TJX Companies (TJX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $150.67 | Market Cap: $168.0 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail
TJX Companies (TJX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $150.67Market Cap: $168.0 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel Retail
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Sustainable Consumption, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Sustainable Consumption, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
TJX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The TJX Companies (TJX) experienced a notable increase in its stock price by 10.2% during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors.
1. Strong Third Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings Beat: TJX Companies reported robust third-quarter fiscal 2026 results on November 19, 2025, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.28, surpassing analyst estimates of $1.22. Quarterly revenue also exceeded expectations, reaching $15.12 billion against a consensus estimate of $14.86 billion, marking a 7.5% year-over-year increase. This strong financial performance significantly boosted investor confidence.
2. Excellent Comparable Store Sales Growth: The company achieved a consolidated comparable store sales growth of 5% in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, which was well above expectations. This growth was observed across all divisions, indicating healthy underlying demand and the effectiveness of TJX's value proposition and "treasure-hunt" shopping experience.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TJX Return | 12% | 13% | 7% | 20% | 31% | 26% | 166% |
| Peers Return | 2% | 40% | -18% | 13% | -4% | 27% | 62% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TJX Win Rate | 67% | 58% | 50% | 67% | 75% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 60% | 38% | 57% | 52% | 54% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TJX Max Drawdown | -40% | -8% | -27% | -7% | -2% | -6% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -53% | -6% | -39% | -25% | -19% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ROST, TGT, M, KSS, TJX. See TJX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TJX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -28.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 189 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 246 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -25.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 200 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -50.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 100.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 281 days | 1480 days |
Compare to ROST, TGT, M, KSS, TJX
In The Past
TJX Companies's stock fell -28.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -28.3% loss requires a 39.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to TJX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for TJX Companies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Growth & Margins
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Valuation
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marmaxx | 33,413 | 30,545 | 29,483 | 19,363 | 25,665 |
| HomeGoods | 8,990 | 8,264 | 8,995 | 6,096 | 6,356 |
| TJX International | 6,768 | 6,215 | 5,729 | 3,842 | 5,665 |
| TJX Canada | 5,046 | 4,912 | 4,343 | 2,836 | 4,031 |
| Total | 54,217 | 49,936 | 48,550 | 32,137 | 41,717 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marmaxx | 4,597 | 3,883 | 3,813 | 891 | 3,470 |
| HomeGoods | 861 | 522 | 907 | 510 | 681 |
| TJX Canada | 715 | 690 | 485 | 124 | 516 |
| TJX International | 332 | 347 | 161 | -504 | 307 |
| General corporate expense | -708 | -582 | -611 | -439 | -557 |
| Total | 5,797 | 4,860 | 4,755 | 582 | 4,416 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marmaxx | 12,993 | 12,170 | 11,229 | 10,220 | 11,163 |
| Corporate | 6,689 | 6,511 | 7,293 | 11,317 | 4,023 |
| TJX International | 4,154 | 4,075 | 4,281 | 4,389 | 4,284 |
| HomeGoods | 3,828 | 3,590 | 3,461 | 2,851 | 2,785 |
| TJX Canada | 2,083 | 2,003 | 2,197 | 2,035 | 1,890 |
| Total | 29,747 | 28,349 | 28,461 | 30,814 | 24,145 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 8292025 | 10-Q 8/2/2025 |
| 4302025 | 5302025 | 10-Q 5/3/2025 |
| 1312025 | 4022025 | 10-K 2/1/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12042024 | 10-Q 11/2/2024 |
| 7312024 | 8302024 | 10-Q 8/3/2024 |
| 4302024 | 5312024 | 10-Q 5/4/2024 |
| 1312024 | 4032024 | 10-K 2/3/2024 |
| 10312023 | 11292023 | 10-Q 10/28/2023 |
| 7312023 | 8252023 | 10-Q 7/29/2023 |
| 4302023 | 5262023 | 10-Q 4/29/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3292023 | 10-K 1/28/2023 |
| 10312022 | 11292022 | 10-Q 10/29/2022 |
| 7312022 | 8262022 | 10-Q 7/30/2022 |
| 4302022 | 5272022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3302022 | 10-K 1/29/2022 |
| 10312021 | 11302021 | 10-Q 10/30/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Benjamin Peter | SEVP, Group President | 9092025 | Sell | 139.23 | 1,500 | 208,845 | 21,003,542 | Form |
| 1 | Nemerov Jackwyn | 9032025 | Sell | 138.00 | 1,192 | 164,496 | 132,066 | Form | |
| 2 | LANE AMY B | 6042025 | Sell | 128.09 | 950 | 121,689 | 2,909,253 | Form | |
| 3 | Benjamin Peter | SEVP, Group President | 5232025 | Sell | 129.77 | 4,123 | 535,042 | 19,771,108 | Form |
| 4 | Herrman Ernie | CEO & President | 3242025 | Sell | 116.54 | 15,000 | 1,748,058 | 54,677,972 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |