Tearsheet

TJX Companies (TJX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $155.66 | Market Cap: $173.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail

TJX Companies (TJX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $155.66
Market Cap: $173.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 6.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.4 Bil
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.7%, Dist 3Y High is -0.7%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 25x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 18%
  Key risks
TJX key risks include [1] a heavy reliance on its physical "treasure-hunt" retail model given a minimal e-commerce presence and [2] a potential failure to execute its core opportunistic buying and inventory management strategy.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Sustainable Consumption, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 6.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.4 Bil
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 18%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Sustainable Consumption, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.7%, Dist 3Y High is -0.7%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 25x
5 Key risks
TJX key risks include [1] a heavy reliance on its physical "treasure-hunt" retail model given a minimal e-commerce presence and [2] a potential failure to execute its core opportunistic buying and inventory management strategy.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TJX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate 14.3% stock movement for TJX Companies (TJX) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Strong Q3 2026 Earnings Performance and Upgraded Guidance: TJX Companies reported robust third-quarter 2026 results on November 19, 2025, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.28, exceeding analyst estimates of $1.22. The company's revenue of $15.12 billion also surpassed expectations. This strong performance led to a pre-market stock price increase of 3.89% upon the announcement. Management subsequently raised its full-year EPS guidance to a range of $4.63 to $4.66 and projected solid fourth-quarter sales, signaling continued confidence in future growth.

2. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Increases: Throughout the specified period, TJX received multiple positive reassessments from financial analysts. Wall Street Zen upgraded the stock from "hold" to "buy" in August 2025, and Erste Group Bank initiated coverage with a "buy" rating in early September 2025. Furthermore, in November and December 2025, firms like Bank of America, TD Cowen, JPMorgan Chase & Co., UBS Group, Robert W. Baird, and Telsey Advisory Group significantly raised their price targets and reiterated "buy" or "outperform" ratings, contributing to positive investor perception.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TJX Return12%13%7%20%31%30%175%
Peers Return-8%94%-11%15%2%37%157%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TJX Win Rate67%58%50%67%75%67% 
Peers Win Rate55%58%40%52%48%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TJX Max Drawdown-40%-8%-27%-7%-2%-6% 
Peers Max Drawdown-63%-8%-42%-29%-22%-34% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ROST, BURL, M, DDS, KSS. See TJX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTJXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-28.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven189 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven246 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven200 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-50.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven100.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven281 days1,480 days

Compare to ROST, TGT, M, KSS, TJX


In The Past

TJX Companies's stock fell -28.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -28.3% loss requires a 39.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About TJX Companies (TJX)

Better Bets than TJX Companies (TJX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TJX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for TJX Companies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TJXROSTBURLMDDSKSSMedian
NameTJX Comp.Ross Sto.Burlingt.Macy's Dillard'sKohl's  
Mkt Price155.66182.74268.1823.13647.8122.44169.20
Mkt Cap160.749.016.94.89.62.513.2
Rev LTM58,97922,02711,19722,7126,62615,75118,889
Op Inc LTM6,6712,624786908722500847
FCF LTM4,4181,963-384797781819808
FCF 3Y Avg4,4761,88576415719570644
CFO LTM6,4212,7888371,5558711,2261,390
CFO 3Y Avg6,3052,6648711,3198311,0511,185

Growth & Margins

TJXROSTBURLMDDSKSSMedian
NameTJX Comp.Ross Sto.Burlingt.Macy's Dillard'sKohl's  
Rev Chg LTM4.5%3.7%6.8%-2.8%-1.1%-6.1%1.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.2%6.0%9.4%-4.3%-1.8%-5.4%2.1%
Rev Chg Q7.5%10.4%7.1%0.2%2.7%-3.6%4.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.8%2.5%1.6%0.0%0.6%-0.8%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM11.3%11.9%7.0%4.0%10.9%3.2%9.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.9%11.7%6.3%4.4%12.2%2.5%8.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-0.1%0.1%0.3%0.0%-0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM10.9%12.7%7.5%6.8%13.1%7.8%9.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.3%12.8%8.5%5.7%12.3%6.3%9.9%
FCF/Rev LTM7.5%8.9%-3.4%3.5%11.8%5.2%6.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.0%9.0%1.0%1.8%10.7%3.5%5.7%

