 | 9.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 38.4% | 21.2% | 1.42 | -24.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.3% | 14.2% | 0.51 | 32.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -27.2% | 43.6% | -0.61 | 10.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ROST | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROST | 16.6% | 29.7% | 0.54 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 4.0% | 24.2% | 0.12 | 54.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.3% | 17.3% | 0.48 | 51.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.5% | 19.1% | 0.74 | 5.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.1% | 19.6% | 0.30 | 1.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.3% | 18.9% | -0.04 | 42.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.0% | 51.6% | 0.26 | 21.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ROST | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROST | 15.1% | 31.9% | 0.51 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.8% | 22.3% | 0.52 | 59.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.0% | 18.0% | 0.70 | 56.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.9% | 16.5% | 0.59 | 2.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 18.1% | 0.33 | 16.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.9% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 50.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.0% | 66.3% | 1.00 | 14.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 9/23/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/20/2026 | 4.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% |
| 5/21/2026 | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% |
| 3/3/2026 | 8.0% | 7.7% | 11.5% |
| 11/20/2025 | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.8% |
| 8/21/2025 | 1.1% | 2.4% | -0.4% |
| 5/22/2025 | -9.8% | -8.0% | -15.5% |
| 3/4/2025 | 2.0% | -5.4% | -2.3% |
| 11/21/2024 | 2.2% | 8.3% | 4.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 12 | 13 |
| # Negative | 9 | 12 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% |
| Median Negative | -2.7% | -3.5% | -6.1% |
| Max Positive | 9.9% | 18.4% | 17.7% |
| Max Negative | -22.5% | -8.0% | -18.7% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/20/2026 | 4.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% |
| 5/21/2026 | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% |
| 3/3/2026 | 8.0% | 7.7% | 11.5% |
| 11/20/2025 | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.8% |
| 8/21/2025 | 1.1% | 2.4% | -0.4% |
| 5/22/2025 | -9.8% | -8.0% | -15.5% |
| 3/4/2025 | 2.0% | -5.4% | -2.3% |
| 11/21/2024 | 2.2% | 8.3% | 4.2% |
| 8/22/2024 | 1.8% | -0.5% | -1.4% |
| 5/23/2024 | 7.8% | 6.0% | 12.9% |
| 3/5/2024 | -0.7% | -1.8% | -6.1% |
| 11/16/2023 | 7.2% | 9.1% | 12.7% |
| 8/17/2023 | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% |
| 5/18/2023 | -0.6% | -2.9% | 2.1% |
| 2/28/2023 | 0.1% | -0.6% | -7.0% |
| 11/17/2022 | 9.9% | 18.4% | 17.7% |
| 8/18/2022 | -1.1% | -1.2% | -1.0% |
| 5/19/2022 | -22.5% | -6.2% | -18.7% |
| 3/1/2022 | 6.1% | -4.1% | 3.8% |
| 11/18/2021 | -5.6% | -8.0% | -11.2% |
| 8/19/2021 | -2.7% | -5.8% | -10.4% |
| 5/20/2021 | 0.6% | 2.6% | -2.3% |
| 3/2/2021 | -5.6% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| 11/19/2020 | -1.1% | -0.6% | 6.0% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 12 | 13 |
| # Negative | 9 | 12 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% |
| Median Negative | -2.7% | -3.5% | -6.1% |
| Max Positive | 9.9% | 18.4% | 17.7% |
