Tearsheet

Ross Stores (ROST)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $182.7 | Market Cap: $58.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail

Ross Stores (ROST)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $182.7
Market Cap: $58.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.8%, Dist 3Y High is -0.8%
Key risks
ROST key risks include [1] the high sensitivity of its low-to-moderate income customer base to economic pressures that reduce discretionary spending and [2] significant exposure to trade tariffs and margin compression due to its heavy reliance on merchandise sourced from China.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 2.8 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -7.4%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -6.2%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Value Retail & Off-Price. Themes include Discount Apparel & Home Goods, Efficient Inventory Management (Off-Price Model), and In-Store Experiential Shopping (Treasure Hunt).
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 2.8 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Value Retail & Off-Price. Themes include Discount Apparel & Home Goods, Efficient Inventory Management (Off-Price Model), and In-Store Experiential Shopping (Treasure Hunt).
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.8%, Dist 3Y High is -0.8%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -7.4%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -6.2%
6 Key risks
ROST key risks include [1] the high sensitivity of its low-to-moderate income customer base to economic pressures that reduce discretionary spending and [2] significant exposure to trade tariffs and margin compression due to its heavy reliance on merchandise sourced from China.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ROST Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points highlighting why Ross Stores (ROST) stock likely experienced a significant movement in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, based on available information: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Outperformance. Ross Stores reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025, significantly exceeding Wall Street's expectations. The company announced earnings per share (EPS) of $1.58, surpassing the forecasted $1.41, representing a 12.06% earnings surprise. Total revenue also saw a healthy 10% year-over-year increase, reaching $5.6 billion.

2. Robust Comparable Store Sales Growth. A key driver was the strong 7% increase in comparable store sales for Q3 2025. This growth was broad-based across all major merchandise categories and geographic regions, with a notable acceleration from the prior quarter, indicating strong customer response to the company's offerings and effective strategies in driving traffic.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ROST Return6%-6%3%21%10%22%66%
Peers Return-7%98%-10%15%6%39%181%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ROST Win Rate58%42%42%67%58%67% 
Peers Win Rate57%62%42%52%52%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ROST Max Drawdown-48%-14%-38%-13%-8%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-61%-7%-40%-28%-21%-32% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TJX, BURL, M, KSS, DDS. See ROST Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventROSTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-47.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven89.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven529 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-51.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven106.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven356 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven177 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-46.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven86.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven235 days1,480 days

Compare to TJX, CASY, DLTR, FIVE, ROST


In The Past

Ross Stores's stock fell -47.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/7/2021. A -47.2% loss requires a 89.3% gain to breakeven.

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About Ross Stores (ROST)

Better Bets than Ross Stores (ROST)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ROST. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ross Stores

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ROSTTJXBURLMKSSDDSMedian
NameRoss Sto.TJX Comp.Burlingt.Macy's Kohl's Dillard's 
Mkt Price182.74155.66268.1823.1322.44647.81169.20
Mkt Cap49.0160.716.94.82.59.613.2
Rev LTM22,02758,97911,19722,71215,7516,62618,889
Op Inc LTM2,6246,671786908500722847
FCF LTM1,9634,418-384797819781808
FCF 3Y Avg1,8854,47676415570719644
CFO LTM2,7886,4218371,5551,2268711,390
CFO 3Y Avg2,6646,3058711,3191,0518311,185

Growth & Margins

ROSTTJXBURLMKSSDDSMedian
NameRoss Sto.TJX Comp.Burlingt.Macy's Kohl's Dillard's 
Rev Chg LTM3.7%4.5%6.8%-2.8%-6.1%-1.1%1.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.0%6.2%9.4%-4.3%-5.4%-1.8%2.1%
Rev Chg Q10.4%7.5%7.1%0.2%-3.6%2.7%4.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.5%1.8%1.6%0.0%-0.8%0.6%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM11.9%11.3%7.0%4.0%3.2%10.9%9.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg11.7%10.9%6.3%4.4%2.5%12.2%8.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%0.1%0.1%0.3%-0.1%0.0%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM12.7%10.9%7.5%6.8%7.8%13.1%9.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.8%11.3%8.5%5.7%6.3%12.3%9.9%
FCF/Rev LTM8.9%7.5%-3.4%3.5%5.2%11.8%6.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.0%8.0%1.0%1.8%3.5%10.7%5.7%