Valuation

TJXROSTBURLMDDSKSSMedian
NameTJX Comp.Ross Sto.Burlingt.Macy's Dillard'sKohl's  
Mkt Cap160.749.016.94.89.62.513.2
P/S2.72.21.50.21.40.21.5
P/EBIT--20.7--4.712.7
P/E31.423.530.110.016.513.020.0
P/CFO25.017.620.23.111.02.014.3
Total Yield4.3%5.3%3.3%14.1%10.4%11.6%7.8%
Dividend Yield1.1%1.1%0.0%4.1%4.3%3.9%2.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--1.2%--28.6%14.9%
D/E--0.4--2.71.5
Net D/E--0.3--2.61.5

Returns

TJXROSTBURLMDDSKSSMedian
NameTJX Comp.Ross Sto.Burlingt.Macy's Dillard'sKohl's  
1M Rtn7.2%14.9%-2.2%21.7%13.4%41.1%14.2%
3M Rtn11.5%24.9%2.0%33.9%13.4%30.9%19.2%
6M Rtn27.8%43.4%18.0%112.8%69.7%173.2%56.6%
12M Rtn28.1%22.5%-7.9%45.0%55.0%64.1%36.5%
3Y Rtn109.0%65.7%44.3%29.1%153.9%8.6%55.0%
1M Excs Rtn6.5%14.2%-3.0%21.0%12.7%40.4%13.4%
3M Excs Rtn10.2%24.0%-0.1%31.0%10.9%28.5%17.5%
6M Excs Rtn15.4%31.0%5.6%100.4%57.3%160.8%44.2%
12M Excs Rtn15.1%9.3%-18.6%35.4%48.7%51.8%25.3%
3Y Excs Rtn37.6%-6.2%-31.3%-48.5%71.3%-64.9%-18.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Marmaxx33,41330,54529,48319,36325,665
HomeGoods8,9908,2648,9956,0966,356
TJX International6,7686,2155,7293,8425,665
TJX Canada5,0464,9124,3432,8364,031
Total54,21749,93648,55032,13741,717


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Marmaxx4,5973,8833,8138913,470
HomeGoods861522907510681
TJX Canada715690485124516
TJX International332347161-504307
General corporate expense-708-582-611-439-557
Total5,7974,8604,7555824,416


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Marmaxx12,99312,17011,22910,22011,163
Corporate6,6896,5117,29311,3174,023
TJX International4,1544,0754,2814,3894,284
HomeGoods3,8283,5903,4612,8512,785
TJX Canada2,0832,0032,1972,0351,890
Total29,74728,34928,46130,81424,145


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity13,899,896
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-0.7%
Average Daily Volume8,200,805
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.69
Basic Shares Quantity1,112,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/19/20250.2%4.7% 
8/20/20252.7%1.5%3.9%
5/21/2025-2.9%-6.5%-8.5%
2/26/20251.8%-0.8%-2.4%
11/20/20240.2%5.6%1.4%
8/21/20246.1%6.0%4.4%
5/22/20243.5%3.8%13.6%
2/28/20240.6%-3.1%0.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive171313
# Negative71111
Median Positive3.5%5.2%4.2%
Median Negative-3.3%-3.7%-6.5%
Max Positive7.1%8.9%13.6%
Max Negative-5.4%-7.5%-26.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251202202510-Q 11/1/2025
7312025829202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025530202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025402202510-K 2/1/2025
103120241204202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024830202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024531202410-Q 5/4/2024
1312024403202410-K 2/3/2024
103120231129202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023825202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023526202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023329202310-K 1/28/2023
103120221129202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022826202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022527202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022330202210-K 1/29/2022

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Benjamin PeterSEVP, Group President9092025Sell139.231,500208,84521,003,542Form
1Nemerov Jackwyn 9032025Sell138.001,192164,496132,066Form
2LANE AMY B 6042025Sell128.09950121,6892,909,253Form
3Benjamin PeterSEVP, Group President5232025Sell129.774,123535,04219,771,108Form
4Herrman ErnieCEO & President3242025Sell116.5415,0001,748,05854,677,972Form