| Max Negative | -22.5% | -8.0% | -18.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 07/31/2026 | 09/01/2026 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2026 | 06/02/2026 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2026 | 03/31/2026 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 09/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 04/01/2025 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/11/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 09/11/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 04/02/2024 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 09/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 07/31/2026 | 09/01/2026 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2026 | 06/02/2026 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2026 | 03/31/2026 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 09/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 04/01/2025 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/11/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 09/11/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 04/02/2024 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 09/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 09/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2022 | 06/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2022 | 03/29/2022 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2021 | 12/08/2021 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2021 | 09/08/2021 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2021 | 06/09/2021 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2021 | 03/30/2021 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2020 | 12/09/2020 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2020 | 09/09/2020 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2020 | 06/10/2020 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2020 | 03/31/2020 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2019 | 12/11/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 8/21/2026Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/20/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q3 2026 Comparable Store Sales Growth | Reported | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 0.0% | Same New | Actual: 6.5% for Q2 2026 | |
| Q3 2026 EPS | Reported | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.83 | ||||
| Q4 2026 Comparable Store Sales Growth | Reported | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | ||||
| Q4 2026 EPS | Reported | 2.17 | 2.22 | 2.26 | ||||
| 2026 New Store Openings | Reported | 115 | ||||||
| 2026 EPS | Reported | 8.61 | 8.69 | 8.77 | 14.0% | Raised | Guidance: 7.62 for 2026 | |
Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/21/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Comparable Store Sales Growth | Reported | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | ||||
| Q2 2026 EPS | Reported | 1.85 | 1.89 | 1.93 | ||||
| Q2 2026 EPS Growth | Reported | 19.0% | 21.5% | 24.0% | ||||
| 2026 Same Store Sales Growth | Reported | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 3.0% | Raised | Guidance: 3.5% for 2026 | |
| 2026 EPS | Reported | 7.5 | 7.62 | 7.74 | 6.0% | Raised | Guidance: 7.19 for 2026 | |
| 2026 EPS Growth | Reported | 13.0% | 15.0% | 17.0% | ||||
Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/3/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Comparable Store Sales Growth | Reported | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 114.3% | 4.0% | Higher New | Actual: 3.5% for Q4 2025 |
| Q1 2026 EPS | Reported | 1.6 | 1.64 | 1.67 | -9.7% | Lower New | Actual: 1.81 for Q4 2025 | |
| 2026 Same Store Sales Growth | Reported | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | ||||
| 2026 EPS | Reported | 7.02 | 7.19 | 7.36 | 12.0% | Higher New | Actual: 6.42 for 2025 | |
Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/20/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Comparable Store Sales | Reported | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 1.0% | Raised | Guidance: 0.03 for Q4 2025 | |
| Q4 2025 EPS | Reported | 1.77 | 1.81 | 1.85 | 2.0% | Raised | Guidance: 1.78 for Q4 2025 | |
| 2025 EPS | Reported | 6.38 | 6.42 | 6.46 | 4.5% | Raised | Guidance: 6.15 for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 9/15/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brinkley, Stephen C | PRESIDENT, OPERATIONS | Direct | Sell | 9152026 | 229.66 | 6,424 | 1,475,304 | 11,865,126 | Form |
| 2 | Conroy, James Grant | CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 9152026 | 229.48 | 49,205 | 11,291,775 | 30,830,986 | Form |