Valuation

ROSTTJXBURLMKSSDDSMedian
NameRoss Sto.TJX Comp.Burlingt.Macy's Kohl's Dillard's 
Mkt Cap49.0160.716.94.82.59.613.2
P/S2.22.71.50.20.21.41.5
P/EBIT--20.7-4.7-12.7
P/E23.531.430.110.013.016.520.0
P/CFO17.625.020.23.12.011.014.3
Total Yield5.3%4.3%3.3%14.1%11.6%10.4%7.8%
Dividend Yield1.1%1.1%0.0%4.1%3.9%4.3%2.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--1.2%-28.6%-14.9%
D/E--0.4-2.7-1.5
Net D/E--0.3-2.6-1.5

Returns

ROSTTJXBURLMKSSDDSMedian
NameRoss Sto.TJX Comp.Burlingt.Macy's Kohl's Dillard's 
1M Rtn14.9%7.2%-2.2%21.7%41.1%13.4%14.2%
3M Rtn24.9%11.5%2.0%33.9%30.9%13.4%19.2%
6M Rtn43.4%27.8%18.0%112.8%173.2%69.7%56.6%
12M Rtn22.5%28.1%-7.9%45.0%64.1%55.0%36.5%
3Y Rtn65.7%109.0%44.3%29.1%8.6%153.9%55.0%
1M Excs Rtn14.2%6.5%-3.0%21.0%40.4%12.7%13.4%
3M Excs Rtn24.0%10.2%-0.1%31.0%28.5%10.9%17.5%
6M Excs Rtn31.0%15.4%5.6%100.4%160.8%57.3%44.2%
12M Excs Rtn9.3%15.1%-18.6%35.4%51.8%48.7%25.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-6.2%37.6%-31.3%-48.5%-64.9%71.3%-18.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Home Accents and Bed and Bath5,2984,8614,9183,5094,491
Ladies4,6874,4874,7292,8823,689
Accessories, Lingerie, Fine Jewelry, and Cosmetics3,0572,6172,6481,7542,245
Men's3,0572,8042,6481,7542,245
Shoes2,6492,2432,2701,5041,925
Children's1,6301,6831,7021,1281,444
Total20,37718,69618,91612,53216,039


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,088,564
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520254.9%
Average Daily Volume3,685,214
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.92
Basic Shares Quantity321,270,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/20/20258.4%10.6% 
8/21/20251.1%2.4%-0.4%
5/22/2025-9.8%-8.0%-15.5%
3/4/20252.0%-5.4%-2.3%
11/21/20242.2%8.3%4.2%
8/22/20241.8%-0.5%-1.4%
5/23/20247.8%6.0%12.9%
3/5/2024-0.7%-1.8%-6.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131110
# Negative111314
Median Positive2.2%6.0%4.3%
Median Negative-2.7%-4.1%-6.4%
Max Positive9.9%18.4%17.7%
Max Negative-22.5%-8.0%-25.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251210202510-Q 11/1/2025
7312025910202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025611202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025401202510-K 2/1/2025
103120241211202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024911202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024612202410-Q 5/4/2024
1312024402202410-K 2/3/2024
103120231206202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023906202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023607202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023328202310-K 1/28/2023
103120221207202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022907202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022608202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022329202210-K 1/29/2022

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Fleming KarenPRES, CMO ROSS DRESS FOR LESS9292025Sell149.092,932437,14213,170,109Form
1BALMUTH MICHAELEXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN4042025Sell131.6011,2611,481,9547,868,400Form
2Sykes KarenPRESIDENT, CMO DD'S DISCOUNTS4042025Sell130.485,036657,11114,400,723Form
3Fleming KarenPRES, CMO ROSS DRESS FOR LESS4022025Sell127.705,270672,97911,892,127Form
4Hartshorn Michael J.GROUP PRESIDENT, COO3262025Sell127.697,492956,66117,760,669Form