| 3 | Sheehan, William W II | EVP, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 3302026 | 216.95 | 4,883 | 1,059,367 | 6,798,999 | Form |
| 4 | Hartshorn, Michael J | GROUP PRESIDENT, COO | Direct | Sell | 3262026 | 214.91 | 15,813 | 3,398,312 | 24,935,137 | Form |
| 5 | Brinkley, Stephen C | PRESIDENT, OPERATIONS | Direct | Sell | 3262026 | 212.91 | 4,154 | 884,429 | 13,784,439 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brinkley, Stephen C | PRESIDENT, OPERATIONS | Direct | Sell | 9152026 | 229.66 | 6,424 | 1,475,304 | 11,865,126 | Form |
| 2 | Conroy, James Grant | CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 9152026 | 229.48 | 49,205 | 11,291,775 | 30,830,986 | Form |
| 3 | Sheehan, William W II | EVP, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 3302026 | 216.95 | 4,883 | 1,059,367 | 6,798,999 | Form |
| 4 | Hartshorn, Michael J | GROUP PRESIDENT, COO | Direct | Sell | 3262026 | 214.91 | 15,813 | 3,398,312 | 24,935,137 | Form |
| 5 | Brinkley, Stephen C | PRESIDENT, OPERATIONS | Direct | Sell | 3262026 | 212.91 | 4,154 | 884,429 | 13,784,439 | Form |
| 6 | Fleming, Karen | PRES, CMO ROSS DRESS FOR LESS | Direct | Sell | 3262026 | 212.75 | 7,000 | 1,489,285 | 19,447,191 | Form |
| 7 | Hartshorn, Michael J | GROUP PRESIDENT, COO | Direct | Sell | 3262026 | 214.52 | 6,061 | 1,300,203 | 28,282,465 | Form |
| 8 | Mueller, Patricia H | by Limited Liability Corporation | Sell | 3122026 | 213.13 | 1,881 | 400,898 | 460,148 | Form | |
| 9 | Sykes, Karen | PRESIDENT, CMO DD'S DISCOUNTS | Direct | Sell | 3122026 | 213.91 | 2,556 | 546,755 | 22,234,917 | Form |
| 10 | Brinkley, Stephen C | PRESIDENT, OPERATIONS | Direct | Sell | 10102025 | 150.97 | 6,437 | 971,794 | 8,607,102 | Form |
| 11 | Fleming, Karen | PRES, CMO ROSS DRESS FOR LESS | Direct | Sell | 9292025 | 149.09 | 2,932 | 437,142 | 13,170,109 | Form |
| 12 | Conroy, James Grant | CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 9262025 | 146.00 | 39,351 | 5,745,246 | 22,944,338 | Form |
| 13 | Sykes, Karen | PRESIDENT, CMO DD'S DISCOUNTS | Direct | Sell | 9082025 | 151.76 | 4,000 | 607,058 | 16,149,726 | Form |
| 14 | Fleming, Karen | PRES, CMO ROSS DRESS FOR LESS | Direct | Sell | 9052025 | 151.06 | 1,000 | 151,059 | 13,923,656 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Nov 8, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshfield Associates | $394.0 Mil | 7.9% | 17 | TRIM -33.0% | 13F |
| Rivermont Capital Management LP | $26.7 Mil | 5.6% | 20 | Hold | 13F |
| Broad Bay Capital Management, LP | $45.9 Mil | 4.7% | 24 | ADD +61.7% | 13F |
| Dundas Partners LLP | $51.7 Mil | 4.1% | 49 | Hold | 13F |
| KR Capital LP | $18.5 Mil | 3.7% | 49 | New | 13F |
| EdgePoint Investment Group Inc. | $418.7 Mil | 3.4% | 37 | TRIM -55.9% | 13F |
| Hook Mill Capital Partners, LP | $32.5 Mil | 2.9% | 39 | New | 13F |
| Benchstone Capital Management LP | $18.4 Mil | 2.1% | 38 | ADD +52.6% | 13F |
| Woodbridge Co Ltd | $7.3 Mil | 0.0% | 46 | New | 13F |
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EdgePoint Investment Group Inc. | $418.7 Mil | 3.4% | 37 | TRIM -55.9% | 13F |
| Marshfield Associates | $394.0 Mil | 7.9% | 17 | TRIM -33.0% | 13F |
| Dundas Partners LLP | $51.7 Mil | 4.1% | 49 | Hold | 13F |
| Broad Bay Capital Management, LP | $45.9 Mil | 4.7% | 24 | ADD +61.7% | 13F |
| Hook Mill Capital Partners, LP | $32.5 Mil | 2.9% | 39 | New | 13F |
| Rivermont Capital Management LP | $26.7 Mil | 5.6% | 20 | Hold | 13F |
| KR Capital LP | $18.5 Mil | 3.7% | 49 | New | 13F |
| Benchstone Capital Management LP | $18.4 Mil | 2.1% | 38 | ADD +52.6% | 13F |
| Woodbridge Co Ltd | $7.3 Mil | 0.0% | 46 | New | 13F |
Industry Resources
| Consumer Discretionary Resources |
| Retail Dive |
| Business of Fashion (BoF) |
| WWD (Women's Wear Daily) |
| National Retail Federation (NRF) |
| McKinsey & Company - Consumer |
| Mintel Consumer Trends |
| Apparel Retail Resources |
| Apparel News |
| Just Style |
| Sourcing Journal |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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